Wednesday Service Play Thread 07/22/2020

BuzzKill · Jul 19, 2020

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BuzzKill · Jul 22, 2020

Newsletters - http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=307&p=13193166&viewfull=1#post13193166

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Andrew McInnis

KBO best bet (4%)
Game: (304619) Lotte Giants at (304620) SK Wyverns
Date/Time: Jul 22 2020 5:30 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: SK Wyverns -125

View Analysis

SK Wyverns -125

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

XS Sports Picks KBO (116-69) 63%

5* SK Wyverns -135
5* SK Wyverns -1.5 +135
5* Doosan Bears Over 10.5 -115

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Saratoga - Race #4
Picks Notes
#7 Tenderfoot Price player takes the big MSW drop for a patient Wilkes barn, goes second off the long layoff too, and catches a field with plenty of speed; spotted to score.
#8 Lost in Rome Class riser was a fast 2nd for the 20k level last time, adds blinkers for a bit more focus, and won't need to improve much to play with these; major player.
#6 Yankee Empire Stalker was a solid 2nd at the level last time, should sit the right trip a bit off all the speed, and is another who will offer a square price; contention runs deep.
Race Summary You should get fair value on the pick, as there are plenty here who will get bet, so play him in all the slots, and especially the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since you could surmise this was the plan Wilkes had in mind all along, and that he's primed to fire a lifetime best, which might be all it takes to beat this group.

Saratoga - Race #5
Picks Notes
#2 Crack Shot Speedster ran off then tired off the long break last time, but the prep is now behind him, so he should be tighter, and he has a big tactical edge on the heavy chalk; come catch the pick.
#8 Maxwell Empire Aforementioned heavy favorite was just a closing 4th in a stakes, so he's getting bet hard here, but that was far and away his best, and the rest aren't any great shakes; backwheel time.
#3 Inside Info Class riser goes back to the turf off the Rice claim (24%), for a barn that has starrted the meet white hot, and the lone turf run was a route, so he could wake up here; exotics price appeal.
Race Summary You'll get a hint of a price on the 2 because they will go overboard on the 8, and you can easily see the former moving forward off the comeback, while the latter regresses a bit off the breakthrough run, not to mention he's always at the mercy of the pace too, and now shortens up here, so play 'Shot aggressively to win and place, and make sure to use his number to end the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since budget players will likely be singling 'Empire, even though there may be a few chinks in his armor.

Saratoga - Race #7
Picks Notes
#6 Gaelic Gold Dangerous sort was in against open foes at Tampa and was a closing 6th, and now she drops in against NYBs for a Clement barn that is white hot to start the meet; look out.
#1 Madison Parc The chalk was another facing open MSW runners, at SA and CD no less, so this is a huge drop, and the turf debut, her lone grass start, was a big 4th; clearly the one to beat.
#8 Unicorn Sally Longshot got back with friends off the break and closed nicely to be 4th at Bel last time, and while this is a tougher group, her stretch run makes her a player late; can get a piece.
Race Summary It looks like a class play here between the 1 and 6, and the former has more appeal since the barn has been having a banner year and is firing early at the meet, plus she'll be a better price too, so play her in all the slots, and especially the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since 5-1 seems like a ton of value, and just maybe you sneak close to it out in what is a deep field where a lot of them look similar on paper.

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #1
Picks Notes
#6 Five Green Stars Even comeback run on the dirt, but his back form on the turf is where the good form sits. It's obviously a question of what he has left in the tank at age 10, but he's worth a price look on the turf return if he offers double digits.
#2 Elwood's Advice Posted a nice win last out on the turf with a softer bunch, but there are a couple of suspect players in here who will get bet, and this guy has as good a chance as any.
#9 Clickjab Has never been much on turf, but he brings the best recent form to this. That said, all that form came on the dirt, and he's probably getting bet again here.
Race Summary This is a tough spot where ML favorite #4 Wickets Way can win, but his form is all over the place and dirt is his best game. Five Green Stars has plenty of questions to answer today, but a fair price would make it interesting to find out just how much of that back turf form he can dig to find.

Mountaineer - Race #2
Picks Notes
#5 Less Than Perfect Tailed off at the end of 2019 and hasn't inspired any confidence yet in a pair of 2020 starts, but perhaps a change of scenery from Tampa will give him a chance to wake up with plenty of back turf runs that'd make him tough here. Early double of price players finding some back turf form?
#3 Dragunov Has always done his best work on the grass, so much of that poor form on his page becomes pretty excusable. He can get a tactical trip on the hike and owns races good enough to be in the mix.
#1 Anechoic Inside pace probably has to go, and though he won his only turf start, he probably has a little bit of company lined up with him in the early stages today.
Race Summary Less Than Perfect has some chance to bounce back off a couple of dull Tampa turf tries, and the price will be right to hope he bounces back here in a somewhat suspect race.

Mountaineer - Race #3
Picks Notes
#7 Lovin Machen Forward player goes second off the layoff after flashing pace and fading in the comeback run. Always willing to give speed horses a pass for a fading comeback run, so this filly might be worth the look today.
#2 Shezagoldgetter Tactical type has had eight chances and always seems to be in the right spot. Still, he hasn't won a race, and will take some cash here while being no sure thing to seal the deal tonight.
#4 Ultra Diva Debuter doesn't meet a super strong group, so it'd be no surprise to see her win right out of the box today.
Race Summary Loving Machen has every right to stick around better today with the last run under her belt, and there isn't a whole lot in here to be afraid of. A couple of those 2019 tries would be good enough to land this.

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #4
Picks Notes
#6 BILLION DOLLAR DAY Figures close-up throughout, use in all gimmick wagers at 5-1 on morning line.
#4 HILARIOUS LOU Exits fast heat, gets class relief, seeks fourth win of the year.
#1 BOBBIES POWER PLAY Tired in well-backed return at this level, has speed and the rail.
Race Summary Billion Dollar Day, winless in nine starts this year, carried his speed to the stretch but settled for another minor award. He can use his speed well in this field and offers good betting value with second-time Lasix. Play 6-1 and 6-4 exactas.

Northfield Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#6 FRIGGUN FAST Rallied from far back in win at this level, went well until mishap in follow-up.
#3 HIT IT MAESTRO No match against three-peat winner, no excuse in this field.
#7 RIDEWITHTHEDEVIL Led and faded in return, had excuses in last pair, switches pilots again.
Race Summary Friggun Fast overcame early interference and caught the 6-to-5 favorite at this level two starts back. He raced close-up to the stretch before he broke stride against better last week. His trainer takes the driving reigns tonight, which should yield maximum betting value.

Northfield Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#2 IRISH ART Can make good use of his speed in this spot, lures Wrenn.
#5 ARRHYTHMIC SURGE Reversed form, blew past 1-to-5 fave, continued strong on gallop-out.
#6 ZIP ZIP WILL Burned serious money out of town, starts fresh in new barn, had useful qualifier.
Race Summary Irish Art, far back against better last week, is a major player with tonight with speed, an inner post and Wrenn in the bike. He led until the stretch two starts ago against a 1-to-9 winner at Buffalo. Play a 2-5-6 exacta box.

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #3
Picks Notes
#2 Strollin the Bayou Gave way in the final furlong of her latest vs. much better at Churchill Downs and likely will get back to good form on the class drop; can carve out a good trip and looms as the one to beat.
#4 Miss Mercken Has yet to pan out as a good claiming but the drop in class could move her up here; she has had some quality turf performances and could be a level at which she can succeed.
#3 Monkey Mind Was in good position and faltered to fourth late in her first local starter; capable of improving in her second over the course.
Race Summary Strollin the Bayou moves from Churchill and her class level is more than cut in half; Foley barn still look for her win under its care and looks to have found a good spot for her.

Indiana Grand - Race #6
Picks Notes
#1 Sacred Kiki Bird Was up in time for a N3L state-bred allowance steps down to Indy claimers; was twice claimed at Oaklawn this year and the Garcia stable is perfect with him, having won their only start with him.
#5 Merocketman Ran evenly in his 1st since November and has been in some good allowance races; can improve in his second of the year.
#8 Rooster Comes out of much tougher races recently has had a good chance to turn around his currently ailing form; was in good races last year.
Race Summary Sacred Kiki Bird has been in several barns and has been in decent state-bred races; fits with these.

Indiana Grand - Race #9
Picks Notes
#7 Fancy Creole Queen Has won two straight since a lost in her first one and will be tough if she can run back to her trial win.
#8 Lone Cartel Lost by a nose last time and can improve from running on the outside; could break his maiden in this spot.
#2 Shez Bodacious Was a clear trial winner and was third in her first of the year; can be a big player again.
Race Summary Fancy Creole Queen was up in time in her firs one at Indiana after a maiden win at Remington Park; one to catch.

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Belterra

Race 1:#3 Tiz Stella (2/1)
Race 2:#2 Lagoon Macaroon (5/2)
Race 3:#1 Bold Prophet (5/2)
Race 4:#6 Babeswildweekend (12/1)
Race 5:#1 Private Beach (7/2)
Race 6:#8 Swing West (5/2)
Race 7:#6 Holy Cookie (6/1)
Race 8:#5 Jackstraw (4/1)

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Canterbury

Race 1:#4 Hot Shot Kid (8/5)
Race 2:#3 Carriage (5/1)
Race 3:#4 May We All (2/1)
Race 4:#1 Trapalanda (9/5)
Race 5:#3 Rental Pool (8/5)
Race 6:#7 Mica Bay (9/2)
Race 7:#8 Right On By (5/2)
Race 8:#2 Marvelous Thunder (7/2)
Race 9:#4 Masked (7/2)

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Delaware

Race 1:#6 Ruby Punch (9/2)
Race 2:#1 Hanley (6/1)
Race 3:#5 San Antone (2/1)
Race 4:#2 Baytown Jimbo (8/1)
Race 5:#1 Annika Gold (7/5)
Race 6:#1 Bolter (12/1)
Race 7:#8 She’s Achance Too (2/1)
Race 8:#12 Bayou Jam (4/1)
Race 9:#8 Kaylie’s Girl (6/1)
Race 10:#5 BIG BEN AA (5/2)

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Emerald

Race 1:#1 Waverly Way (9/5)
Race 2:#7 If You Want It (5/1)
Race 3:#6 General Mach Four (3/1)
Race 4:#7 Majestic Cafe (5/2)
Race 5:#6 Tiz Brilliant (12/1)
Race 6:#10 Many Moods (9/2)
Race 7:#4 Dancin in Paradise (6/1)
Race 8:#3 For Him (10/1)
Race 9:#6 Mixo (4/1)
Race 10:#6 Dragon Lady (5/2)

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Evangeline

Race 1:#1 Runaway Henny (8/1)
Race 2:#3 Lady Rad (3/1)
Race 3:#1 Grand Omega (5/2)
Race 4:#1 I Want a Picture (9/5)
Race 5:#9 Streettalkinhottie (5/1)
Race 6:#6 Atchata (4/1)
Race 7:#1 Bet Again (9/5)
Race 8:#5 King of Candy (2/1)
Race 9:#1 Seismic (7/2)

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Finger Lakes

Race 1:#4 Maybe a Rainbow (9/5)
Race 2:#11 Talk You Out of It (7/2)
Race 3:#4 Icy Dude (6/5)
Race 4:#10 Scoregirlscore (8/1)
Race 5:#4 Ma Meatloaf (5/2)
Race 6:#7 One More Tom (6/1)
Race 7:#7 Miss Lily B (5/2)
Race 8:#4 Grammi Dance (7/2)

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Indiana Grand

Race 1:#6 Shacklelackalacka (7/2)
Race 2:#4 Little Alex (7/5)
Race 3:#4 Miss Mercken (8/5)
Race 4:#5 Yesterdays Kisses (4/1)
Race 5:#5 Venetian Princess (3/1)
Race 6:#1 Sacred Kiki Bird (3/1)
Race 7:#4 Unbridled Class (7/5)
Race 8:#1 Explosive Justice (1/1)
Race 9:#4 Wrs Moonin Thewagon (6/1)
Race 10:#1 Hf Willie Catch Me (10/1)

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Lone Star

Race 1:#5 Vaya Con Dios (6/5)
Race 2:#5 Cosmetology (10/1)
Race 3:#10 Silver and Aces (5/2)
Race 4:#1 Gioblast (2/1)
Race 5:#4 Direct Dial (3/5)
Race 6:#7 Island Sun (7/5)
Race 7:#1 Great Affection (6/5)
Race 8:#1 Corluna (3/1)
Race 9:#10 Aqwaam (5/2)

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

LA Downs

Race 1:#2 Cubs Win (9/5)
Race 2:#4 Zelig (6/5)
Race 3:#2 Soco Unbridled (8/1)
Race 4:#1 Dickinson’s Image (7/2)
Race 5:#6 Moneyinmypocket (4/1)
Race 6:#6 Tapit Baby (2/1)
Race 7:#8 Forgotten (8/1)

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Mountaineer

Race 1:#9 Clickjab (5/2)
Race 2:#5 Less Than Perfect (15/1)
Race 3:#2 Shezagoldgetter (3/1)
Race 4:#5 Flying Phillip’s (1/1)
Race 5:#1 Asongforyou (1/1)
Race 6:#7 Prestons Princess (7/2)
Race 7:#7 Valley of Gems (3/1)
Race 8:#4 Binder (6/1)
Race 9:#6 Eli’s Coming (9/2)

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Parx

Race 1:#5 Queen of Schmooze (9/5)
Race 2:#2 Field Officer (9/5)
Race 3:#5 Quality Asset (7/2)
Race 4:#6 Gossip Isle (3/1)
Race 5:#5 La Piu Bella (5/2)
Race 6:#6 Word On a Wing (5/2)
Race 7:#10 Atina Salsa (5/1)
Race 8:#1 Dream Doctor (5/2)
Race 9:#11 E T’s Night Ranger (8/1)

bmd1803 · Jul 22, 2020

Penn National

Race 1:#7 Smart Two a T (2/1)
Race 2:#7 Farmavet (2/1)
Race 3:#7 Flyingontheground (6/1)
Race 4:#1 Vouch (2/1)
Race 5:#6 Intercept (5/2)
Race 6:#2 Regal Anticipation (6/1)
Race 7:#5 Gavie (3/1)
Race 8:#10 Silver Glen (15/1)
Race 9:#4 Noble Flight (8/1)
Race 10:#6 Mohican (2/1)
Race 11:#4 Town Spirit (3/1)

Wednesday Service Play Thread 07/22/2020

Let's go Brandon!

Let's go Brandon!

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