Wednesday Service Play Thread 07/15/2020

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Kyle Marley

Calvin Kattar (-280) vs. Dan Ige (+240): Kattar via unanimous decision

I really wanted to pick Ige here because I feel this betting line is a bit wide. The -280 gives us implied odds of 73.69 percent, and I don't think I can say Kattar wins this fight that often. He does have the striking edge and the power edge, but Ige has the grappling advantage and isn't completely outgunned on the feet. If this was a three-round fight, I believe Kattar would be lined in the -150 to -200 range. I do think the extra two rounds help him a lot here though, because Ige is much more likely to gas, and I would expect Kattar to win the fourth and fifth rounds. I am going to lean with Kattar as my pick for that reason, but I don't think there is any value in his betting line, and this is dog or pass for me.

Tim Elliott (-125) vs. Ryan Benoit (+105): Elliott via unanimous decision

Elliott gassed hard after just one round in his last fight, and that was only 1 1/2 months ago. I feel really good about Elliott winning round one here as well, but who knows what happens after that because he has not had the time to improve his cardio that much, and he has said he just wants to go out there and have exciting fights these days. I think Elliott could get a submission in the first or second round, or just win them with his pace and wrestling. So, if he can make it to the scorecards, I like him to win. I just think Benoit is going to win round three if it gets there and he could possibly put Elliott out if he doesn't have anything left in the tank. There is no value in Benoit at his line though, so this is actually Elliott or pass for me. He is just very hard to trust. I even think a draw could be in play, with Elliott winning the first two rounds and Benoit getting a 10-8 third.
 

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Mike McClure

The model began its season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. It got off to a hot start following the coronavirus hiatus as well, calling seven top-10 drivers at The Real Heroes 400 and Toyota 500 at Darlington. Using the model, McClure also recommended an outright play on winner Brad Keselowski at 13-1 at Bristol.

The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami. And at The Brickyard this month, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season.

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Denny Hamlin (11-2)
2. Joey Logano (7-1)
3. Chase Elliott (5-1)
4. Kevin Harvick (9-2)
5. Kyle Busch (7-1)
6. Brad Keselowski (8-1)
7. Ryan Blaney (10-1)
8. Martin Truex Jr. (13-1)
9. Kurt Busch (12-1)
10. Alex Bowman (20-1)

The rest of the field, according to the model:

11. Jimmie Johnson
12. Erik Jones
13. Matt Kenseth
14. Ryan Newman
15. Cole Custer
16. Justin Haley
 

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Mike McClure

UFC

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige

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Abdul Razak Alhassan
Jack Shore
Calvin Kattar
 

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Mike McClure

GOLF

The revamped PGA Tour schedule continues on Thursday, July 16, when the 2020 Memorial Tournament tees off from Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio. We simulated this tournament 10,000 times, and there are some MAJOR surprises.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, was all over long shot winner Collin Morikawa last week at the Workday Charity Open. It identified him as a top contender from the start despite his long odds and McClure recommended an outright bet on him to win at 33-1. The model also called Bryson DeChambeau taking the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Additionally, it has nailed two of the last three majors entering the weekend.

The model predicted Gary Woodland's first career major championship at the U.S. Open even though he wasn't the favorite entering the weekend. The result: Woodland held off a late charge from Brooks Koepka and won by three strokes. The model also called Koepka's historic victory at the 2019 PGA Championship, predicting he'd hold his lead in the home stretch. In all, the advanced computer model has nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend.

And already this season, the model called Justin Thomas (15-2) winning the CJ Cup, Rory McIlroy (11-2) taking down the WGC-HSBC Champions and Viktor Hovland (11-1) earning his first career PGA Tour victory at the Puerto Rico Open. Using the model for his best bets, McClure returned a whopping +788 during the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge, including nailing top-five bets on Xander Schauffele at 13-2 and Collin Morikawa at 9-1.

The model was also extremely high on 30-1 long shot winner Webb Simpson at the RBC Heritage. The model had him in the top five from the start and McClure's best bets included Simpson winning outright.

Bets I've made this week as of 9:30 AM EST 7/13

Outright Winner:

Jon Rahm +2200
Daniel Berger +4000
Patrick Reed +5000
Abraham Ancer +5000
Matthew Fitzpatrick +7000
Paul Casey +8000

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Justin Thomas (11-1)
2. Rory McIlroy (12-1)
3. Patrick Cantlay (14-1)
4. Collin Morikawa (20-1)
5. Bryson DeChambeau (9-1)
6. Jon Rahm (22-1)
7. Hideki Matsuyama (25-1)
8. Xander Schauffele (28-1)
9. Webb Simpson (22-1)
10. Patrick Reed (50-1)

The rest of the field, according to the model:

11 Viktor Hovland
12 Daniel Berger
13 Abraham Ancer
14 Dustin Johnson
15 Brooks Koepka
16 Matthew Fitzpatrick
17 Paul Casey
18 Justin Rose
19 Sungjae Im
20 Marc Leishman
21 Rickie Fowler
22 Gary Woodland
23 Matt Kuchar
24 Tony Finau
25 Joaquin Niemann
26 Tiger Woods
27 Kevin Streelman
28 Byeong Hun An
29 Billy Horschel
30 Jason Day
31 Harris English
32 Scottie Scheffler
33 Corey Conners
34 Harold Varner III
35 Adam Hadwin
36 Joel Dahmen
37 Bud Cauley
38 Sergio Garcia
39 Chez Reavie
40 Carlos Ortiz
41 Kevin Na
42 Kevin Kisner
43 Brendan Steele
44 Doc Redman
45 Jim Furyk
46 Rory Sabbatini
47 Lucas Glover
48 Brian Harman
49 Ian Poulter
50 J.T. Poston
51 Brendon Todd
52 Shane Lowry
53 Emiliano Grillo
54 Christiaan Bezuidenhout
55 Branden Grace
56 Nick Taylor
57 Max Homa
58 Bubba Watson
59 Louis Oosthuizen
60 Jason Kokrak
61 Brandt Snedeker
62 Keegan Bradley
63 Henrik Norlander
64 Maverick McNealy
65 Rafa Cabrera Bello
66 Sebastian Munoz
67 Jordan Spieth
68 Erik Van Rooyen
69 Denny McCarthy
70 Ryan Palmer
71 Vaughn Taylor
72 Alexander Noren
73 Talor Gooch
74 Jason Dufner
75 Patrick Rodgers
76 Cameron Champ
77 Danny Willett
78 Matthew NeSmith
79 Mark Hubbard
80 Danny Lee
81 Adam Long
82 Matthias Schwab
83 Tom Hoge
84 Zach Johnson
85 Charles Howell III
86 Cameron Smith
87 Phil Mickelson
88 Ryan Moore
89 Steve Stricker
90 Tyler Duncan
91 Dylan Frittelli
92 Bo Hoag
93 Andrew Landry
94 Stewart Cink
95 Brian Stuard
96 Hao Tong Li
97 Bernd Wiesberger
98 Sepp Straka
99 Lanto Griffin
100 Graeme McDowell
101 Xinjun ZHANG
102 Matt Wallace
103 Troy Merritt
104 Matthew Wolff
105 Nate Lashley
106 Sung Kang
107 Wyndham Clark
108 Harry Higgs
109 Ernie Els
110 Andrew Putnam
111 Tom Lehman
112 Charl Schwartzel
113 Victor Perez
114 Si Woo Kim
115 Scott Harrington
116 William McGirt
117 Jason Scrivener
118 Kevin Tway
119 Jazz Janewattananond
120 Mackenzie Hughes
121 Keith Mitchell
122 Andy Ogletree
123 Peter Kuest
124 Zac Blair
125 Scott Piercy
126 David Lingmerth
127 Cheng Tsung Pan
128 Jimmy Walker
129 Bill Haas
130 K.J. Choi
131 Jim Herman
132 Vijay Singh
133 Carl Pettersson
 

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Rick Gehman

GOLF

With his expansive database of golf statistics, course data and betting odds, Gehman creates advanced models and back-tests them constantly. These models have produced 11 outright winners in the past year -- including 30-1 Webb Simpson at the 2020 RBC Heritage, 50-1 Chez Reavie at last year's Travelers and 40-1 Patrick Reed at the Northern Trust among nine PGA Tour winners -- plus a $10,000 DraftKings win at The Masters.

Two weeks ago at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, Gehman put Bryson DeChambeau atop his Fantasy rankings. The result? DeChambeau fired a 23-under, winning the tournament by three strokes. Last week at the Workday Charity Open, also at Muirfield, Gehman was higher than most on Collin Morikawa, and he won in a dramatic playoff over Justin Thomas. Gehman had pegged Thomas at No. 2.

At this year's WGC-Mexico Championship, four of Gehman's top six golfers finished tied for sixth or better!

Course Preview

This is the second of back-to-back weeks at Muirfield Village, a traditional Par 72 that features some of the smallest greens on TOUR. As we saw last week, this course bites back and can generate big scores if you're out of position. Expect the difficulty to be ramped up even more this week as the rough is grown out and the greens are rolling even faster.

Field Preview

Nine of the Top 10-ranked golfers in the world will converge on Muirfield Village, including Rory McIlroy, Bryson DeChambeau and Tiger Woods. This will be a slightly smaller field since this is technically an Invitational. If this looks like a Major-caliber field, it's because it is!

#1 Justin Thomas

Thomas looked like he had PGA TOUR win #13 sewn up on Sunday before losing in a playoff to Collin Morikawa. Despite the defeat, Thomas played his first 54 holes without a bogey and now has (4) Top 10s in his last five starts.

#2 Bryson DeChambeau

He's been unstoppable since the restart, with four consecutive Top-8 finishes. He took the week off last week after winning the Rocket Mortgage Challenge and will look to add a second Memorial title to his resume.

#3 Rory McIlroy

This is likely the lowest ranking I've ever had on McIlroy but he just hasn't played up to his own lofty standard since the TOUR has come back. He doesn't have a Top 10 in three starts but he's still the #1 player in the world. He has (2) Top 10 finishes at The Memorial in the last three years.

#4 Collin Morikawa

Morikawa never gave up last week, giving himself a chance to get into a playoff with Justin Thomas, in which he would ultimately prevail for his second PGA TOUR victory. Morikawa proves that elite ballstrikers find success at Muirfield Village.

#5 Viktor Hovland

DeChambeau has the hardware to argue, but I could make a case that Hovland has been the best golfer since the TOUR's restart. His T2G numbers are mind boggling, as he's gained 46.96 strokes from tee-to-green in that five start stretch. It's 17 more strokes than anyone else on TOUR in the same time period.

#6 Dustin Johnson

His win at the Travelers was reminiscent of prime Johnson. He was 6th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green in Connecticut. While Johnson has never won The Memorial, he has (3) Top 15s in the last four years.

#7 Tiger Woods

Woods is back, making his first official start since The Genesis Invitational in mid-February. He's well rested and ready to contend at an event he's won a record five times.

#8 Webb Simpson

Simpson is always solid, with a win and 8th place finish in his last two starts. We saw last week that Muirfield Village is a second-shot course and Simpson is one of the best iron players on TOUR.

#9 Jon Rahm

Rahm looks like he could be on the brink of breaking out. After a slow restart to the TOUR schedule, he punctuated last week with a 64 on Sunday, the best round of the day and his best finish (T27) since the TOUR has returned.

#10 Daniel Berger

Remember Daniel Berger?! He has three consecutive Top 4 finishes on TOUR including a win and a third in the only two events he's played in the restart. It's crazy to have him ranked this low but it's a testament to how incredible this field is.

#11 Brooks Koepka

Koepka's game last week was difficult to digest. He had two terrible nine-hole stretches, shooting 38 & 41. He also looked brilliant at times, playing his other two nines in 31 & 33. You could argue the low score ability is on the surface for Koepka and he finally gets to compete in a "Major-like" environment.

#12 Patrick Cantlay

Cantlay started slow last week before firing a final-round 65 that included seven birdies and an eagle. He's now back to officially defend his Memorial title.

#13 Xander Schauffele

Schauffele flashed brilliance at times last week, with rounds of 69 and 66 en route to a T14. We've seen him elevate his game on the biggest stages, with career wins at the TOUR Championship, WGC HSBC Champions and the Sentry Tournament of Champions.

#14 Hideki Matsuyama

Matsuyama was in the thick of it through 36 holes, but faded on the weekend, shooting +1 across the two days. The good news is that he was 6th in the field in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-green and has won The Memorial before. The bad news is that he still cannot putt, losing 4.07 strokes on the greens in the final two rounds alone.

#15 Paul Casey

Casey's only start recently was a 32nd at the Travelers and he hasn't played The Memorial since 2016 (MC). However, he's one of the world's best ballstrikers and we know that goes a long way at Muirfield Village.

#16 Gary Woodland

After a slow start, something clicked for Woodland who was the third best player in the field from Friday to Sunday. The concern is that he relied heavily on a hot putter but it was nice to see his name near the top of the leaderboard.

#17 Justin Rose

Major red flags for Rose who went 74-80 before missing the cut last week at Muirfield Village. He doesn't get any reprieve and will have to get right back out there this week. Historically, Rose has been great at this event including a victory and six other Top 10 finishes.

#18 Sungjae Im

Im has been completely pedestrian since the restart, gaining a total of 1.73 strokes on the field over five events. The real issue is his flatstick, which dropped over five strokes to the field on the weekend at the Workday Charity Open.

#19 Tony Finau

Finau made news over the last week by shooting a 59 at his home courses and pummeling drives on Instagram over 380 yards. The problem is that none of that matters on the PGA TOUR and Finau has lacked winning upside in his career.

#20 Rickie Fowler

It's been a long road for Fowler as he goes through his well-documented swing changes. He opened with a 72 and finished with a 73 at the Workday but his 69 & 66 in the middle two rounds were full of birdies and reasons to be optimistic.

#21 Patrick Reed

Reed's third-round 76 was his demise and he relied heavily on the short game all week. There are few guys on TOUR who can "click" with winning upside and Reed is on the short list.

#22 Marc Leishman

An abomination of a second round for Leishman, who shot a 77 en route to a missed cut. The good news is that most of the damage came on the greens, which is a high volatile stat and can easily bounceback just a few days later.

#23 Matt Kuchar

It was a sour weekend for Kuchar, playing his final two rounds at +2. The positive is his tournament history, winner of The Memorial in 2013 and six other Top 10s.

#24 Abraham Ancer

I'm certainly concerned with the lack of distance off the tee from Ancer but his ability to hit fairways will be more valuable this week than last. As the rough is expected to be grown out, being in position will be "Objective #1" all week long.

#25 Jason Day

Day had a very quiet T7 last week, only his third Top 10 finish since the 2019 Masters. Statistically he was well rounded but consistency has been the issue for Day. I'll be very impressed if he can back it up again this week.

#26 Kevin Streelman

It's possible that I'm under-valuing Streelman here who finished T7 last week and has (4) Top 20 finishes at The Memorial in the last five years. He rode a hot putter for the majority of last week and I'm worried where he could finish if that runs cold.

#27 Doc Redman

After an off-week, Redman returns and looks to continue his excellent ballstriking. Redman is 8th on TOUR in total Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green since the restart.

#28 Brendan Steele

Steele possessed the statistical profile of a guy to invest in, gaining over eight strokes from tee-to-green. That was good for 7th in the field at the Workday Charity Open.

#29 Henrik Norlander

Another solid showing for Norlander who finished T31 last week at the Workday. He's now made three straight cuts since the Travelers and will look to continue the momentum this week at Muirfield Village.

#30 Rory Sabbatini

It was a bounceback performance for Sabbatini after the missed cut in Detroit to post a T17 at the Workday. He started Sunday inside the Top 10, but couldn't put a capper on his week, closing with a 73.
 

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Micah Roberts

Roberts is the nation's premier NASCAR betting expert, and his top pick won the first two races of the 2020 season. In the season-opening Daytona 500, he nailed Denny Hamlin's win at 10-1 odds, and he hit eventual winner Joey Logano at 13-2 odds in the Pennzoil 400 a week later. He also nailed Hamlin's victory in the Toyota 500 in May, even though he wasn't one of the top three favorites.

Roberts also crushed the 2019 NASCAR season. Those who wagered $100 on Roberts' predicted winner in each of the 40 NASCAR races last year (an investment of $4,000) finished with a strong profit of $2,100. In addition, those who put down $50 on each of Roberts' top four choices in each of those races (an investment of $8,000) were up a head-turning $3,400.

Here is Roberts' analysis:

The NASCAR Cup Series is awarding $1 million to the winner of Wednesday night's All-Star Race, which will take place somewhere other than Charlotte for the first time since 1986. Bristol Motor Speedway's high-banked, half-mile bullring is the site this season, and 30,000 fans are expected to be allowed inside with proper spacing between seats suggested. Drivers qualify for the annual event by either winning a Cup Series race in the past two seasons, a Cup title or a previous All-Star Race. Four more spots will go to the winners of the three stages of the All-Star Open qualifying race, which takes place earlier Wednesday evening, and the winner of the fan vote that is determined after the Open.

Here's how I see the All-Star Race unfolding:

1 #2 Brad Keselowski (8-1) -- He has won three times at Bristol and led 812 laps over 21 career Cup Series starts there while also recording a 2008 Xfinity Series win and a 2014 Truck Series victory. But a bet on him in the first Bristol All-Star Race is more about the success he's had this season with the new race package featuring engines with 750 horsepower and smaller spoilers. He finished 11th with it at Phoenix in the last race before the coronavirus shutdown, but then won at Bristol on May 31 and was third at Martinsville 10 days later. His team appeared to have an edge over the rest, and he loves this track as well. He never has won the All-Star Race before.

2 #22 Joey Logano (7-1) -- He won twice before the shutdown but has gone 11 races without a triumph. But I have an easy excuse for his apparent demise - the 550-horsepower package is a bit behind with his Penske Ford. In the three races run with the 750-horsepower package, he's had two top-five finishes, leading 60 laps in a win at Phoenix and a race-high 234 at Martinsville before finishing fourth. He's a two-time winner at Bristol and has led 766 laps over 23 Cup Series starts there.

3 #48 Jimmie Johnson (20-1) -- He's a four-time All-Star Race winner, and this seems like a moment he can make the most of in what likely will be his final start in this event. Last week, I saw a tenacious Johnson in Kentucky just one week after missing a race due to COVID-19. The main reason I like him on Wednesday night, besides his chunky odds, is his history at Bristol as a 13th-place average finish in 37 starts is second-best among active drivers. He has 13 top-fives, including two wins, and 914 laps led at this track. He performed well in three races with the 750-horsepower package this year, finishing 12th at Phoneix, third at Bristol and 10th at Martinsville after leading 70 laps.

4 #11 Denny Hamlin (11-2) -- Most of his success this season has come with the other race packages on the big tracks, but his showing with the 750-horsepower package was at Bristol, where he led a race-high 131 laps before finishing 17th. He has two career wins and nine top-fives at Bristol while leading 828 laps. He won the million-dollar check in the 2015 All-Star Race. Overall on the season, he's tied for the series lead with four victories.

5 #12 Ryan Blaney (10-1) -- I've seen him win a 2014 Xfinity Series race and a 2015 Truck Series race at Bristol, where he's led 439 laps over his last five Cup Series starts there. Since joining Penske, he's been contending for the win in every race at Bristol, but he's been in two accidents - one while leading in 2018 - and only has one top-five finish to show for his excellence. Wednesday's race is only 140 laps and will be over quick, which benefits him based on past results.

6 #9 Chase Elliott (5-1) -- He's had nine Cup Series starts at Bristol, and his 12.6 average finish is the best among active drivers. He's led at least 33 laps in his last four starts there, including 88 in the race on May 31. His best finish was third in 2018. With this week's race package, he was seventh at Phoenix after leading a race-high 93 laps and fifth at Martinsville. One other interesting note is that father Bill Elliott's only All-Star Race win came in 1986, but the event was held at his home track of Atlanta - the only previous time NASCAR held the All-Star event outside of Charlotte.

7 #4 Kevin Harvick (9-2) -- He's a two-time winner of the All-Star Race, with the last victory coming in 2018. He's also a two-time winner at Bristol with 12 top-fives and 912 laps led over his 39 starts. His four victories this season came with the 550-horsepower race package. In three races with the 750 package, he was runner-up at Phoenix after leading 47 laps, 11th at Bristol and 15th at Martinsville.

8 #1 Kurt Busch (12-1) -- He won the 2010 All-Star Race while driving for Team Penske and has shown a certain skill set at Bristol that always makes him a contender. He's recorded six wins there, the last coming in 2018. But his fifth victory took place in 2006 under the old flat layout on which the only way to pass was on the bottom groove. But he's been ninth or better in his last four starts there, including a runner-up to brother Kyle last year. With this week's race package, he finished sixth at Phoenix, seventh at Bristol and ninth at Martinsville - one of the most consistent runs of the season with it.

9 #19 Martin Truex Jr. (13-1) -- For whatever reason, Bristol has not been in his bag of tricks. He's been an intermediate track boss and also has won twice at Martinsville, where he notched his only victory of 2020 thus far. He's never won the All-Star Race, which is the only reason I put him in the top 10, if that makes any sense. Bristol can seem intimidating, considering his last top-five there came in 2012, but I think the short format and $1 million prize money can be great motivation.

10 #18 Kyle Busch (7-1) - He's an eight-time winner at Bristol in the Cup Series, but his 2019 Championship team is in a funk. No wins through 17 races just doesn't happen to him, but it's occurring right now. He's always been aggressive with nothing to lose in the All-Star Race, which is part of the reason his win in 2017 is his only one. He has two top-five finishes in the three races using the 750-horsepower package this season, including fourth at Bristol after leading 100 laps. While betting this season, Kyle Busch at short odds has been a black hole for me. The Las Vegan in me will be rooting for the native of the city, but the bettor in me - which has more influence - is going to leave him out of any wagering strategy until he shows something in 2020.

To win the All-Star Open qualifying race stages and advance to the All-Star Race:

1st Stage winner: #10 Aric Almirola -- His eighth-place finish last week at Kentucky ended a run of five straight top-fives on the schedule for the vastly improved Stewart-Haas Racing, a team that picked up a win for Cole Custer on Sunday. But it was Almirola who led a race-high 128 laps. His only top-10 with this week's race package was eighth at Phoenix.

2nd Stage winner: #14 Clint Bowyer -- He drives another SHR car that has performed well with this week's race package, recording top-fives in two of the three races - including runner-up at Bristol in May. He's been eighth or better in his last five starts there. Look for him to win one of the three stages and advance to the All-Star Race.

3rd Stage winner: #21 Matt DiBenedetto -- This is the site where he had his best chance to win a Cup Series race as he finished second to Hamlin last year after leading 93 laps. He's been scrappy all season and takes advantage of having decent equipment. He was 13th at Phoenix and seventh at Martinsville with this week's race package.

Fan Vote:

#43 Bubba Wallace -- I don't expect him to win any of the three stages to advance, but NASCAR has a fan vote, and he'll win it. In five career starts at Bristol, he has a 19th-place average finish and recorded a career-best 10th in May.
 

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Kyle Marley

UFC

Calvin Kattar (-300) vs. Dan Ige (+250): Kattar via decision

I really wanted to pick Ige because I think this betting line is a bit wide. The price gives us implied odds of about 75 precent and I don't think Kattar wins this fight that often. He does have the striking and the power edge, but Ige has the grappling edge and he isn't completely outgunned on the feet. If this was a three-round fight, I think Kattar would be lined in the -150 to -200 range. I think the extra two rounds will help him a lot because I think Ige is much more likely to gas and I would expect Kattar to win rounds 4 and 5. I am going to lean with Kattar as my pick for that reason. He is just the bigger and better striker, but I don't think there is any value in his betting line.

Tim Elliott (-120) vs. Ryan Benoit (+100): Elliot by decision

Elliott fatigued after just one round in his last fight and that was only six weeks ago. I feel confident about Elliott round 1 Wednesday, but who knows what happens after that? He has not had the time to improve his cardio and he has said he just wants to go out there and have exciting fights. Elliott could get a submission in rounds 1 or 2 or just win them with his pace and wrestling. So, if he can make it to the scorecards, I like him to win. I just think Benoit is going to win round 3 if it gets there and he could possibly put Elliott out if he doesn't have anything left in the tank. There is no value in Benoit at this line though, so this is actually Elliott or pass for me. He is just very hard to trust.

Jimmie Rivera (-135) vs. Cody Stamann (+115): Stamann by decision

Rivera has been on a skid, losing three of his past four against top-tier competition. Stamann has been looking better than ever. Rivera is going to be the better striker, but Stamann should have the grappling edge if he can get it to the mat against Rivera's 95 percent takedown defense. This is a close fight and probably one that is 50-50 for me. I see Rivera landing the harder shots, but I think Stamann is live for takedowns, so those factors almost even out and it comes down to pace and aggression. I believe those will be about equal.

Molly McCann (-120) vs. Taila Santos (+100): McCann via decision

Santos is the more technical striker and probably more dangerous with submissions. McCann is the more aggressive, higher-paced striker and she is the one more likely to land takedowns. She can have success with top control and ground-and-pound. Most of Santos' success has come against low-level talent, while McCann has faced and beat the better competition. I just see McCann being the one pushing forward and not giving the space Santos needs to work with and making this more of a dirty fight that fits her style.

Abdul Razak Alhassan (-325) vs. Mounir Lazzez (+265): Alhassan via TKO

This is going to be awesome as long as it lasts, and one of these guys is probably getting knocked out. Alhassan is one of the scariest first-round strikers on the UFC roster but he has been away from the sport due to some legal issues. It is a real shame that happened because we probably missed out on two years of this guy's prime and who really knows what to expect now. Lazzez is a striker as well, so he is going to give Alhassan the fight he wants. I have to lean with Alhassan because I think he has more power and has fought and beat the better competition, but I don't know that I would lay over 3-1 because I wouldn't be shocked to see him get knocked out himself.

Khamzat Chimaev (-320) vs. John Phillips (+260): Chimaev via submission

Chimaev took this fight on late notice, but it is a great matchup for him. Phillips is a striker and mainly a brawler. If he can suck Chimaev into a brawl that is ideal for him, but he is knockout-or-bust either way. Chimaev has big power on the feet as well but he should be able to dominate this fight on the ground. When you have an edge like that, there is no real reason to go out there and strike with Phillips when that is your only danger. I think Chimaev gets this fight to the ground fast and works his way to a submission.

Ricardo Ramos (-155) vs. Lerone Murphy (+135): Ramos via submission

Murphy surprised a lot of people in his UFC debut. This is a similar matchup for him in which he is going to need to keep this fight standing to have any chance. Ramos is solid on the feet as well, but he is very inactive, and Murphy could either knock him out or win a decision based on landing more volume and the harder shots. Ramos is the more technical striker, he just doesn't do enough on the feet to trust him takedowns. He should have a big edge on the ground and Murphy was taken down six times in his last fight, so I believe Ramos will have success there.

Modestas Bukauskas (-220) vs. Andreas Michailidis (+190): Michailidis via TKO

Michailidis is taking this fight on short notice in a higher weight class, so he will be the smaller guy in this matchup. I can't say I was impressed with either guy, but I was more impressed by Michailidis and I think he could have success with leg kicks and possibly get a knockout. Bukauskas didn't look bad anywhere, but he also didn't look good and I think size and cardio are his two big advantages. I would say Bukauskas is the rightful favorite, but I don't know that he wins this fight 70 percent or more of the time as the odds imply. So I will go ahead and pick the underdog to get a stoppage.

Jared Gordon (-145) vs. Chris Fishgold (+125): Gordon via decision

This should be a fun, high paced fight. I give Gordon the edge on the feet and Fishgold the edge on the ground. Gordon might have the wrestling to keep this fight standing, and Fishgold might have the power to test Gordon's weak chin on the feet. I think Fishgold probably needs a finish, but I give Gordon the edge on pace and cardio. The longer this fight goes, the more it should favor him.

Diana Belbita (-160) vs. Liana Jojua (+140): Belbita via unanimous decision

Both of these fighters are coming off losses in their UFC debuts, but Jojua looked really bad in hers and I have to think her best shot of a victory is an armbar. I expect Belbita to be the better all-around fighter and she is my pick. She isn't very good either, so she is hard to trust, but this looks like it could be the perfect UFC matchup for her.

Jack Shore (-700) vs. Aaron Phillips (+500): Shore via submission

Shore should dominate this fight with his wrestling and grappling. I expect that is what he will do, but he is a guy that needs to do that in all his fights because that is where his strength lies. Phillips is a lower-level fighter, so maybe Shore looks to test out his striking. If that is the case, no chance would I lay -700, but we have no way of knowing that and I just have to expect him to have the smart game plan of getting this fight to the mat.

Kenneth Bergh (-145) vs. Jorge Gonzalez (+125): Gonzalez via TKO

This is basically a striker versus grappler matchup. Gonzalez is the striker and he is taking this fight on short notice. He has only been out of the first round one time in his career, so I feel like this is probably early knockout-or-bust for him either way. I think Gonzalez is live for the knockout win, so I will take him to get the job done.
 

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Brandon Wise

UFC

Ranked featherweights top the card Wednesday as sixth-ranked Calvin Kattar takes on No. 10-ranked Dan Ige in the main event of UFC Fight Night at Yas Island in Abu Dhabi. Kattar is a -300 sportsbook favorite (risk $300 to win $100), while Ige is a +250 underdog (risk $100 to win $250) in the latest William Hill odds for Kattar vs. Ige.

Before making any UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige picks, you NEED to see the UFC predictions from SportsLine MMA expert Brandon Wise. He has been covering the sport for more than five years. He specializes in picking main-card fights for UFC, which has enabled him to be profitable every year! In fact, Wise went a perfect 5-0 at UFC 239 and was 4-1 at both UFC 245 and UFC 249. He also nailed Khabib Nurmagomedov's destruction of Conor McGregor in 2018, Stipe Miocic's upset of Daniel Cormier, Max Holloway's downfall in 2019 and Justin Gaethje's TKO victory over Tony Ferguson in May.

Since the UFC returned following a two-month period of inactivity due to the coronavirus pandemic, Wise has gone 29-13 while nailing the method of victory 20 times. Wise has yet to have a losing record for a pay-per-view UFC card, and is coming off a 4-1 mark for a profit of 3.00 units at UFC 251 last week.


Calvin Kattar (-300) vs. Dan Ige (+250): Kattar by TKO

Ige is getting this opportunity after a couple of impressive performances against Edson Barboza and Mirsad Bektic. But this is truly the deep end of the pool against Kattar. The Boston native has insane power and a huge frame for the division. He's starting to figure out the rest of his game and should be able to dispatch Ige with relative ease.

Tim Elliott (-120) vs. Ryan Benoit (+100): Elliott by decision

Neither fighter carries a particularly impressive resume, but I lean on the veteran and his experience against the elite of the division. Despite being 2-5 and a loser of three straight, Elliott has faced Demetrious Johnson, Louis Smolka, Ben Nguyen, Deiveson Figueiredo and Askar Askarov during that run since December 2016. His style is awkward enough to confuse and frustrate Benoit, who has alternated wins and losses over his last nine since 2013.

Jimmie Rivera (-135) vs. Cody Stamann (+115): Rivera by decision

This is a tough spot for Rivera. He's coming off losses in three of his last four against mostly elite competition (Petr Yan, Aljamain Sterling and Marlon Moraes) and needs to right the ship quickly. This is a massive step up in competition for Stamann after losing his only other step-up in the UFC (against Sterling). He picked up an emotional victory last month after his younger brother died the week of his fight. It's tough to get back up for another fight, and this feels like a really tough matchup in which to do it.

Molly McCann (-120) vs. Taila Santos (+100): McCann by decision

McCann is on a roll after dropping her UFC debut in 2018. The Englishwoman has won three straight -- all by decision -- and looked much more calm and relaxed. She gets a green opponent coming off a loss in her UFC debut who has been out of action for nearly 18 months. Look for "Meatball" to control this fight from the onset and score a strong decision win.

Abdul Razak Alhassan (-325) vs. Mounir Lazzez (+265): Alhassan by TKO

This is a big spot for Alhassan after nearly two years out of competition. He carries a massive amount of power in both hands with 10 knockouts in 11 career wins. It will be the UFC debut for Lazzez, who also has eight TKOs in nine pro wins but has yet to face this level of competition. Expect some early fireworks, but the better fighter gets the stoppage eventually.
 

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Mike McClure

GOLF

Golfers I'm fading:

Tiger Woods, Bryson DeChambeau, Gary Woodland, Sergio Garcia and Jordan Spieth
 

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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Canterbury Park - Race #6
Picks Notes
#1 All Under Control Stalker was a distant 2nd to a romping winner in fast time in his local bow, drew perfectly for a potent Silva barn (31%), and will be tracking what looks like a hot pace; look out.
#2 Go Away GP invader enters off a win in the slop last time for Walder but now makes his local debut for an ice cold Van Winkle barn, so while he hits hard, he's an underlay too; second-best.
#4 Clear the Mine ML favorite will like the race flow and was just a solid 3rd to a loose #7, who won't clear here, but he's also off the claim for Villafranco (14%) and no longer with Silva; tread lightly.
Race Summary That 6-1 ML seems very fair on the 1, who has a lot of positives in a race where some of the main contenders have a few knocks, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially in the 10% takeout Pk5, as well as to kick off the late Pk4, since a a win at double digit odds, in a deep field, would add plenty of value to both sequences.

Canterbury Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#4 Aife Fair Grounds miss looked good winning two of her last three in NOLA and her only blemish was when in way over her head two-back, has a lot more tactical speed than her main rival, and will be a solid price too; look out.
#8 Winning Envelope The obvious gal to beat wins this with her best, as she's a classier filly than the pick, but she also will be overbet, and has a decided lack of early speed, which may leave her with too much to do in the lane; runs out of room.
#1 Firstmate The best of the locals is 2-for-2 here on the grass and enters off a state-bred stakes win, and while this is obviously a sizable step up in class, she's in the mix on figures, drew well, and will be a nice price too; exotics appeal.
Race Summary That 4-1 ML makes the 4 very playable, especially since the 8 will be open lengths behind her when they exit the far turn, so play her in all the slots, and especially to 10% takeout Pk5, as well as the late Pk4, since budget players might be singling the chalk, which means a win by the pick would knock out a lot of tickets in both sequences.

Canterbury Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#3 Polarcents MSW dropper will relish this easier crew, as not only did he face some toughies in his first here last time, but he was in against much better at WRD and OP too; looks like his time.
#4 Biscottini ML chalk was a distant 4th in a lightning fast race for the level last time, so a repeat would make him a major player, though at 5-2 he would be tough to take; underlaid contender.
#9 Alittle Bit Techie The wildcard comes in off a good then bad race at GG on the Tapeta for Wong and now goes to Diodoro, who we know is aces, but that dud last time makes you worry; tabbing today.
Race Summary There's plenty of reason to like the 3, and unlike the 4 and 9, he's ever been in this light on the class scale, so play him aggressively to win and place, and get a bit of additional value by keying him in the 10% takeout Pk5, as well as the late Pk4, since both the other two main contenders will take plenty of action, even though it's the pick who looks like he's getting all the best of it here.
 

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #1
Picks Notes
#8 No Way Never Gets into an easier spot here and owns some back sprint races that would be very tough with these. Likely second choice looks like the one.
#7 Alasaal Drops in with easier company tonight, but he's likely to be overbet here and tends to give away ground late in the lane.
#4 R Paper Chaser Even comeback run stacks up nicely enough with these, and any step forward in this second start off the bench would keep him in the mix at a price.
Race Summary No Way Never and Alasaal look tough here, and maybe trying to get R Paper Chaser to split them in the gimmicks is the way to make this race pay.

Mountaineer - Race #2
Picks Notes
#9 J W Ruckus Should get a pretty dreamy go of things from right up on a fairly modest set of splits, and he can probably stick around a bit better with that roughly 90-day comeback run out of the way.
#2 Stormcoast Steps up off a nice win with conditioned claiming company, and though he has found this level a bit tough in the past, this isn't the deepest bunch for this kind.
#6 Rum on the Rocks Reliable turf efforts locally have him right in the mix again with these, and he'd be plenty interesting at anything like the 9/2 ML offering.
Race Summary J W Ruckus should get a nice run from near the top, and his overall form is competitive with what it'd take to win in this spot. Expecting better tonight.

Mountaineer - Race #3
Picks Notes
#3 Come on City Has positional pace to find a good spot near the top early on, and that was a solid comeback off the long layoff last out.
#6 Violet Blue No clue what to make of this one off the long layoff while dropping out of GIII company. Plenty of back turf tries fit, but something tells me she's not coming back running like she was last summer.
#1 Pride of Wilko Loves the local lawn with an 11-for-18 career record here, and she posted a nice win off the layoff last out that should have her set for something even better here.
Race Summary Come on City is interesting off the good run last time out, and she's probably capable of something a little bit better this time around.
 

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1
Picks Notes
#6 SWEET LULLABY Shrugged off odds-on favorite with ease, can’t go beyond.
#4 ALWAYS ARTISTIC Four deep in outer flow, rode rail in stretch, just missed second.
#1 RACING FOR RICK No threat to pace-setting winner, Miller’s choice over ‘Artistic.’
Race Summary Sweet Lullaby parked the 1-to-2 favorite and had plenty left to prevail against many of the same rivals she meets today. Key her on all exotic wagers and play a 6-4-ALL trifecta.

The Meadows - Race #4
Picks Notes
#1 TEGGERS HANOVER Surprising rally at 90-1, taken to upset with favorable post switch.
#8 BIG KIZ Seeks third consecutive victory with Palone.
#7 AMERICA FIRST Chased Big Kiz from the pocket but couldn’t reach as odds-on choice.
Race Summary Teggers Hanover launched a strong 3- and 4-wide rally in the final quarter mile to finish third at 90-1. He could turn the tables on the favorites with a rail starting spot. Play 1-7 and 1-8 exactas.

Northfield Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#2 SMUDGE Met streaking rival in latest, can sustain bid in this field.
#1 MATTY WILL Invader has best recent speed figures but 0-56 record to go with it.
#8 MAX PLAY Led long way in traffic-marred race, will be underlay as a result.
Race Summary Smudge rallied mildly in the middle half against a 1-to-9 rival who was winning for the fourth consecutive time. He can run past these with a similar-type move. Play 2-1 and 2-8 exacta.
 

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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#1 Pert Was up in time in 2 of her last 3 and her only Gulfstream start produced a victory; can be in a good position throughout.
#4 Miss My Macho On the board in 4 of her last 5 at Gulfstream and was a sharp winner for a higher price two races back; can apply the pressure throughout.
#2 Interest Dropped in class last time and was haltered by the Sanchez stable; ran 2nd in that one and has taken 3 of 5 at Gulfstream.
Race Summary Pert scored nicely on or near the front end last out and has shown she can be comfortable positioned anywhere in the field.

Gulfstream Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#1 American Phenom Didn't break well and can rolling for a 4th-place finish and was claimed out of that by the Crichton barn; steps up to maiden special company and has trained well for this.
#2 R Private Jet Has been impressive during morning activities and the Baxter stable has the Khozan gelding ready for his initial try; he's bred to sprint on grass.
#3 Chamberlain Has been outrun on the main track and can improve in moving to the turf; has the advantage in experience.
Race Summary American Phenom is an American Pharoah colt originally purchased by $340K and was claimed for $50K in his 1st start; trainer Crichton has given him plenty of time between starts and he should be effective in stepping up in class.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#5 Thissmytime Was outstanding in a fast score last time and likely will be dismissed at a decent price; worth the chance.
#6 Loriloupies Clearly will be the favorite after easy wins in her last two; has fast works and will be extremely tough here.
#7 Cajun Delight Gave way early in a stakes race in her latest after an easy maiden win; has plenty of works and fits in this spot.
Race Summary Thissmytime was up in time in her 3rd career start and can make a solid challenge; started out at Belmont, where she was 3rd fall.
 

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CANTERBURY

RACE #1 CANTERBURY PARK $13,500 Claiming
6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:40 PM ET

#5 NEVERBLINK

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 2-1 5 Neverblink R Eikleberry
PLACE 5/2 4 Homeland Messa D Velazquez
SHOW 4-1 3 Campaign Spy L Mawing
WILD CARD 5-1 6 L Cristabal C Roman

ALTERNATE 1 6-1 1 Classy Papa F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 2 Smellin Candy J Loveberry

* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX



RACE #2 CANTERBURY PARK $25,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 6:10 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 8/5 7 Clickbait R Chirinos
PLACE 6-1 5 Wild Munny D Velazquez
SHOW 3-1 1 Bright Bling R Eikleberry
WILD CARD 9/2 2 Grand Prize I Hernandez

ALTERNATE 1 12-1 6 Mizzen Air F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Forty Nine Model J Loveberry

* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX



RACE #3 CANTERBURY PARK $50,000 Stakes
1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 6:40 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9/2 7 Smart N Wicked D Velazquez
PLACE 5-1 5 Delia OHara D P Butler
SHOW 6-1 2 Defend the Rose R Chirinos
WILD CARD 2-1 3 Urban Fairytale A L Canchari

ALTERNATE 1 3-1 1 Ask Bailey F Geroux
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 6 Machos Vision L D Biehler

* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX



RACE #4 CANTERBURY PARK $75,000 Stakes
1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 7:10 PM ET

#6 HUNKA BURNING LOVE

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-1 6 Hunka Burning Love R Eikleberry
PLACE 7/2 3 Nobrag Justfact C Roman
SHOW 6-1 4 The Black Album A L Canchari
WILD CARD 5/2 8 Temple F Geroux

ALTERNATE 1 10-1 7 Dontask Donttell J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 2 Giant Payday L D Goncalves

* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX



RACE #5 CANTERBURY PARK $100,000 Stakes
1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 7:40 PM ET

$100,000 MYSTIC LAKE DERBY PURSE

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9/5 4 Angelus Warrior F Geroux
PLACE 8-1 5 Hondo Lane F Arrieta
SHOW 10-1 6 Creative Plan R Eikleberry
WILD CARD 5/2 3 Summer Assault J Loveberry

ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 Plane Talk C Roman
ALTERNATE 2 4-1 1 Bayou Prospector A L Canchari

* EXACTA: 3,4,5,6 Box
* TRIFECTA: 4,5,6/3,4,5,6/3,4,5,6


COMMENTS: ANGELUS WARRIOR has hit the board in four of five at the distance and five of six on turf. HONDO LANE owns the highest, last race speed figure and could be better in his second start off the bench, a 29% angle for trainer Shawn Davis. CREATIVE PLAN has won two straight and could move forward in his second start after a layoff. SUMMER ASSUALT has hit the board in four of five starts.



RACE #6 CANTERBURY PARK $25,500 Allowance Optional Claiming
1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 8:10 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 8-1 6 Mr. Benz D Velazquez
PLACE 8-1 5 Professional F Arrieta
SHOW 5/2 4 Clear the Mine J Loveberry
WILD CARD 5-1 7 Jerrys Pridenjoy I Hernandez

ALTERNATE 1 7/2 2 Go Away R Eikleberry
ALTERNATE 2 6-1 1 All Under Control R Chirinos

* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX



RACE #7 CANTERBURY PARK $75,000 Stakes
1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 8:40 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 15-1 3 Chance to Shine I Hernandez
PLACE 4-1 4 Aife R Eikleberry
SHOW 5-1 12 Fools Paradise F Arrieta
WILD CARD 5/2 8 Winning Envelope F Geroux

ALTERNATE 1 12-1 1 Firstmate J E Felix
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 11 Lady Orchid J Loveberry

* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-12 BOX, 12-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/12 BOX, 4/8/12 BOX



RACE #8 CANTERBURY PARK $50,000 Stakes
5 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 9:10 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 7/5 6 Wellabled J Loveberry
PLACE 5/2 9 Chief Cicatriz F Arrieta
SHOW 6-1 4 Lawton R Eikleberry
WILD CARD 15-1 8 Superiors Boy D Velazquez

ALTERNATE 1 12-1 7 Fireman Oscar A Quinonez
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Bushrod J E Felix

* EXACTA: 6-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/9 BOX, 4/8/9 BOX



RACE #9 CANTERBURY PARK $13,000 Maiden Claiming
5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 9:40 PM ET

#4 BISCOTTINI

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5/2 4 Biscottini E Garcia
PLACE 3-1 3 Polarcents D Velazquez
SHOW 9/2 9 Alittle Bit Techie F Arrieta
WILD CARD 8-1 1 Okie Logic L D Biehler

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 8 Pokegama A Quinonez
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 6 Miss Aggie Bling R Eikleberry

* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/9 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX
 

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Paul Leiner

UFC Pick 7/15

Wed Jul 15, 2020
Nice one yesterday. 2-0 in soccer and Glenn's Jumper wins the 1st at Louisiana Downs. Here's a UFC picks. Should have some horses later for you.

100* Tim Elliott -125
 

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Gjelstad and Norheim

Soccer
Wednesday, July 15


Newcastle v. Tottenham (1 p.m. ET)

Money line: Tottenham -125


Total goals: Over 2.5

Likely score: Tottenham 2, Newcastle 1


Burnley v. Wolves (1 p.m. ET)

Money line: Wolves -110

Total goals: Under 2.5

Likely score: Wolves 1, Burnley 0


Manchester City v. Bournemouth (1 p.m. ET)

Money line: Manchester City -600

Total goals: Over 3.5

Likely score: Manchester City 4, Bournemouth 0


Arsenal v. Liverpool (3:15 p.m. ET)

Money line: Liverpool -110

Total goals: Over 2.5

Likely score: Liverpool 2, Arsenal 1
 

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Mike McClure

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige

Top Picks

Abdul Razak Alhassan
Jack Shore
Calvin Kattar

Fight Picks

Calvin Kattar (-300) vs. Dan Ige (+250): Kattar
Tim Elliott (-120) vs. Ryan Benoit (+100): Elliott
Jimmie Rivera (-135) vs. Cody Stamann (+115): Stamann
Molly McCann (-120) vs. Taila Santos (+100): McCann
Abdul Razak Alhassan (-325) vs. Mounir Lazzez (+265): Alhassan
Khamzat Chimaev (-320) vs. John Phillips (+260): Chimaev
Ricardo Ramos (-155) vs. Lerone Murphy (+135): Ramos
Modestas Bukauskas (-220) vs. Andreas Michailidis (+190): Michailidis
Jared Gordon (-145) vs. Chris Fishgold (+125): Gordon
Diana Belbita (-160) vs. Liana Jojua (+140): Belbita
Jack Shore (-700) vs. Aaron Phillips (+500): Shore
 

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