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In the latest University of Texas,Tyler Poll (by Dallas Morning News)
Biden is edging Trump 48% to 43%.
If Biden can win Texas not only is Trump doomed for the election,
but Texas will have turned BLUE and will likely remain blue
as demographic changes favoring Democrats in that state were
already going to make the state blue before long anyway.


Texas Likely Voter Sample: June 29–July 7, 2020
= 1677 Adults (LikelyVoters) MOE: +/-2.4%

38.5% Democrat (646 respondents)
42.5% Republican (715 respondents)
light-bulb.gif
<--- MORE Republicans!!!

19% neither (326 respondents)

*NOTE:
these aggregate results have a slight bias, toward Republican!
light-bulb.gif

Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Dallas_Morning_News_July_12_2020.pdf


Q: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way
President trump is handling his job as President?

44% ...Approve
50% ...DISapprove of trump!

(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)


Q: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way
President trump is handling the coronavirus?

41% ...Approve
51% ...DISapprove!

(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)


Q: If the general election for president were held today,
for whom would you vote?

43% ... donald "adolf" trump
48% ...Joe Biden
(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)


Q: Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral view
of the Black Lives Matter movement?

43% ...FAVORABLE of BLM !!!

34% ...unfavorable
23% ...neutral
(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)

Thanks to Dafinch for heads-up about this new poll!
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Dallas_Morning_News_July_12_2020.pdf
 

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In the latest University of Texas,Tyler Poll (by Dallas Morning News)
Biden is edging Trump 48% to 43%.
If Biden can win Texas not only is Trump doomed for the election,
but Texas will have turned BLUE and will likely remain blue
as demographic changes favoring Democrats in that state were
already going to make the state blue before long anyway.


Texas Likely Voter Sample: June 29–July 7, 2020
= 1677 Adults (LikelyVoters) MOE: +/-2.4%

38.5% Democrat (646 respondents)
42.5% Republican (715 respondents)
light-bulb.gif
<--- MORE Republicans!!!

19% neither (326 respondents)

*NOTE:
these aggregate results have a slight bias, toward Republican!
light-bulb.gif

Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Dallas_Morning_News_July_12_2020.pdf


Q: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way
President trump is handling his job as President?

44% ...Approve
50% ...DISapprove of trump!

(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)


Q: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way
President trump is handling the coronavirus?

41% ...Approve
51% ...DISapprove!

(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)


Q: If the general election for president were held today,
for whom would you vote?

43% ... donald "adolf" trump
48% ...Joe Biden
(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)


Q: Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral view
of the Black Lives Matter movement?

43% ...FAVORABLE of BLM !!!

34% ...unfavorable
23% ...neutral
(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)

Thanks to Dafinch for heads-up about this new poll!
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Dallas_Morning_News_July_12_2020.pdf

Rumor has it that the "Fat Lady" is starting to clear her throat getting ready to sing sometime in the not too distant future.
 

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1677 Adults (Likely Voters)
 

New member
Joined
Jun 14, 2020
Messages
1,711
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In the latest University of Texas,Tyler Poll (by Dallas Morning News)
Biden is edging Trump 48% to 43%.
If Biden can win Texas not only is Trump doomed for the election,
but Texas will have turned BLUE and will likely remain blue
as demographic changes favoring Democrats in that state were
already going to make the state blue before long anyway.


Texas Likely Voter Sample: June 29–July 7, 2020
= 1677 Adults (LikelyVoters) MOE: +/-2.4%

38.5% Democrat (646 respondents)
42.5% Republican (715 respondents)
light-bulb.gif
<--- MORE Republicans!!!

19% neither (326 respondents)

*NOTE:
these aggregate results have a slight bias, toward Republican!
light-bulb.gif

Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Dallas_Morning_News_July_12_2020.pdf


Q: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way
President trump is handling his job as President?

44% ...Approve
50% ...DISapprove of trump!

(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)


Q: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way
President trump is handling the coronavirus?

41% ...Approve
51% ...DISapprove!

(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)


Q: If the general election for president were held today,
for whom would you vote?

43% ... donald "adolf" trump
48% ...Joe Biden
(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)


Q: Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral view
of the Black Lives Matter movement?

43% ...FAVORABLE of BLM !!!

34% ...unfavorable
23% ...neutral
(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)

Thanks to Dafinch for heads-up about this new poll!
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Dallas_Morning_News_July_12_2020.pdf



I should also add, to be fair,
that if I were to follow my usual approach and ELIMINATE known poll bias
by ignoring the "aggregate results" (shown above, favoring REPUBLICAN voters)
and instead just display the responses from MODERATES (or Independents)
the numbers above would show even wider divergence!

Anyone can review this here:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Dallas_Morning_News_July_12_2020.pdf
 

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Joined
Jun 14, 2020
Messages
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I should also add, to be fair,
that if I were to follow my usual approach and ELIMINATE known poll bias
by ignoring the "aggregate results" (shown above, favoring REPUBLICAN voters)
and instead just display the responses from MODERATES (or Independents)
the numbers above would show even wider divergence!

Anyone can review this here:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Dallas_Morning_News_July_12_2020.pdf




Interesting results in the new
CBS News/YouGov "Battleground Tracker" survey


As usual I am ignoring the "aggregate results" reported as they may have poll bias,
and instead just showing the resopnses from MODERATES (ie, neither Liberal nor Conservative)
from 1100 ARIZONA voters (MOE 3.8)

Q: Regardless of how you feel about his policies, do you
like or dislike how trump handles himself personally?

MODERATES said:
20% ....Like
80% ..DISLIKE!
light-bulb.gif
light-bulb.gif



Q: Do you or disagree with the ideas
expressed in the Black Lives Matter movement?
MODERATES said:
66% ...AGREE with BLM !!
light-bulb.gif

34% ....disagree


Q: If the election were held today...?
MODERATES said:
55% ... Biden
light-bulb.gif

30% ... trump

Source: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1NdvAi60uPh_3x7OMA1S_ZtFCMBB7y8X_/view
 

New member
Joined
Jun 14, 2020
Messages
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In the latest University of Texas,Tyler Poll (by Dallas Morning News)
Biden is edging Trump 48% to 43%.
If Biden can win Texas not only is Trump doomed for the election,
but Texas will have turned BLUE and will likely remain blue
as demographic changes favoring Democrats in that state were
already going to make the state blue before long anyway.


Texas Likely Voter Sample: June 29–July 7, 2020
= 1677 Adults (LikelyVoters) MOE: +/-2.4%

38.5% Democrat (646 respondents)
42.5% Republican (715 respondents)
light-bulb.gif
<--- MORE Republicans!!!

19% neither (326 respondents)

*NOTE:
these aggregate results have a slight bias, toward Republican!
light-bulb.gif

Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Dallas_Morning_News_July_12_2020.pdf


Q: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way
President trump is handling his job as President?

44% ...Approve
50% ...DISapprove of trump!

(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)


Q: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way
President trump is handling the coronavirus?

41% ...Approve
51% ...DISapprove!

(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)


Q: If the general election for president were held today,
for whom would you vote?

43% ... donald "adolf" trump
48% ...Joe Biden
(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)


Q: Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral view
of the Black Lives Matter movement?

43% ...FAVORABLE of BLM !!!

34% ...unfavorable
23% ...neutral
(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)

Thanks to Dafinch for heads-up about this new poll!
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Dallas_Morning_News_July_12_2020.pdf[/
QUOTE]

Noteworthy in the above survey of TEXANS,
is that there were more REPUBLICANS than Democrats,
yet the net aggregate STILL favors Biden by +5
 

Active member
Joined
Nov 23, 2011
Messages
95,233
Tokens
Stupid old fucks


Joe Biden buoyed by fake polls, false reporting”

If this is all the Democrats’ water carriers in the media can come up with, Biden’s in even deeper trouble than believed. But it’s not for lack of trying. Biden may be a sucky candidate for president, but pollsters and press alike are working furiously around the clock to disguise that truth.

Nowhere in the story was the actual poll linked, so it was impossible to see the questions that were asked, or the order in which the questions were asked, or anything that would help explain how Biden was able to have such a rip-roaring lead over Trump, despite being such a sucky candidate — anything independent of that is, who took the numbers from their own organization and dutifully packaged and presented them in a story as if they were fact.

There was this bit at the bottom of the piece: “The Reuters poll was conducted online, in English, throughout the United States. The poll gathered responses from 4,426 American adults, including 2,047 Democrats and 1,593 Republicans.”
In other words: The poll was online — a la Survey Monkey. It gathered responses from a majority of Democrats — who hate Trump. And it wasn’t even a gathering of responses from registered voters, but rather American adults. Hmm. Interesting.

Here’s one other clue about the ridiculous findings of this survey, as reported at the bottom of the story: “The poll had a credibility interval, a measure of precision, of plus or minus 2 percentage points.”


Credibility interval is not the same as a margin of error.

In fact, it’s an entirely unscientific way of gauging public opinion. In a word, it’s bull. The American Association for Public Opinion Research says as much.

Biden, pure and simple, is being buoyed by fake polls, fake headlines and false reporting. No wonder Americans don’t trust the media to report the truth.
 

New member
Joined
Jun 14, 2020
Messages
1,711
Tokens
In the latest University of Texas,Tyler Poll (by Dallas Morning News)
Biden is edging Trump 48% to 43%.
If Biden can win Texas not only is Trump doomed for the election,
but Texas will have turned BLUE and will likely remain blue
as demographic changes favoring Democrats in that state were
already going to make the state blue before long anyway.


Texas Likely Voter Sample: June 29–July 7, 2020
= 1677 Adults (LikelyVoters) MOE: +/-2.4%

38.5% Democrat (646 respondents)
42.5% Republican (715 respondents)
light-bulb.gif
<--- MORE Republicans!!!

19% neither (326 respondents)

*NOTE:
these aggregate results have a slight bias, toward Republican!
light-bulb.gif

Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Dallas_Morning_News_July_12_2020.pdf


Q: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way
President trump is handling his job as President?

44% ...Approve
50% ...DISapprove of trump!

(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)


Q: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way
President trump is handling the coronavirus?

41% ...Approve
51% ...DISapprove!

(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)


Q: If the general election for president were held today,
for whom would you vote?

43% ... donald "adolf" trump
48% ...Joe Biden
(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)


Q: Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral view
of the Black Lives Matter movement?

43% ...FAVORABLE of BLM !!!

34% ...unfavorable
23% ...neutral
(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)

Thanks to Dafinch for heads-up about this new poll!
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Dallas_Morning_News_July_12_2020.pdf[/
QUOTE]

Noteworthy in the above survey of TEXANS,
is that there were more REPUBLICANS than Democrats,
yet the net aggregate STILL favors Biden by +5




.


Additionally, it is interesting that a similar survey from ARIZONA
in the CBS/YouGov poll found strinkingly similar results in key areas
with Qs asked of local Arizonans....which is a KEY swing state.
I have already conceeded TEXAS to stay redneck...but not AZ!
 

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Messages
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KY-Sen: Hell Has Frozen Over,
Ann Coulter Ditches Moscow Mitch (R)
& Praises Amy McGrath (Dem)


Ann Coulter

@AnnCoulter




·
Jul 10
The lovely Amy McGrath is a Marine Corps veteran.
The average donation to her campaign is $36.

Mitch McConnell is a broken-down old man
owed by cheap labor lobbyists. #DefeatMcConnell
 

New member
Joined
Jun 14, 2020
Messages
1,711
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KY-Sen: Hell Has Frozen Over,
Ann Coulter Ditches Moscow Mitch (R)
& Praises Amy McGrath (Dem)


Ann Coulter

@AnnCoulter· Jul 10

The lovely Amy McGrath is a Marine Corps veteran.
The average donation to her campaign is $36.

Mitch McConnell is a broken-down old man
owed by cheap labor lobbyists. #DefeatMcConnell



'You complete blithering idiot': Ann Coulter turns
on 'disloyal actual retard' Trump
in Twitter rant over his criticism of former AG Jeff Sessions



Former Donald Trump fan Ann Coulter yesterday went on an extraordinary Twitter rant, calling the president a 'disloyal retard' and a 'blithering idiot.'
Coulter was incensed on Sunday after Trump tweeted 'Alabama, do not trust Jeff Sessions', the latest attack by the president on his former Attorney General.
The far-right pundit said Trump's endorsement of Tommy Tuberville - Sessions' opponent in the Republican primary - showed he was
'the most disloyal human God ever created.'



 

Active member
Joined
Nov 23, 2011
Messages
95,233
Tokens
Stupid old fucks


Joe Biden buoyed by fake polls, false reporting”

If this is all the Democrats’ water carriers in the media can come up with, Biden’s in even deeper trouble than believed. But it’s not for lack of trying. Biden may be a sucky candidate for president, but pollsters and press alike are working furiously around the clock to disguise that truth.

Nowhere in the story was the actual poll linked, so it was impossible to see the questions that were asked, or the order in which the questions were asked, or anything that would help explain how Biden was able to have such a rip-roaring lead over Trump, despite being such a sucky candidate — anything independent of that is, who took the numbers from their own organization and dutifully packaged and presented them in a story as if they were fact.

There was this bit at the bottom of the piece: “The Reuters poll was conducted online, in English, throughout the United States. The poll gathered responses from 4,426 American adults, including 2,047 Democrats and 1,593 Republicans.”
In other words: The poll was online — a la Survey Monkey. It gathered responses from a majority of Democrats — who hate Trump. And it wasn’t even a gathering of responses from registered voters, but rather American adults. Hmm. Interesting.

Here’s one other clue about the ridiculous findings of this survey, as reported at the bottom of the story: “The poll had a credibility interval, a measure of precision, of plus or minus 2 percentage points.”


Credibility interval is not the same as a margin of error.

In fact, it’s an entirely unscientific way of gauging public opinion. In a word, it’s bull. The American Association for Public Opinion Research says as much.

Biden, pure and simple, is being buoyed by fake polls, fake headlines and false reporting. No wonder Americans don’t trust the media to report the truth.
.
 

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Joined
Jun 14, 2020
Messages
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"When we pretend we are holy, we are lying!
When we
pose as blameless in order to hurt other people,
we are committing the gravest sin of all and
we will be punished for it. There's no question."
.....................................................................-- Tucker Carlson, July 13
OIP.SneOhfV_PFDc7FKGGtX1nQHaEK

 

Active member
Joined
Nov 23, 2011
Messages
95,233
Tokens
Stupid old fucks


Joe Biden buoyed by fake polls, false reporting”

If this is all the Democrats’ water carriers in the media can come up with, Biden’s in even deeper trouble than believed. But it’s not for lack of trying. Biden may be a sucky candidate for president, but pollsters and press alike are working furiously around the clock to disguise that truth.

Nowhere in the story was the actual poll linked, so it was impossible to see the questions that were asked, or the order in which the questions were asked, or anything that would help explain how Biden was able to have such a rip-roaring lead over Trump, despite being such a sucky candidate — anything independent of that is, who took the numbers from their own organization and dutifully packaged and presented them in a story as if they were fact.

There was this bit at the bottom of the piece: “The Reuters poll was conducted online, in English, throughout the United States. The poll gathered responses from 4,426 American adults, including 2,047 Democrats and 1,593 Republicans.”
In other words: The poll was online — a la Survey Monkey. It gathered responses from a majority of Democrats — who hate Trump. And it wasn’t even a gathering of responses from registered voters, but rather American adults. Hmm. Interesting.

Here’s one other clue about the ridiculous findings of this survey, as reported at the bottom of the story: “The poll had a credibility interval, a measure of precision, of plus or minus 2 percentage points.”


Credibility interval is not the same as a margin of error.

In fact, it’s an entirely unscientific way of gauging public opinion. In a word, it’s bull. The American Association for Public Opinion Research says as much.

Biden, pure and simple, is being buoyed by fake polls, fake headlines and false reporting. No wonder Americans don’t trust the media to report the truth.
.
 

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Joined
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Messages
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"When we pretend we are holy, we are lying!
When we
pose as blameless
in order to hurt other people,
we are committing the gravest sin of all and
we will be punished for it. There's no question."

.....................................................................-- Tucker Carlson, July 13
OIP.SneOhfV_PFDc7FKGGtX1nQHaEK

[/QUOTE Tucker conveniently raced off to a umm, "planned" vacation so he could duck the aftermath of losing his #1 speech writer
 

New member
Joined
Jun 14, 2020
Messages
1,711
Tokens





"When we pretend we are holy, we are lying!
When we
pose as blameless
in order to hurt other people,
we are committing the gravest sin of all and
we will be punished for it. There's no question."

.....................................................................-- Tucker Carlson, July 13
OIP.SneOhfV_PFDc7FKGGtX1nQHaEK

[/QUOTE Tucker conveniently raced off to a umm, "planned" vacation so he could duck the aftermath of losing his #1 speech writer





ECONOMIST/YouGov national poll
1500 (1242 RV) 3.3% MOE, July 12 - 14, 2020
Source: https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/hpupr0zhkl/econTabReport.pdf

*NOTE:
Before fascist adolf-lovers here wets their collective panties
to eliminate poll bias, I show the responses from "MODERATES"
(ie, niether Liberals, nor Conservatives)
MODERATES decide elections!




Q: How much do you trust MEDICAL ADVICE from Dr. Fauci ?
MODERATES say:
57% ...trust Dr. Fauci for MEDICAL advice
13% ...don't trust

Q: How much do you trust MEDICAL ADVICE from president trump?
MODERATES say:
17% ... trust
65% ... don't trust trump for MEDICAL advice



Now check out what the less educated said:



**REPUBLICANS ONLY say:
38% ... trust Dr.Fauci for MEDICAL advice
36% ... don't trust Dr.Fauci

** REPUBLICANS ONLY say:
63% ..TRUST trump for MEDICAL advice !!!
light-bulb.gif

15% ...don't trust
 

New member
Joined
Jun 14, 2020
Messages
1,711
Tokens


"When we pretend we are holy, we are lying!

When we
pose as blameless
in order to hurt other people,
we are committing the gravest sin of all and
we will be punished for it. There's no question."

.................................................................... .---- Tucker Carlson, July 13
OIP.SneOhfV_PFDc7FKGGtX1nQHaEK

Tucker conveniently raced off to a umm, "planned" vacation
so he could duck the aftermath of losing his #1 speech writer
 

Member
Joined
Jan 13, 2019
Messages
4,248
Tokens


"When we pretend we are holy, we are lying!

When we
pose as blameless
in order to hurt other people,
we are committing the gravest sin of all and
we will be punished for it. There's no question."

.................................................................... .---- Tucker Carlson, July 13
OIP.SneOhfV_PFDc7FKGGtX1nQHaEK

Tucker conveniently raced off to a umm, "planned" vacation
so he could duck the aftermath of losing his #1 speech writer

No doubt you havent a clue about what is going on with Tucker, and he couldnt care less about your stupid opinion about it!
 

New member
Joined
Jun 14, 2020
Messages
1,711
Tokens
In the latest University of Texas,Tyler Poll (by Dallas Morning News)
Texas Likely Voter Sample: June 29–July 7, 2020
= 1677 Adults (LikelyVoters) MOE: +/-2.4%

38.5% Democrat (646 respondents)
42.5% Republican (715 respondents)
light-bulb.gif
<--- MORE Republicans!!!

19% neither (326 respondents)

*NOTE:
these aggregate results have a slight bias, toward Republican!
light-bulb.gif

Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Dallas_Morning_News_July_12_2020.pdf


Q: If the general election for president were held today,
for whom would you vote?

43% ... donald "adolf" trump
48% ...Joe Biden
(Remember, in this UTT poll there are MORE Republican respondents!)







Thanks to Dafinch for heads-up about this new poll!
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Dallas_Morning_News_July_12_2020.pdf
 

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