Picks | Notes |
---|---|
#1 Anything Pazible | Stretch runner was a closing 2nd in his return, should only move forward off that, and catches two favorites who look destined to duel early and often; mows them all down late. |
#5 Almendro | ML favorite wins this by open lengths if he runs back to the extremely fast wire job last time, but he may bounce, stretches out a furlong, and won't clear these either; second-best. |
#3 Mr. Pete | Fellow speedster couldn't hold off the pick when 3rd last time and now faces him and the chalk, who will be pressing him throughout, so lasting won't be easy; comes unglued late. |
Race Summary | Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, and that will only help the 1 while hurting both the 5 and 3, so play him aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by singling him to kick off the early Pk4, as he gets all the best of it here, and a win by the third choice on the ML will knock out a lot of tickets right off the bat. |
Picks | Notes |
---|---|
#6 Old Man Winter | Speedster did well to draw outside the other speed, was a big 2nd last time off the long break, should improve off that tightener, and could be a price too; look out. |
#4 Fridaybeers | Stiff ML favorite will be bet hard on his NYRA form and the switch to Jeremiah, but yikes, his two dirt races have been horrific, and he'll be way overbet; backwheel time. |
#3 Yogi Mile | Lifetime maiden is 13-0-3-4, so you know winning isn't in his DNA, yet he figures on paper as always, so expect him to make his usual solid run; underneath, as always. |
Race Summary | That 4-1 seems like a gift on the 6, as he has more upside than the chalk, drew better, and has more speed too, so play him aggressively to win and place at 5-2 or better, while getting some added value by keying him in the early Pk4, since budget players might be singling the chalk, even though he's done nothing to this point to suggest a breakout is coming. |
Picks | Notes |
---|---|
#2 Troubleshooter | Newcomer didn't fire going long on the turf at Aqu for Clement, but now Jeremiah takes over, there's value here, and he could shake loose too; thinking he's primed. |
#5 Wesworld | The chalk was a fine 3rd in his local bow after a trio of NYRA runs, but his margin for error here is a slim one, and he'll be a big underlay too; trying to beat on top. |
#3 Themsfightinwords | Stretch runner was a distant 4th in a very fast race in his return, and adds a furlong here too, so expect him to fire in the lane, though it may be too late; exotics appeal. |
Race Summary | You won't get rich on the 2 but if they fire hard on the 5 you may sneak out that 3-1 ML, and on the drop, and trainer change to the most potent barn here, he's expected to wake up in a big way, so play him to win and place, and in the Pk5, and late Pk4 as well, since a win over the 5 would knock out a lot of budget players who are singling the chalk. |
Picks | Notes |
---|---|
#4 Fury Song | Didn't run terrible in the pair of turf tries, and those even types of efforts might play well on the grass with the local crew. She's had her share of chances, but so have all the other major players in here. |
#5 Boomtown | Career start number 13 for this one, and she owns some back turf races that stack up nicely with these. Wouldn't want too short a price. |
#2 Never Forever | The other six in here have lost 50 times combined, so being a fresh face isn't a bad thing. Some chance to finish underneath. |
Race Summary | Fury Song is short on excuses, but she has only had two tries on the turf, and they both produced even efforts in Florida. She may stack up well enough here to score at a fair price. |
Picks | Notes |
---|---|
#2 Waterloo Sunset | Didn't miss by much in the local debut at this same trip, and she has some room to move forward in this second start off the bench. Price won't be much, but she looks like a logical single early in the card. |
#5 No Limit Babe | She's probably the most likely upsetter in this spot, as her past turf tries have come with better groups, and there isn't much else to reach out to on paper with these. |
#7 Theartofcompromise | Badly beaten in all three starts, she did try much better company when running on the lawn in Florida. Some hope to improve against a softer group on the change of scenery. |
Race Summary | Waterloo Sunset owns sharp early speed that will keep her in the mix from the start, and she's not meeting a particularly formidable group. |
Picks | Notes |
---|---|
#1 Swingabigstick | Caught a tough winner last time around, but the debut run was pretty solid from close range. Blinkers go on today, and that might be the push this guy needs to get over the top. |
#2 Twelve Rocks | Faced much better in those last two Kentucky tries, but he's likely to get bet in this spot and doesn't have to win. |
#5 Flug | He's in good current form despite having had nine chances already, he proved that he could fit at this local level last time out. |
Race Summary | Swingabigstick gets blinkers on after a fading effort in a strung-out race last out, and the equipment change might allow him to find the front end in a spot without much other speed to contend with. |
Picks | Notes |
---|---|
#9 TRUMP THAT | Wilted late in the slop at this level, one more try to go the distance. |
#3 BRAVO TEX N | Solid numbers, gets class relief, but stands 2-37 since 2019. |
#1 DRAGON STRIKES | Made last-to-first move from post 8, moves inside. |
Race Summary | Trump That blew clear stretch leads in his last two starts, the latest from post 9 on an ‘off’ track. Give him one more chance to join the $200,000 Club. |
Picks | Notes |
---|---|
#8 MEADOWBROOK SHARLA | Versatile, seeks three-peat, lands in soft spot. |
#7 SCARLET V | Discount latest, up close through solid fractions two back before tiring. |
#2 ALLSPEEDALLTHETIME | Got up late to end winless drought, can repeat. |
Race Summary | Meadowbrook Sharla won from up close and far back as the favorite recently, now starts from post 8. She should be up to the task in a weak field. Play 8-2 and 8-7 exactas. |
Picks | Notes |
---|---|
#1 COQUI COQUI | Loomed on turn, settled for third at bullring, can use her speed from rail. |
#6 ODDS ON VERO BEACH | Can make good use of her speed, gets back on Lasix. |
#2 COCO BEACH DE VIE | Plagued by bad posts the last three times she stayed on stride. |
Race Summary | Coqui Coqui ranged up while first-over at half-mile track but couldn’t get past the pace-setting favorite and pocket-sitting second choice. She should be forwardly placed in here and a major player late. Play 1-2 and 1-6 exactas. |
Picks | Notes |
---|---|
#6 One Fast Orb | Set all the pace at Keeneland and finished second in her only start; can control this one from the start. |
#2 Flown | Has several decent works to her credit and is ready for her first start; big player on debut. |
#4 Blissful Change | Tired in her debut but that came in an open sprint at Keeneland; has been training well and should have a positive reaction to the new venue. |
Race Summary | One Fast Orb just missed at first asking and has a good chance to show them her heels from the start. |
Picks | Notes |
---|---|
#2 Betsdownletsride | Drew away with authority in his only start and the added distance should be no problem. |
#6 Chicks for Free | Ran on well and was up in time in her only start, which came against maiden-claimers at Churchill. |
#5 Clear Steps | Improved in her first one at Indiana Grand after tiring in a tough spot at Churchill; fits with these. |
Race Summary | Betsdownletsride put away early challengers and showed a lot of ability in drawing away; takes on tougher but doesn't need a lot of improvement to win. |
Picks | Notes |
---|---|
#8 Overpraise | Closed strongly for third in his only Indiana Grand appearance and should be the one to hold off. |
#3 Traffic Stop | Came on well for the runner-up spot last out and can come back with another strong performance at this level. |
#12 Hurricane Jake | Was up in time against maiden claimers at Parx in his last start, which came 11 months ago. |
Race Summary | Overpraise is a consistent closer and can get a favorable pace in front of him; rounding into his best form. |