UFC on ESPN 14 ~ Fight Island~ Abu Dhabi

mrpickem · Jul 25, 2020

Huge card, but only a couple good fights. Still there is potential to bank!

Here's the card with a few early leans...

PatsFan1283 · Jul 25, 2020

who you like in the main? i asked last sunday but nobody responded

I like Whittaker and bet him at -110 then, never been impressed w/ Till...Only real concern is Whittaker mindset, he had a miserable title run w/ injuries and going 10 rounds w/ Yoel. But still think he is a step above...

mrpickem · Jul 25, 2020

First 2 fights are big chalk vs newcomers that should win. I'm gonna parlay to 2 big favs risking 3u. I will bet the first fight to take advantage of reduced juice, then roll proceeds into the 2nd fight, so technically I guess it's 2 plays...but whatever.

First fight...

2402 Nathaniel Wood -405 vs John Castaneda
3/.74

mrpickem · Jul 25, 2020

PatsFan1283 said:
who you like in the main? i asked last sunday but nobody responded

I like Whittaker and bet him at -110 then, never been impressed w/ Till...Only real concern is Whittaker mindset, he had a miserable title run w/ injuries and going 10 rounds w/ Yoel. But still think he is a step above...

I like Rob, but really think I'm higher on the under 4.5 rounds

mrpickem · Jul 25, 2020

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2nd leg next

2302 Ramazan Emeev -435 vs Niklas Stolze
3.74/.86

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mrpickem · Jul 25, 2020

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[2-0 +1.6]

2211 Kianzad wins by 3 round decision +110 vs Not Kianzad by 3 round decision
1.8/1.98

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mrpickem · Jul 25, 2020

2101 Raphael Pessoa +230 vs Tanner Boser
1/2.3

Lean toward Boser but betting Pessoa +230. Both guys can turn your lights out and they are more evenly matched than the odds suggest imo. Common opponent is Cyril Gane, who submitted Pessoa very quickly and gave Boser a comprehensive points loss (although Tanner looked spry early).

Bull24 · Jul 25, 2020

Go Possoa. Similar thoughts. Just think that price is too lopsided, especially for heavyweights. Fav. pick of entire card is Herbert though. 1 of th ebest jabs I've ever seen

PatsFan1283 · Jul 25, 2020

I like the pacing tonight, just seamless moves from fight to fight.

Probably cause my attention span is fucked.

mrpickem · Jul 25, 2020

[3-1 +2.58]

2001 Mike Grundy +160 vs Movsar Evloev
1.5/2.4
2001 Mike Grundy/Movsar Evloev Over 2½ -260
2.6/1

Love this matchup, two skilled fighters with only a single loss between them. It's a 50/50 fight so I'm taking Grundy +160 and also taking over 2.5 rounds.

mrpickem · Jul 25, 2020

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[4-2 +2.08]

1909 Aspinall wins inside distance -130 vs Not Aspinall inside distance
.91/.7
1936 Fight won’t start round 3 -145 vs Collier / Aspinall starts round 3
1.16/.8

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mrpickem · Jul 25, 2020

[FONT=&quot]all favs so far, dont see it changing herebut odds too high[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot][6-2 +3.58]
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[FONT=&quot]1802 Nicolas Dalby -290 vs Jesse Ronson[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]1.74/.60[/FONT]

mrpickem · Jul 25, 2020

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[6-3 +1.84]

1701 Jai Herbert* -120 vs Francisco Trinaldo
3/2.5

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mrpickem · Jul 25, 2020

[6-4 -1.16]

1601 Rhys McKee +775 vs Khamzat Chimaev
.6/4.65

mrpickem · Jul 25, 2020

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[6-5 -1.76]

1501 Peter Sobotta +112 vs Alex Oliveira
2.45/2.74

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mrpickem · Jul 25, 2020

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[6-6 -4.21

1405 Craig wins inside distance +110 vs Not Craig inside distance
2.2/2.42
1401 Paul Craig/Gadzhimurad Antigulov Under 1½ -137
1.37/1

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mrpickem · Jul 25, 2020

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[8-6 -0.79]

1307 Esparza wins by 3 round decision +210 vs Not Esparza by 3 round decision
1/2.1

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mrpickem · Jul 25, 2020

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[9-6 +1.31]

1205 Werdum wins inside distance +370 vs Not Werdum inside distance
.5/1.85
1201 Fabricio Werdum/Alexander Gustafsson Under 2½ -108
1.08/1.00

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[FONT=&quot]Gus is absolutely not a lock, he is shot and washed up. Don't be surprised when he gets tripped in the clinch and gets arm barred. Stay away from anything big.[/FONT]
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jefflahh · Jul 25, 2020

impressive call on esparza to win by decision

bones1980 · Jul 25, 2020

Werdum &#55357;&#56397;

UFC on ESPN 14 ~ Fight Island~ Abu Dhabi

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