Delta Downs 02-15-2020

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DED 02-15-2020

Posted before scratches.


race #1 - 7f
... wide open
#4 10-1 RUNNING ROSADO
#8 10-1 ROMAN JEWELS
#5 7-2 SOMEKINDAWICKED
#6 4-1 TWN TAWFEERS PARTY

race #2 - 5f
#7 2-1 FLASH HANDS - drops
#4 8-1 RUNNING UNBRIDLED
#3 4-1 BUY ME THE RING
#1 6-1 QUEEN BINDALA

race #3 - 6.5f
#6 8-1 SPECIAL BINGO
#1 7-5 CAPROCK - logical
#4 20-1 HEZA FORTUNE - exotic booster

race #4 - 8f
#3 15-1 LIL KYLIE - speed try
#10 8-1 SELENE'S ARGUMENT - fiddler
#1 7-2 WEAVEMEAWINR
#4 6-1 AGIRLNAMEDSYD

race #5 - 5f
#2 6-1 NURSE LIST
#8 5-2 THIRSTYAMERICANGAL
#5 8-1 AMANDASCHIME
#4 10-1 WAR BANDIT

race #6 - 5f
#10 5-1 ICE CRUSH
#6 5-1 LENAPE DRIVE
#2 4-1 FRIEND OF DUBAI

race #7 - 8f
... wide open if fav falters
#4 20-1 OPPORTUNITY COST - weak fiddler
#8 12-1 TRIP CANDY
#1 2-1 FREDDIESLILWILDCAT - his race to lose
#9 5-1 LIAM SKYE

race #8 - 8f
#7 9-5 BUXTERHOOTER
#5 9-2 KING OF THE TESTO
#1 7-2 WICKETS WAY

race #9 - 6.5f
#2 9-2 TAP CITY BABY
#9 10-1 KELLEY'S DREAM
#6 3-1 ASDRUBAL


FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
"fiddler" - don't expect top effort if low price
My wagers are exacta keybox top pick, plus straight win bet on top pick.
Good luck to all!
 

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prof busy today how have u been
hope a good day for u


anyway gl


notes tonight ( in terms of what u will get price wise )


race 1 ---- 8--- there is always one a night that u can count on
has all 3 curves but also has arrows so has to be in top three here no 10-1 maybe 4-1 maybe 3-1


race 2---4--- maybe 20 percent reduction no curves though


race 4-- 10--- might not be as big a fiddler as u think --- no curves but has sim #46 which is possible he goes 5-1
but no sure thing to go there


race 5---4--- also has sim #46 so its possible he drops some but not 100 percent


race 6-- i was excited to see ur number one pick has nothing going his way so i was going to tell u
congrats you will get all that price and more . until one big sim came in so now im not sure
but still leaning towards the price holding


race 7--- here it gets interesting -- your first pick has no sims and no linears and no arrows so
don't think he is a fiddler at all. but as i said before
multiple times sometimes when u and des pick horses in the top spot they somehow take unwanted money at times
but from my end u will get a good price


ur 8 in the same race is susceptible to a drop in price as he has mixed simulations
 

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You guys bet too much on the 4 in the 7th ..... loading in the gate he is 9-1 .... he should've been 40-1 easy
 

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They didn't even try ....snatched him right up at the start when he is a speed horse in a race lacking pace. Might as well have just jogged back to the barn.
 

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