Sunday Service Play Thread 07/26/2020

BuzzKill · Jul 19, 2020

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BuzzKill · Jul 26, 2020

]Newsletters - http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=307&p=13193231&viewfull=1#post13193231

ConleyPicks · Jul 26, 2020

YOUR RAZOR SHARP PICK FOR SUNDAY: LA ANGELS/OAKLAND UNDER the total of 9 runs
Totals4U Sunday's Selection: Arizona Diamondbacks/San Diego Padres over 8 1/2
#1 Sports Sunday's Play: Baltimore Orioles + 185
Sharp Bettor MLB Take: (976) Padres -1.20 (1:10 pm PT / 4:10 pm ET)
Nevada Sharpshooter Your winner for Sunday : SEATTLE/HOUSTON UNDERtUNDER of 9 runs
Arthur Ralph SUN Mets w/Porcello+105
Vegas Steam Line Your winner for Sunday: ATLANTA/NY METS UNDER 9
High Stakes Syndicate Selection for Sunday: Seattle Mariners + 290
Cappers Club MLB | MIN vs CWS Play on: OVER 10 -120

BuzzKill · Jul 26, 2020

Gjelstad and Norheim

Soccer

Moneyline

Sunday, July 26

Newcastle v. Liverpool (11 a.m. ET)

Money line: Liverpool -260

Total goals: Under 3.5

Likely score: Liverpool 2, Newcastle 0

Crystal Palace v. Tottenham (11 a.m. ET)

Money line: Tottenham -190

Total goals: Over 2.5

Likely score: Tottenham 2, Crystal Palace 1

Burnley v. Brighton & Hove Albion (11 a.m. ET)

Money line: Burnley +129

Total goals: Under 2.5

Likely score: Burnley 1, Brighton 0

Arsenal v. Watford (11 a.m. ET)

Money line: Arsenal -111

Total goals: Over 2.5

Likely score: Arsenal 2, Watford 1

Chelsea v. Wolves (11 a.m. ET)

Money line: Draw +270

Total goals: Under 2.5

Likely score: Chelsea 1, Wolves 1

Everton v. Bournemouth (11 a.m. ET)

Money line: Everton +123

Total goals: Over 2.5

Likely score: Everton 2, Bournemouth 1

Southampton v. Sheffield United (11 a.m. ET)

Money line: Draw +245

Total goals: Under 2.5

Likely score: Southampton 1, Sheffield United 1

Manchester City v. Norwich City (11 a.m. ET)

Money line: Manchester City -1500

Total goals: Under 4.5

Likely score: Manchester City 3, Norwich City 0

Leicester City v. Manchester United (11 a.m. ET)

Money line: Manchester United +110

Total goals: Over 2.5

Likely score: Manchester United 2, Leicester City 1

West Ham v. Aston Villa (11 a.m. ET)

Money line: Draw +260

Total goals: Over 2.5

Likely score: West Ham 2, Aston Villa 2

BuzzKill · Jul 26, 2020

Strike Point Sports

Soccer

7 Manchester United+120

3 draw +250 in same game

CADILLACJACK · Jul 26, 2020

ConleyPicks said:
YOUR RAZOR SHARP PICK FOR SUNDAY: LA ANGELS/OAKLAND UNDER the total of 9 runs
Totals4U Sunday's Selection: Arizona Diamondbacks/San Diego Padres over 8 1/2
#1 Sports Sunday's Play: Baltimore Orioles + 185
Sharp Bettor MLB Take: (976) Padres -1.20 (1:10 pm PT / 4:10 pm ET)
Nevada Sharpshooter Your winner for Sunday : SEATTLE/HOUSTON UNDERtUNDER of 9 runs
Arthur Ralph SUN Mets w/Porcello+105
Vegas Steam Line Your winner for Sunday: ATLANTA/NY METS UNDER 9
High Stakes Syndicate Selection for Sunday: Seattle Mariners + 290
Cappers Club MLB | MIN vs CWS Play on: OVER 10 -120

These are all the "Free" plays....please specify so no confusion thanks

bmd1803 · Jul 26, 2020

Stephen Oh

OAKLAND +109
L.A. ANGELS @ OAKLAND | 7/26 | 4:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:21 PM
My model says the A's win almost 60 percent of simulations so you're getting good value with Oakland at this price. The A's are set to face Shohei Ohtani, who will make his first appearance on the mound since Sept. 2, 2018. Meanwhile Oakland will start Mike Fiers, who went 3-0 with a 3.04 ERA in four starts against the Angels last season. Take the A's.

2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +117
14-8 IN LAST 22 LAA ML PICKS | +552

24-18 IN LAST 42 OAK ML PICKS | +490

COLORADO +129
COLORADO @ TEXAS | 7/26 | 2:35 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:49 PM
The Rockies are winning about half of my simulations, making them a strong play at this underdog price. Look for Colorado to have success against Rangers newcomer Corey Kluber, who is making his first start in nearly 15 months after recovering from a broken right forearm.

2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +117
38-22 IN LAST 60 COL ML PICKS | +1886

22-15 IN LAST 37 TEX ML PICKS | +1192

bmd1803 · Jul 26, 2020

SDQL

FEATURED PICK
BOSTON -203
BALTIMORE @ BOSTON | 7/26 | 1:35 PM EDT
10:31 AM
Baltimore embarrassed Boston yesterday, going up 5-0 after two innings and coasting home with a 7-2 win as a huge underdog. The SDQL tells us that the Orioles are 0-23 as a 110-plus dog in the last game of a road series when they are off a game in which they scored first. Continuing to research this situation we find that the Red Sox are 20-0 as a 200-plus favorite when they are seeking immediate revenge for a loss by three or more runs. Baltimore should have a defeatist attitude here. Boston has the value.

5-0 IN LAST 5 MLB PICKS | +500

CINCINNATI -199
DETROIT @ CINCINNATI | 7/26 | 1:10 PM EDT
10:33 AM
Detroit was down 3-1 going into the seventh inning yesterday, but came back to win 6-4. The Tigers, like many bad teams, do poorly in this spot. The SDQL tells us that the Tigers are 0-15 as a 170-plus dog when they are off a come-from-behind win and it is not a series opener. The Tigers have lost these 15 games by an average of 4.20 runs. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is a reliable 13-0 as a 125-plus favorite in the last game of a home series when coming off a game in which it allowed at least a dozen hits. We are on Cincinnati.

5-0 IN LAST 5 MLB PICKS | +500

bmd1803 · Jul 26, 2020

Brian Bitler

10* Twins (MLB Executive Info)
10* Mets (ESPN GOM)
9* Oakland A's (MLB Ticket)

bmd1803 · Jul 26, 2020

Cajun Sports

8* AL Diamond Club Insider

Twins

ANALYSIS: (2:10PM EST) The Minnesota Twins are in the Second City playing a three-game weekend set against the host Chicago White Sox to open the abbreviated 2020 baseball campaign. Both teams have taken a victory winning 10 to 5 in both cases this contest will decide the series champ. The Twins opened the season with a 10 to 5 victory over the Sox on Friday night and Chicago bounced back Saturday with their own 10 to 5 series victory. The oddsmakers have made the Twins and Kenta Maeda -134 favorites in this contest. We know Minnesota is 34-13 SU (72.3%) (+965) when installed as chalk. They are also a money-making 295-342 SU (+3761) when playing away from the Twin Cities. Combine those and we find the Twins in a 67.4 percent winning situation as road favorites having posted a record of 95-46 SU for a profit of +3302 units. Our TPR Index projects a run advantage of 1.45 runs. Our next set of metrics look at the overall Starting Pitchers Power Ratings for today's contest. The Twins Kenta Maeda comes in with an average of 112 while the Sox starter Reynaldo Lopez comes in with an average of 90 compared to the league average of 100. We want our starter to have an average above the league average if possible and in this case, we do, and our opponent has a starter below the league average of 100 which is a bonus. The SPMatrix has Kenta Maeda with an average of 6.96 compared to Reynaldo Lopez who has an average of 4.18. Our BHOR Matrix (Bases, Hits, Outs, Runs) has a projected run advantage of 1.58 in favor of the Twins. We want to Play ON MLB road favorites of -120 or more with a starter who has a 2.15 or better SPMatrix average versus the opposing starter in today’s matchup along with a Pitcher Power Rating advantage of at least 15 points. This situation has produced a record of 325-221 SU (62.2%) (+2519) including a record of 19-7 SU the last twenty-six qualifying contests. With significant support on the bump, key index average advantages and a qualified power system all pointing to Minnesota we will lay the chalk on Sunday with the Twins in the Second City as they take their opening series of the 2020 campaign.

bmd1803 · Jul 26, 2020

Adam Goodwyn

ARIZONA +106
ARIZONA @ SAN DIEGO | 7/26 | 4:10 PM EDT
11:26 AM
I have been on the Diamondbacks this entire series. I think they finally get one here today. My model has them winning 51.9 percent of the time. The spread translates to a win percentage of roughly 48, so you are getting solid value at this price. If the line doesn't swing and make the Diamondbacks the favorites throughout the day, I would take them here.

OAKLAND -107
L.A. ANGELS @ OAKLAND | 7/26 | 4:10 PM EDT
11:11 AM
I like the Athletics here. My model has Oakland winning 55.77 percent of the time. The spread translates to a win percentage of roughly 50, so you are getting a five-percent edge here. I like the A's to take the series and spoil Shohei Ohtani's season debut.

bmd1803 · Jul 26, 2020

The Spot Player

2* Phoenix Suns +5
2* Atlanta Dream +4

GDaddy46 · Jul 26, 2020

Inkbets 7-1-1 MLB season

MLB: Royals/Indians Ov5 1H @ 1.854/-117 (3 Units)
MLB: Detroit Tigers +0.5 1H @ 2.05/+105 (2 Units)
MLB: Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 @ 1.909/-110 (2 Units)

bmd1803 · Jul 26, 2020

Gjelstad and Norheim

MLS Soccer

Moneyline Plays

W/L 4-13 Units 4.6 - 13.9 Net -9.3 Thru 7/16
W/L 11-23 Units 15.3 - 23.9 Net -8.6 39% Thru 7/24

Sunday, July 26

Toronto FC v. NYCFC (8:30 p.m. ET)

Money line: Draw +275 (after 90 minutes of play)

Total goals: Under 2.5

Likely score: Toronto FC 1, NYCFC 1

Sporting KC v. Vancouver Whitecaps (11 p.m. ET)

Money line: Sporting KC

Total goals: Over 2.5

Likely score: Sporting KC 2, Vancouver Whitecaps 1

bmd1803 · Jul 26, 2020

ATS
4 reds over

bmd1803 · Jul 26, 2020

bmd1803 said:
The Spot Player

2* Phoenix Suns +5
2* Atlanta Dream +4

MLB added
2* Phillies -140 *URENA/VELASQUEZ*
2* Indians -220 *BOLANOS/CARRASCO*
2* Red Sox -170 * *LEBLANC/WEBB*
3* Padres -117 *GALLEN/RICHARDS* (MAX Play)
2* Angels -101 *OHTANI/FIERS*

bmd1803 · Jul 26, 2020

Jose Urena was scratched from Sunday's start against the Phillies.
Jon Heyman of MLB Network says that Urena has tested positive for COVID-19. He did add that the pitcher "feels fine," but obviously he will need two negative tests before joining the Marlins' rotation.

bmd1803 · Jul 26, 2020

MLB(Bob Balfe)
2:20 PM EST
Rotation #969/970
Brewers/Cubs Over 11.5 runs
Peralta/Chatwood

We have a nice 10 mph wind blowing out at Wrigley today. I am not so sure Freddie Peralta or Tyler Chatwood are not better off pitching in relief opposed to being regular rotation guys. Chatwood is known to walk batters which is always good for runs. Peralta was slow out of the gates last year and I believe the hitters have the advantage here this afternoon. Take the Over.

bmd1803 · Jul 26, 2020

Worlds Worst Picker
Peabody’s pick
White Sox

Play on
Minnesota
Fade is 3-0 on the season

bmd1803 · Jul 26, 2020

Jim Feist

3* Mariners/Astros OVER 9

Sunday Service Play Thread 07/26/2020

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