Saturday Service Play Thread 06/13/2020

Buzz Kill said:

Kyle Marley

UFC

He won the first-ever "ToutMaster" UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and also appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and DFS shows. Over the past 15 months, $100 bettors who have followed Marley's picks are up more than $20,000!

Marley has hit a WHOPPING nine consecutive UFC main-event picks, a streak that includes five straight upsets! Last week at UFC 250, Marley called a dominant performance for featherweight champ Amanda Nunes (-600) against Felicia Spencer (+475) in the main event. He also predicted a win for Cody Garbrandt (-145) against Raphael Assuncao (+125) in the bantamweight co-main event. Anyone who has consistently followed Marley is WAY UP.


Jessica Eye (-110) vs. Cynthia Calvillo (-110): Calvillo via decision

Neither of these fighters have gone five rounds before so this will be the first for both of them, but I doubt cardio comes into play. I think Eye is the better boxer and I'd give Calvillo the wrestling-grappling edge. I think Calvillo can hang on the feet because of her pace and aggressiveness, but I think she should look for takedowns. If she can get them, she could lock up a submission or just use them to steal close rounds. But I give the slight edge to Calvillo in this fight for that reason.

Marvin Vettori (-200) vs. Karl Roberson (+175): Vettori via decision

I think Vettori is the more well-rounded fighter and probably has a slight edge on the feet and the mat. I think Roberson might have more power and he is a solid striker and decent wrestler himself. The line looks about right and I think Vettori wins this fight more times than he loses it.

Merab Dvalishvili (-370) vs. Ray Borg (+305): Dvalishvili via decision

Dvalishvili is the much higher-paced fighter and the better wrestler, so I don't see Borg having success with takedowns. Borg showed decent hands his last fight, but he doesn't throw them enough to make me think he has any shot on the feet. Borg needs a back take, a guillotine or a reversal to work his way to a submission. Seems like a tall order, so the edge goes to Dvalishvili.

Andre Fili (-220) vs. Charles Jourdain (+190): Fili via decision

I think Fili has the more technical striking with better footwork, and he has the grappling edge as well. Jourdain probably has more power, so he can definitely keep this close on the feet and possibly get a knockout. Fili should be favored because of his grappling but, if I knew this would stay standing, I would have to take a shot on Jourdain at this line. Still, Fili is the pick.

Jordan Espinosa (-155) vs. Mark de La Rosa (+135): Espinosa via decision

This is probably a loser-leaves-town matchup. I give the striking and wrestling edge to Espinosa, but I give the grappling edge to De La Rosa. I think Espinosa should look to keep this standing and, if he can do that, he wins a clear decision. I think De La Rosa is live if this fight hits the mat and I thought about picking him by submission. I just have a hard time seeing him get the fight to the mat and I am not a believer in his striking at all.

Kevin Aguilar (-155) vs. Charles Rosa (+135): Aguilar via decision

Rosa is coming off a devastating loss just a month ago, so I am not sure what that does to his confidence. He is the better grappler, so I am sure he is looking to get that bad taste out of his mouth with this quick turnaround. I like Aguilar on the feet and I think he has the takedown defense to keep this standing the majority of the fight. I don't know that I am as confident in Aguilar as the line suggests, but I give him the slight edge.

Julia Avila (-500) vs. Gina Mazany (+400): Avila via TKO

Mazany is going to need to get this fight to the mat to have any chance, and I think she would need to win two rounds with wrestling because I don't see her getting a submission. I think Avila is way better on the feet and that is where I think most of this fight will take place. If Avila doesn't get the finish, then she probably gets a clear striking win as long as she stays off her back.

Ryan Benoit (-115) vs. Tyson Nam (-105): Nam via decision

This should be a slower-paced striking match. Both guys throw with power so either could get a knockout, but they are only 125 pounders, so I think we probably see a striking battle for 15 minutes. Neither guy lands strikes at a high rate, so it's hard to have any real lean here and I think this is a 50-50 fight. I think Nam is the more well-rounded striker, but Benoit is younger and faster. I will take Nam as my pick because he is the more experienced guy.

Jordan Griffin (-180) vs. Darrick Minner (+160): Griffin via submission

This is a rematch from two years ago when they fought outside of the UFC. In that fight, Minner was winning early and then he was finished toward the end of the second round. That is how a lot of his fights tend to go. He comes out of the gates hot and sometimes he finishes, but if he doesn't, he ends up getting finished himself. I think there is a good chance this fight goes the same way. I see him winning round 1 and maybe he finishes there as well, but I think he is live for about half of the fight. If it goes past that point, then Griffin probably gets a finish of his own. I think Griffin wins this fight more than he loses, so I will take him as my pick.

Anthony Ivy (-190) vs. Christian Aguilera (+170): Aguilera via TKO

Aguilera is kind of a kill-or-be-killed fighter. He comes out looking for the knockout early and, if he doesn't get it, he usually slows down as the fight goes along. I think he is the better striker, so I am going to lean with him as my pick.

Ryan Benoit (-115) vs. Tyson Nam (-105): Nam via decision

Zarrukh Adashev replaced Ryan Benoit and is fighting Tyson Nam

Merab Dvalishvili (-370) vs. Ray Borg (+305): Dvalishvili via decision

Ray Borg is out ... Dvalishvili fighting Gustavo Lopez

Jordan Griffin (-180) vs. Darrick Minner (+160): Griffin via submission

Darrick Minner is out ... Fight vs. Jordan Griffin is cancelled

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