Monday Service Play Thread 07/27/2020

BuzzKill · Jul 26, 2020

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bmd1803 · Jul 26, 2020

Jimmy Moore

#905 4* Toronto Blue Jays with Thornton ML +115 (6:05 est)

The Blue Jays catch the Nationals at the perfect time here coming off of their first series of the shortened season against the big name Yankees. It is going to be a huge let down for them to play the lousy Jays here. Toronto will be super motivated against the defending champs and they will be in a better place mentally knowing where they will play their home games and getting out of the high-COVID state of Florida. Take the Jays here at this nice underdog price. Thank you and good luck.

bribux · Jul 27, 2020

baseball33

Pittsburgh Pirates – Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers -1

ConleyPicks · Jul 27, 2020

Mike Wynn
[FONT=&quot]Free Pick: NY Yankees w/Happ -140 over Philadelphia

[/FONT]NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS THE LEGEND!
FREE MLB PICKS
White Sox @ Indians
TIME: 7:10 PM EST
PICK: OVER 9.5

Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR MONDAY: SEATTLE/HOUSTON OVER the total of 9½ runs

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Monday's Free Selection: Seattle Mariners/Houston Astros over 9 1/2

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Monday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Detroit Tigers - 130

#1 Sports Monday's Bonus Play: Kansas City Royals + 120

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[FONT=&quot]Your Free Pick: the LA Angels w/Canning +105 over Oakland

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SharpBettor Bonus Play Monday, July 27, 2020
MLB
Take: (902) Athletics -1.17 (12:40 pm PT / 3:40 pm ET)

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Your free winner for Monday : CHICAGO CUBS/CINCINNATI UNDER of 9½ runs

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Monday's Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles + 140

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Your free winner for Monday: NY YANKEES/PHILADELPHIA UNDER the total of 10 runs

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Free Selection for Monday: Seattle Mariners + 230

Red Dog Sports
Jul 27 '20, 2:45 PM in 15h
Soccer | Fulham vs Cardiff City
Play on: Draw +210 at pinnacle
draw +210
The free soccer play for Monday takes place in England.
Cardiff 1
Fulham 1

ConleyPicks · Jul 27, 2020

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Pick 5 Analysis

July 27, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
The popular 0.20 Pick 5 leads off the Woodbine Mohawk card. The sequence has a $75,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

2-Royal Esteem (10-1)-4-year-old mare makes her 3rd start back after the shutdown and fits with this crew. Saftic needs to work a trip and roll off live cover.
3-Kuil Deva (8-1)-This gal is the model of consistency when it comes to picking up checks but is only 2 for the last 33 and 2 for 43 at Wbsb. Will include at this price and should be in the hunt.
5-CT Conabra (5/2)-Lightly raced Kadabra 4-year-old could take a picture tonight and has held her own versus better. Needs a good steer and to mind manners, but best to not overlook.
7-HP Bruxelles (3-1)-5-time winner in 14 starts this year broke as a 3/2 chalk in last but deserves another chance. Mario B. has the lines and he knows well. Could grind her way around and roll by down the lane.

Race 2

3-Dean B Hanover (8/5)-Drury chose the Coleman entry #1 but Cullen should be able to provide a good steer. Betting Line 2-year-old looked powerful in winning her debut all on her own in 153.3 with a 55.2 back half, so will string along.

Race 3

1-Mouth Watering (5-1)-Slow starter will need to find cover but looks to be a threat versus this bunch. McIntosch trainee should be game to the wire at a square price.
6-Isla Seelster (3-1)-0-12 record here isn't inspiring but has hit the board 5 times. Didn't return to action with a bang, first two starts were bad but has been improving. Rolled the back half in .56 last week and could be sitting on a big try.

Race 4

1-Jaydens Place (5-1)-Got sucked around last time to miss by a head against most of this field. Should be forwardly placed and a similar trip might be in the cards. Could surprise and loses McNair which should help the price.
4-Legal Bettor (7/2)-Makes 3rd start for new barn and this post draw may suit slow starter better than starting inside in previous two races. Young can work an effective trip and if pace is lively chances for a picture go up.
8-Julerica (3-1)-Makes 1st start for the Montini barn after a claim and comes off a powerful win from the 9-hole at this class. Nine-time winner in 28 starts at Wbsb could stay good and roll to another picture.

Race 5

6-Knight Angel (4-1)-Winner of >$146k in 2019 has put in 2 clean lines and now bumps up. There should be a few leaving to get the lead so JMac has to work the best trip. Angel can compete with this group, so best to respect.
7-Superlative (9/2)-This is a slow starter that can pick off foes late in the mile if pace is swift. There are more than a couple who have gate speed so this race could set-up nicely for this 5-year-old mare.
8-Cue Hall (5-1)-Drops to a spot to shine and should offer a fair price. 8-year-old had an extended layoff stretching back to last July. This will be the 5th start off the bench, should like the company and last effort was its best.

0.20 Pick 5

2,3,5,7/3/1,6/1,4,8/6,7,8
Total Bet=$14.40

ConleyPicks · Jul 27, 2020

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Canterbury Park - Race #5

Picks Notes
#3 Date Quick Donlin firster goes for a barn that shows a debut winner, lures Arrieta, and has some snappy works in a race where only the favorite looks tough; call at first asking.
#6 Haddy Up Deserving heavy favorite was a speedy 2nd on debut and was bet that day too, but the price will be short and the pick looks like she can run some; backwheel time.
#5 Boozin At Bongos Underlay was a distant 3rd to the chalk last time, so she needs to improve some 6 lengths, while facing a potential top new shooter as well; using underneath only.
Race Summary Tab the tote on the 3, as you'd like to see her live and taking money, especially into the teeth of the heavy favorite, and it that's the case you can play her to win and place, and especially to kick off the 10% takeout Pk5 as well, since budget players might be singling 'Haddy, which means a win by the pick would knock out a good percentage of the tickets right off the bat.

Canterbury Park - Race #6

Picks Notes
#2 Irish Halo The chalk just missed on debut, drew perfectly, meets a few she just handled, and should only build off that trial run; imposing favorite.
#1 Jollyville Stretch runner closed to be 5th behind 'Halo in her turf debut, is another who drew well, and will be a price too; can close for a share.
#7 She's Fire and Ice Logical sort was a troubled and closing 4th to the pick last time and certainly figures, though this wide draw isn't ideal; mixed signals.
Race Summary You won't get rich on the 2 but 9-5 doesn't seem bad based on what she just did, and where she might be going to play her aggressively to win if the tote allows, while getting some built-in value by singling her in the 10% takeout Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, as she just looks too good for this modest group.

Canterbury Park - Race #8

Picks Notes
#4 Morning Report Price player ran well in a comeback that you she needed off the September break, should only improve off that, and has a versatile style to be able to be placed anywhere; upset special.
#6 Bee Bit Classy favorite will be bet hard, as she's been facing much better of late, but she also regressed mightily last time and now drops, so she could be going the wrong way; trying to beat.
#2 First Hunter Capable miss beat the pick last time, so obviously she hits hard here, and this post is a coup as well, but she also has no upside, and will be an underlaid price too; still, figures in the mix.
Race Summary The price will certainly be right on the 4, as she could get overlooked with the 6 especially, but even the 2 taking a lot of play, but her return was encouraging and she should improve here too, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in the 10% takeout Pk5, and the late Pk4 as well, as a win would go a long way in blowing both sequences up.

ConleyPicks · Jul 27, 2020

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #1

Picks Notes
#3 Lucky at Justice Tactical sprint type might get a really good run of things while just behind the pace, and she has been in with some good groups. Price should be right.
#7 Walkin Princess Can't argue with anyone landing here after this one just romped home with better last time out, but there is some chance that she'll take a step back off the big run.
#2 Pride of Wilko Has been in with better in recent starts and loves the local footing with 11 wins here, but her two 2020 runs haven't quite been up to her 2019 form, so she's potentially dicey at a modest price.
Race Summary Lucky at Justice should offer a fair price here and can settle in just behind the leaders today, and if Walkin Princess takes a step back off the big run last out, she can capitalize.

Mountaineer - Race #2

Picks Notes
#2 Echo Alpha Six Has run well in both turf tries and should be in line for a great trip from close range. Think he's a player on the hike.
#4 Kitten's Man Recent form stacks up well here, and he's bred to love the new footing on both sides of the pedigree. Underlay?
#7 Apple Empire Rolled home in the local debut, but the rest of his form isn't much to look at, so I'll let him prove to me today at a likely unappealing price.
Race Summary Echo Alpha Six can get the right kind of run here, and there are a couple of other players in here who figure to get bet below fair value, potentially leaving this guy at a playable price.

Mountaineer - Race #9

Picks Notes
#1 Go For Four Frosty Big step forward when adding blinkers last time out, and I'll take that one at face value and give him the nod to turn the tables on the guy who just beat him last out.
#4 Titere Good effort going short last out, but at the end of the day he's still a 13-start maiden who would feel like a wild underlay at something like the 2/1 ML price. He can win here, but I'll take a principled stand against.
#8 Old Fort Has some chance to wake up in the local debut, and outside of that clunker last out, his form is pretty consistent. That said, he's making his 20th start today and probably gets bet a bit.
Race Summary Go For Four Frosty showed some forward ability when stretching out and adding blinkers last time out, and he's right in the mix again tonight with something similar -- and probably at a better number than the other two listed players here.

ConleyPicks · Jul 27, 2020

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #2

Picks Notes
#2 Chop Chop Charlie Finished with interest on the Ellis turf last out and has been running vs. good company; moves to dirt and is a big threat on either the front end or from just off it.
#3 River Echo Has taken six of his last 10 and comes off an easy score over this strip; Contreras barn continued to be hot (26 percent) and the Contreras-jockey Esquivel combo has won 4 of its last 10.
#6 Here's Carlos Can benefit from running far back off a lively pace and can make a big late run; usable in the exotics.
Race Summary Chop Chop Charlie's last race was from off the pace but he also can be in close attendance of the pace; a legit threat to the heavy favorite.

Indiana Grand - Race #4

Picks Notes
#7 Take Charge d'Oro Score in two of his last three, including the Trail's End at Oaklawn and should be able to run on well on the turf.
#1 Applicator Was up in time in four of his last seven and is hard-trying veteran upper-claimer; rallied from off a slow pace last time and adjust to any pace.
#8 Marv's Magic Came from off the pace and finished 3rd last out; can do better with a more legit pace and his best gives him a chance at a healthy price.
Race Summary Take Charge d'Oro is a solid router and has won a race on the turf; comes off a win at Belterra and this well-traveled runner has been effective at several tracks.

Indiana Grand - Race #6

Picks Notes
#2 Color Me Pretty Didn't fire and finish mid-pack in his first here this season and she had been off since March; ran well on Fair Grounds turf and improve in this one.
#1 Sister Kitten Was moving at the end of his last two but settled for second in each; overdue to get her second career win and has a big chance here.
#3 Lady Oxbow Ran fifth at Keeneland last out and has been in some good races with good results; has the class to be a strong player.
Race Summary Color Me Pretty needed her last one and has a decent chance to run well at a big price.

bmd1803 · Jul 27, 2020

Marlins game has been postponed.
Multiple members of the team have tested positive.

bmd1803 · Jul 27, 2020

Stephen Oh

PITTSBURGH +1.5
MILWAUKEE @ PITTSBURGH | 7/27 | 7:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:58 PM
My model says the Pirates cover more than 60 percent of the time, so you're getting good value here. Milwaukee began the season by losing two of three against the Chicago Cubs, scoring a total of one run in the setbacks. Two-time reigning NL batting champion Christian Yelich is just 1-for-13 thus far. Pittsburgh's Jose Osuna is off to a strong start with two RBIs in each of his first two games. Expect the Pirates to feed off Sunday's win - their first of 2020.

4-1 LAST 5 MLB SIDES | +355
10-4 IN LAST 14 MIL ATS PICKS | +490

OVER 10
N.Y. YANKEES @ PHILADELPHIA | 7/27 | 7:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:39 PM
My model has these teams going Over more than 60 percent of the time, so you're getting good value at this price. Philadelphia combined with one of the majors' worst teams in the Miami Marlins to average more than 10 runs during their season-opening three-game series. The Yankees arguably have the best lineup in baseball and will be looking to break out after totaling nine runs in their three-game set against Washington. New York also will be facing Jake Arrieta, who missed the final 1 1/2 months of the 2019 campaign with bone spurs in his elbow.

4-1 IN LAST 5 MLB PICKS | +355
8-3-1 IN LAST 12 NYY O/U PICKS | +465

bmd1803 · Jul 27, 2020

SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS

9:34 AM
TAMPA BAY -152
ATLANTA @ TAMPA BAY | 7/27 | 6:40 PM EDT
Tampa Bay is coming off a 6-5, extra-inning win over Toronto in which it trailed 4-0. It's natural for handicappers to play against a team a day after an extra-inning affair, but the Rays are 8-0 as a 130-plus favorite with no rest in the opener of a home series after going extra innings, winning by an average of four runs. Also, they are 9-0 SU at home after a game in which they were favored and scored in more innings than their opponent. Atlanta, which his coming off a 14-1 romp over the Mets, is 0-8 as a 105-plus underdog after a road game in which it had at least 12 hits, with each of the last six losses being by multiple runs. We are on Tampa Bay.

5-2 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +98

bmd1803 · Jul 27, 2020

Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports that Monday's game between the Yankees and Phillies in Philadelphia has been postponed.
This is the second cancellation of the day, with the Orioles and Marlins in Miami also being called off. The Marlins are dealing with a COVID-19 outbreak in their clubhouse after playing in Philadelphia over the weekend.

bmd1803 · Jul 27, 2020

Andrew McInnis

MLB Afternoon 4% Mismatch $$
Game

901) Los Angeles Angels at (902) Oakland Athletics
Date/Time: Jul 27 2020 3:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Oakland Athletics -120

View Analysis
Today, we have action between The Angels and The Athletics. Although there are question marks on the mound for both teams I look at the team that has the deeper roster on both sides of the ball the edge and that team is 100% the Oakland A's. Griffin Canning had a weak campaign last season with a record of 4-5 with an ERA of 4.58 as I look at the loaded bats of Oakland to take advantage of that. We look at Basset to keep rolling against the Angels after going 2-0 against them last year.
Canning will be a must fade for me and my clients all season long and it start this afternoon.
Oakland Athletics -120

bmd1803 · Jul 27, 2020

Root

MILL- Mets

bmd1803 · Jul 27, 2020

Marco D'Angelo

BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (907) Chicago Cubs at (908) Cincinnati Reds
Date/Time: Jul 27 2020 6:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Cincinnati Reds +105

View Analysis

4% (908) CINCINNATI +105

bmd1803 · Jul 27, 2020

Chris Jordan

300♦ Interleague Total of the Month
Toronto-Washington Over

bmd1803 · Jul 27, 2020

Jack Brayman

Winner # 4 in a Row
UNDERDOG LOCK
40 Dime TB RL

bmd1803 · Jul 27, 2020

Kirby Maxwell

Winner # 13 of 16
( and 4th straight )
40 Dime Reds

bmd1803 · Jul 27, 2020

Bob Valentino

Winner # 3 in a Row
N.L. Central Rivalry Lock
40 Dime Cubs

bmd1803 · Jul 27, 2020

Mitchell Newman

Winner # 4 in a Row
Dog of the Day
30 Dime Braves

Picks	Notes
#3 Date Quick	Donlin firster goes for a barn that shows a debut winner, lures Arrieta, and has some snappy works in a race where only the favorite looks tough; call at first asking.
#6 Haddy Up	Deserving heavy favorite was a speedy 2nd on debut and was bet that day too, but the price will be short and the pick looks like she can run some; backwheel time.
#5 Boozin At Bongos	Underlay was a distant 3rd to the chalk last time, so she needs to improve some 6 lengths, while facing a potential top new shooter as well; using underneath only.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 3, as you'd like to see her live and taking money, especially into the teeth of the heavy favorite, and it that's the case you can play her to win and place, and especially to kick off the 10% takeout Pk5 as well, since budget players might be singling 'Haddy, which means a win by the pick would knock out a good percentage of the tickets right off the bat.

Picks	Notes
#2 Irish Halo	The chalk just missed on debut, drew perfectly, meets a few she just handled, and should only build off that trial run; imposing favorite.
#1 Jollyville	Stretch runner closed to be 5th behind 'Halo in her turf debut, is another who drew well, and will be a price too; can close for a share.
#7 She's Fire and Ice	Logical sort was a troubled and closing 4th to the pick last time and certainly figures, though this wide draw isn't ideal; mixed signals.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the 2 but 9-5 doesn't seem bad based on what she just did, and where she might be going to play her aggressively to win if the tote allows, while getting some built-in value by singling her in the 10% takeout Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, as she just looks too good for this modest group.

Picks	Notes
#4 Morning Report	Price player ran well in a comeback that you she needed off the September break, should only improve off that, and has a versatile style to be able to be placed anywhere; upset special.
#6 Bee Bit	Classy favorite will be bet hard, as she's been facing much better of late, but she also regressed mightily last time and now drops, so she could be going the wrong way; trying to beat.
#2 First Hunter	Capable miss beat the pick last time, so obviously she hits hard here, and this post is a coup as well, but she also has no upside, and will be an underlaid price too; still, figures in the mix.
Race Summary	The price will certainly be right on the 4, as she could get overlooked with the 6 especially, but even the 2 taking a lot of play, but her return was encouraging and she should improve here too, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in the 10% takeout Pk5, and the late Pk4 as well, as a win would go a long way in blowing both sequences up.

Picks	Notes
#3 Lucky at Justice	Tactical sprint type might get a really good run of things while just behind the pace, and she has been in with some good groups. Price should be right.
#7 Walkin Princess	Can't argue with anyone landing here after this one just romped home with better last time out, but there is some chance that she'll take a step back off the big run.
#2 Pride of Wilko	Has been in with better in recent starts and loves the local footing with 11 wins here, but her two 2020 runs haven't quite been up to her 2019 form, so she's potentially dicey at a modest price.
Race Summary	Lucky at Justice should offer a fair price here and can settle in just behind the leaders today, and if Walkin Princess takes a step back off the big run last out, she can capitalize.

Picks	Notes
#2 Echo Alpha Six	Has run well in both turf tries and should be in line for a great trip from close range. Think he's a player on the hike.
#4 Kitten's Man	Recent form stacks up well here, and he's bred to love the new footing on both sides of the pedigree. Underlay?
#7 Apple Empire	Rolled home in the local debut, but the rest of his form isn't much to look at, so I'll let him prove to me today at a likely unappealing price.
Race Summary	Echo Alpha Six can get the right kind of run here, and there are a couple of other players in here who figure to get bet below fair value, potentially leaving this guy at a playable price.

Picks	Notes
#1 Go For Four Frosty	Big step forward when adding blinkers last time out, and I'll take that one at face value and give him the nod to turn the tables on the guy who just beat him last out.
#4 Titere	Good effort going short last out, but at the end of the day he's still a 13-start maiden who would feel like a wild underlay at something like the 2/1 ML price. He can win here, but I'll take a principled stand against.
#8 Old Fort	Has some chance to wake up in the local debut, and outside of that clunker last out, his form is pretty consistent. That said, he's making his 20th start today and probably gets bet a bit.
Race Summary	Go For Four Frosty showed some forward ability when stretching out and adding blinkers last time out, and he's right in the mix again tonight with something similar -- and probably at a better number than the other two listed players here.

Picks	Notes
#2 Chop Chop Charlie	Finished with interest on the Ellis turf last out and has been running vs. good company; moves to dirt and is a big threat on either the front end or from just off it.
#3 River Echo	Has taken six of his last 10 and comes off an easy score over this strip; Contreras barn continued to be hot (26 percent) and the Contreras-jockey Esquivel combo has won 4 of its last 10.
#6 Here's Carlos	Can benefit from running far back off a lively pace and can make a big late run; usable in the exotics.
Race Summary	Chop Chop Charlie's last race was from off the pace but he also can be in close attendance of the pace; a legit threat to the heavy favorite.

Picks	Notes
#7 Take Charge d'Oro	Score in two of his last three, including the Trail's End at Oaklawn and should be able to run on well on the turf.
#1 Applicator	Was up in time in four of his last seven and is hard-trying veteran upper-claimer; rallied from off a slow pace last time and adjust to any pace.
#8 Marv's Magic	Came from off the pace and finished 3rd last out; can do better with a more legit pace and his best gives him a chance at a healthy price.
Race Summary	Take Charge d'Oro is a solid router and has won a race on the turf; comes off a win at Belterra and this well-traveled runner has been effective at several tracks.

Picks	Notes
#2 Color Me Pretty	Didn't fire and finish mid-pack in his first here this season and she had been off since March; ran well on Fair Grounds turf and improve in this one.
#1 Sister Kitten	Was moving at the end of his last two but settled for second in each; overdue to get her second career win and has a big chance here.
#3 Lady Oxbow	Ran fifth at Keeneland last out and has been in some good races with good results; has the class to be a strong player.
Race Summary	Color Me Pretty needed her last one and has a decent chance to run well at a big price.

Monday Service Play Thread 07/27/2020

Let's go Brandon!

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