Sunday Service Play Thread 12/29/2019

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FEZZIK | NFL TOTALSUN, 12/29/19 - 1:00 PM
  1. 104 CIN / 103 CLE Under 45.0 Southpoint
  1. double-dime bet
Analysis:
‡WEATHER total.

Pick Made: Dec 24 2019 1:16PM PST





FEZZIK | NFL TOTALSUN, 12/29/19 - 1:00 PM
  1. 106 MIN / 105 CHI Under 37.5 Pinnacle
  1. double-dime bet
Analysis:


Pick Made: Dec 24 2019 1:17PM PST


FEZZIK | NFL TOTALSUN, 12/29/19 - 1:00 PM
110 TAM / 109 ATL Under 48.0 Southpoint
double-dime bet
Analysis:


Pick Made: Dec 24 2019 1:18PM PST



FEZZIK | NFL TOTALSUN, 12/29/19 - 1:00 PM
114 CAR / 113 NOS Under 47.0 Southpoint
double-dime bet
Analysis:
‡WEATHER total

Pick Made: Dec 24 2019 1:18PM PST



FEZZIK | NFL TOTALSUN, 12/29/19 - 4:25 PM
118 BAL / 117 PIT Under 38.0 Pinnacle
double-dime bet
Analysis:
1st half BONUS PICK:


126 KC -4-135 2 stars (aok to play this at -5.5 alte†rnatively)


LOVE KC, but the only concern is if NE gets up 20+ and KC then coasts in second half.......


Pick Made: Dec 24 2019 1:19PM PST


 

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Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Dec 29 2019 8:20PM
130 SEA 3.5(-120) William Hill vs 129 SFX double-dime bet

Analysis: BONUS PLAY:\
2 stars, 120 BUF 1st half -120.


Attached are some of my NFL Notes;


… Phi NYG 4.5
I LIKE NYG +4.5, I bet NYG +4.5
Philly: Physically beat up: 3 straight ALLIN MUST win games
Won in OT vs. NYG
Won with late rally @ WASH
Won in most important game vs. Dallas
Philly: Cluster injuries at Receiver:
Down to No3 WR Agholor who may miss
No 1 TE Ertz has a broken Rib
NYG: Finally healthy on Offense
Barkley finally looking 100%
Back to back 100 yard rushing games
I LIKE NYG +4.5, I bet NYG +4.5







… Ten HOU 3.5, 45.5 P RATINGS Make it HOU -2.5
KC Early start time greatly impacts THIS game
If KC wins, Hou was NO incentive in the late game
Correlated Parlay:
KC Moneyline -355, to Tennessee -3.5
Correlated 7 point Teaser:
KC -1.5 to Titans +3.5
… Clev CIN 2.5, 43.5
Clev: Motivation Questions:
Just played Baltimore, the best team in the NFL
And got eliminated from the playoffs
Now they face Cincy, the team with the WORST record in the NFL
Cincy: Still playing hard
They played their hearts out, at Mia last week…….
And now they have clinched the No1 pick, no distractions from that




… Chic MIN pk, 37
P RATING with Cousins was MIN -7.5
Vikings: MAY rest key players……..COUSINS OUT
6 point downgrade to Sean Manion
Manion with Rams 2016-2018
Only 33/53 for Career, 4.9 0/1 QB RATING 66.4
Locked into No6 Seed
Bears: Showed Little Fight in last home game SNF vs. KC
At 7-8 hard to see them putting a Max Effort game to end season on Rd
If they WERE going to do that, it would have been Natl TV gm vs. KC
… Indy JAX 3.5
Jax: Primed for a good effort
locker room is Much happier with Coughlin Gone
Indy: Overrated: Based on last week blowout win vs. Car
Got To Face Will Grier
And got 2 Punt Ret TDs…


… Atl TB -1, 48
Atl playing like a top 7 team since their bye (Quinn ceded play calling to Def Assistants)
5-2 SU/ATS ATS Margin has been +11 points per game since Bye
Includes wins vs. SF and N Orl!
TBay: Still dealing with WR Cluster injuries
Evans OUT, Godwin DOUBTFUL, WR Miller OUT
… Wash DAL -11
Dak Health Issues? Did not practice all week (AC Joint Shoulder)
Dak had his 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] most inaccurate gm of year vs. Philly
Did not look healthy…..
Washington: UPGRADE at QB (2 points)
Case Keenum takes over at QB
Keenum QBR 50.2, Haskins 26.2 (worst in NFL)
… N Orl CAR 13
Carolina has not covered a gm since Rivera firing…… 0-3 SU, 0-2-1 ATS
ATS Margin -14 points/game
Will Grier starting has sent a message to team: Winning is not the priority

… Pit -2 BALT, 37.5
LINE WOULD BE BALT -15.5 if they played all their starters!
Lamar Jackson vs. RG III Is 8 points
Are the other guys going to be worth 9 more points?
Pit: only 8 offensive Tds last 7 games
Pit: QB Issues They bench Hodges last week , and now will they need to play him again?
… Jets BUF -1, 36.5
Line would be Bills -9 full strength PRatings
THE BIG Question: How long will Bills play their Starters ?
Allen will start, Bills 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half -120 !!Bills are locked into the No 5 Seed
… Mia NE -16, 45
CONSIDER: NE 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half -9………..DERIVATIVE
NE likely will just run run run 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half…….
With NE wanting to stay healthy, they may stay ultra conservative 2[SUP]nd[/SUP]half…..
… GB Det 9.5 Blough: 1[SUP]st[/SUP]Quarter 14 points vs. Chicago was an aberration
Since then Det has only averaged 10 points/gm last 3 games
Going 0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS
GB: Extra Motivation: A win gets them a 1[SUP]st[/SUP] round bye
… Chrg KC -9
KC D CONTINUES TO SURGE:
Held last 5 opponents to 17 or fewer points……..
Held last 2 opponents to 3 ! (Den, Chic)
And KC D should continue to improve with new DC Spagnaola
… Az Rams -4, 45
P Ratings: Full Strength: Rams -13 (with Hundley)
HUGE UNCERTAINTY in Game
Kyler Murray may sit (Hundley 4 point downgrade)
Rams may sit some starters










… Sf SEA 3.5, 47
HUGE Reaction to Sea RB injuries! Line WAS pk’m last week.
SF D has been struggling:
1[SUP]st[/SUP] 7 games: Held EVERY opponent to 20 or less
Last 8 games: 7 of 8 opponent have gotten 20 or more
SF lost their star LB Alexander after week 8………..
Sea RB cluster Injuries?
Top 3 Rbs are all OUT (Carson, Penny, Prosite)
Leaves 4[SUP]th[/SUP] string RB “Homer” Lynch, Turbin just signed
Sea has other injuries:
T Brown, DE CLowney, and 2 in Secondary All Qustionable
SF D Line injuries:Jones, Moore, OUT Dee Ford, Julian Taylor Quest?
… Oak DEN-3.5, 41
Raiders: Extra motivation based on still being alive for Playoffs
Oakland need 4 things to go right to stay alive, and got all 4………
Now Oak makes Playoffs with
A win, a Ten LOSS, a Pit Loss, and an INDY win
Oak: Drew Lock has been more than Servicable!
QBR of 52.6 (average)
Despite a horrible game in the KC Snow…(QBR 13)
 

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Mti

5* car und 45

4.5 jets over 36.5....atl pk...wash +10.5

4...chargers +9...den - 3.5...tenn und 44

__________________
 

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MTI 12/29/19

5* Panthers Under 45

4.5* Jets Over 36.5
4.5* Redskins +10.5
4.5* Falcons PK
4* Texans Under 44
4* Chargers +9
4* Broncos -3.5
 

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Marc Lawrence

Red Hot NFL Perfect System Club Perfect Play!
Bengals

10* NFL GOW
Seahawks
 

sdf

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if 1 person wants to chip in $8 for sharp premium, shoot me a DM. thanks
 

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AJ Hoffman
1* Colts-2.5 1st half
2* Giants +4.5
2* U45.5 KC/LAC
2* 6pt. TEASER
U44.5 BAL/PIT & U54 ATL/TB
2* 6 PT TEASER
Bengals+8.5 & Giants +10.5
 
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Mississippi Kid
Titans -7 2.5 U
Giants + 4 2U
Rams -7 2U
Patriots -16.5 1.5 U
Colts -6.5 1.5U
Bears -3 1U
 

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Bezobets

NFL: Cincinnati Bengals +3 @ 1.858/-117 (3 Units)
NFL: New York Jets ML @ 2.056/+106 (3 Units)
NFL: Seattle Seahawks +3 @ 2.05/+105 (3 Units)
NFL: Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 @ 1.921/-109 (2 Units)
PARLAY* NFL: Los Angeles Rams ML + Kansas City Chiefs ML + Tennessee Titans ML @ 2.39/+139 (2 Units)
 

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