Friday Service Play Thread 07/10/2020

BuzzKill · Jul 5, 2020

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BuzzKill · Jul 10, 2020

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bmd1803 · Jul 10, 2020

Weekly Bankroll Builder: July 10 Stronach 5 Play

July 8, 2020 | By Brian Nadeau

Back to battle in this week’s all Laurel Park-Gulfstream Park Stronach 5, which once again has a 100k guarantee, and a prospective pool that should far surpass that. To refresh, the Stronach 5 is a Pk5 wager spread across as many as four tracks and up to three surfaces (dirt, Tapeta and turf), inside of 90 minutes, with a $1 minimum and ridiculously low 12% takeout. I’ll be putting together some prospective tickets in this space each week for a wager that is undoubtedly as good as it gets for the bettors.

*** Please take note that this analysis is done upwards of 48 hours in advance, so obviously weather, track conditions and especially late scratches can and will have an effect. Please check back around 4pm Friday for an update***

Leg 1: Laurel Park R6 (3:19 ET) – 3up 16k MCL at 5 ½ furlongs (turf)

The two favorites—#8 PALACE KID (9-5) and #6 BACK CHARGE (2-1)—will be tough in the opening leg, as they are clearly better than their rivals, who are a weak bunch on paper. The former seems better than the latter since he goes to a potent Gonzalez barn, and also has turf sprint experience at GP, so he tops the latter, who woke way up routing here last time, but is an unknown going short.

Pk5 A horses: 8,6 (listed in order of preference)

There are several others who could surprise, so we’ll have to be a bit creative to use them, while keeping the cost of the B ticket down. I’m going to spread, as prices like #2 HAIR OF THE DOG (12-1), #12 DITEN (12-1), #7 B DETERMINED (12-1), and #11 MATSUDA (15-1) all have flashed a bit of ability and are lightly raced, and therefore they could close the gap on the top-2 with an improved run.

Pk5 B horses: 2,12,7,11

*** NOTE that I’ll have to sue the Super A strategy to include the B picks above, so, for the remaining four legs they are:

Leg 2: 10,3
Leg 3: 3,4
Leg 4: 8,12,4
Leg 5: 5,6

Potential B add-ins: NONE

Leg 2: Gulfstream Park R8 (3:30 ET) – 3up 12.5k N3L at 5 furlongs (turf)

Another race where you have to use the favorites, as both #3 JOYFUL HEART (2-1) and #10 DOCTOR DUB (5-2) hit hard, but I don’t think either has to win, as the former just bombed, drops, and hasn’t turf sprinted since December, while the latter makes his first start away from Navarro, and who knows how he runs off the February break, and note a 24% Creque barn is a more modest 14% with newcomers. I’m going to try a bomb in #6 INDY RIDE (15-1), who was facing tons better the last time he ran on the turf, and a repeat win would put him in the mix here.

Pk5 A horses: 10,3,6

There’s not much past the top-3, and even my top pick is a reach, so I’m content with just using #5 LAWYET DRILL (20-1), who was a solid 5th in his lone turf start for Abreu, and will be a square price, and #7 ENZOEXPRESS (7-2), who has some hit or miss form but will try turf for the first time, so he could wake up.

Pk5 B horses: 5,7

*** NOTE to keep the backup ticket down I’ll be singling #5 in the finale leg. ***

Potential B add-ins: #9 Visions of You (20-1), #2 Another Softball (15-1),

Leg 3: Laurel Park R7 (3:50 ET) – 3up 5k claimer* at 6 ½ furlongs

This could be the price race, so I’ll use four, with #3 BOOBY TRAP (10-1) on top, as he comes from Belmont, gets a big trainer change to Magee (18% with newcomers), and might be trending back up after his last. The one to beat is #4 DIRTYFOOT (3-1), who seems a must-use on the class drop, while #1 VICTORY GIVEN (9-2), just aired against a N2L win, which is never a bad thing on the rise, and #5 DAY (6-1), who drops and cuts back off a comeback 3rd at Del Park.

Pk5 A horses: 3,4,1,5

With Sillaman just 1-for-15 off the claim, I’m only using #2 BIG BOOTS (7-2) underneath, especially since it’s hard to improve off Magee, even though this veteran has solid overall form.

Pk5 B horses: 2

Potential B add-ins: #9 One More Tom (6-1), #7 Father’s Luck (15-1)

Leg 4: Gulfstream Park R9 (4:00 ET) – 3up 12.5k N2L at 5 furlongs (turf)

It’s the proven form against winners of #12 SOUPER SHENANIGAN (5-2), who drops too, against recent sharp MCL winners #8 THE NEXTBIGTHING (9-2) and #4 KOBE FIFTY TWO (7-2), and I’ll simply use them all and call it a day, as they seem better than this meek group, and ‘Thing gets top honors, as he drew best and has tactical speed to lay just off the speed.

Pk5 A horses: 8,12,4

The top-3 look a decided cut above, so I’m fine going it alone, especially when the one who could be potentially used, #6 Reagan’s Heart (6-1), brings a 24-1-6-7 record to the party.

Pk5 B horses: NONE

Potential B add-ins:

Leg 5: Laurel Park R8 (4:21 ET) – 3upfm N1X at 5 ½ furlongs (turf)

The finale is by far the toughest race of the sequence, and a real problem if you’re on a budget, but there are a few I like that I’m willing to lean on, none more so than #5 CHINA SILK (6-1), who her comeback out of the way against tougher at Belmont, and wins this if she can run back to her preceding nose 2nd at Aqueduct in November. I’ll also use another second-off the layoff miss in #6 MIDSHIP LADY (4-1), who we know needed her comeback, as Schoenthal is 0-for-16 off a 180+-day layoff, so she’s supposed to move forward in a big way here.

Pk5 A horses: 5,6

I could go any number of different ways here, but I like a trio of second-off the layoff runners here as well, as both #1 EPIC IDEA (12-1) and #2 LISTEN UP (6-1) both likely needed their last runs but have shown plenty of talent before, and can stalk the pace, while #9 CATERINA ONE (10-1) has plenty of speed and drew the perfect attack post.

Pk5 B horses: 1,2,9

To keep this backup down I need to employ the Super A strategy here as well:

Leg 1: 8,6
Leg 2: 10,3
Leg 3: 3,4
Leg 4: 8,12,4

Potential B add-ins: #4 Glittering Judy (9-2), #8 Market Money (15-1)

The tickets:

Main Ticket: 8,6 with 10,3,6 with 3,4,1,5 with 8,12,4 with 5,6 = $144
Leg 1 B Backup: 2,12,7,11 with 10,3 with 3,4 with 8,12,4 with 5 = $48
Leg 2 B Backup: 8,6 with 5,7 with 3,4,1,5 with 8,12,4 with 5 = $48
Leg 3 B Backup: 8,6 with 10,3,6 with 2 with 8,12,4 with 5,6 = $36
Leg 5 B Backup: 8,6 with 10,3 with 3,4 with 8,12,4 with 1,2,9 = $72

bmd1803 · Jul 10, 2020

TERRY TURRELL LOS ALAMITOS QUARTERS HANDICAP, FRIDA, JULY 10, 2020

FIRST POST IS 7:05 P.M.

FIRST RACE

#5 SKY GLORY invader from Golden Gate via stops at Turf Paradise and Rilito turned in a better then looked effort making first start since March finishing third at this level locally for trainer Jeff Metz, jockey Vinnie Bednar aboard tonight. #10 MOUNTAIN VIEW returns to his last competitive level when finishing second, making third start for trainer Dan Azcarate and reunited with winning jockey Francisco Orduna-Rojas. #8 OUR MANEKI CAT popular at the claim box with changing barns five times this year from eight starts, back in the barn of Jerry Wallace and reunited with winning jockey Jose Dominguez. Longshot - #7 SIERRA ECHO

SECOND RACE

#6 SEEKING PEACE solid runner up effort making first start off the claim for trainer Sergio Morfin and jockey Ramon Guce, speed drawing the outside post in field of six. #2 ROCKIN MY MOJO five wins from thirteen starts last year seldom missing a check and is working well locally and primed for 2020 debut making first start for trainer Salvador Naranjo, jockey Eduard Rojas aboard. #3 YES I’M WILD confidently raised in class off winning effort making second start off the claim for trainer Angela Aquino and jockey Barrington Harvey, cannot be ignored. Longshot - #1 PAPA SPLASH

THIRD RACE

#1 MAGICALCHIC lost momentum in traffic on the far turn recovering to salvage third, claimed making first start for trainer Jesus Uranga, jockey Ramon Guce retains the assignment. #6 LOVELY LINDA freshened since November 2019 and working well locally for trainer Sergio Morfin, served notice with :59.3 drill May 13 proving second best of sixteen, jockey Edgar Payeras aboard. #5 STAR SUNDAE tumbles in class for trainer Jeff Metz and has speed to be factor at this level. Longshot - #2 MADAME MOUSSE

FOURTH RACE

#5 ROYAL SPECIAL MAN on the bench since February 2019 but works indicate gelding is primed for big effort making his first 2020 start, now in the Yanet Rodriguez barn and will have the services of jockey Eddie Garcia, adding the Flipping Halter tonight. #1 NO BULLYING good effort to be fourth in his second career start and will appreciate the drop in class, rail draw concern. #3 CALL HER PROUD missed the break losing all chance as the public choice, win would not surprise for high percent Willoughby/Bednar combo. Longshot - #6 PERRY THE LEGACY

FIFTH RACE

#6 GET UR MOTOR RUNNIN claimed making first start for trainer Angela Aquino, can handle the jump in class for new connections, jockey Oscar Andrade and trainer Angela Aquino have a strong ROI together. #2 VF FIRST PRIZE MAMA fresh off daylight maiden victory for trainer Jesus Mendoza and jockey Erasmo Gasca is spotted competitively facing winners for the first time. #7 LA VITA DOLCE has been gem of consistency this year and unlucky to lose in last at 13-1 odds, will be factor in this spot for trainer Felix Gonzalez and jockey Minor Arana. Longshot - #8 PAPPASLILEAGLE

SIXTH RACE

#8 DYNASTY N BOOGIE overcame a rough start to finish with interest and galloped out with energy at 15-1 odds, wheeled back drawing the outside post in field of eight facing similar for trainer Jaime Gomez and jockey Jesus Ayala. #2 ROSES FOR A PRINCESS drops to claimers for the first time after a rough trip facing tougher, will be adding the Flipping Halter. #5 SHEZA FAMOUS ROYAL trouble in all three career starts for filly in the Jose Flores barn, drops to softer and cannot be ignored with jockey Jairo Rangel aboard for the first time. Longshot - #3 SCATCHMEN

SEVENTH RACE

#6 ARCANA broke poorly losing all chance facing tougher for trainer Terry Knight and jockey Jesus Ayala, drops to claimers for the first time drawing the outside post in field of six. #4 BUBALA well backed in her last two starts and is better than her fifth and third place finishes indicate, drops for a tag for trainer Paul Jones and jockey Jairo Rangel. #5 JUNNIOR BONNER draws between the top two picks off solid racing debut finishing third, beat three-quarters, at 17-1 odds, will be shorter number tonight for trainer Matthew Fales and jockey Vinnie Bednar. Longshot - #3 KOOL INTEREST

EIGHTH RACE

#4 OTHER WORLD trainer Scott Willoughby a winning ROI with maidens making second start and this two-year old gelding will need his very best in this finale, regular jockey Vinnie Bednar aboard. #2 WATCH OVER BELLA ran a winning race in a tough Trial finishing third, beat a neck, for trainer Jose Flores and jockey Oscar Andrade, is the probable public choice and strictly one to beat. #6 HIGH ROCK TELLER failed to fire in his last start but gets chance to make amends tonight drawing the outside post in field of six. Longshot - #1 JET BLEW DASH

Best Chance Bet – ROYAL SPECIAL MAN (4)

Best Bet – ARCANA (7)

bmd1803 · Jul 10, 2020

Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Wagering Strategies - 7/10/20

July 10, 2020

Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Del Mar
Friday, July 10, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Today’s Day Makers: View Video

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RACE 1: POST: 2:00 PT. GRADE: B-
Use: 5-Secret Touch; 6-El Huerfano

Forecast: The Del Mar season begins with a challenging 10-race card that probably should be treated with caution. It’s worth noting that this main track can be biased – the rail is often much deeper than the outside lanes and the contested early speed types often pay the price – but it’s not always that way so the best advice is to play conservatively during the early part of the card and then adjust your handicapping accordingly. In the opener, El Huerfano plummets to his lowest level ever, has excellent prior form over the local main track, and recent numbers that are good enough to beat this field. The veteran gelding clearly has seen better days but if he’s feeling good he’ll be hard to beat. Secret Touch returns from Oaklawn Park and is another big class dropper that must be considered a major player. A two-time winner over the Del Mar main track and with good tactical speed that should have him on or near a moderate pace, the P. Eurton-trained gelding shows a bullet half mile drill

47 flat, fastest of 62) late last month at Santa Anita that should have him on edge. These are the two we’ll be including in our rolling exotics but we certainly won’t be playing aggressively.
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RACE 2: Post 2:35 PT. Grade: B
Use: 3-Rakassah; 4-Road Rager

Forecast: We’ll double the second race, a first-level allowance five furlong turf sprint for fillies and mares. Road Rager is unproven on grass but just earned a career-top speed figure in gamely winning an extended main track sprint in Arcadia and has returned to work extremely well since (See Video). The daughter of Quality Road should find herself on the lead or in a pace-pressing position and have every chance to score right back. She finished third in her only prior outing over this course and distance last year but seems like a better type now, so we’ll give her the slight edge on top. Rakassah didn’t have a whole lot behind her when graduating in late May in a grass dash but is another that has done well in the a.m. since then
(See Video) and with numbers that continue to improve the Irish-bred filly should produce another forward move today. F. Prat will have her doing her best work from the quarter pole home.
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RACE 3: Post 3:05 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 3-Midnight Mystery; 4-Charlito; 5-Rayray

Forecast: The stand here is against the 2-1 morning line favorite Garth, who certainly will get plenty of play based on reputation, if not performance. He’s worked very well, yes, (See Video) but he did last year as well and did nothing but burn money. If he beats us, we’ll live with it. Charlito is progressing with every outing and has the proper style for this extended sprint trip. The son of Fed Biz finished a strong second to hot shot prospect Cezanne in his first try on dirt last month, shows a smart :59 1/5 recent workout over the local main track, and figures to be charging in the final furlong, a style that usually works well at this extended sprint distance. Rayray, a weakening third in the same race Charlito exits, is comfortably drawn outside the other speed types and should stick better today. He probably can’t beat a decent maiden but his numbers are better than par for the level and given his trip he should fire his best shot. Midnight Mystery held his own in a recent workout with Maximum Security (See Video) so the War Front gelding, away for almost a year, might be a better type this time around (he’ll have to be). He’s the “other” Baffert, so we’ll toss him in on a ticket or two as a back-up.
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RACE 4: Post 3:35 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Table for Ten; 7-Tropical Terror

Forecast: Tropical Terror seems logical in this state-bred main track maiden miler, but he’s still looking for his diploma in his eighth career start (with five seconds), so he’s not exactly one to trust. He’ll be running on late and certainly should at least hit the board, but with low profile connections he’s a gelding that can’t really be counted on as a single. Table for Ten, a reasonable third at 48-1 in his debut in the same race Tropical Terror exits, certainly has more room for improvement and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play. The P. D’Amato barn has very strong stats with second-timers, and as a son of Acclamation this Cal-bred gelding seems likely to get better with experience. A recent 3-horse team workout was encouraging (See Video) so we’ll try to survive and advance using just these two, with a slight preference on top to Table for Ten.
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RACE 5: Post 4:05 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 4-Bud Knight; 7-Zorich; 8-Ronamo

Forecast: Churchill Downs shipper Ronamo looks intriguing in this starter’s allowance main track miler that requires a spread in rolling exotic play. Claimed out of a highly-rated maiden $20,000 victory last month in what was his 14th career start, the P. D’Amato-trained gelding lands F. Prat, has worked rather well in company since arriving in California (See Video) and hails from an outfit that always has done well with the first-off-the-claim angle. With numbers that fit, a good stalking style, and confidence-building score, the son of Run Away and Hide might be primed to take home some of that valuable ship-and-win money. Zorich, a solid runner-up in a similar affair in late May at Santa Anita while almost five lengths clear of the rest, is another that has done very well in the morning since raced (See Video) and should fire another good shot. The Hard Spun gelding projects to enjoy an ideal second-flight, stalking trip and have his chance from the quarter pole home. Bud Knight second without an excuse as the favorite vs. similar on grass last month, switches to the main track for the first time and has a pedigree that suggests he should prefer dirt. Though he loses F. Prat, the son of Tizbud still must be considered something of a threat and most certainly will be a much better price than last time. Toss him in somewhere, at least as a saver.
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RACE 6: Post 4:35 PT. Grade: C+
Use: 1-Taming the Tigress; 2-Super Game; 6-Big Andy; 8-Luxury Liner

Forecast: Here’s a spread race for sure, a maiden juvenile five furlong dash for fillies with all kinds of possibilities. Taming the Tigress is a first-timer bred to win early (Smiling Tiger) with top class connections and sports a :47 3/5 gate drill over this main track that on raw time looks fairly decent. She draws the rail, so she’d better break with her field. Super Game has a :46 flat gate drill at Los Alamitos that catches the eye, and while fast works are the norm on that particular dirt oval the daughter of Super Saver has to be able to run some, at least. Luxury Liner is a newcomer trained by S. Miyadi, whose first-timers often run better than they work. We have to use her. Big Andy actually finished first in her debut but was disqualified, and while the race wasn’t particular fast she does have the great benefit of a prior race. Any one of these could win, so in a race we’ll otherwise pass, we’ll include all four in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 7: Post 5:05 PT. Grade: B
Use: 3-Tonahutu; 4-Pulpit Rider

Forecast: This race is loaded with speed, so we’ll hope to get by using two that we know are capable of winning from off the pace. Tonahutu returned to winning form when given the patient ride she requires in a confidence-building score over $32,000 foes in late May and today moves up to the $62,500 level off the claim for D. O’Neill (powerful with this angle). She’s always been genuine and consistent (first or second in nine of 16 career starts), has performed quite well over the local lawn in the past, and looked good in a recent training track breeze (See video) to indicate she’s right on edge. Pulpit Rider exits a series of four stakes races and should find this drop into an optional claimer quite refreshing. Always most effective when held up early and allowed to run late, the M. Puype-trained mare is solid in the speed figure department and was a clever winner over this course and distance last year. We’ll give Tonahutu a very slight edge on top and certainly try her in the win pool at or near her morning line of 8-1.
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RACE 8: Post 5:35 PT. Grade: B+
Single: 4-Sash

Forecast: Quite simply, Sash looks like a logical top pick and rolling exotic single in this extended sprint for entry-level allowance older runners. A distance specialist throughout his career, the son of Oasis Dream turns back to a sprint for the first time and should have the proper style to excel at this seven furlong journey. Second in his last pair in fast, highly-rated routers, the M. Glatt-trained gelding shows the always-dangerous blinkers off angle along with the switch to F. Prat plus a sharp recent half mile drill

47 1/5, fourth fastest of 62) to have him set for a top try. The only negative is that at 8/5 on the morning line he may not offer a whole lot of wagering value.
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RACE 9: Post 6:05 PT. Grade: B+
Use: 2-El Tigre Terrible; 7-Hit the Road

Forecast: El Tigre Terrible certainly has found a home on turf – by all rights he should be unbeaten in two starts on the sod – and today gets a chance to do his thing over a distance of ground for the first time. After winning the Speakeasy Stakes sprinting on grass last fall, the son of Smiling Tiger returned in the Desert Code Stakes last month and wound up second (beaten a half-length) after being hopelessly blocked from the top of the stretch to the wire. Can he be as effective around two turns? Maybe. A good inside draw and the switch to F. Prat will give him his chance, so we’ll put the P. Miller-trained sophomore on top but also include Hit the Road, a winner vs. tough older allowance foes in his 3-year-old bow in late May. The powerful speed figure earned in that race makes this son of More Than Ready strictly the one to beat, and a prior win over the Del Mar turf course (a maiden-breaker as a 2-year-old last year) just adds fuel to the fire. We’re expecting the winner to be one of these two so we’ll include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 10: Post 6:35 PT. Grade: B+
Use: 8-Dark Hedges; 10-Castle Gate

Forecast: Castle Gate has much going for him in this restricted (nw-3) $20,000 claimer and can be used as a strong play both in the win pool and in the rolling exotics. The lightly-raced son of Point of Honor was pitched too high when unplaced in a recent grass sprint but drops for the money run with the return to his preferred surface, and with a comfortable outside draw should be able to secure an ideal pace pressing/stalking trip. A winner over this track and distance last year, the J. Mullins-trained colt is plenty fast on numbers and shows a bullet half mile workout

47 3/5, fastest of 35) last week to have him fit and ready. As back up, you may want to include on a ticket or two Dark Hedges, first off the claim for M. Glatt (strong stats with this angle) and like Castle Gate a perfect one-for-one over the Del Mar dirt strip. We’re expecting the Giant’s Causeway gelding to be forwardly placed throughout and have his chance when the pressure is turned on.

bmd1803 · Jul 10, 2020

Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

July 10, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia

Hawthorne Racecourse has an 11-race card set to go with the 0.50 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 8. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool and will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

1-Crash And Burn (7-1)-It looks like there could be a few horses leaving and this is a spot to get a good seat and hang around. Leonard could look to use one nice brush down the lane and roll by. Should be a fair price and has some speed.
3-Bass Player (3-1)-Drops out of Open company and needs the class relief. Hasn't had any luck in Stickney so far,
0-6 but should be heard from tonight. Is a use versus this crew but is only 6 for 48 the past 2-years and might be over bet.
10-Late Night Joke (9-1)-Post shouldn't hurt too much as long as the pace is quick. Fits with these and can unleash a big rally. Warren will need to be in striking range at the top of the turn and should be a square price.

Race 9

4-J B's Hero (9/2)-JB is 0-10 this year but the entire field has only 5 wins in 2020. Changed tactics last race and was used hard off the gate. Now Leonard is back in the bike, gets a good post draw and best to respect.
5-Holdenwe'rerolling (9/5)-Drops down from $5K claimers for a barn who has heated up and Wilfong sticks. Was rimmed the mile in last from the 9-hole, looks like a player and this trip can't be any worse.

Race 10

2-He'zzz A Wise Sky (3-1)-Good looking 3-year-old faces older but has been consistent and has raced well in every start in June. Should be in the hunt but will likely be bet hard.
5-Bold And Brassy (7/2)-Has been bumping heads versus better at HoP and now drops to a softer spot but is 0-4 at Haw. 7-time winner in 2019 is only 1-12 this year but should be forwardly placed and may get back on-track tonight.
9-Allmyx'sliventexas (30-1)-Makes 3rd local start, using and shouldn't be close to 30-1. Lackey can put the 7-year-old in play and might be sitting on a big try. Could be a gimmick possibility as well.

Race 11

5-Better Watch Out (7/2)-Tough loss in last but it was a sharp local debut. Warren sticks and could be better in 2nd start for the Chupp barn.
6-Bettor's Promise (3-1)-Tepid program chalk gets post relief after a tough trip from the 9-hole. Makes 4th local start and has had excuses but Leonard should provide a better journey from this post.
10-Party's Jet (15-1)-Will swing for a price and has been stuck with the 9-hole in last 2 starts. The start will be key, Ridge Warren needs to find a good early seat to get into striking range. Pace may not be hot, so will need a good steer.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,3,10/4,5/2,5,9/5,6,10
Total Bet=$27

bmd1803 · Jul 10, 2020

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Belmont Park - Race #2
Picks Notes
#2 Fox Red Miceli claim was speeding along on dirt and was a good 2nd off the small break last time, looks like a Lone F on the switch to turf, and now goes out for a potent grass barn; upset special.
#10 Dirty ML favorite got the tightener out of the way last time and now takes a big drop, so you can surmise this was the plan all along, but he's no win machine, and will be overbet; second-best.
#4 Banana Thief Logical sort is a lot like the 10, in that he's not much of a fan of winning races (5-35), and this one will be at the mercy of the pace, off a Nov. layoff, which isn't ideal; underneath, if at all.
Race Summary Pace makes the race and there's not much here to prevent the 2 from making the front, and from there it's a bit of a guess, as he's never run on turf, but Miceli is aces on the grass, and the price should be right to find out, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially in the early Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, as he looks very well meant, and a win would add plenty of value to both sequences.

Belmont Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#9 princess Fawzia Expected pace presser ran huge when beaten just a head in her comeback at the level last time, and this post is perfect for her style, as she can attach herself to the chalk from the outside, and ideally kick off the far turn; look out.
#6 Kitten by the Sea Pletcher claim and gal to beat looked good wiring in fast time when last seen at GP, and a repeat wins this, but this is also a class rise, she'll be a short price, and must earn it with the pick lapped on her throughout; trying to beat.
#1 Sterling Beauty Stretch runner was last seen running a solid 5th from an impossible draw while tackling winners too, so there's talent here, though the Nov. layoff says she may need this, and her lack of speed isn't ideal either; tabbing today.
Race Summary That 4-1 ML seems very juicy on the pick, as she gets all the best of it here, and should only improve on that very encouraging return, not to mention there's only the 6 to fear here, so play her aggressively to win and place at 3-1 or better, while getting some added value by keying her to end the early Pk5/Pk4, as budget players might be doing that with the chalk, even though she's not getting an ideal set of circumstances today.

Belmont Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#1 Twisted Tom Veteran was a stalking 2nd in Sea Foam's wire-to-wire tour de force, gets a very aggressive pace to settle off of today, and seems poised to build off that run; love his chances here.
#1a I Love Jaxson The pick's entrymate is another who can settle early, and he needed his return against open N1X foes last time, so he should improve off that tightener; makes up a nice place price.
#7 Doups Point Turf-to-dirt runner is another who got his tightener out of the way last time and will be tracking the pace, and his prior dirt form fits nicely with these; should pass several in the lane.
Race Summary The 2-for-1 angle won't get you a big win price on the entry, and it's rare to advocate making a show bet, but if ever there was a spot this is it, as they have a legitimate chance to run 1-2, so make an aggressive win and place bet (especially), while getting some additional value by singling them in the late Pk5/Pk4, as that will allow for more coverage in the deeper surrounding legs, since they look like they are in a great spot here.

bmd1803 · Jul 10, 2020

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#7 Kendama Didn't show much in deep stretch in the debut run, but he has logged several works since that run and figures capable of much better today while adding Lasix.
#1 Prayer Hope Hasn't done much wrong in two runs, and he'll be in line for another good trip near the top. That said, he's now a 5yo making just his third start and has already had a nine-month and 14-month layoff in his career. Capable, but he feels iffy.
#8 Ready Reward Debuts for Motion, and he's got the right kind of two-turn pedigree to make some noise with these. This doesn't feel like the deepest spot to land for the career debut.
Race Summary Kendama goes second time out with a steady series of works since the even kind of debut run, and the addition of Lasix coupled with his experience might be enough to get him over the top.

Laurel Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#5 China Silk Forward player has some ability to rate, and that may make her tough from close range in a spot where a few horses want to mix it up from the gate.
#7 Golden Can Showed pace and faded last out when trying winners for the first time, but she's another who can sit up close and settle a tough if necessary. Price player can bounce back.
#6 Midship Lady Consistent turf sprinter missed last out at 8/1, but the price probably gets a bit shorter this time around. Would want her on the multi-race tickets.
Race Summary China Silk faded late off the bench last time out, and if she can improve off that one, she might be able to turn a perfect pressing trip into a score.

Laurel Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#6 Catch the Sky She just got sprinted back through that middle quarter in the local debut, but she finished with a bit of interest and enthusiasm, and that might play very well over this one-turn mile trip where the splits can be a bit softer.
#2 M. J.'s Lady Chased and faded in the debut run with better, so there's a real chance she'll stick around longer on the drop in for a tag. 7/5 ML price isn't all that appealing.
#1 Patriotic Punch She and the one just outside of her can be tough in this spot, but this is another potentially short price, and she's heading into her ninth start.
Race Summary Catch the Sky isn't exposed after just the one run, and though she's stepping up for this one today, she looked like the kind of horse who might benefit from this type of trip today.

bmd1803 · Jul 10, 2020

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Meadowlands - Race #2
Picks Notes
#8 ZENITH STRIDE Sears could hold trump card in race full of firsters.
#5 TOPOFTHEHILL S Blazed through a :55 opening half-mile in smashing qualifier.
#4 CALLE PALEMA Rallied into slow pace to finish third in tune-up.
Race Summary Here’s a guaranteed bet: Muscle Hill will be the sire of another debut winner. Which 2-year-old will emerge victorious is open to debate. Taking a cue from Hall of Famer Brian Sears, who drove four of the New Jersey breds in qualifying heats, and going with Zenith Stride. Play a 4-5-8 exacta box.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#1 ROLL WITH SPARKY Ran into mid-stretch traffic jam while full of run.
#8 SYLPH HANOVER $546k earner gets break from preferred company, one to beat.
#4 MAJOR LEAGUE N Has major league speed, beaten fave from second tier in latest.
Race Summary Roll With Sparky loomed boldly in mid-stretch behind a wall of horses but was blocked to the finish, earning a playback from the rail at a good price. Play 1-4 and 1-8 exactas.

Meadowlands - Race #13
Picks Notes
#5 ASTOR Chased fleet-footed leader before deep closers passed by, price attached.
#7 OUR POSITANO N Lacked room from mid-turn to mid-stretch, ran third.
#1 WHITTAKER N Gets class relief, moves outside in, knows how to win.
Race Summary Astor chased the 2-1 second favorite through fast fractions before giving way to the deep closers. He can upset with a well-timed move, so play a 1-5-7 exacta box.

bmd1803 · Jul 10, 2020

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#3 Interest Takes a big drop from her last one and won at a higher price on turf two races back; capable of a return to top form at this price and can dig in vs. these.
#4 Wicked Solution Didn't fire in his last two but has several local starts on her form that would make her a late threat.
#7 Midnight Gem Rallied strongly for 2nd and will get a good pace to follow; her best makes her capable of running on past late in the game.
Race Summary Interest tried strongly company last out and returns to the turf at a more comfortable level; a forward factor from the outset.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#7 Mrs. Maisel Has taken on much tougher levels than this lately and can get back to good form as she stretches out to two turns; has the class to prevail.
#1 R Calli Kim Crushed rivals at Tampa Bay in her only start and had a good work here for the Baxter stable; moves to the turf, and her pedigree indicates that should be no problem.
#2 Glorious Gal Was 3rd at a higher level two races back and has a good chance to secure a great trip from just off the lead.
Race Summary Mrs. Maisel is accustomed to tougher spots and should be able to move up on this class drop.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6
Picks Notes
#4 Meadow Beauty Has dropped some fast fractions and held off rivals late for a maiden win last out; Casse runner can handle the step up in conditions.
#3 Swirling Candy Was 2nd last out after winning two straight and three of four; loves the five furlongs on grass and fits well here.
#6 Mane Attraction Has a good late move and can be along for a piece of the exotics here; is much improved in her last four and should be considered.
Race Summary Meadow Beauty can battle on the front end from the outset and is a legit threat to win her 2nd straight; there's plenty of speed in this five-furlong turf event and she has the most of it.

bmd1803 · Jul 10, 2020

LAUREL

RACE #1 LAUREL PARK $15,000 Claiming
About 1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:40 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 1-1 2 Top Hat Scrutiny T Lyapustina
PLACE 7/2 4 Voodoo Valley Y O Ortiz
SHOW 10-1 3 Indian Ghost C Marquez
WILD CARD 9/2 7 Haiku X Perez

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Five Star Perfect A Cintron
ALTERNATE 2 15-1 5 Coffee Please J Toledo

* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX

RACE #2 LAUREL PARK $15,000 Waiver Claiming
6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 6 Simmard Shenanigan H Karamanos
PLACE 9/5 1 Chicken Dinner D Centeno
SHOW 7/2 2 Third Card Down R G LaBarre
WILD CARD 6-1 3 Fancy Outflanker B Scampton

ALTERNATE 1 10-1 4 Perfect Exchange A Cintron
ALTERNATE 2 5-1 5 Determined Mission K Gomez

* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

RACE #3 LAUREL PARK $40,000 Maiden Special Weight
1 1/16 Miles ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 1:41 PM ET

#1 PRAYER HOPE

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 1 Prayer Hope F Boyce
PLACE 5/2 4 Call Me Plucky S Russell
SHOW 5-1 8 Ready Reward W Hamilton
WILD CARD 6-1 9 Survey A Cintron

ALTERNATE 1 15-1 5 Man Up Dude J Ruiz
ALTERNATE 2 6-1 7 Kendama F Lynch

* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 4/8/9 BOX

RACE #4 LAUREL PARK $22,000 Waiver Claiming
1 1/16 Miles ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 7/2 9 Causforcelebration J Pimentel
PLACE 4-1 4 Fast Master W Hamilton
SHOW 5/2 7 Dixie Drawl C Marquez
WILD CARD 3-1 12 Toe Curlin Kiss A Cruz

ALTERNATE 1 10-1 1 Eastport A Whisman
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Ive Gotta Plan C Marquez

* EXACTA: 9-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-12 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/7/9 BOX, 4/7/12 BOX

RACE #5 LAUREL PARK $27,000 Maiden Claiming
6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:47 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 7/2 3 Queen of Tomorrow A Cintron
PLACE 4-1 4 Bow Maker S Russell
SHOW 3-1 8 Esthers Fortune F Lynch
WILD CARD 9/2 6 Suzysellsseashells K Gomez

ALTERNATE 1 10-1 5 Tapdancing Girl C Cedeno
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Rica Chica A Whisman

* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX

RACE #6 LAUREL PARK $22,000 Maiden Claiming
5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 3:19 PM ET

#8 PALACE KID

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9/5 8 Palace Kid A Cintron
PLACE 2-1 6 Back Charge J Toledo
SHOW 12-1 13 Hezawinnerwithme D Centeno
WILD CARD 3-1 15 Winstons Way S Russell

ALTERNATE 1 12-1 12 Diten J Rosado
ALTERNATE 2 15-1 1 Straitouta Congtin J Ruiz

* EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-13 BOX, 13-15 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/8/13 BOX, 6/13/15 BOX

RACE #7 LAUREL PARK $15,000 Claiming
6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET

#4 DIRTYFOOT

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 4 Dirtyfoot W Hamilton
PLACE 9/2 1 Victory Given H Karamanos
SHOW 7/2 2 Big Boots A Whisman
WILD CARD 10-1 3 Booby Trap R Montanez

ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Day A Cintron
ALTERNATE 2 6-1 9 One More Tom S Russell

* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

RACE #8 LAUREL PARK $42,000 Allowance
5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 4:21 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 6-1 2 Listen Up S Russell
PLACE 6-1 5 China Silk J Pimentel
SHOW 4-1 6 Midship Lady F Lynch
WILD CARD 15-1 11 Mamas Grey Ghost A Cintron

ALTERNATE 1 12-1 7 Golden Can W Hamilton
ALTERNATE 2 9/2 4 Glittering Judy J Correa

* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 5/6/11 BOX

RACE #9 LAUREL PARK $27,000 Maiden Claiming
1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:52 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9/5 1 Patriotic Punch A Cintron
PLACE 7/5 2 M. J.s Lady J Pimentel
SHOW 10-1 6 Catch the Sky J Ruiz
WILD CARD 5-1 7 Cornettas Choice H Karamanos

ALTERNATE 1 15-1 5 Bottle Courage A Cruz
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Breviary S Russell

* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX

RACE #10 LAUREL PARK $25,000 Starter Optional Claiming
5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 5:22 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9/5 1 Dance Or Stroll S Russell
PLACE 15-1 5 Princess Killmain J Toledo
SHOW 10-1 6 I Love You R G LaBarre
WILD CARD 15-1 3 Stakes On a Plane C Marquez

ALTERNATE 1 5-1 2 Bustin Hearts A Whisman
ALTERNATE 2 20-1 9 Dat Dares Gold K Gomez

* EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX

RACE #11 LAUREL PARK $15,000 Claiming
About 1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:52 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 7/2 6 Stolen Love C Marquez
PLACE 3-1 2 In Him With Him H Karamanos
SHOW 10-1 8 Gypsum Johnny D Centeno
WILD CARD 6-1 4 Campari Y O Ortiz

ALTERNATE 1 4-1 5 Greek God J Toledo
ALTERNATE 2 9/2 7 Relentless Lion A Cintron

* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/8 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX

bmd1803 · Jul 10, 2020

PITBULL BARKING SOCCER

Fri Jul 10, 2020

Denmark - Division 1- Vendsyssel FF vs. Vejle Boldklub over 2.5 -108 (1:00 PM)
Portugal - Primeira Liga- Sporting Lisbon vs. Santa Clara OVER 2 -146 (2:15 PM)
Portugal - Primeira Liga- Pacos de Ferreira vs. Braga OVER 2.5 +101 (4:30 PM)
Italy - Serie B- Empoli vs. Frosinone UNDER 2.5 -138 (3:00 PM)

Spain - La Liga- Real Sociedad -133 Granada CF (1:30 PM)

Friday Service Play Thread 07/10/2020

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