saturday at hollywood

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hope everyone's having a great holiday weekend. some fantastic racing today (looks like cerveza is on fire again at calder, which is nice to see). i will be playing the big pick 6 at hollywood today, but here's some spot plays.

r3: feb eleven. not thrilled with taking stute/garcia youngsters, but think we'll get some value on this son of stormin' fever as this is a pretty salty group of 2 yo straight maidens. 'eleven has been training well, and should get a good trip from one of the outside slots. there's a ton of speed in here to pounce and run for home. not the most likely winner, just the best gamble on the card.

r7: belleski/lindsay jean entry. really like both in here, particularly belleski as she's stretching out of a very solid sprint return. this is a real scramble, but southern oasis has been give yet another layoff and magic mission seems to hang when the real running begins. polygreen will be the chalk, and will be tough, but there's not much that separates these turf distaffers and belleski, i believe, will be a stakes winner very soon, and hopefully today.

r9: hazen. a friend of mine loved poison ivy last time and she did not disappoint with a nice first over trip on the tiring speed. she beat hazen that day, but i think haen has a big chance to turn the tables today. while there's not a ton of speed signed on, flores should have her placed a big more forwardly than espinoza did last time and perhaps she won't have as much to do inside the 16th pole this afternoon. given the bad last race, i hope to get at least 9/2 on this one.

r10: freedom's key. i bet ivan motley last time and he put in a good run to be second. today, i'm backing the better price and freedom's key, who if stops trying to gawk around and jump shadows, he should be very tough up close to the pace today. this is another loaded race, so price is key and think the price is right with freedom's key.

good luck.
 

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TU - Mr. C has us a stake already in hand today so we in good shape for the late action.
 

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A couple of stabs:

Rc 7 Chercheuse with a hot Harty hook with Southern Oasis & Mazel's entry
Rc 8 Primerica in exactas with Publication and Joey Franco
 

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I'm looking at this 8th race right now and I'm thinking that KELA looks like quite a bargain at 11-1. At first glance he looks overmatched but here's a horse that ran a tough 2nd to Congaree at Del Mar and has a tremendous record at Hollywood Park (5-2-3-0). This horse is in shape as evidenced by those 5f works. Mazel, if you're around I'd love to hear your thoughts before I bet it.
 

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Guess I made a big mistake with Kela. Trying again in race 9 with a longshot, though.

Love that Nakatani thinks enough of KONA BREEZE to jump on. The filly doesn't win much, but her nose is always around the leader at the wire. Not completely enamored, but worth a couple bucks at 15-1 or better.

3 mtp.....ok, not going to get 15-1 ...

how about a late double? 5,9 with 1,2,3,8

[This message was edited by Cerveza on July 05, 2003 at 07:58 PM.]
 

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cerveza,

just got back to the computer. i thought kela and primerica both had decent chances, but it looks like they're not quite g2 quality at this point. as for kona breeze, worth a flyer, but i'm backing hazen at 4/1.
 

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