Swing State Polling & Forecasting

SgtLanquel

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• Jul 23, 2020

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The best part of any reporting on polling from legitimate outfits is the trump cultists insisting they are all gerry-rigged

But I digress

July 23 via Quinnapiac

FLORIDA

Biden 53 Tiny 38

 

SgtLanquel

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2016 exit polls had Trump +17 among Florida voters over 65 years old. New Quinnipiac poll has Biden +3 for 2020.

 

SgtLanquel

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2016 exit polls had Trump +24 among white women in Florida. New Quinnipiac poll has Trump +1 for 2020.

 

SgtLanquel

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President Trump's approval among Florida voters under 35 years old clocks in at 20% (!) approve, 78% (!) disapprove via new Quinnipiac poll.

 

SgtLanquel

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HSO

Tiny will win a max of 3 from following list of states he carried in 2016:

AZ, GA, FL, NC.....PA, WI, MI, OH

 

savage1

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https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/#!

Actually Quinnipiac has Biden up +13 in Florida.

If Trump doesn't carry Florida, his chances of winnng the Election are next to ZER0!

 

hehateme82

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Sgt Lanquel said:

HSO

Tiny will win a max of 3 from following list of states he carried in 2016:

AZ, GA, FL, NC.....PA, WI, MI, OH

Click to expand...

Wager?

 

hehateme82

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I've never seen a group of people (liberals or left leaning) that have collectively lost their minds. I'm talking full batshit

 

savage1

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Even Republican strategists admit that if Trump doesn't win Florida, his prospects for winning the Election are quite dim.

 

SgtLanquel

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hehateme82 said:

Wager?

Click to expand...

Will be accepting wagers sometime in early October

I realize it sparks hilarity but I want to be more certain just who will be on both tickets

Would happily do one or more with you because you are someone I could post up my stake in advance and with full confidence

 

SgtLanquel

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hehateme82 said:

I've never seen a group of people (liberals or left leaning) that have collectively lost their minds. I'm talking full batshit

Click to expand...

We're a colorful bunch

 

Dafinch

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hehateme82 said:

I've never seen a group of people (liberals or left leaning) that have collectively lost their minds. I'm talking full batshit

Click to expand...

...says self admitted druggie scum, ROTFLMAO!!!!

 

SgtLanquel

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Fox News poll on whether voters think the two candidates possess qualities needed in a president:

intelligence
Biden +15
Trump -10

compassion
Biden +26
Trump -21

judgment
Biden +16
Trump -13

mental soundness
Biden +8
Trump -8

 

savage1

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This article about Trump's need to win Florida to win the Election may have been written a little more than a year ago, but because of the Virus

and especially because of te surge in Florida, is even more true today:

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/article230401629.html

 

savage1

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Here is some political data from Florida.

Perhaps all of the other thread regarding who is going to win the Election can be condensed to this one because nothing else matters if

Trump doesn't win it:

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/07/23/poll-biden-lead-trump-florida-380369

 

SgtLanquel

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New Fox News polls just out:

Michigan: Biden 49%, Trump 40%
Pennsylvania: Biden 50%, Trump 39%
Minnesota: Biden 51%, Trump 38%

 

savage1

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Sgt Lanquel said:

New Fox News polls just out:

Michigan: Biden 49%, Trump 40%
Pennsylvania: Biden 50%, Trump 39%
Minnesota: Biden 51%, Trump 38%

Click to expand...

And from Fox no less!

And yet there are folks in this Forum who believe that the polls are wrong and if anything have Trump leading in those polls by the same margins if

not more!

 

rolltide

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c'mon barman this isn't a Quinnipiac poll site it's a betting forum .... if you got bets post 'em so i can oppose ... don't just rub one out because CNN says Biden's gonna win

 

SgtLanquel

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rolltide said:

c'mon barman this isn't a Quinnipiac poll site it's a betting forum .... if you got bets post 'em so i can oppose ... don't just rub one out because CNN says Biden's gonna win

Click to expand...

i am hoping to provide reliable fades in my just-created Thread in Baseball subforum

And I am proud to still be able to rub on demand even if it's to a poly poll in July

 

hehateme82

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Sgt Lanquel said:

Will be accepting wagers sometime in early October

I realize it sparks hilarity but I want to be more certain just who will be on both tickets

Would happily do one or more with you because you are someone I could post up my stake in advance and with full confidence

Click to expand...

Sounds good