Superbowl 54

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looks like another sea/ne bowl where the line will change who's the favorite and who's the dog right up until gameday...this will be important.
it's been an incredible playoffs that could end with the best up and back bowl in history...

SF at KC(1) 54.5...

first to get the #'s out of the way...
30pt system...this years rating #'s that predict the sb winner.
**since 04 the team with the lower # has went 11-4 su in last 15 sb's along with 11-3 ats in last 14 since 05...
san Francisco +19
Kansas city +6
**since 2001 when the team with the lower # is in the underdog role they're 8-1 ats and 7-2 su.
**since 2002 the dog is 13-5 ats in the game
**all sb favs of 5pts or less are 3-10 su + ats in the bowl if there's a bye week between the ccg and the bowl
**since 2004 the team with the better regular season record in the game is 1-12 ats in last 13 where it applies and 2-9 su in last 11 sb's since 2006
san Francisco 13-3
Kansas city 12-4

**since 1998 teams who scored less points and allowed more points in their cc game are 7-2 ats…
sf won 37-20
kc won 35-24

**since 1986 there has been 6 qb's to throw 8+ td's and 0 interceptions in the playoffs, all 6 won the bowl su, ats and were named sb mvp…
86 simms (nyg) 8tds 0 int...………….won sb 21 39-20 (-8.5pts) o/u 40
89 montana (sf) 11tds 0 int...……...won sb 24 55-10 (-12.5) o/u 48
92 aikman (dal) 8tds 0 int...………...won sb 27 52-17 (-6.5) o/u 44.5
94 young (sf) 9tds 0 int...……………..won sb 29 49-26 (-18) o/u 53.5
09 brees (no) 8tds 0 int...……………..won sb 44 31-17 (+4.5) o/u 56.5
12 flacco (bal) 8tds 0 int...…………...won sb 47 34-31 (+4.5) o/u 48
19 mahommes (kc) 8 tds 0 int...…

6-0 su + ats, 5-1 over and ave score of 43-20...ave total 63pts.

the one remaining curse is the league mvp award...
**sb qb's who receive the league mvp are 0-9-2 ats in sb s 96 and 0-8 su in the game since 2001.
still could be given to mahommes, gotta wait and see.

back later....

GAME.
 

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**since 1998 teams who scored less points and allowed more points in their cc game are 7-2 ats…
sf won 37-20
kc won 35-24

this should be 1988.....typo.

GAME.
 

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Handicapper
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Just to add to your quote above...

Since 2004 the team with the worse regular season record and is the favorite in the Super Bowl is 4-0 ats and 4-0 su.
 

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One of my good fishing buddies has picked 7 of the last 9 SBs.

He likes Kansas City. I like San Francisco so we just bet a nickel on it.

Defense wins this game!
 

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I think he means 49ers D will matter more than KC's O, not actual pick 6's.
 

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looks like another sea/ne bowl where the line will change who's the favorite and who's the dog right up until gameday...this will be important.
it's been an incredible playoffs that could end with the best up and back bowl in history...

SF at KC(1) 54.5...

first to get the #'s out of the way...
30pt system...this years rating #'s that predict the sb winner.
**since 04 the team with the lower # has went 11-4 su in last 15 sb's along with 11-3 ats in last 14 since 05...
san Francisco +19
Kansas city +6
**since 2001 when the team with the lower # is in the underdog role they're 8-1 ats and 7-2 su.
**since 2002 the dog is 13-5 ats in the game
**all sb favs of 5pts or less are 3-10 su + ats in the bowl if there's a bye week between the ccg and the bowl
**since 2004 the team with the better regular season record in the game is 1-12 ats in last 13 where it applies and 2-9 su in last 11 sb's since 2006
san Francisco 13-3
Kansas city 12-4

**since 1998 teams who scored less points and allowed more points in their cc game are 7-2 ats…
sf won 37-20
kc won 35-24

**since 1986 there has been 6 qb's to throw 8+ td's and 0 interceptions in the playoffs, all 6 won the bowl su, ats and were named sb mvp…
86 simms (nyg) 8tds 0 int...………….won sb 21 39-20 (-8.5pts) o/u 40
89 montana (sf) 11tds 0 int...……...won sb 24 55-10 (-12.5) o/u 48
92 aikman (dal) 8tds 0 int...………...won sb 27 52-17 (-6.5) o/u 44.5
94 young (sf) 9tds 0 int...……………..won sb 29 49-26 (-18) o/u 53.5
09 brees (no) 8tds 0 int...……………..won sb 44 31-17 (+4.5) o/u 56.5
12 flacco (bal) 8tds 0 int...…………...won sb 47 34-31 (+4.5) o/u 48
19 mahommes (kc) 8 tds 0 int...…

6-0 su + ats, 5-1 over and ave score of 43-20...ave total 63pts.

the one remaining curse is the league mvp award...
**sb qb's who receive the league mvp are 0-9-2 ats in sb s 96 and 0-8 su in the game since 2001.
still could be given to mahommes, gotta wait and see.

back later....

GAME.

Lamar is going to win the MVP.
 

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WOODY....you think the line will change at all by gameday?

-1 to a pick to +1....or you think it will stay pretty much what it is.

GAME.
 

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It will stay the same because Balt beat SF 20-17
And KC beat Balt 33-28
 

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This is setting up just like NE vs Seattle
Very close game till the end
 

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that's my thought, if you look back in my archives for that sb I thought I would nail that score on the head...I had sea winning 31-28, 1st and goal for sea and you know the rest...
 

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Lamar is going to win the MVP.

From your lips.....................I so hope so. Too bad we have to wait till Sat nite.
 

Life's a bitch, then you die!
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that's my thought, if you look back in my archives for that sb I thought I would nail that score on the head...I had sea winning 31-28, 1st and goal for sea and you know the rest...
[FONT=Verdana,Tahoma,Arial,Calibri,Geneva,sans-serif]I remember it like it was yesterday. I was counting my winnings and then poof![/FONT]
 

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