"We are expecting that the rate of transmission in Africa is lower."

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Winning the early battle


One thing that does seem certain, says Nkengasong, is that many African leaders got it right in the early stages of the fight.

"The leadership on the continent was extraordinary in responding in a coordinated way," he said.

He says the swift action by many African leaders to close down their economies should get significant credit for slowing community spread in the early months.

South Africa led the way by closing its borders to high risk travelers and shutting its schools in mid-March before reaching 100 confirmed cases. A strict lockdown swiftly followed.

Health experts say that these tough decisions, and the long experience dealing with diseases like Ebola and yellow fever, made a significant impact on transmission rates.

But Karamagi and a group of leading African scientists now believe that socio-ecological factors, the complex way that humans and their environment interact, could be playing an important role.

"We are expecting that the rate of transmission in Africa is lower. It could take a longer time to get to people who are susceptible. And the deaths, the severity of the outbreak will be less severe than we have seen in other countries," he said.


https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/16/africa/africa-coronavirus-cases-prevention-intl/index.html



 
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"South Africa crime plummets during lockdown

Crime in South Africa dropped by up to 40% during the first three months of its lockdown, official figures show.

Police Minister Bheki Cele said most types of crimes went down between April and June - including sexual assault and arson.

The figures "paint a never-seen-before rosy picture" of a peaceful South Africa experiencing a "crime holiday", he said.

He added that a controversial alcohol ban during the coronavirus lockdown had helped, but that attacks on liquor stores had increased in the pandemic.

South Africa has among the world's highest crime rates. It has also recorded over half the Covid-19 cases in Africa - but observers say this may be because it has better testing than other countries.

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/world-53790147
 
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"Could poverty explain Africa's low infection rate?Is there a link between poverty, crowded accommodation, and Africa's bafflingly low infection and death rates from the pandemic? This is the question posed by our Africa correspondent Andrew Harding.
Health experts have been braced for a major outbreak of Covid-19 across Africa ever since the virus was first identified earlier this year. But so far it has not happened.
Theories about why this is have ranged from the fact that Africa has a warmer climate to its much larger proportion of younger people, who are less likely to be affected badly by the coronavirus.
But some South African scientists now wonder whether Africa's overcrowded neighbourhoods, where colds and flus have long spread easily, have actually enabled its residents to build up a larger degree of immunity to Covid-19.
You can read more here.

 
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""Age is not such a big factor," said Professor Karim.

Early, and aggressive lockdowns here in South Africa and elsewhere on the continent have clearly played a crucial role. Clear messaging about masks and the provision of oxygen supplies have also been important.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-53998374


 

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maybe you should leave...sure africa would love 2 have you....but lets be honest...you would not want 2 live... with so many black people.. near you

Working on it. Travel is difficult right now because the USA is a shithole and no one wants us in their country spreading the virus.
 

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