Evangeline Downs 7-30-2020

EVD 07-30-2020


race #1 - 7.5f
#9 5-2 FRESH SNUFF
#2 7-2 SUPER LEGS

race #2 - 6f
.... tough small field.
#3 5-2 REACH THE CIRCLE - logical
#4 12-1 CASTLEMAN - in easier
#2 5-1 SIR POKERFACE

race #3 - 5f
#5 7-2 TEXAS PROMO GIRL
#3 5-1 KEEP AMERICA GREAT

race #4 - 4.5f
... 2yo mcl
#2 4-1 CREOLE CHARLIE - solid works for debut
#4 9-2 D'FESTIVE CAT - nice improve
#1 15-1 DAVES FRIEND DEWEY - courageous debut IMO, would be a bigger threat with a better trainer

race #5 - 6.5f
... tough race (deep), no real speed ... inspect all. Solo warm-ups hint to aggressive.
#6 12-1 DRY WOOD CREEK - has a shot
#8 6-1 JALEN HURTS
#1 2-1 TEN SILVER PINS - logical on drop
#5 9-2 BWANA GO - Broberg transfer tries Diodoro milkshake with bullet

race #6 - 4.5f
... another 2yo mcl, mostly firsters ... inspect all
#3 5-1 BANQUET CHEF
#2 3-1 WOOD RIVER
#4 4-1 TIME TO B WILD - bullet
#6 5-2 FRIENDOFTHECOURT

race #7 - 5.5f
#11 6-1 CUSTOM READY - drops
#3 8-1 KING'S PRAYER - speed threat
#5 6-1 JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT - if ready

race #8 - 8.5f
#7 6-1 CAJUN PINATA
#8 9-5 BUXTERHOOTER
#2 4-1 KING OF THE TESTO

race #9 - 6f
#11 10-1 LUCKY PRIORITY
#6 4-1 GUILTY CONFESSION
#8 7-2 LADY CARLOS
#3 30-1 JO JO'S HALO - exotic booster


FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
"fiddler" - don't expect top effort if low price
My wagers are exacta keybox top pick, plus straight win bet on top pick.
Good luck to all!

GL Prof. get em

Jack1999 said:

GL Prof. get em

Click to expand...

Thanks, Jack!

hey prof here is what i am seeing from the sims tonight
pay attention to any horses getting significant action that i haven't mentioned
as they are not showing anywhere on my simulations


gl brother


race 3-- have ur# 5 i have at 7-5 and going fav


race 5--- both ur# 6 and# 8 that u have chosen will hold their lines
because i got overloads on the #3,#5,#10 which will create a fold !!!


#10 should realistically go chalkk( has key sims ) but with layoff hard to tell -- had him 5-2 ??
but you don't like at all so makes it weary . post won't help either .


#3 is no bigger than 5-1 ?? oddsmaker blew it here


#5 is lone speed with milkshake, and barn change although there is no indication of sims dropping. with double arrows
but instinct says otherwise as old schoolers
will have their money here and there is a live syndicate tonight on this horse
so he can't be higher than ml as well (could surprise as post
fav ??? i have seen worse


#1 has to drift here as the drop not enough,, not holding the key sims !!!




race 7--- what ever happens here the
#6 has got all the sims so its possible he goes fav!! here (tricky) as style and sim #66 missing but he will make it interesting
although 18 percent is the max on any of the entries here
so if i am wrong about him taking favouritism then the actual post time fav should not be lower than 7-2
race wide open










race 9--- #6 is pushing all the overloads here so may go 7/5 or so
creating a upward slope of at least 5-1 for ur top choice(11)
plus the fact that no works in 30 days will scare some guys off but realistically he(11) should be lower in price
but don't think it will happen from what i m seeing here,so there is value there for you

anyway gl brother all the best

Thanks for the post, yes. Appreciate it.