KC -1 or 1.5 IS A TRAP LINE

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Trap Line

i'll bite....what should it be??
I would have thought it should be 4-4.5. KC just covered a 10 spot against Houston, and then followed by a 7.5 spread against Tenn. I thought the KC 7.5 opening line against Tenn was a trap, how do you give a team that beat Baltimore Ravens on the road and went and beat New England and Tom Brady at foxboro outright. One more thing every time I turn on a sports channel all I hear is about Patrick Mohomes and the KC Chiefs. Just Sayin
 

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I would have thought it should be 4-4.5. KC just covered a 10 spot against Houston, and then followed by a 7.5 spread against Tenn. I thought the KC 7.5 opening line against Tenn was a trap, how do you give a team that beat Baltimore Ravens on the road and went and beat New England and Tom Brady at foxboro outright. One more thing every time I turn on a sports channel all I hear is about Patrick Mohomes and the KC Chiefs. Just Sayin

just sayin but and? its not like they dont talk about the 9ers at all
 

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I would have thought it should be 4-4.5. KC just covered a 10 spot against Houston, and then followed by a 7.5 spread against Tenn. I thought the KC 7.5 opening line against Tenn was a trap, how do you give a team that beat Baltimore Ravens on the road and went and beat New England and Tom Brady at foxboro outright. One more thing every time I turn on a sports channel all I hear is about Patrick Mohomes and the KC Chiefs. Just Sayin

San Francisco won 2 playoff games by 17 points in each. They also have a significant advantage in the run game and on defense. The current line is correct
 

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Valid point KA I look it as this KC- (HC-Reed QB Mahomes) SF (HC Shannahan QB Garrapolo) I think the difference is at least 3-4 pts. KA thats why they call it Gambling!! I thought I was stealing at 1, and I usually don't buy in early. We'll see where the line goes from here. GL KA
 

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Its obvious a lot of you have no clue how lines are made. The number is just fine.
 

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Lines are set to attract 50-50 action. Been all early KC $ and over.
The line does feel short. I was assuming KC -3.
 

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Lines are set to attract 50-50 action. Been all early KC $ and over.
The line does feel short. I was assuming KC -3.

Books take positions all the time. Yes, in a perfect world they would get 50/50 action. They don't.....and there are times where the book would love you to take a side and don't care if that side has more action on it.
 

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Lines are mostly set for efficiency, not 50/50 action.

Having such a QB discrepancy (MVP/future legend vs largely unproven) on the biggest public game of the year is 1 of the main ways that a line could move based on public action though.

So maybe you see SF up to +120 to +130 by gametime in some spots. Thoughts Biz?
 

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Valid point KA I look it as this KC- (HC-Reed QB Mahomes) SF (HC Shannahan QB Garrapolo) I think the difference is at least 3-4 pts. KA thats why they call it Gambling!! I thought I was stealing at 1, and I usually don't buy in early. We'll see where the line goes from here. GL KA

I figured a PK would be about right and then line moves based on the money flow. The Super Bowl obviously draws a ton of money and the books definately want even money in this game more than normal.
 

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Books take positions all the time. Yes, in a perfect world they would get 50/50 action. They don't.....and there are times where the book would love you to take a side and don't care if that side has more action on it.

As I said not in a game with this much money involved, but normally your correct
 

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