Wednesday Service Play Thread 05/06/2020

BuzzKill · May 3, 2020

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GDaddy46 · May 5, 2020

ESL Road to Rio: ORDER +1.5 v Renegades @ 2.176/+118 (3 Units)
ESL Road to Rio: ORDER ML v Renegades @ 5.60/+460 (0.5 Unit)
-Don't understand this line one bit. Sure Renegades is the second best Aussie team behind 100 Thieves but how much weight does that really hold? ORDER still has the likes of Rickeh, USTILO, and aliStair on their roster all of who are top AU talent. Throw in a couple young hungry players like Valiance and J1rah and I don't understand one bit why this line is set this way. I think this should be WAY down in the realm of ORDER +200 ML

ESL Road to Rio: Vitality -1.5 v ENCE @ 2.70/+170 (3 Units)
-Playing bigger than usual for odds like this but I LOVE the upside this play has. Yes, Vitality have looked shaky at times but the way the map pool plays out for these two teams sets up such a good opportunity for Vitality to 2-0 this series. The absolute crutch for ENCE since losing Aleksib has been one map: Train. Conveniently, that's the one map that Vitality ban no matter the opponent. Factor in ENCE permabanning a weaker-ish map for Vitality in Vertigo and we have 5 remaining maps with Mirage/Inferno/Nuke/Overpass/Dust2. All of which I favor Vitality on pretty heavily. Also a very favorable matchup in the AWPing department with ZywOo facing up against allu. Shox has been playing very well and misutaaa is starting to fit into this lineup... Vitality 2-0 this FAR more often than the odds imply (37%)

LootLeague: Nordavind ML v GODSENT @ 2.27/+127 (2.5 Units)
-Another mismatch in terms of motivation to me. You have one team who is starting to find a groove and gel together with Nordavind going up against another team that can't seem to close out any match and has a clear lack of cohesion in the late round calls with GODSENT. Couple that with the fact that GODSENT are now falling in the Road to Rio standings and have a HUGE match on Friday against mousesports, I doubt their heads will be fully in this one. No respectable team at this level blatantly throws but there's no disputing they're going to have a lack of motivation for this match compared to their do or die game on Friday versus a far more intimidating opponent. Wouldn't be surprised if they penetrate off this game and go start to prep for Mouz right after it.

BLAST Rising: Apeks ML v Japaleno @ 1.888/-113 (2 Units)
-Those who've been around for months know how shit this Japaleno team is. Decent names on the roster but have forever just ran around the map and hoped for the best it seems. Maybe that'll change, but I'll bet against it not having changed too much. Apeks have been playing match after match after match and getting a ton of reps in with one another and got dennis standing in for them with adds a ton of veteran leadership if things start to go wrong.

Wednesday Service Play Thread 05/06/2020

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BuzzKill

Let's go Brandon!

GDaddy46

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