Forum: Service Plays Forum - Only Daily Service Play Threads Allowed in This Forum. Do not post your own private plays here.
Sponsored by Cappers File

Thread: Tuesday Service Play Thread 01/07/2020

Page 2 of 2 FirstFirst 12
  1. #26  
    RX Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2019
    Location
    abound
    Posts
    48
    Quote Originally Posted by bank--it View Post
    I HAVE IT

    Here we go! Our new best friend is in action and I advise 1 unit on Providence +5.5 over Marquette, 0.50 units on Portland +2.5 over Toronto, 1 unit on Texas Tech -3 over Baylor and 0.50 units on Texas A&M +3 over Mississippi. You know whatís coming now. I would advise a 0.60 unit five team parlay of Providence +5.5 over Marquette, Portland +2.5 over Toronto, Texas Tech -3 over Baylor, Green Bay -200 over Seattle, Clemson +5.5 over LSU. Parlay pays 11.10 units. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL UPDATE OF THE DAY AS THIS BETTOR IS NOT EXPECTED TO ADD FURTHER PLAYS. IF HE DOES I WILL ALERT YOU ON TWITTER. IF NOT, NEXT UPDATE WILL BE 12PM ET ON WEDNESDAY! I AM MOVING THE MORNING UPDATE TO NOON ET OR BEFORE BECAUSE THIS GUY ALWAYS HAS HIS ACTION IN BY THEN. So daily updates will be 12pm ET each day moving forward instead of 10am ET. If he bets earlier, then thatís when I will post for the day but you can expect everything by 12pm ET! No, I do not think 1 unit bets are crazy when down 11 units. Proper bankroll management would have you technically at 1 unit bets until around -30 units. The passive model I used for the Robin Hood Club was just that, a passive model for the Robin Hood Club and not based on any standard analysis.
    Thanks man. Best of luck tonight.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  2. #27  
    RX Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2019
    Location
    Not of this World
    Posts
    175
    J.R. Stevens
    One of my favorite guys to follow. He's having a great season overall in CBB and NHL.

    VIP PICKS (CBB - GAME OF THE MONTH)
    [607] Ohio State +3/ML +125

    VIP PICKS (CBB)
    [601] Providence +6/ML +200
    [609] Toledo +4/ML +150
    [611] Tennessee +5/ML +170
    [618] Rutgers +2/ML +115

    [619] Miami (OH) +8/ML +290
    [624] Temple +3/ML +125
    [627] Northern Illinois +5/ML +170
    [635] Missouri State +3/ML +125
    [658] Air Force +8/ML +260

    VIP PICKS (NBA)
    [551] Detroit -3
    [561] New York +13/ML +660

    *Buy half point if necessary
    *Play ML for half your normal amount when listed

    VIP PICKS (NHL)
    [45] Vancouver +190/ALT PL -1.5 (+450)
    [47] Arizona +120/ALT PL -1.5 (+300)
    [60] Nashville +100/ALT PL -1.5 (+260)
    [63] Calgary -125/PL -1.5 (+190)

    *OT included
    *Play ML/PL/ALT PL equally
    Reply With Quote  
     

  3. #28  
    RX Senior
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Northern California
    Posts
    6,329
    Spartan
    Creighton -2
    Reply With Quote  
     

  4. #29  
    RX Junior bank--it's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    The dynasty is not over until Bill Belichick says it's over
    Posts
    1,277
    Quote Originally Posted by deadheadct View Post
    any good?
    not good at all but tak asked for it
    Reply With Quote  
     

  5. #30  
    RX Senior
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Northern California
    Posts
    6,329
    Ben Burns
    Cbb personal favorite
    Texas tech -3
    Reply With Quote  
     

  6. #31  
    RX Junior
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
    Location
    Connecticut
    Posts
    1,217
    Seabass: 300 Flames, 300 Texas Tech, 600 tennessee, 600 Creighton, 400 trail blazers, 400 suns game over, 400 nets game under
    Reply With Quote  
     

  7. #32  
    RX Senior
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Northern California
    Posts
    6,329
    TONY FINN CBB 1/7/20

    BASKETBALL PLAYS

    FINNs WEST CONFERENCE CASH
    Game: (559) Sacramento Kings at (560) Phoenix Suns
    Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 9:05 PM EST
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Phoenix Suns -6.0 (-108)

    View Analysis

    PLAY: Phoenix Suns -6 (good to -8)
    4% confidence rating

    (559) Sacramento Kings at (560) Phoenix Suns

    You will read and hear the major media mouths, frontmen for their networks, call last night's victory by the Kings a easy-peezy rout of the Warriors. The truth is it was anything but. Yes, Walton's crew won by double-digits. But they were double-digit favorites. And yes, they were up by 20-plus in the game but they covered by a two-point bucket in the 111-98 final.

    It was one of the worst shooting nights this season for the Warriors. Shooting from beyond the arc. At one point GS was 1-of-20 from the three-point line and they didn't hit a three pointer until their sixteen attempt. The finished 5-of-26 from long range. The Kings were as good as they can be. Sac shot over 50 percent from the arc and 48 percent overall.

    The Kings had 22 turnovers and if they turn the ball over 15 times tonight in Phoenix they will have their ass handed to them. Anyone who has watched the Suns and Kings this year will agree with me... the Suns are a better team when these two go head-to-head. Booker owns the backcourt of the Kings and the new look front court of coach Williams tonight in combination with the injuries that Sac is facing in paint is not favorable for the Kings winning the second leg of a back-to-back.

    Kings' Richaun Holmes had to leave the win over the Warriors with an injury to his right shoulder. He is questionable for tonight. Unlikely is a more accurate description.

    The Kings were already without fellow frontcourt players Bogdan Bogdanovic (sprained right ankle) and Marvin Bagley III (sprained left foot) in the Golden State contest. And the trio are likely to be inactive tonight justifying a play on the Suns minus the touchdown.

    PHOENIX SUNS -6
    FINNs CBB CONFERENCE CASH
    Game: (601) Providence at (602) Marquette
    Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 7:00 PM EST
    Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Marquette -5.5 (-111)

    View Analysis

    PLAY: Marquette -5.5 (good to -8)
    4% confidence rating
    (601) Providence at (602) Marquette
    The victory over Villanova this past weekend has positioned Marquette in a situation that makes them to be a contender in a deep and talented Big East. Butler, Seton Hall and tonight's foe, Providence, are a perfect 2-0 in league play. M
    The 1-1 mark in confernce play, the loss, was on New Years day in Omaha when the Eagles lost to Creighton by a 92-75 final.
    Marquette's Achilles that New Year's day was committing twice as many turnovers as the Blue Jays. Thrwo in that Howard scored just 18 points didn't help the Eagles in the final 10 minutes of the second half.
    Tonight's game is as close to situationally strong as any others in January. The matchup between Howard and Pipkins should not be called a matchup in truth... it should be and is not fair... not far to the Fryers and Pipkins. Howard will have his way with the Providence point guard.
    I will keep tonight's analysis short and to the point. This Fryers team might be 2-0 in league play but they are suspect on any give night considering their poor shooting percentage as of late. In particular Dialo who is makingf just 1-of-5 of this three-point attempts.
    Marquette in a rout tonight.
    MARQUETTE -5.5
    Reply With Quote  
     

  8. #33  
    RX Senior
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Northern California
    Posts
    6,329
    DR. CHUCK NBA

    Game: (555) Oklahoma City Thunder at (556) Brooklyn Nets
    Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 7:35 PM EST
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Total Under 216.0 (-102)

    View Analysis

    Not as desirable as the 217 from earlier but slow on the uptake....still a great number with no rest for either team and a couple of Under trends in the 6-0 and 23-0 and better
    Game: (555) Oklahoma City Thunder at (556) Brooklyn Nets
    Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 7:35 PM EST
    Betting Line Provider: Westgate
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: 1H Brooklyn Nets -110

    View Analysis

    12-4 ATS at home...Thunder with no Gallo and on no rest plus travel and off a tough loss to the Sixers whereas the Nets are also on no rest, but will have Levert in the lineup and are already great at jumping on teams early...which should be the case against the Thunder....oh the line reeks ALL TO HELL...and that CAN'T BE BAD!
    Game: (561) New York Knicks at (562) Los Angeles Lakers
    Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 10:35 PM EST
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: 1H Los Angeles Lakers -7.0 (-110)

    View Analysis

    Talked much on the show....the Lakers are the only team with a motivation here...especially early where they are solid anyway...plus LBJ...and healthy outside of this...Lebron distributing it all over the place while the Knicks have a 3 in 4 with 2 straight Staples games....hard to imagine the motivation if it possibly exists whatsoever...
    Mike Miller and Julius Randle with Elfrid Payton do give me just cause...because I accept the argument the Lakers may have little motivation as well...but the Knicks I believe are better than the current edition of the Pistons...and will Vogel put up with a 2nd straight pathetic, lifeless effort against an Eastern Conference cellar dweller....should he? Should Lebron? Well even if it's late we shall avoid...but I think it's quite possible this spread is tripled by the time we cash!
    Reply With Quote  
     

  9. #34  
    RX Senior
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Northern California
    Posts
    6,329
    DR. CHUCK NCAAB

    Game: (609) Toledo at (610) Kent State
    Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 7:00 PM EST
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Toledo 4.0 (-108)

    View Analysis

    Tough loss with Toledo on the road against Ball State last week as I thought we might have an outright winner but missed the cover after all by 1 point in a 4 point loss! The Rockets are back in MAC action on the road again tonight in Cleveland to face Kent State...this time getting a smidge more points...and still my numbers have this off by the same margin...with Kent State not being worth anything more than regular HCA, if even this many points. One wonders how nervous Vegas already is with the disparity in record ON TOP of the venue. Kent State has looked good and is off a very solid victory over BG, by 18 points on the road to open MAC play. Toledo is on a 5 game losing streak including the aforementioned Ball State game and is on the road again coming into the game with an 8-6 record and Kent State is 11-2 at tip off tonight.
    In addition to the numbers showing this a damn near equal matchup...we have more tickets on Kent but the line nearly sprinting away from them....and a 28-32 ATS trend spot for the team in Kent's positon tonight....including just 3 of the last 9 covered!
    Game: (643) Mississippi at (644) Texas A&M
    Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 9:00 PM EST
    Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Total Under 127.0 (-110)

    View Analysis

    Kermit Davis' boys pretty much take what they can get on the offensive end for the season so far...when the opponent has a 100 or much worse defensive rating, they are able to usually handle them with no qualms and put up nearly 80 points or sometimes more...while limiting the opponent on offense. However, the last 3 times they played a team with a defense that is solid like the Aggies tonight at College Station, they have average 49 points TOTAL per game against OK State, Wichita State, and Butler. One thing A&M does not have in common at all with those 3 teams is offensive prowess! The Aggies are an extreme work in progress for Buzz in his first year, and while it has gotten better recently...at home they are suffocating on defense and suffocated many times by the opponent, with an 8-1 Under record on the home floor heading into tonight and have a really great win over Oregon State allowing just 49 points to the Beavers at home...and then holding up tempo Arkansas to less than 70 points on the road.
    127 is not where I have this total and I think it might be damn near 6 or 7 points off from where I rank this game...while I also think A&M keeps up the momentum on their home court and get a big league win tonight in the 61-57 range....hopefully it is out of the ridiculous foul shot realm near the end and I think we cruise to a victory....be ready with live betting if you're able in case things get "out of hand" early on potentially...like can always be the case
    Reply With Quote  
     

  10. #35  
    RX Senior
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Northern California
    Posts
    6,329
    The Machine

    NCAAB:

    Georgia +4 (-118) *10 units*

    Creighton ML *10 units*

    Leans:

    Louisville -13

    NBA:

    Nets +1.5 *10 units*
    Reply With Quote  
     

  11. #36  
    RX Senior
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Northern California
    Posts
    6,329
    DWAYNE BRYANT BASKETBALL PLAYS

    60% LIFETIME: CBB TOTALS SYSTEM $$$$$
    Game: (645) Iowa at (646) Nebraska
    Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 9:00 PM EST
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: 1H Total Under 73.0 (-110)

    View Analysis

    9 PM ET -- College Basketball

    645 Iowa
    646 Nebraska

    PLAY --> 1H UNDER 73

    Playable down to 71.5

    BET SIZE --> 3%
    Reply With Quote  
     

  12. #37  
    RX Senior
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Northern California
    Posts
    6,329
    DWAYNE BRYANT

    HOCKEY PLAYS

    Game: (53) New York Islanders at (54) New Jersey Devils
    Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 7:08 PM EST
    Betting Line Provider: William Hill
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Total Under 5.5 (-120)

    View Analysis

    7:08 PM ET -- NHL

    53 New York Islanders
    54 New Jersey Devils

    PLAY --> UNDER 5.5 (-120)

    BET SIZE --> 3%
    Reply With Quote  
     

  13. #38  
    RX Junior Lippman's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Location
    Beach
    Posts
    888
    I am just not on board with the Sharp play parlay stuff
    Reply With Quote  
     

  14. #39  
    RX Senior
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Northern California
    Posts
    6,329
    DR. CHUCK ADD-ON

    Game: (551) Detroit Pistons at (552) Cleveland Cavaliers
    Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 7:05 PM EST
    Betting Line Provider: Westgate
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Cleveland Cavaliers 3.5 (-110)

    View Analysis

    I personally don't even understand who is favored in this game. I understand the circumstances would be different per se....but I STILL don't know something Vegas might know....so
    Kennard is out
    Morris is out
    Griffin is out
    Kevin Love is in...and I think Tristan Thompson should be in as well.
    Brass tax: This is the lineup for Detroit no matter what basically....SO they're saying on Thursday night this is going to be Detroit -9 or 10 points???
    HMMM
    Detroit is finishing a 6 game road trip and just flew a long trip from LA to Cleveland to end this trip before a rematch with the Cavs again on Thursday night....if the Pistons are road weary and jetlagged and completely worthless in this game...uniquely they can just make up for it at home on Thursday....and apparently be laying damn near 10 points...at which point we will likely take Cleveland again??

    XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXX


    Game: (631) Eastern Michigan at (632) Ohio
    Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 7:00 PM EST
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Total Under 126.5 (-108)

    View Analysis


    Sure is hard to understand how this line isn't a bargain line....as with out other play in this package with the Under in College Station, TX tonight...this game in Athens features a visiting team that is bottom 10 in the nation at 342 with regard to offensive efficiency yet excels on the defensive end, near the top in forcing turnovers on opponent possessions as well a 94 def. efficiency, which is excellent. The winner of this game should achieve 60 points as Jeff Boals is going to be interested in getting down to playing solid, sound, effective basketball on both ends. They entered a home game against Campbell having only lost the 4 times they play FAR superior opponents and then lost at home to Campbell and then lost the MAC opener to Western Michigan as road favorites and lost by 12 points.
    They have had a couple days off before the league home opener and get a pretty simple gameplan....beat a visiting team who just lost to Akron by 2 dozen points not even eclipsing 50 points! We have mentioned one of my favorite players in the entire country in Jason Preston, who leads the Bobcats this season and he is an all around stud and delight to watch play the game. He may not have a professional future of the heights he deserves but this is the kind of game he takes control on both ends and stops the poor run of play....just in time to still contend for a MAC title run!
    Reply With Quote  
     

  15. #40  
    RX Junior bank--it's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    The dynasty is not over until Bill Belichick says it's over
    Posts
    1,277
    I think The Sharp was sent to slowly juice the betting world to death. It's slow death for anyone who follows RH and algos....... GL

    It's great if you want to play $10 bets and don't mind 1 unit forward and 1.1 unit back every day long run.
    JMO
    Reply With Quote  
     

  16. #41  
    RX Junior
    Join Date
    Sep 2010
    Location
    providence
    Posts
    618
    Any Marco
    Reply With Quote  
     

  17. #42  
    RX Local Buzz Kill's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Location
    World Headquarters
    Posts
    9,708
    Brandon Lang

    25 Dimes - Texas Tech -2 1/2 over Baylor, 9:00 PM EST
    Free Heber! Heber Carl Jentzsch, 84, President of the Church of Scientology International, is believed to be held in a Scientology prison (RPF). He has not been seen since 2005.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  18. #43  
    RX Senior
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Northern California
    Posts
    6,329
    NCAA Basketball (BOB BALFE) VIP
    7:00 PM EST
    Rotation #615-616
    Rider -2.5 over Quinnipiac
    Rider is a team with a little more experience and scoring power. If you look at the games last year this Quinnipiac team had a lot of production from guys that have graduated. Cameron Young was a beat for the Bobcats when these teams played and key bench players also have departed the program. This team struggled against a very weak Marist team the other night with mind boggling turnovers. The Broncs should simply score too much for the Bobcats to be able to hang around in this one. Take Rider.
    NCAA Basketball
    7:00 PM EST
    Rotation #617-618
    Penn State -1.5 over Rutgers
    Geo Baker is a huge loss for this Rutgers program. There are guys that have stepped up, but it’s not the same. Last year the battle on the boards was pretty much even between these two teams, but I believe with Baker out and guys like Eugene Omoruyi not on the team anymore this Scarlet Knight team isn’t at this point as physical and I believe with that this surging Nitany Lions program will come out on top tonight. Take Penn State
    NCAA Basketball
    7:00 PM EST
    Rotation #625-626
    South Florida -3.5 over East Carolina
    South Florida dominated this series last year. I would really love for Yetna to be healthy and playing this year, but I still think the Bulls are a much more talented roster at this point. ECU has so many different transfers on their team and really just one guy that gets significant minutes from last year’s squad still remains. I think it’s going to take some time for these guys to gel in conference play. USF should add to their winning streak in this series. Take South Florida.
    Reply With Quote  
     

Posting Permissions
  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •