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Thread: Advice From Hancicappers

  1. #1 Advice From Hancicappers 
    RX Wizard
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    Here's some advice from a number of handicappers across the country. Take it or
    leave it...…...

    *Bet with your head and not over it.
    *Always stay within your means...no exceptions!
    *If it looks to good to be true, it probably is!
    *When playing teasers, always add points to the underdog.
    *Trust your gut...the first instinct is usually the best.
    *Keep it simple...and remember you can't cap turnovers.
    **Wager the Same Amount on every game you play.
    *Always shop for the very best price on every game.
    *Never bet more than your bankroll will allow.
    *Lady Luck will always reward the hardest working handicappers.
    *Take days off.
    *Maintain an even keel and don't let the losses get to you.
    *Three things can happen when you bet on the dog and two of them are good.
    *Focus your efforts on one or two conferences so to develop a real feel for the teams.
    *Read local newspapers every day.
    *Formulate a Game Plan and make adjustments accordingly.
    *Stay unemotional...especially with your favorite team.
    *Never bet more than 2% of your bankroll on a single game.
    *Don't invest or trust bad teams...no matter how good they look!
    *Avoid public underdogs. When the points look too good to be true, they usually are.
    *Be willing to Pass if the opportunity is not there and the price is not right.
    *Patience...if you don't have it, you will lose.
    *Bet on winning teams and underdogs and against losing teams as favorites.
    *Wagering on sports is a marathon...not a sprint.
    **Money Management...Money Management...Money Management.
    *The Public is wrong most of the time. Don't be afraid to bet against them.
    ***Avoid the 10 Star, Game of the Year, etc. BULLSHIT. It's a trap!

    For what it's worth...…………………………………….
    We have so many players on the disabled list the team's bus can use
    handicapped parking. (Unnamed coach on COVID-19)
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  2. #2  
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    Dont love the always add to dogs on teasers?? My large bets are on home teams from 7 to 8ha teasing them down to under a fg....
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  3. #3  
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    Quote Originally Posted by jc hooker View Post
    Dont love the always add to dogs on teasers?? My large bets are on home teams from 7 to 8ha teasing them down to under a fg....
    Hook, I don't play teasers so not sure why the capper made that claim. Being honest, I don't know a dang thing
    about the ins and outs of teaser betting. Just plain old sides and totals for me.
    We have so many players on the disabled list the team's bus can use
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  4. #4  
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    Teasers have their place but often missed used or over used. When a 6pt teaser meets the criteria of the Wong method I'm more apt to use them. (I'll only play 6pt teases) The Wong method basically is a tease that crosses the 3pt and 7pt line as 3 and 7 point margins have a high percentage of probability. Also I'll occasionally play 2-team 6pt teaser parlays at 1-1 odds.

    To break even using 6pt teasers you need to win 72.3% of the time.

    Games with a low over/under are the best to play.....tighter games.

    The "Always bet the same amount" a bit too rigid for me. 1-unit, 2-unit, and 3-unit plays work too. During the bowl season my only 3-unit play was Alabama-7, all other bowls were 1-unit plays. Had a losing bowl record yet profited +1 unit because I knew my Wolverines.
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  5. #5  
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasKnows View Post
    Teasers have their place but often missed used or over used. When a 6pt teaser meets the criteria of the Wong method I'm more apt to use them. (I'll only play 6pt teases) The Wong method basically is a tease that crosses the 3pt and 7pt line as 3 and 7 point margins have a high percentage of probability. Also I'll occasionally play 2-team 6pt teaser parlays at 1-1 odds.

    To break even using 6pt teasers you need to win 72.3% of the time.

    Games with a low over/under are the best to play.....tighter games.

    The "Always bet the same amount" a bit too rigid for me. 1-unit, 2-unit, and 3-unit plays work too. During the bowl season my only 3-unit play was Alabama-7, all other bowls were 1-unit plays. Had a losing bowl record yet profited +1 unit because I knew my Wolverines.
    Never been a fan of any kind of teasers when it deals with college football. I always felt that NFL would have more success (without any research here). I'm also a fan of ML parlays on college football of 4 or more teams to bring the price to -110 ish and probably go 50/50
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  6. #6  
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    Good info Mr. V. Other than sides and totals bets, I will play a 2-team Reverse Parlay on occasion.
    Sometimes it's referred to as Double Action. Here in Alabama, we just call it a Turn Bet.

    It's like a two-team parlay with greater risks and more profit.

    Wager $100....One Win-One Loss (lose $120)…..Both Teams Lose (lose 220)….One Win-Push (Win $200)
    Both Teams Win (WIN $400)

    Has been awful good to me over the years.
    We have so many players on the disabled list the team's bus can use
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  7. #7  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Knightrofins View Post
    Never been a fan of any kind of teasers when it deals with college football. I always felt that NFL would have more success (without any research here). I'm also a fan of ML parlays on college football of 4 or more teams to bring the price to -110 ish and probably go 50/50
    Find I do less teasers in CFB than in past years. The key is expected low scoring games. Used to be teams like Stanford, Mich. St, Iowa, and even Wisc. were good teams to tease when the defenses ruled. Things have changed today, just look at last years top 5 teams in points per play. Oh look, 1-Bama, 2-LSU, 3-Ohio St, 4-Clemson, 5-Okla. Offense rules CFB today, harder to find low scoring affairs. Everybody moving to scoring more points.

    Curious, wonder how the yearly trend is for the average CFB over/under. Has to have gone up.
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  8. #8  
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasKnows View Post
    Find I do less teasers in CFB than in past years. The key is expected low scoring games. Used to be teams like Stanford, Mich. St, Iowa, and even Wisc. were good teams to tease when the defenses ruled. Things have changed today, just look at last years top 5 teams in points per play. Oh look, 1-Bama, 2-LSU, 3-Ohio St, 4-Clemson, 5-Okla. Offense rules CFB today, harder to find low scoring affairs. Everybody moving to scoring more points.

    Curious, wonder how the yearly trend is for the average CFB over/under. Has to have gone up.
    I have been pretty good betting unders the past 2 or 3 seasons. However i maybe bet 5-10 unders a year (documented on the RX). i am not sure of what my record was i would think have hit 75% on those unders (keep in mind by record is probably 12-4 or something like on unders so nothing crazy)
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  9. #9  
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    a for instance i would take NE 8ha and KC 8 both at home and tease them to both needing to win by a fg to cover.... Dont do em in college very often at all tho
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  10. #10  
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    *Focus your efforts on one or two conferences so to develop a real feel for the teams.

    This is one rule I believe in and the BIG10 is my #1 conference since I grew up in BIG10 country and live there today. Am more apt to play an Under than an Over my records reveal. My reasoning has been the BIG not known for offensive powerhouses (Ohio St excluded) and defenses have ruled in the past. Throw in nasty October and November weather and the Unders look the best, or appear to be what I'm looking for.
    Now I'm rethinking this. On another forum we had a capper go 13-0 with weekly 3-unit plays, year before same guy was like 14-2 or something like that. I noticed 10 of his 2019 wins were Overs. Hmmm. I need to study his picks some more.

    Broke down the BIG10 Over/Unders for 2019. There were 87 Unders, 90 Overs, and two pushes.
    Underacheiving Michigan St and Northwestern stood out. Throw in Iowa too. Northwestern had an average O/U of 44.4 pts, lowest in BIG10, and had 7 Unders to 5 Overs. Michigan St had an average O/U of 44.5 pts, and went 8 unders, 5 Overs. Both these two teams were 3-9 ATS regular season with MSU covering the ATS in their bowl game.
    Iowa had 8 Unders, 4 Overs, and a Push. Their avg O/U was 45.7 pts.
    Looking at Overs, Minniesota had 9 Overs, 4 Unders, as did Michigan.


    --So, looking at the top three lowest avg O/U points you have Northwestern at 44.4, Mich. St at 44.5, and Iowa at 45.7 points. These three combined had 23 Unders, 14 Overs, and 1 push.

    --The top three highest season avg O/U points went to Maryland at 59.3, Ohio St 57.5, and Nebraska at 56.3 points. They went a combined 19 Unders, 18 Overs, and 1 push.

    Looks like Unders were easier to find in the BIG10 in 2019 by following the underachievers with decent defenses.
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