Monday Service Play Thread 07/06/2020

BuzzKill · Jul 5, 2020

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BuzzKill · Jul 5, 2020

Newsletter - http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=307&p=13175125&viewfull=1#post13175125

bmd1803 · Jul 6, 2020

Paul Leiner

Horse Pick and Soccer 7/6

Mon Jul 06, 2020 (Paul didn't get the memo on Lone Star)
Nice one yesterday. Today I have another soccer play and a horse pick from Lone Star. Goodluck.

100* Real Sociedad +110

Lone Star Race 4
#3 LeRoy $10 wps
$2 exacta box 3-1-5

bmd1803 · Jul 6, 2020

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Grants Pass

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5900 Class Rating: 66

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JULY 6, 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 BRIANA JEAN 2/1

# 6 PORTRAY UR VISION 7/2

# 7 CLEM JUICE 6/1

I have to consider BRIANA JEAN here. She ought to be considered given the very good speed figs. Has ran strongly in dirt sprint races. Could best this field based on the speed figure - 55 - of her last contest. PORTRAY UR VISION - Should best this group here, showing respectable figures of late. Could wake up with Lasix change (with second time Lasix) today. CLEM JUICE - Has a sharp record at the distance and surface, which makes me have to support this mare. Guidos makes a blinkers change (going on today), looking for positive results.

bmd1803 · Jul 6, 2020

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Delaware Park - Race #7 - Post: 4:15pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 82

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#11 DRIVEN BY THUNDER (ML=8/1)
#7 BELTWAY BOB (ML=12/1)
#8 ROCK SOLID GOLFER (ML=6/1)

DRIVEN BY THUNDER - If you review the PP's for this horse, you'll see he has recorded the top speed figure at the distance and surface. A repeat race right here and this horse has a superb chance to win. (EPS) earnings per start is something that I feel can be a very key handicapping aspect. This thoroughbred is ranked number one in this group. This horse has the class to win the race. A tactical ride by Medina, and this one could bound home the winner. BELTWAY BOB - The Jun 12th race at Laurel was at a class level of (93). Dropping down the ladder based on class rating points drastically, so he should be in a good spot to win. ROCK SOLID GOLFER - Trainer Luqueno moves this one down the ladder based on class rating points to face a lower class field. Look for a sharp effort at this level. Coming off a fourth place finish at Delaware Park, some may skip this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has pretty decent odds today. Had a powerful closing move in the last race, running the last quarter in less than 25 seconds. A similar race today, and it's straight to the winner's circle.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 NILEATOR (ML=3/1), #10 DASHING LOU (ML=7/2), #4 FINE SPIRIT (ML=9/2),

NILEATOR - You always think this horse has a shot to be victorious, but he just misses regularly. DASHING LOU - The finish position of seventh in the last event shows me that this horse may be tailing off. FINE SPIRIT - Registered a quite unimpressive speed fig last time out in a $16,000 Claiming race on May 15th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that rating.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#11 DRIVEN BY THUNDER is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
11 with [7,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [7,8,11] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[7,8,11] with [7,8,11] with [4,7,8,10,11] with [4,7,8,10,11] Total Cost: $36

bmd1803 · Jul 6, 2020

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Meadows Tulsa

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5500 Class Rating: 66

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 FOREIGN CREATION 8/5

# 3 BLING SPRINGSTEEN 9/5

# 4 TOCDIRTYTOME 6/1

I like FOREIGN CREATION here. Displays the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 63 speed rating which is one of the best in this field. Ought to be considered - I like the figures from the last competition. A solid 77 avg class figure may give this filly a distinct class edge against this field. BLING SPRINGSTEEN - Steinberg will probably be able to get this filly to break out early here. Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt route contests in this bunch. TOCDIRTYTOME - Has been running admirably and has among the most competitive speed in the race for today's distance. Put up a strong speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race.

bmd1803 · Jul 6, 2020

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Louisiana Downs - Race #4 - Post: 4:28pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $8,500 Class Rating: 76

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1A COWBOYS DREAM (ML=4/1)
#4 VALIANT DEFENDER (ML=5/2)

COWBOYS DREAM - This entrant obviously likes the conditions for today's race. Has garnered the highest Equibase speed figure on the grass at the dist-surf. Gilligan and Broberg perform well when they partner up. Hard to beat a win percentage of 32. Average Equibase class figure is tops in this field. I think that is a big edge for a turf race. VALIANT DEFENDER - The 73 last race speed figure looks mighty good on paper. A thoroughbred coming back this soon after a strong effort is a good sign. This horse is for real on the turf. TrackMaster turf figure in last race at Louisiana Downs was tops in this field. Recent speed figures show powerful pattern of improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 FREDONIAN (ML=7/2), #1 C H MY LAST DOLLAR (ML=4/1), #7 GRAND ATLANTIC (ML=5/1),

FREDONIAN - 79/76/60, are the declining speed figures for this less than sharp equine. I'd like to see more hospitable recent efforts with M/L odds of 7/2. C H MY LAST DOLLAR - On a downward series. Equibase speed figures keep deteriorating. GRAND ATLANTIC - He's almost certainly going to get roasted up front. He only beat a maiden claiming field in the last event. Have to pass on this thoroughbred versus winners for now. He had to show me more against that weaker field in the last race on June 6th to get my support today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #1 Entry on the win end if we get at least 3/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

Monday Service Play Thread 07/06/2020

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Let's go Brandon!

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Let's go Brandon!

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