Sunday Service Play Thread 01/12/2020

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RALPH MICHELS--CAL SPORTS
Game: (305) Houston Texans at (306) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time: Jan 12 2020 3:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 48.5 (-115)

View Analysis

#306 5% OVER 48.5 Houston/KC Sunday 3:05 PM
The Wild Card round has seen over 65% of the games go Under the total since 2010 this round has seen 24 of the 36 games OVER (67%)! The rested team often presses the pace against a team that was in battle the previous week and add in an OT game and I know KC will do just that. The Chiefs are 12-5-1 O/U at home vs non-division. When on the road Deshaun Watson led his to teams to more FD compared to at home while also having a high completion % (68.5 on road) and a better sack%. The teams scored 55 points in this first meeting here which was a 31-24 and that will give Houston’s offense the confidence that they can score that much again.

Spartan
NFL Playoff GOY
Seattle +4

Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Jan 12 2020 3:05PM
306 KAN -2.5(-140) 5Dimes vs 305 HOU double-dime bet

Analysis: 2 team, 7 points teaser

BALT -2.5, with KC -2.5


-140

Fezzik | NFL Total - Saturday, Jan 11 2020 8:15PM
303 TEN / 304 BAL UNDER 47.0 Southpoint double-dime bet

Monday thread not posted. I'll place here on Sun, them please move to Monday. Marc Lawrence CFB Championship Game is 4**** Clemson + 6.

Football Jesus TEXT for sunday OVER total for HOU/CHIEFS

newworldinsiders

TEXAS INSIDER: Texans +10

Midwest NFL Handicapping
SEA +4
HOU +9.5


Teasers
SEA +10/HOU +15.5
TENN +16/OVER 41.5


Over/Under
SF/MINN UNDER 44.5
KC/HOU UNDER 51.5

BIG Al's NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR:

Kansas City/Houston OVER

Cousin Sal

KC

Jay Grace said:

Cousin Sal

KC

Click to expand...

Stop

Anyone have J.R. Stevens NFL Game of the Year? His Divisional GOY won yesterday with the Titans. TIA!

King Creole

5*GOY
Seattle/Green Bay Over 47.5

Sterling
35 GB
30 KC
25 under GB

BEN BURNS | NFL SIDE SUN, 01/12/20 - 6:40 PM
308 GBP -3.5 (-110) Sportsbook.ag vs 307 SEA
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on GREEN BAY. I have a lot of respect for Russell Wilson. Pete Carroll, too. However, I expect their season to come to an end on Sunday. The Hawks lost a heartbreaker vs the 49ers two weeks ago, a game that came down to the final play. Last week, they le�ft in all on the field, at Philly. Playing back-to-back road games can be tough. While they were giving it everything they had, the Pack were resting. That extra rest, combined with homefield advantage, will prove the difference here. The Pack were 7-1 at home (5-0 L5) this season and six of those seven wins, including each of the past four, came by more than four points. The Hawks defense came up big last week, holding the Eagles (minus Carson Wentz for most of it) to nine points. They're only 4-8 ATS the past dozen times that they allowed 14 or fewer points in their previous game though. The Pack are 9-4 ATS (12-1 SU) the past 13 times that they were home favorites of seven or less. Expect them to improve on those stats Sunday.

BEN BURNS | NFL TOTAL SUN, 01/12/20 - 3:05 PM
306 KAN / 305 HOU Over 28.0 Sportsbook.ag
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on Houston/KC OVER the total for the first half. When these teams met in October, the O/U line was 54.5. They combined for 55. A closer look shows that a whopping 40 of those points came in the first half. (The previous meeting saw them combine for 76 points but that was in 2017.) I expect both teams to come out swinging once again this weekend. While the Texans got off a slow start last week, that was against a very stingy Bills' defense. I won with the 'under' in that one. The Texans know they can't afford to dig themselves another big hole like that here. Facing a considerably less dominant defense, I expect them to put up a lot more first half points. Of course, the Chiefs will be doing the same. The Chiefs average more than 28 ppg, including an average of 16.7 points in the first half. While the Texans averaged only 9.6 points in the first half, that number climbs to 11.6 on the road. Look for a quick start, the first half score finishing above the number.
NOTE: This is a FIRST HA�LF PLAY on the OVER 24 -120.

BEN BURNS | NHL MONEY LINE SUN, 01/12/20 - 4:08 PM
54 MIN (-159) Sportsbook.ag vs 53 VAN
double-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. While the Wild are well-rested, the Canucks are playing their second game in two days and their third in the past four. Off b2b losses, the Wild are going to be hungry. They've taken b2b meetings and three of the last four (all last season) against Vancouver. The last meeting here, the Wild were laying -250 and they won 6-2. Needless to say, we're getting a far more reasonable price here. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect the Wild to bounce back and improve to 6-2 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game.

BEN BURNS | NBA SIDES SUN, 01/12/20 - 6:05 PM
547 ATL 7.5 (-110) Sportsbook.ag vs 548 Brooklyn
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on ATLANTA. Off three straight losses and playing with "double-revenge," I expect the Hawks to be a highly motivated team today. Note that they lost by 10 last time but that all five of their previous games (2 W, 3 L) were decided by single-digits. Also, note that they're 4-1 ATS the past five times that they were off an upset loss, by double-digits, in a game where they were favored. The Nets are only 7-12 ATS as favroites overall, 4-8 ATS as home favorites. They're also only 2-8 ATS after scoring 115 or more in their previous game. Grab the points.

PPP

4% Kansas City -9 1/2
3% Seattle +4 1/2

[FONT=&quot]Spartan[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF YEAR! [/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Seattle +4[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Wunderdog

KC Under 51.5[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot][/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]

Another one on the over here:

[FONT=&quot]Al McMordie[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]ONE AND ONLY NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR [/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Chiefs Over[/FONT]