Sunday Service Play Thread 08/09/2020

BuzzKill · Aug 2, 2020

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BuzzKill · Aug 9, 2020

Newsletters - http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=307&p=13209252&viewfull=1#post13209252

BuzzKill · Aug 9, 2020

Stephen Oh

NBA

32-7 NBA last 39

MLB

11-3 +903 MLB last 14

NYY +101
Arizona +143

bmd1803 · Aug 9, 2020

Larry Hartstein

OVER 239
SAN ANTONIO @ NEW ORLEANS | 8/09 | 3:00 PM EDT
12:26 AM
Zion Williamson should be back for this game, making the Pelicans even more potent. Neither of these teams plays much defense. We'll see a fast pace and a ton of open looks. Go Over.

47-36-1 IN LAST 84 NBA PICKS | +744
6-2 IN LAST 8 SA O/U PICKS | +379

COLORADO -160
COLORADO @ SEATTLE | 8/09 | 4:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:53 PM
The Rockies lead MLB with a .782 OPS and they should take advantage of Seattle's Justus Sheffield, who has a 9.39 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. This line should be steeper. Look for the Mariners to fall to 2-7 at home.

13-1 IN LAST 14 MLB PICKS | +1147
22-10 IN LAST 32 SEA ML PICKS | +1108

25-16 IN LAST 41 COL ML PICKS | +629

GREEN BAY +3.5
GREEN BAY @ MINNESOTA | 9/13 | 1:00 PM EDT
TUE 5/26
Don't expect full stadiums for the start of the NFL season, which means the Vikings won't have their usual massive homefield edge. The Packers have spent months hearing how their 13-3 record last year was a fluke and that they botched their offseason moves. Both might be true, but it's good motivation against a division rival Green Bay swept last year. Since 2003, division dogs in Week 1 are 51-32 (61.4 percent) ATS, including 4-1 last year. Grab the points.

18-4-1 IN LAST 23 MIN ATS PICKS | +1355

15-5 IN LAST 20 GB ATS PICKS | +949

RAVENS2014 · Aug 9, 2020

newworldinsiders

OFFSHORE INSIDER: Redsox OV 9.5

sailfish · Aug 9, 2020

Buster Sports

4% White Sox +120 (ESPN Best Bet)

3% Stars-Blues over 5.5 (+125)

3% 1H Trail Blazers -1.5 (-115)
2% Spurs-Pelicans over 238

sailfish · Aug 9, 2020

Dr. Chuck

4% 1H Wizards-Thunder under 113

Wizards have a -12 net rating in the first half in the last 5 games and they have been an ugly team to back...and may not even have Shabazz again today. The Thunder are a slower paced, defensive minded team, but that can also shoot...but that don't feel the need to throat stomp anyone, especially of late. They have been playing well together and should jump out early and quick on both ends. Last time out they held the Lakers WITH AD to just 18 points in the first quarter of their contest! Wizards try to run at a faster pace, however ineffective, but during the last 5 games have a PIE rating of just 40...league low for certain!

sailfish · Aug 9, 2020

McInnis Hockey

Situational NHL Total
Game 21) Columbus Blue Jackets at (22) Toronto Maple Leafs
Date/Time: Aug 9 2020 8:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 5.5 (+105)

sailfish · Aug 9, 2020

ATS Lock Club

3* Detroit

GDaddy46 · Aug 9, 2020

Inkbets 33-17 +30.2

MLB: Philadelphia Phillies Game 1 ML @ 2.00/+100 (3 Units)
MLB: Detroit Tigers -1.5 @ 2.10/+110 (2 Units)
MLB: Houston Astros ML @ 2.45/+145 (2 Units)

bmd1803 · Aug 9, 2020

Stephen Nover

(NBA) Houston Rockets -5

bmd1803 · Aug 9, 2020

Alleghenies Analysis (The Swami - NBA)

6 Unit Memphis Grizzlies +6.5

bmd1803 · Aug 9, 2020

Master Sports

NBA
Brooklyn Nets/LA Clippers under 225

bmd1803 · Aug 9, 2020

Micah Roberts

COLORADO -153
COLORADO @ SEATTLE | 8/09 | 4:10 PM EDT
12:18 PM
The Mariners have lost three straight contests and seven of their last eight, while the Rockies have won three in a row and seven of eight. Two teams sailing in opposite directions. One does everything well and is finding out its bullpen is better than hoped, the other makes one key blunder after another and can’t seem to score at home. I'm riding the streaks, so take the Rockies to win.

10-5-1 IN LAST 16 MLB PICKS | +429
13-4 IN LAST 17 SEA ML PICKS | +995

CINCINNATI +105
CINCINNATI @ MILWAUKEE | 8/09 | 2:10 PM EDT
11:57 AM
It’s kind of shocking to see Sonny Gray as an underdog, considering the way he’s started the season. He has allowed only two earned runs in his three starts, registering 28 strikeouts over 18 2/3 innings. I like the Reds to complete the three-game sweep Sunday as they right the ship after losing three straight to Cleveland. Meanwhile, the Brewers have dropped four of their last six.

10-5-1 IN LAST 16 MLB PICKS | +429
3-0 IN LAST 3 CIN ML PICKS | +300

bmd1803 · Aug 9, 2020

John Bollman

ST. LOUIS -135
DALLAS @ ST. LOUIS | 8/09 | 3:00 PM EDT
12:04 PM
The Blues went 4-0-1 against the Stars in the regular season and they will be looking to bounce back after a tough loss to the Knights. Ben Bishop might be out of the lineup and the Blues have the third best power play in the league. Both these teams are in the top five in goals against, however the Blues score 3.14 goals per game while the Stars score 2.58 goals per game.

2-1 IN LAST 3 DAL ML PICKS | +60

2-1 IN LAST 3 STL ML PICKS | +45

CINCINNATI +105
CINCINNATI @ MILWAUKEE | 8/09 | 2:10 PM EDT
12:02 PM
Sonny Gray has pitched 36 straight starts allowing six hits or fewer and he went 2-1 with a 2.45 ERA in 5 starts against the Brewers last season and won four of those games. Brandon Woodruff pitched well in the two games he faced the Brewers last season, but he is 2-2 with a 4.58 ERA in three career starts and five appearances. This game should be about 50-50, take the Reds with plus money.

24-15 IN LAST 39 MLB ML PICKS | +835
4-2 IN LAST 6 MIL ML PICKS | +239

4-1 IN LAST 5 CIN ML PICKS | +228

HOUSTON +147
HOUSTON @ OAKLAND | 8/09 | 4:10 PM EDT
12:02 PM
This is a matchup between two top prospects and future stars in Jesus Luzardo and Christian Javier. The As have won eight straight games while the Astros have lost four straight games. Javier has allowed two earned runs in 12.2 IP so far this season while Luzardo is coming off five scoreless innings in his first career start. The Astros hit much better against lefties and Javier should be able to get deep into the game to minimize their bullpen usage. I like the value on the Astros here.

24-15 IN LAST 39 MLB ML PICKS | +835
9-4 IN LAST 13 HOU ML PICKS | +604

MINNESOTA -153
MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY | 8/09 | 2:05 PM EDT
12:01 PM
Jose Berrios will be starting for the Twins, he is coming off his best performance in his last outing throwing a quality start. He faced the Royals four times last season and threw quality starts in 3 of 4 of those games. Brady Singer will be making just his fourth career start, and he has yet to face a lineup as daunting as the Twins. He gave up two home runs in each of his last two starts, and the Twins are a home run hitting team.

24-15 IN LAST 39 MLB ML PICKS | +835
9-0 IN LAST 9 MIN ML PICKS | +915

2-1 IN LAST 3 KC ML PICKS | +28

bmd1803 · Aug 9, 2020

Bob Balfe

MLB
1:10 PM EST
Rotation #732
Yankees -120 over Rays
Paxton/Morton
The Yankees had hot tempers last night in the nightcap double header with a few ejections. This team has been hit or miss as they rely on the big swing to put runs on the board. Tampa still is a challenged offensive team themselves so they really need a perfect storm of great pitching to win games. New York is a dangerous lineup that is looking to even the series. Take the Yankees.

NBA
6:30 PM EST
Rotation #732
Blazers -3 over Sixers
The Sixers will be without Ben Simmons for the rest of the way and now will shuffle their lineup. This is a pretty lazy team on defense that has given up some big 4th quarter runs. The Blazers have many hot shooting 3 point shooters that can create big runs. This is a Portland team that really needs the win more and should shoot themselves to a much needed victory against a team that will be lazy in covering the hottest shooter on the floor. Take the Blazers.

bmd1803 · Aug 9, 2020

sailfish said:
Dr. Chuck

4% 1H Wizards-Thunder under 113

Wizards have a -12 net rating in the first half in the last 5 games and they have been an ugly team to back...and may not even have Shabazz again today. The Thunder are a slower paced, defensive minded team, but that can also shoot...but that don't feel the need to throat stomp anyone, especially of late. They have been playing well together and should jump out early and quick on both ends. Last time out they held the Lakers WITH AD to just 18 points in the first quarter of their contest! Wizards try to run at a faster pace, however ineffective, but during the last 5 games have a PIE rating of just 40...league low for certain!

added

4% Marlins +1.5 (EV)
Lopez v. DeGrom (listed)

Just flat out straightforward VALUE here...Lopez had roughly the most perfect first start a pitcher could have when he pitched last week...and DeGrom has struggled to get run support throughout most every one of his starts for the Mets....despite back to back Cy Young awards. Neither team has been mashing all that much...and much like the O's play...we can still lose here and not worry about the Mets batting again if they cut it to 1 run near the end of the game. The Marlins have certainly been the surprise team so far in the NL...and the price here is flat out batshit crazy. DeGrom is only 3-3 SU/RL at home against the Marlins in his career as well...

And yes...I am tempted to play both the O's and Marlins on the ML as well...because with this narrow of a cap for both dogs and a triple your money proposition...why the hell not...but here we play it safe!

***The Orioles play is upped to a 4% play.***

bmd1803 · Aug 9, 2020

Bill Marzano

ST. LOUIS -135
DALLAS @ ST. LOUIS | 8/09 | 3:00 PM EDT
11:26 AM
Simply put, the Blues are the better overall team. They dominated Dallas during the regular season, going 4-0-1. Both teams are 0-2-0 in the round-robin tournament. Sunday's winner will be the third seed in the Western Conference and face Calgary, a tough matchup for either team, while the loser will take on Vancouver - an easier task, in my opinion. The Stars finished the regular season 0-4-2 and G Ben Bishop is questionable with undisclosed injury. Dallas is 0-8-0 in its last eight against teams with a winning record.

4-2 IN LAST 6 NHL PICKS | +285
5-4 IN LAST 9 DAL ML PICKS | +22

COLORADO -1.5
COLORADO @ SEATTLE | 8/09 | 4:10 PM EDT
11:15 AM
The Rockies, who are seeking a three-game sweep, have matched the best start in franchise history at 11-3. Charlie Blackmon is on fire, batting a robust .446 as he enters with an 11-game hitting streak. Colorado's German Marquez has posted a 1.89 ERA, while Seattle's Justus Sheffield is 0-2 with an ERA approaching double digits and still looking for his first major-league win. The wait will continue as the Rockies are 7-0 in their last seven games against a left-hander and 6-0 in their last six versus American League teams.

9-6 IN LAST 15 MLB ATS PICKS | +172
2-1 IN LAST 3 SEA ATS PICKS | +55

UNDER 7
CINCINNATI @ MILWAUKEE | 8/09 | 2:10 PM EDT
11:08 AM
Cincinnati's Sonny Gray is in great form and hasn't allowed more than six hits in any of his last 36 starts dating back to 2018. The Under is 2-1 in his three turns this year and 3-0 in Brandon Woodruff's three outings. This should be a low-scoring game. Both teams have struggled at the plate, especially with runners in scoring position. The Under has cashed in seven straight Sunday games for the Reds.

16-11 IN LAST 27 MLB PICKS | +129
2-1 IN LAST 3 CIN O/U PICKS | +75

BOSTON -440
ORLANDO @ BOSTON | 8/09 | 5:00 PM EDT
10:58 AM
The Magic, who have dropped three straight, already are dealing with the loss of Jonathan Isaac (knee) and now will be without Aaron Gordon (hamstring). Orlando has a playoff spot wrapped up but faces a surging Celtics team that still could grab the No. 2 seed in the East. Boston is the superior team as it can spread things out and shoot from beyond the arc. The Celtics are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS victory.

4-3 IN LAST 7 NBA PICKS | +70

HOUSTON -245
HOUSTON @ SACRAMENTO | 8/09 | 8:00 PM EDT
10:12 AM
The Rockets are 3-1 since the restart, while the Kings are just 1-4 and watching their playoff hopes fade quickly. Sacramento is really struggling defensively, and I don't think it can slow down Houston's offense. The Rockets have been doing a great job of taking care of the basketball at both ends of the court but need to do a better job on the glass. They average 119 points and will take care of business in this one, even without Russell Westbrook.

4-3 IN LAST 7 NBA PICKS | +70

OVER 232.5
HOUSTON @ SACRAMENTO | 8/09 | 8:00 PM EDT
10:08 AM
This should be a fast-paced game with a lot of points scored. The Rockets can shoot, they attempt a ton of 3-pointers and have been doing a good job getting to the free-throw line. Houston ranks second in turnover margin on both ends of the court. The Kings have dropped four of five games in the bubble and are struggling defensively as they've allowed almost 119 points per contest. Even without Russell Westbrook, the Rockets will score plenty.

4-3 IN LAST 7 NBA PICKS | +70

OKLAHOMA CITY -440
WASHINGTON @ OKLAHOMA CITY | 8/09 | 12:30 PM EDT
9:56 AM
The Thunder are coming off a horrible loss to Memphis but still are playing for playoff positioning, so the last few games down the stretch are very important. The Wizards no longer are in contention for the postseason as they've gone 0-5 since the restart, losing each contest by at least eight points. Oklahoma City is a little short-handed but has more than enough to take care of business. Washington is just 1-9 ATS in its last 10 Sunday games, while the Thunder are a perfect 9-0 ATS in such contests.

4-3 IN LAST 7 NBA PICKS | +70
3-0 IN LAST 3 OKC ML PICKS | +300

bmd1803 · Aug 9, 2020

Larry Hartstein

CLEVELAND -135
CLEVELAND @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 8/09 | 7:08 PM EDT
9:19 AM
Shane Bieber is 3-0 with a 0.83 ERA and faces a White Sox team that's batting .222 over its last five games. This price should be higher. Lay it as the Indians win on Sunday Night Baseball.

13-1 IN LAST 14 MLB PICKS | +1147
29-12 IN LAST 41 CLE ML PICKS | +1667

7-1 IN LAST 8 CHW ML PICKS | +714

UNDER 229
PHILADELPHIA @ PORTLAND | 8/09 | 6:30 PM EDT
9:16 AM
The Trail Blazers are coming off a deflating loss to the Clippers on Saturday, and Gary Trent can't keep making threes at the ridiculous 62.2 percent rate he's hit thus far. Philly will be without Ben Simmons to facilitate. Go Under.

47-36-1 IN LAST 84 NBA PICKS | +744

WASHINGTON +9.5
WASHINGTON @ OKLAHOMA CITY | 8/09 | 12:30 PM EDT
9:13 AM
The Wizards have been eliminated from the postseason. But they don't want to leave the bubble winless, and with Boston and Milwaukee on deck, this could be their last shot for a victory. OKC will be without Steven Adams again; his absence was the biggest reason why the Thunder got steamrolled by Memphis. Grab the points.

47-36-1 IN LAST 84 NBA PICKS | +744
37-26 IN LAST 63 OKC ATS PICKS | +900

7-1 IN LAST 8 WAS ATS PICKS | +590

bmd1803 · Aug 9, 2020

Mike Barner
NBA SPECIALIST
10:39 AM

HOUSTON -5.5
HOUSTON @ SACRAMENTO | 8/09 | 8:00 PM EDT
The Rockets will once again be shorthanded with Russell Westbrook (quadriceps) ruled out. He also missed Thursday’s matchup against the Lakers, but the Rockets still won by 16 points. The Kings will be missing two key players of their own with both Richaun Holmes (hip) and Marvin Bagley (foot) sidelined. They have lost four of their five games inside the bubble with three of the losses coming by at least six points. I like the Rockets to take advantage of the Kings’ struggles and cover here.

106-64-3 IN LAST 173 NBA ATS PICKS | +3560
6-2 IN LAST 8 HOU ATS PICKS | +380

3-1 IN LAST 4 SAC ATS PICKS | +189

Sunday Service Play Thread 08/09/2020

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