Monday Service Play Thread 01/06/2020

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Let's go Brandon!
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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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BEN BURNS | NBA SIDES MON, 01/06/20 - 7:05 PM
540 PHI -6 triple-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. While they've been on a nice roll, tonight, the Thunder are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. After dropping all four games on their road trip, the 76ers return home in a very angry mood. The fact that the Thu€nder beat them at OKC earlier (and upset the 76ers here last year) will only intensify that anger. While they've had their issues on the road, the 76ers are a dominant 16-2 here at home. Opposing teams score a mere 101.5 ppg here. Meanwhile, the Thunder score only 103.8 ppg on the road. While OKC hits 44.4% of its fg's on the road, the 76ers hit 47.6% of theirs, here at home. Expect the "hungrier" team to win this one by double-digits.

Pick Made: Jan 5 2020 1:27PM PST
BEN BURNS | NHL MONEY LINE MON, 01/06/20 - 10:38 PM
44 LOS (-106) triple-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on LA. While I successfully played against the Kings in their last game, I believe the Jackets will prove to a much better matchup for them than the Predators were. While the Kings are a respectable 11-9 (11-8-1) at home, Columbus is an ugly 7-12 (7-6-6) on the road. Last season, the Jackets won 4-1 when the teams met at Columbus. However, the Kings won by an identical 4-1 score in the game here at LA. A couple of weeks ago, the Jackets beat the Kings at Columbus, again. With tonight's rematch at LA and with the Jackets an uglyƒ 4-11 (-8.8) against Western Conf. teams, its payback time.
 

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TONY FINN

FINNs MONDAY NBA PRIVATE PLAY
Game: (543) Utah Jazz at (544) New Orleans Pelicans
Date/Time: Jan 6 2020 8:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Utah Jazz -130

View Analysis

PLAY: Utah Jazz on the money-line -130 (if you do not have money-line options at your book -2 is cthe current numb er but it is good to -5)
4% confidence rating
(543) Utah Jazz at (544) New Orleans Pelicans
Game analysis posted shortly
UTAH JAZZ -130

FINNs ESPN CBB GAME of the WEEK
Game: (863) West Virginia at (864) Oklahoma State
Date/Time: Jan 6 2020 9:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: West Virginia -1.5 (-106)

View Analysis

PLAY: West Virginia Mountaineers -1.5 (good to -5)
4% confidence rating
(863) West Virginia at (864) Oklahoma State
Check back... game day analysis published shortly
WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS -1.5
 

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Teddy Covers

Game: (539) Oklahoma City Thunder at (540) Philadelphia 76ers
Date/Time: Jan 6 2020 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Oklahoma City Thunder 7.0 (-108)

View Analysis

5% Big Ticket: Take Oklahoma City (#539).
 

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KEVIN DOLAN BASKETBALL PLAYS

5% NBA GAME OF THE WEEK (ULTRA-RARE!)
Game: (535) Indiana Pacers at (536) Charlotte Hornets
Date/Time: Jan 6 2020 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Indiana Pacers -5.0 (-110)

View Analysis

We like the Indiana Pacers tonight to blow out the Charlotte Hornets on the road and easily cover the number in this one.
Hot Takes
- The Hornets return home on Monday night after back to back wins against the Cavs and Mavericks on the road, two very impressive wins for a team who had lost seven of their previous eight games in total. However, both of these wins came in huge 4th Q comebacks for the Hornets and we just don't see them being able to continue those runs here against a team as fundamentally talented as the Pacers.
- Indiana meanwhile have dropped four of their last five games in total and all four of their last four road games, so these are troubling times for Nate McMillan and the rest of the Indiana coaching set-up. The Pacers defensive efficiency metrics have dipped considerably in recent games, going from a top ten team in the league overall to 23rd over their last three games. We believe they get back to form tonight however as they face a team in Charlotte who struggle offensively despite the two recent wins, ranking 25th and 28th in the league respectively on overall ppg and shooting %.
- The Hornets are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when facing a team with a .600 or greater winning percentage and just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games at home.
Take the Indiana Pacers to get the win and cover on the road in Charlotte on Monday.

PLAY: INDIANA PACERS -5
 
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Mississippi Kid
Mixed Parlay 2U
NCAAF/Italy Soccer
UL Lafayette ML/Inter Milan vs Napoli Over 2.5
Starts Soon
200/232
 

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DWAYNE BRYANT BASKETBALL PLAYS

65% RUN: NBA TOTALS SYSTEM $$$$$
Game: (535) Indiana Pacers at (536) Charlotte Hornets
Date/Time: Jan 6 2020 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 208.5 (-110)

View Analysis

7:05 PM ET -- NBA

535 Indiana Pacers
536 Charlotte Hornets

PLAY --> UNDER 208.5

Playable down to 207

BET SIZE --> 3%

My NBA totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data (using Hollinger's ratings for pace and offensive & defensive efficiency), history involving similar games (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.
 

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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
4* LA Lafayette+9.5 NCAABB
3* Charlotte+5 NBA
3* LA Lafayette-14 NCAAFB
 

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NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
4* Arkansas LR-2 NCAABB
3* Miami-Ohio/LA Lafayette OVER 54.5 NCAAFB
 

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PRIMETIME SPORTS PICKS
4 Unit --> Louisiana-Lafayette +9.5 over Appalachian St. (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Brooklyn +5 over Orlando (NBA)
3 Unit --> Miami-Ohio/Louisiana-Lafayette OVER 54.5 (NCAAF)
 

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WORLDS WORST PICKER

NCAABB
Peabodys Regular Picks: South Alabama Arkansas State

Play On: UT Arlington Georgia State

NCAAFB Bowl
Peabodys Super Picks: Miami Ohio

Play On: UL Lafayette
 

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Fezzik

UTA/NOP U220 for 3*

Consensus Sharp Play - Personally he's desparate for a win, so he's turning to Essler excellent run in the NBA Department
 

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Greg Shaker | CBB Total - Monday, Jan 6 2020 8:00PM
857 South Alabama / 858 Texas-Arlington UNDER142.0 5Dimes triple-dime bet
We love the UNDER here and we do love it at 137 or better.
 

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