251 ~ Paige's last dance

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Looks like a stellar card, at least the main card is. First time I recall the replacement fighter made for a bigger fight.


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Amanda Ribas- Paige VanZant
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What's up with the disrespect Paige is getting from the books for this fight? I do get it and I don't expect to see Paige winning this one either, but the difference between her and Ribas is definitely not that big. Because of her recent celebrity appearances and her imminent departure from the UFC, it's dangerous to forget that Paige is way more than just a pretty face.


She might not be an amazing fighter, but she is alright. More important than that, she is tough as nails. That's right...she can take a punch in the face, just as well as she can take pictures in a very small bikini for her Instagram. Look at her record. She only lost by decision, or by getting chocked. I don't consider losing by a choke a testament for you not being tough. You get choked, you tap, period. Bad luck, try again next time. It's not a sign of weakness.


You look at Ribas, and she is not much of a finisher either. Most of her fights went to a decision, and the same is the case for PVZ. Another important thing to consider is that this is probably Paige's last fight in the UFC. She doesn't want to go out staring at the lights. She will want to go out on her feet, waiting for the judge's decision. I really believe she gets to that.


I just don't see Ribas finishing her, to be honest. So I am definitely taking this fight over and to go the distance. Feels like a strong play, but I'm just touching it a little for now.





  1. 1401 Paige VanZant/Amanda Ribas Over 2½ -130 (Bet your wife bet)
    6.5/5
  2. 1403 VanZant / Ribas goes 3 round distance -115 vs Fight won’t go 3 round distance (Hooker money)
    1.38/1.2


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"The difference between her and Ribas is definitely not that big."


Disagree 100% ... Amanda could easily make a run at the belt, she's a beast.
 

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"The difference between her and Ribas is definitely not that big."


Disagree 100% ... Amanda could easily make a run at the belt, she's a beast.

You may be right but I'm not buying it. I really cant see Ribas getting a finish and there is no way a -900 favorite should need the cards. imo
 

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Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal


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We know all the arguments that are in Usman's favor. We know why the bookies love him so much here, and why his odds are so low. But let's focus on Jorge for a second. Let's use our imagination a bit and think about how the odds for this fight would have looked if Masvidal wouldn't have taken this fight on short notice. Would Usman still be the favorite? Mayby, but likely close to pick. Masvidal looked like a killer against Till, Askren and Diaz. The crazy part is that I don't think we have seen the best version of him, yet. Mas was preparing for this fight until a few weeks ago, when the deal for fell through. That's when Burns got thrown into the mix. So all the arguments about him not being ready, or not having trained enough for this are bullshit. Besides this, we had reports that said that he continued to train even after the deal failed. So this guy is ready. He is fit and him and his camp prepared for Usman! On paper it's one week's notice, but if we look at the full background story, Jorge is very prepared for this fight. Let's think about what this fight means for both fighters... For Usman, everything is on the line, he's the champ and he is defending it in the main-event of maybe one of the most historical UFC events of all-time. Yes sure, winning is hella important, but think about the pressure as well. He is the guy with everything to lose, here. He is not a golden goose like Masvidal is. He is not a moneymaker. I'm not saying that this is his last shot of remaining relevant, because it's definitely not, but he is going to have an uphill climb in Dana's eyes if Mas goes over. All that pressure will surely accumulate come fight night, and I'm not sure how Usman deals with it. In the other corner you have Masvidal, who really has nothing to lose. I will always fear the guy with nothing to lose way more than the one with everything to lose. Mas already got his money for this fight, everything else is just a bonus for him. Yeah, Usman has great stamina, an amazing wrestler and he can definitely grind out a win. But we haven't see him in similar wars that we know Masvidal can put him through. What happens to his stamina and wrestling abilities, if Mas gives him a serious early beating? We know that Mas is not a slow-starter. He is balls to the wall from the first second of the first round and he surely knows that Usman is someone who likes to take his time and pick his opponents apart. I can't see Mas allowing him to do that . I expect a lot of early aggression from him. The odds for Usman are definitely inflated. For me, there is absolutely no value on that side. I don't consider him to be the better fighter between those two, and I also know that Masvidal is not as unprepared for this fight as the bookies suggest with their odds. You saw Masvidal's last fights and you know that it only takes one shot for him to end it. You're laying huge chalk on Usman to profit here. Do you really want to do that, when you know that the other guy can be dominated for 4-5 rounds, then end it in a second? That's the thing with the UFC. You can never be profitable long-term betting big favs. Yeah, Usman may win, but there is ZERO value betting on him. I may have other angles here that do not involve Masvidal winning for those of you who don't favor him to take this one. I'm not betting this, but if you take Usman, take him to win by decision. I don't see him finishing Masvidal, and there is also no reason to bet on that small moneyline.


  1. Small token plays for now, but this may be a pounder come fight night

  • 7/11/2020 11:59 PM UFC Fighting 1001 Jorge Masvidal +185 vs Kamaru Usman
    any venue has action
    Risking $20.00 To Win $37.00
  • 7/11/2020 11:59 PM MMA Props Fighting 1003 Masvidal / Usman goes 5 round distance +100 vs Fight won't go 5 round distance
    Risking $10.00 To Win $10.00
  • 7/11/2020 11:59 PM MMA Props Fighting 1005 Masvidal wins inside distance +225 vs Not Masvidal inside distance
    Risking $10.00 To Win $22.50
 

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Small token play to start the action...​

  1. 2209 Day wins inside distance +225 vs Not Day inside distance
    .5/1.13
  2. 2202 Martin Day -127 vs Davey Grant
    1.27/1



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[0-2 -1.77]


2142 Rosa points handicap -3½ +150 vs Melo points handicap
any victory inside distance is a winner for selected fighter
2/3



Day napping on the job.
yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7


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I really like Karol Rosa in the next fight
 

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[1-2 +1.23]​
2002 Raulian Paiva -162 vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov
4.05/2.5

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Appreciate the write ups - will be following along - I consider myself tech savvy but I tried for 10 minutes to get the stream from the link you provided with no luck. I know with these types of links there will be several bogus referral links but I can’t find the real one. One of them seems legit until it requests a sign up then wants a CC number for verification which seems shady. Any advice?
 

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Appreciate the write ups - will be following along - I consider myself tech savvy but I tried for 10 minutes to get the stream from the link you provided with no luck. I know with these types of links there will be several bogus referral links but I can’t find the real one. One of them seems legit until it requests a sign up then wants a CC number for verification which seems shady. Any advice?


Here's another.. http://crackstreams.com/mmastreams/watch-ufc-251-usman-vs-masvidal/
 

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  1. [3-2 +6.23]

  • 1809 Santos wins inside distance* +155 vs Not Santos inside distance
    .8/1.24
  • 1842 Santos points handicap* -3½ -115 vs Bogatov points handicap
    any victory inside distance is a winner for selected fighter
    1.15/1






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  1. [4-3+6.43]
1701 Danny Henry +160 vs Makwan Amirkhani
2/3.2

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[FONT=&quot]Odds stretched in the next bout… Amirkhani is basically a one trick pony, always looking to get the fight to the ground. Henry has decent takedown D and a high striking output to boot. Henry did lose his last matchup vs Dan Ige by rear-naked choke but Ige has proven himself to be a top contender in the division. If Henry can keep the fight standing he has a good chance of winning this fight and we're get good odds. Worth a small shot on Henry[/FONT]
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1601 Elizeu Zaleski* +117 vs Muslim Salikhov
2.4/2.81

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  1. [4-5+2.03]

  • 1502 Volkan Oezdemir -165 vs Jiri Prochazka
    5.61/3.4
  • 1401 Paige VanZant/Amanda Ribas Over 2½ -122
    3.05/2.5
  • Paige VanZant +550 ...I love Paige...not a smart bet but wtf...it's only money.
    stripper.gif

    1.9/10.45
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