Friday Service Play Thread 07/24/2020

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BuzzKill

BuzzKill

Let's go Brandon!
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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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sailfish

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Rob Veno

MLB Over/Under Win Totals

4% Cardinals under 31.5
3% Braves under 33.5
 
BuzzKill

BuzzKill

Let's go Brandon!
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Peter Kahn

Boxing

He is an astounding 15-0 on SportsLine boxing picks since the hiatus due to the coronavirus pandemic, including an 8-0 sweep this month that extended his highly profitable run.

Vergil Ortiz Jr. vs. Samuel Vargas

Golden Boy Promotions is back on July 24 from Fantasy Springs Casino in California streamed live on DAZN.

Rising superstar and soon to be world title contender Vergil Ortiz Jr. (15-0, 15KOs) is fighting Samuel Vargas (31-5-2, 14KOs) in the headline bout. Vargas has been in with big names such as Errol Spence, Jr, Danny Garcia, Amir Khan and Luis Collazo. His only stoppage losses have come against Spence and Garcia.

It's not a matter of who is going to win, but more so how long Vargas can hang on against Ortiz Jr. There is absolutely no line value here since Ortiz Jr is going to win this fight. With 15 knockouts in 15 fights, the 22-year-old Ortiz Jr is still growing as a fighter. The battle-worn 31-year-old Vargas will be a good test as to where Ortiz Jr.'s boxing IQ is vs. a more experienced opponent. Still, look for Ortiz Jr to overwhelm Vargas.

I'm calling for a fifth-round knockout win.

Hector Tanajara (-1600) vs. Mercito Gesta (+900)

Undefeated up-and-coming 5'10" Hector Tanajara (19-0, 5KOs) is taking on veteran Filipino southpaw Mercito Gesta (32-3-3, 17 KOs) in a lightweight bout. A two-time world title loser, Gesta just can't get the win in a big fight. His losses to Miguel Vazquez in 2012 and Jorge Linares in 2018 show that when he gets in big fights, he's not able to pull off the win.

I was ringside in California when he lost to Juan Antonio Rodriguez by KO in 2019 in an upset and even with the veteran Freddie Roach in his corner, Gesta just didn't look sharp and seemed to run out of gas. Although he's only 32 years old, it could be wear and tear that is Gesta's biggest enemy right now.

Tanajara, on the other hand, is a rising prospect from Texas looking to catapult himself into contender status with a win over the much smaller 5'7" Gesta, who is giving up seven inches in reach along with the three inches in height to Tanajara. Tanajara's record illustrates he's a boxer and not a puncher, so look for him to keep the underdog on the end of his punches all night as Tanajara cruises to a ten-round decision victory for this WBC regional lightweight title that will help Tanajara move up in the world rankings.
 

sailfish

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Brian Bitler

10* Mets (Executive Info Winner)
10* Padres (President’s Choice)
9* White Sox (Value Investment)
 

GDaddy46

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Inkbets

MLB: Atlanta Braves +0.5 1H @ 1.95/-105 (3 Units)
MLB: Cleveland Indians TT Ov4.5 @ 1.74/-135 (3 Units)
MLB: Toronto Blue Jays ML @ 2.26/+126 (2 Units)
MLB: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 @ 1.848/-118 (2 Units)
 

sailfish

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Marc Lawrence

MLB Opening Day Shocker

Play - Atlanta Braves w/Soroka vs DeGrom

Edges - Braves: Soroka is 4-1 in his last five team-starts in this series … Mets: DeGrom is 2-8 in his last ten team-starts in this series, including 1-7 at home … We are never shy about fading defending Cy Young award winners early on the following season, especially when they are not in peak physical form. We recommend a 3* play on Atlanta. Thank you and good luck as always.
 

sailfish

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Joe D'Amico's

DIAMOND PLAY

8* Twins

Take Minnesota. This is my DIAMOND PLAY. Game 967. 5:10 pm pst. Minnesota returns this season as one of the best teams in baseball. The Twins enter 2020 very bitter after finishing the 2019 regular season at 101-61, only to get swept by the Yankees in the Division Series. They start the year off with Jose Berrios on the mound. The RH went 14-8 with an ERA of 3.68 last year, making it three solid campaigns in a row. Lucas Giolito gets the nod at home here. The RH comes off his best campaign yet (14-9, 3.41), but is just 27-26 with an ERA of 4.60, lifetime. The line here is a bit skewed as the Twinkies injury list rivals that of a Belichick/Patriots list. I'm not letting that scare me right now. This is a team on a mission. They are 4-0 the last four games played at the White Sox and 5-1 the last six overall vs. the White Sox. TAKE MINNESOTA. Thank you.
 

sailfish

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Cajun Sports

Diamond Club Insider

8* Twins w/ Berrios

The Minnesota Twins hit the road for their season opener in the Second City as they take on the host Chicago White Sox Friday night. We have the Twins in a pair of super situations the first looks at the Twins when they are on the road and installed as the favorite. Since the 2012 campaign Minnesota has been money in the bank producing an ROI of +19.2 percent and a profit of +$2,175. The Twins have cashed the winning ticket almost seventy percent of the time in this situation posting a SU record of 68-30 for 69.4 percent winners. Our TPR Index projects a run advantage of +1.29 runs. Now we look at the starting pitcher for the Twins as Jose Berrios will take the bump on Friday night in the Second City. Berrios has an ROI of 68.9 percent against the Chicago White Sox with his team posting a record of 12-2 SU (+9.65 Units). Individually Berrios has compiled a record of 11-2 SU over that same span with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.014. Berrios held the Sox to three or fewer earned runs in all but one of those fourteen starts against this White Sox team. Our BbPPI has Berrios with a projected game average of 7.61 while the Sox starter Giolito comes into this contest with a projected game average of 4.98. The combination of all these factors make a strong case for the Twins. So, we are going to lay the short price with Minnesota on the diamond Friday night. MLB Best Bet 8* Minnesota Twins w/Berrios
 
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