thursday at the track of the lakes and flowers

chalk city yesterday at hollywood. let's try to open up some healthier payoffs today.

r1: miss thirtyfour D. two sprint preps and the stretchout for paddy gallagher. this son of bertrando acts like a horse that wants to route as he just gets outpaced when sprinting. valdivia gets the rail and should have this guy forwardly placed throughout. if by magic is the deserving favorite, but she's had 7 chances already and if she wins, you're staring at 3.60, 2.60, 2.10.

r4: haleakala sunrise. maiden special fillies sprint 5fs here and this one is wide open. o'neill's debutante, case considered has been training forwardly and is must use in the exotics. however, i'm going to side with this second time starter from richard matlow's barn. the duahgter of gold fever didn't break very well in her last and put in a solid run at the 4.5f distance, where it's virtually impossible to make up ground in these maiden races. matlow's stats with second time starters is great and flores is the second best gate rider on the circuit, behind pval. looking for a much, much cleaner break and a gate to wire score.

r5: i'm desperately trying to find a way to beat favorite, summer service, who should be favored but will be a massive underlay. westward star is the most logical horse as he finished a close second to 'service after a bad break. irony is the one that intrigues the most as he has run fast at turf paradise and has fairly decent turf breeding for the very capable krulijac barn- and those turf paradise shippers rarely take any action. haven't decided yet, but leaning to w'star and irony.

r6: dr. slew. this is a total scramble as the cellar dweller claimers try to make it around the track without breaking down. the over/under on front bandages in this race is 12.5. he's a free spirit is the one to beat but he's clearly going the wrong way- so unless mitchell puts him on the juice, i wouldn't be surprised to see him run poorly here. the doctor isn't big on winning, but he should appreciate the elongated sprint distance in his first time out for ed moger. total flyer, but at 15/1 or so, i'll take a stab in wide wide open race.

r8: celtic way. i know, i know hendricks is awful first out, but this is a really empty race. the wygod homebred has been in training quite a while for hendricks, and that's usually a negative sign. however, his last two works have been pretty good and espinoza is great with these young horses. benchmark was known as a router, but he's had a few debut winners so far and he seems to be passing on some speed to his offspring (as well as stamping them with his beautiful chestnut coat). anyway, i wouldn't be surprised if he gets off higher than his 3/1 m/l.

[This message was edited by mazeltrick on June 12, 2003 at 12:35 PM.]

good to see you back Mazelllllllllllll

Mazel
with the bankroll i have now is just enough for a Big Mack , but i am trying to hit me a pick 4 at Hollywwod , I've been trying for a while now but to miss by 1 sometimes couple , Can u please tell me what to play for the pick 4 in each race from the 5th to the 8th

thank you Mazel

cab,

i rarely play the pick-4 unless it's a hedge against a pick 6 i have going. the key to the pick-4 is identifying a single and/or a race where a heavy favorite is vulnerable. with a "big mac" bankroll, you're going to be very hard pressed to hit a pick-4 unless you're extremely lucky. if i were playing today, i'd use summer service, westward star, total advantage and irony in the first leg; dr. slew, hezafreespirit, kinston, g'city and super streak in the second leg, single runaway pro in the 7th, and use girlsintheoffice and celtic way in the 8th. that's $80, a lot more than a big mac, and frankly, a shaky tix with runaway pro singled. you could single celtic way in the last a cut your tix in half to $40. again, i don't play it very often, and when i do, i'm buying fairly substantial combinations.

good luck.

very disappointing in the fourth at hollywood as i know 'sunrise is the better horse, but comes up short again. outridden by tyler baze. what's next- a win by omar berrio?

in the fifth, i'm going to use westward star and tyler- he just beat me in the last, so i'm jumping on.

finally a winner today. had a hunch this one was going to go higher than 3/1 on the morning line. just flashed the inquiry sign. if they take this horse down, i quit.

thanks for the plays tonight mazel


had the triple in the 1st..


how did that race play out , you were right about mike smith killing the favorite (once again).. thanks kidslick

first race saw favorite if by magic fall apart after dueling three wide along the backstretch. she was cooked at the 3/8ths pole. her out of the money finish created huge overlays in the show pools. my horse, missthirtyfourd, ran her guts out on the inside and put a head in front in midstretch. she was outgamed to the wire, but will be tough if she can clear a little earlier without so much pressure. unfortunately, the 8/1 we saw today will likely not be seen again.

and celtic way was the best 40k claim in a while. he's going to be a nice little horse and that 40k will be a bargain.