Tuesday 8/11/2020 Comps/Bonus Plays,Trends, Betting Info, Etc

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Steve Janus

Aug 11 '20, 11:00 AM in 2h
Soccer | Zenit Petersburg vs Rotor Volgograd
Play on: Zenit Petersburg -244 at betonline
1* Free Sharp Play on Zenit Petersburg -244
 

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Hunter Price

Aug 11 '20, 1:00 PM in 4h
Soccer | Hibernian vs Dundee Untied
Play on: Dundee Untied +231 at 5Dimes
1* Free Pick on Dundee Untied +231
 

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Red Dog Sports

Aug 11 '20, 3:00 PM in 6h
Soccer | Chievo vs Spezia Calcio
Play on: Spezia Calcio -107 at pinnacle
Spezia -107

Chievo 1

Spezia 2

The free soccer play takes place on Tuesday afternoon in Italy. Take the small favorite to win.
 

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Bobby Conn

Aug 11 '20, 7:10 PM in 10h
MLB | Nationals vs Mets
Play on: Nationals -141 at 5Dimes
1* Bonus Play on Nationals -141
 

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Ricky Tran

Aug 11 '20, 8:40 PM in 11h
MLB | Diamondbacks vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies +101 at pinnacle
Ricky's 1* Bonus Play on the Colorado Rockies.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

Key Trends:

- The Diamondbacks are 6-12 in their last 18 road games.

- The Diamondbacks are 3-11 in their last 14 games as a road underdog.

- The Rockies are 5-2 in their last seven home games.

The verdict: The Rockies look good as a home favorite in this price range.
 

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Jimmy Boyd

Aug 11 '20, 9:40 PM in 12h
MLB | A's vs Angels
Play on: A's +138 at YouWager
1* Free Pick on A's +138

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
 

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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks


Finger Lakes - Race #1
PicksNotes
#1 Anything PazibleStretch runner was a closing 2nd in his return, should only move forward off that, and catches two favorites who look destined to duel early and often; mows them all down late.
#5 AlmendroML favorite wins this by open lengths if he runs back to the extremely fast wire job last time, but he may bounce, stretches out a furlong, and won't clear these either; second-best.
#3 Mr. PeteFellow speedster couldn't hold off the pick when 3rd last time and now faces him and the chalk, who will be pressing him throughout, so lasting won't be easy; comes unglued late.
Race SummaryPace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, and that will only help the 1 while hurting both the 5 and 3, so play him aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by singling him to kick off the early Pk4, as he gets all the best of it here, and a win by the third choice on the ML will knock out a lot of tickets right off the bat.

Finger Lakes - Race #3
PicksNotes
#6 Old Man WinterSpeedster did well to draw outside the other speed, was a big 2nd last time off the long break, should improve off that tightener, and could be a price too; look out.
#4 FridaybeersStiff ML favorite will be bet hard on his NYRA form and the switch to Jeremiah, but yikes, his two dirt races have been horrific, and he'll be way overbet; backwheel time.
#3 Yogi MileLifetime maiden is 13-0-3-4, so you know winning isn't in his DNA, yet he figures on paper as always, so expect him to make his usual solid run; underneath, as always.
Race SummaryThat 4-1 seems like a gift on the 6, as he has more upside than the chalk, drew better, and has more speed too, so play him aggressively to win and place at 5-2 or better, while getting some added value by keying him in the early Pk4, since budget players might be singling the chalk, even though he's done nothing to this point to suggest a breakout is coming.

Finger Lakes - Race #6
PicksNotes
#2 TroubleshooterNewcomer didn't fire going long on the turf at Aqu for Clement, but now Jeremiah takes over, there's value here, and he could shake loose too; thinking he's primed.
#5 WesworldThe chalk was a fine 3rd in his local bow after a trio of NYRA runs, but his margin for error here is a slim one, and he'll be a big underlay too; trying to beat on top.
#3 ThemsfightinwordsStretch runner was a distant 4th in a very fast race in his return, and adds a furlong here too, so expect him to fire in the lane, though it may be too late; exotics appeal.
Race SummaryYou won't get rich on the 2 but if they fire hard on the 5 you may sneak out that 3-1 ML, and on the drop, and trainer change to the most potent barn here, he's expected to wake up in a big way, so play him to win and place, and in the Pk5, and late Pk4 as well, since a win over the 5 would knock out a lot of budget players who are singling the chalk.

 

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


Mountaineer - Race #2
PicksNotes
#4 Fury SongDidn't run terrible in the pair of turf tries, and those even types of efforts might play well on the grass with the local crew. She's had her share of chances, but so have all the other major players in here.
#5 BoomtownCareer start number 13 for this one, and she owns some back turf races that stack up nicely with these. Wouldn't want too short a price.
#2 Never ForeverThe other six in here have lost 50 times combined, so being a fresh face isn't a bad thing. Some chance to finish underneath.
Race SummaryFury Song is short on excuses, but she has only had two tries on the turf, and they both produced even efforts in Florida. She may stack up well enough here to score at a fair price.

Mountaineer - Race #3
PicksNotes
#2 Waterloo SunsetDidn't miss by much in the local debut at this same trip, and she has some room to move forward in this second start off the bench. Price won't be much, but she looks like a logical single early in the card.
#5 No Limit BabeShe's probably the most likely upsetter in this spot, as her past turf tries have come with better groups, and there isn't much else to reach out to on paper with these.
#7 TheartofcompromiseBadly beaten in all three starts, she did try much better company when running on the lawn in Florida. Some hope to improve against a softer group on the change of scenery.
Race SummaryWaterloo Sunset owns sharp early speed that will keep her in the mix from the start, and she's not meeting a particularly formidable group.

Mountaineer - Race #7
PicksNotes
#1 SwingabigstickCaught a tough winner last time around, but the debut run was pretty solid from close range. Blinkers go on today, and that might be the push this guy needs to get over the top.
#2 Twelve RocksFaced much better in those last two Kentucky tries, but he's likely to get bet in this spot and doesn't have to win.
#5 FlugHe's in good current form despite having had nine chances already, he proved that he could fit at this local level last time out.
Race SummarySwingabigstick gets blinkers on after a fading effort in a strung-out race last out, and the equipment change might allow him to find the front end in a spot without much other speed to contend with.

 

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


Pocono Downs - Race #2
PicksNotes
#9 TRUMP THATWilted late in the slop at this level, one more try to go the distance.
#3 BRAVO TEX NSolid numbers, gets class relief, but stands 2-37 since 2019.
#1 DRAGON STRIKESMade last-to-first move from post 8, moves inside.
Race SummaryTrump That blew clear stretch leads in his last two starts, the latest from post 9 on an ‘off’ track. Give him one more chance to join the $200,000 Club.

Hoosier Park - Race #5
PicksNotes
#8 MEADOWBROOK SHARLAVersatile, seeks three-peat, lands in soft spot.
#7 SCARLET VDiscount latest, up close through solid fractions two back before tiring.
#2 ALLSPEEDALLTHETIMEGot up late to end winless drought, can repeat.
Race SummaryMeadowbrook Sharla won from up close and far back as the favorite recently, now starts from post 8. She should be up to the task in a weak field. Play 8-2 and 8-7 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #5
PicksNotes
#1 COQUI COQUILoomed on turn, settled for third at bullring, can use her speed from rail.
#6 ODDS ON VERO BEACHCan make good use of her speed, gets back on Lasix.
#2 COCO BEACH DE VIEPlagued by bad posts the last three times she stayed on stride.
Race SummaryCoqui Coqui ranged up while first-over at half-mile track but couldn’t get past the pace-setting favorite and pocket-sitting second choice. She should be forwardly placed in here and a major player late. Play 1-2 and 1-6 exactas.

 

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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


Indiana Grand - Race #5
PicksNotes
#6 One Fast OrbSet all the pace at Keeneland and finished second in her only start; can control this one from the start.
#2 FlownHas several decent works to her credit and is ready for her first start; big player on debut.
#4 Blissful ChangeTired in her debut but that came in an open sprint at Keeneland; has been training well and should have a positive reaction to the new venue.
Race SummaryOne Fast Orb just missed at first asking and has a good chance to show them her heels from the start.

Indiana Grand - Race #8
PicksNotes
#2 BetsdownletsrideDrew away with authority in his only start and the added distance should be no problem.
#6 Chicks for FreeRan on well and was up in time in her only start, which came against maiden-claimers at Churchill.
#5 Clear StepsImproved in her first one at Indiana Grand after tiring in a tough spot at Churchill; fits with these.
Race SummaryBetsdownletsride put away early challengers and showed a lot of ability in drawing away; takes on tougher but doesn't need a lot of improvement to win.

Indiana Grand - Race #0
PicksNotes
#8 OverpraiseClosed strongly for third in his only Indiana Grand appearance and should be the one to hold off.
#3 Traffic StopCame on well for the runner-up spot last out and can come back with another strong performance at this level.
#12 Hurricane JakeWas up in time against maiden claimers at Parx in his last start, which came 11 months ago.
Race SummaryOverpraise is a consistent closer and can get a favorable pace in front of him; rounding into his best form.

 

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NBA public betting, line movement for August 11
Patrick Everson

Devin Booker is putting in that work while trying to help the Suns reach the Western Conference playoffs. The line wasn't posted late Monday night for Suns-76ers, but Phoenix will surely be a 'dog.

NBA betting odds are on the board for Tuesday’s games inside the NBA Bubble, where no team is hotter than the aptly named Phoenix Suns. Devin Booker and Co. still face a tough challenge to reach the Western Conference playoffs, but the Suns are 6-0 SU and ATS in Orlando, entering a clash with the Philadelphia 76ers.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s matchups. Covers will update this action report with NBA sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the day.

NBA line movement

Booker continued lighting up the bubble Monday, scoring 35 points in the Suns’ 128-101 rout of the Thunder, with Phoenix rolling outright as an 8-point underdog. Books held off posting a Suns-Sixers line Monday night, waiting for clarity on lineups, particularly with Phoenix on a back-to-back.

The Trail Blazers are 4-2 SU (4-1-1 ATS) in the bubble and are now just a half-game behind West No. 8 seed Memphis. Portland faces Dallas at 6:30 p.m. ET, and that line also wasn’t posted yet, with the Mavericks on the second of a back-to-back after Monday’s 122-114 win over the Jazz.

Meanwhile, the Grizzlies need a win to hold off Portland. Memphis faces the Boston Celtics in a 5 p.m. ET tip. At Bet365 in New Jersey, the Celtics opened -5.5 but got bet down to -4.5 Monday night.

NBA public betting

Although the Celtics-Grizzlies line moved a point toward Memphis on Monday night, the Covers Consensus shows early support for Team Green. The Celtics were drawing 73 percent of early picks, with interest picking up when the line went to Boston -4.5.
 

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WNBA

Tuesday, August 11

Trend Report

Las Vegas @ Indiana
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
Las Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Washington @ Minnesota
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

New York @ Los Angeles
New York
New York is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York
 

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MLB public betting, line movement for August 11
Patrick Everson

Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Braves travel to the Bronx to face the Yankees on Tuesday night. Caesars sportsbooks opened New York a -160 favorite, then dialed back a tick to Yankees -155/Braves +145.

MLB betting odds are on the board and drawing early dollars for Tuesday’s 14-game slate. The Braves and Yankees meet in an interleague clash, and Max Scherzer takes the ball for the Nationals against the Mets.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday's contests.

MLB line movement

The Braves and Yankees square off in a two-game midweek series in the Bronx. New York is coming off a well-timed day off, after losing four of its last five games. Caesars books opened the Pinstripes -160, and that number quickly ticked down to -155, with Atlanta +145 for a 7:05 p.m. ET start.

Scherzer threw just one inning in his last outing, giving up one run before exiting with a hamstring issue in a 3-1 home loss to the Mets last week. Scherzer is back to face the same squad, this time on the road, and Caesars pegged the Nationals a -145 favorite, with the Mets +135. There was no movement by late Monday night in this 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch.

Jumping to the West Coast, the host Dodgers resume a four-game set with the Padres. Los Angeles opened -173 at Caesars books and moved to -164 later Monday, with the Padres at +152 for a 9:40 p.m. ET meeting.

MLB public betting

Consensus indicated early public support for the Yankees – shocking, right? – with the Pinstripes seeing 66 percent of early picks against the Braves. Nationals-Mets, however, was nearly dead two-way Monday night on Consensus, with 52 percent taking the home underdog Mets.
 

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NHL public betting, line movement for August 11
Patrick Everson

The Blackhawks took advantage of the revamped NHL postseason to win a qualifying-round series and will next face the Golden Knights. Chicago is a +170 underdog in Game 1 Tuesday.

NHL betting odds are up and drawing dollars, as the Stanley Cup playoffs reach the best-of-7 conference quarterfinal series. There are four games on the Tuesday docket, including a couple of compelling evening tilts: Hurricanes vs. Bruins and Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s contests. Covers will update this action report with NHL sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the day.

NHL line movement

Under normal circumstances, the Blackhawks wouldn’t have been in the playoffs this season after finishing 12th in the Western Conference. But under the amended format due to the COVID shutdown, Chicago got into a best-of-5 qualifying-round series, where it knocked out No. 5 Edmonton in four games.

For that effort, the Blackhawks next get the top-seeded Golden Knights, who won the round-robin pool among the top four teams in the Western Conference. Vegas opened a -215 favorite Monday morning at PointsBet USA and dipped to -200 by Monday evening, with Chicago +170 for the 10:30 p.m. ET Game 1.

The Bruins and Hurricanes meet in the Eastern Conference 4 vs. 5 series. Boston opened -150 for Game 1 and closed in to -130, then rebounded a couple ticks to -140 Monday, with Carolina +120 for an 8 p.m. ET start.

NHL public betting

At Las Vegas sportsbooks, there’s no question the Golden Knights will see heavy public play throughout the day Tuesday, though none had arrived Monday night. But in an atypical Stanley Cup playoffs, with this game played in the Edmonton bubble, pricing was a challenge for Sin City oddsmakers, who struggled with concerns of opening the Knights too high.

CG Technology books opened the Knights -200, the price that PointsBet USA – across the country in New Jersey – moved down to on Monday.

“There’s zero home-ice advantage, and the Knights are going with Robin Lehner in goal,” CG Tech risk analyst Dave Sharapan said, alluding to Vegas’ decision not to start Marc-Andre Fleury. “And the Blackhawks are playing loose, with house money.”

Among Tuesday’s four games, the Golden Knights were the most-liked team Monday night on Covers Consensus. Vegas was landing 67 percent of early picks against Chicago. Hurricanes-Bruins was the closest to two-way play, with Boston at 57 percent and Carolina at 43 percent in the Consensus.
 

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Bob Valentino

Today is Tuesday. The past is the past and I cannot do a thing about it. Today is the start of a new day and a new opportunity to recoup some of the lost profits.

Go ahead and lay the wood with the Suns as they look to remain perfect for their bubble stay/play this Tuesday afternoon against the 76ers.

Phoenix trailed Oklahoma City, 37-23 after one quarter on Monday afternoon, but would go on to outscore the Thunder by 41 points the rest of the way in a 128-101 rout that moved Phoenix to 6-0 both straight up and against the spread as they have a very real shot at playing their way into the 8th spot in the West.

Deandre Ayton did not play in Monday's first quarter, but came in after testing negative for his coronavirus test and netted 17 points off the bench to lead the Phoenix comeback.

Devin Booker continues to make his case for "Bubble MVP" as he scored a cool 35 points.

The Suns took full advantage of a Thunder team that had 4 of their top 5 scorers sit out due to injury. I expect them to take full advantage of a Philadelphia team here on Tuesday that is now without Ben Simmons for the remainder of the season due to a knee injury and will also be missing Joel Embiid who will rest his tweaked ankle.

Not only that, but Al Horford and Tobias Harris are also playing injured and listed as questionable for today's action.

Phoenix did win the lone regular season meeting against Philadelphia way back on November 4th and they have covered in 4 of the last 6 series meetings overall, splitting the 6 straight up. Those meetings were when the Suns were not very good. Right now Monty Williams is pushing all the right buttons and even though this impost is a little "puffy", punch it again on Phoenix for the win and cover to make it 7 straight in the bubble.

4* PHOENIX
 

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Mitchell Newman

The clock is about to strike midnight on Cinderella's castle for the Memphis Grizzlies who entered the Orlando bubble restart as the 8th seed in the Western Conference, but after losing Jaren Jackson Jr. and also losing 5 of their 6 games played both straight up and against the spread are in grave danger of missing out on the postseason.

At this point, a play-in game is slated for Saturday, but the Grizzlies still need to make sure they are involved in that play-in game after blowing a 3 1/2 game lead entering bubble action.

Things will not get easier against a Boston team that appears to have found their footing finally during this restart.

The Celtics opened with setbacks in 2 of their first 3 games in the Sunshine State, but have now reeled off 3 wins in a row with covers in 2 of the 3 wins.

Yes, Boston has secured the # 3 seed, but I don't expect them to simply ease off the gas pedal here.

This has been a good matchup for the C's as they did take the season's lone meeting 119-95 back in late January to run the series winning streak to 8 wins in a row and wins in 9 of the last 10 straight up. Boston has also gone 7-3 against the spread in the past 10 meetings.

Memphis is a team with definite potential in the future, but they have the look of a beaten bunch right now.

Lay the points with Boston here on Tuesday.

3* BOSTON
 

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Stephen DeAngelo

Yet another complimentary winner delivered Monday, as the Nuggets got inside the number against the Lakers. I’m now on a 16-8 roll with freebies, including hitting five of the last six overall and four straight in the NBA!



For Tuesday, it’s back to the diamond, as I’ll grab the plus money with the visiting (and streaking) Royals in Cincinnati.



More than anything, this is a strict fade against Reds starter Luis Castillo. A one-time hot prospect and presumed ace of the Cincy staff, Castillo is off consecutive poor outings against the Tigers and Indians (both at home). He allowed eight runs (all earned) on 12 hits and four walks in 11 innings in those two contests, losing 7-2 to the Tigers and 13-0 to the Tribe.



Although Castillo’s first start of the season (also against the Tigers, in Detroit) was solid (one run, six hits, one walk, 11 strikeouts in six innings), the Reds also dropped that game, losing 6-4. In fact, going back to mid-September 2019, Cincinnati is winless in each of Castillo’s last five starts and is 1-5 in his last six. The last time Castillo picked up a victory at home: a 4-2 win over San Diego on Aug. 21 — 50½ weeks and nine starts ago!



Kansas City comes into this one fresh off an impressive three-game sweep of the red-hot Twins, which was preceded by a 13-2 rout of the Cubs. Rookie Kris Bubic will be tasked with extending the Royals’ season-best four-game winning streak. Although Kansas City is winless in Bubic’s first two starts, the southpaw pitched decently both times, holding the Cubs and White Sox to four earned runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out nine in 10 innings (3.60 ERA).


Today, Bubic faces a Reds squad that’s just 7-9 on the season (only a half-game better than KC’s 7-10 record). Cincy’s problem: It can’t hit (.195 team batting average, compared with the Royals’ .255 mark) and its bullpen is a disaster (7.77 ERA, while KC relievers sport a 3.16 ERA).

3* KANSAS CITY (based on 1* to 5* rating)
 

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Chris Jordan

My complimentary winner for Tuesday is going to be a total, as I see the Atlanta Braves and New York Yankees bats coming to life, based on the pitching matchup.

MAKE NOTE: All Run Line/Total plays traditionally list pitchers automatically with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager. If that is applicable with your book, be sure Touki Toussaint and Jordan Montgomery are the starters of record on your ticket when making your play. If one or both of these pitchers is not going, this is a no-play.

Toussaint hasn't had the most pleasant start to the season, as he's sans a decision and is sporting a a 6.08 ERA. Its odd to me considering he has a pretty good arsenal, has used a wicked breaking ball to register 20 strikeouts and pitches with confidence.

This start is tricky, as the Yankees have a smart lineup, and will jack every offering he has without a hitch. And since he's given up at least one home run in two of his three appearances - two starts - this fill-in sport start for Mike Foltynewicz could end quickly for him.

The Yankees are going with Jordan Montgomery, who comes in off a strong start against the Boston Red Sox, but still has been unceremonious the first month of the season, going 1-1 in his first two starts with a 5.59 ERA. He allowed a home run in each.

I mention the home runs because we have the No. 4 and 5 teams in the league in home runs, as the Yankees have jacked 27 and the Braves 26. And when we're talking about runs scored, Atlanta ranks No. 1 with 95 and the Yankees are ninth with 79.

I like this one to get past 10 runs with ease.

5* OVER Braves-Yankees
 

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Jack Brayman

Remember last season, when the Carolina Hurricanes were labeled as jerks by famed announcer Don Cherry, because of their post-game celebrations after victories.

Well, the Hurricanes are back; Cherry is not.

While Cherry was checked into the boards, and off the air for off-color remarks, the Hurricanes return to the postseason and face the defending Eastern Conference champion Boston Bruins. It's a rematch from last season's East Final, and I like the Hurricanes to come out blazing in this first game.

After all, teams that take Game 1 in a best-of-seven series boast an all-time series record of 478-219 (68.6%).

Boston swept Carolina in four games in last year's final, and that's why I think the Hurricanes must play for this win against the President's Trophy winner. There are 18 players that dressed for the Hurricanes during last year's Conference Final and return for this series, so you can bet revenge is on the brain here.

The one person I want you keeping an eye on is Sebastian Aho, who finished the qualifying round with eight points in three games (3 goals, 5 assists) - the second-most among all players. Aho is tied for second among all NHL skaters with eight points, while's tallied 20 points (8 goals, 12 assists) through 18 career postseason games, tying him with Eric Staal and Kevin Dineen for the most points by a skater through the first 18 games of their postseason career in franchise history.

Aho has proven to be comfortable against Boston's rugged and heavy lineup, too, as he's tallied 12 points (8 goals, 4 assists) in 10 career regular season games against the Bruins.

I don't care who gets the nod in goal tonight, as coach Rod Brind'Amour hasn't announced who tonight's starter will be (as of 9 am eastern), but much like Vegas with two quality goaltenders to choose from, the 'Canes have a dynamic duo.

Petr Mrazek and James Reimer combined to stop 94 of 98 shots faced during the Eastern Conference Qualifying Round vs. the New York Rangers, recording a 3-0 record, 1.33 goals-against average and .959 save percentage. Their combined 1.33 goals-against average is the third-lowest mark in a postseason series in franchise history.

Pricey dog, nice price, solid value.

Take Carolina.

1* HURRICANES
 

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