Nfl week 1 early chatter

chrishansen · Aug 23, 2020

Any thoughts or Eagles/Skins fans feedback? And any opinions pro/con on CV19 effects towards picks

Washington UNDER 45

Sets up well imo. Rivera could help even a bit more on the already very talented and underrated front 7. The front 7 on both sides of the ball play into strengths of each team. Philly O-line will be really good but do have a few holes already. Losing Brooks to injury and Hali to lines is a knock vs a very strong Skins team up front. Skins themselves have a good O-line, just not anything great. Eagles front 7 is above average with skill.

Skins D front 7 controls Eagles O front 7.
Eagles D front 7 controls Skins O front 7.
Secondary weakness both sides imo.
Skins still have questions at QB, WR and nothing at TE
Eagles have questions at WR.
Rivera should play typical ball control style
Reps and timing should be a concern on O for rookies/new faces no preseason

Both teams with such good front 7’s should be an advantage verse the run and pass. The timing factor in pass game with rookies on both sides of offense should be a factor. Not sure how this plays out but with no fans these teams feel like a scrimmage week 1. I remember playing scrimmages and offensive atmosphere always seemed flat imo.

Offense slight edge Philadelphia
Defense slight edge Washington

Play out thoughts
Skins scoring 1-3 td 2-3 fg (14+7.5) 21.5
Eagles scoring 2-3 td 1-2 fg (17.5+4.5) 22

Eagles 22 Skins 21

I think I will go with a upset prediction...

Washington 20
Philadelphia 16

UNDER 45
Washington +6 ML +220 value to playing either

chrishansen · Aug 23, 2020

Any thoughts?

Pittsburgh UNDER 48

Steelers by far better D
Giants new coaching and Mr. Vanilla Cowboys Garrett to offensive mix

Steelers advantages all over D side of ball
Steelers Big Ben back? He can’t be too sharp
Steelers do have a bit underrated O-line
Steelers secondary has some real high skill
Steelers offense may have same timing growth as many teams on offense
Giants down LT Soldier and Rookie Thomas first action
Giants already weak O-line
Giants still not mature on offense in general
Giants D is nothing special anywhere

Steelers D has potential to be big and take advantage of some Giants O-line unknowns. Big defensive days can lead to turnovers/points/good field position/better scoring opportunities. And this has potential to more points.

Steelers offense with Big B in the mix seems far more likely to be less productive with him in the saddle for first time after injury. Speed is there for offense to dink/dunk to some big plays. A Steelers O-line with chemistry and better talent vs a Giants O-line with less talent and no solid chemistry may be the difference.

Seems like it’s a Steelers D strength vs Steelers unknown offense type game.

Defense Huge Edge Steelers
Offense very slight edge Steelers (offense line reasons only)

Play out thoughts
Steelers 2-3 td 2-3 fg (17.5+7.5) 25
Giants 0-1 td 3-4 fg (3.5+10.5) 14

Steelers 25 Giants 14

Will go with a Steelers win prediction in a sloppy game...

Steelers 16
Giants 9

UNDER 48
Steelers -3.5 value to the side

bigwang · Aug 25, 2020

Great analysis on Pitt/NYG. Best of luck this season.

cloverleaf · Aug 25, 2020

If you like the Eagles/Redskins Under...I'd bet it now. The line opened at 45
and is now down to 44. I'd be a cup of coffee it goes down to 43 or maybe
even 42.5.

GL

chrishansen · Aug 25, 2020

I see it has bumped down in some spots. And yes, I won’t be shocked if it hit 42.5

Any thoughts on games that catch the eye so far?

cloverleaf · Aug 25, 2020

^ I like the Phil/Wash game Under even at 44.

Wish I had bet it at 45.

Indy/Jax worth a look playing Under. At least I'm on it.

brendanjack · Aug 25, 2020

I’m leaning falcons week1 only purely on Matt ice first home game stat.

brendanjack · Aug 25, 2020

Chris you from Seattle area my wife grew up on bainbridge.

chrishansen · Aug 25, 2020

brendanjack said:
I’m leaning falcons week1 only purely on Matt ice first home game stat.

I like Atlanta also. Tough game though. Undecided on what to make of Falcons secondary. Wilson to Lockett or Mr. Muscle has big points potential.

chrishansen · Aug 25, 2020

brendanjack said:
Chris you from Seattle area my wife grew up on bainbridge.

No grew up in Maryland.

chrishansen · Aug 25, 2020

cloverleaf said:
^ I like the Phil/Wash game Under even at 44.

Wish I had bet it at 45.

Indy/Jax worth a look playing Under. At least I'm on it.

Thoughts on Jags 7.5?

Rivers no field time with new team
Run game will be just fine though. Taylor should be bell cow

Not sure what to make of Jags yet. Scrappy and youth can have teams okay with more passion and discipline at times.

bengals34 · Aug 26, 2020

Carolina,Jags, Arizona, and Atlanta.

jgm4661 · Aug 26, 2020

I like PIT and ATL too. Here are my ideas so far.

Week 1 Picks

Home team in caps. Comparisons are team unit vs. opponent’s opposite. ie Team pass O vs. Opponent pass D. Leans so far.

BUF -6
Edge everywhere except run o. Big edge in DB vs nyj WRs. BUF also has one of best DLs in league after adding Mario Addsion and AJ Espensa to get after the QB. BUF class of division now and nyj have a lower tier D.

pit -3.5
Same here as well w edge everywhere except run o too. Edge in coaching w Mike Tobin vs newbie Joe Judge.

pit has one of best D’s in league and will give 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] yr QB Daniel Jones fits. Look for OLBs Bud Dupree and TJ Watt to roll up the sacks against one of the worst OLs in the league . Ben R and the OL are all back this year and healthy and they added more weapons on O in WR Chase Claypool and TE Eric Ebron.

ATL +1
Edge everywhere except run O and big edge in pass O. ATL better team and should win outright so 1 pt is a bonus. ATL has all #1 picks across the OL and they are all healthy now. Todd Gurley also is an upgrade at RB.

LAR +2
2 similar teams so take the pts for HFA. Big edge in pass O and added WR Van Jefferson in draft. OL back to full health again too

bigwang · Aug 26, 2020

chrishansen said:
I like Atlanta also. Tough game though. Undecided on what to make of Falcons secondary. Wilson to Lockett or Mr. Muscle has big points potential.

Tread lightly with Falcons. Their d and ol are going to be really bad yet again. Seattle doesn’t have any issues flying cross country and winning games.

chrishansen · Aug 27, 2020

Falcons O-line will be improved and healthy bodies for a change. They have talent on the line.

But I agree with the D, secondary is a big what if. Like I said, I can easily see Met or Lock having some wild 3 td game from Wilson.

chrishansen · Aug 27, 2020

jgm4661 said:
I like PIT and ATL too. Here are my ideas so far.

Week 1 Picks

Home team in caps. Comparisons are team unit vs. opponent’s opposite. ie Team pass O vs. Opponent pass D. Leans so far.

BUF -6
Edge everywhere except run o. Big edge in DB vs nyj WRs. BUF also has one of best DLs in league after adding Mario Addsion and AJ Espensa to get after the QB. BUF class of division now and nyj have a lower tier D.

pit -3.5
Same here as well w edge everywhere except run o too. Edge in coaching w Mike Tobin vs newbie Joe Judge.

pit has one of best D’s in league and will give 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] yr QB Daniel Jones fits. Look for OLBs Bud Dupree and TJ Watt to roll up the sacks against one of the worst OLs in the league . Ben R and the OL are all back this year and healthy and they added more weapons on O in WR Chase Claypool and TE Eric Ebron.

ATL +1
Edge everywhere except run O and big edge in pass O. ATL better team and should win outright so 1 pt is a bonus. ATL has all #1 picks across the OL and they are all healthy now. Todd Gurley also is an upgrade at RB.

LAR +2
2 similar teams so take the pts for HFA. Big edge in pass O and added WR Van Jefferson in draft. OL back to full health again too

Like the against the grain with Rams. Cowboys look like free money or trap game. I do believe the offense will be much better than most expect and will okay as more of a unit with multiple contributors.

Bills do have edge about every spot vs Jets. I don’t see Jets winning 5 games this year. But this is a division I struggle to get a good read on most of the time. I could see Bills 34 Jets 30 or Bills 41 Jets 6 or Bills 13 Jets 9 and not be shocked by either score. Any thoughts on Allen this year?

bigwang · Aug 27, 2020

chrishansen said:
Falcons O-line will be improved and healthy bodies for a change. They have talent on the line.

But I agree with the D, secondary is a big what if. Like I said, I can easily see Met or Lock having some wild 3 td game from Wilson.

They do have young guys on line. The right side will be worth keeping tabs on. Hopefully we see some good games and can make a profit while doing so. Good luck all season. I am bullish on the team from your location this year. Have some on them to win sb but figure number will rise a bit if sf gets off to hot start with their easy schedule. If any team could bring in AB and keep him focused it is Seattle. A 3 wr set of those guys for Russ would be a problem for rest of nfc.

TheComputerGroup · Aug 28, 2020

I like your Skins Under & Pitt Under

jgm4661 · Aug 28, 2020

chrishansen said:
Like the against the grain with Rams. Cowboys look like free money or trap game. I do believe the offense will be much better than most expect and will okay as more of a unit with multiple contributors.

Bills do have edge about every spot vs Jets. I don’t see Jets winning 5 games this year. But this is a division I struggle to get a good read on most of the time. I could see Bills 34 Jets 30 or Bills 41 Jets 6 or Bills 13 Jets 9 and not be shocked by either score. Any thoughts on Allen this year?

Hard to say. He is patchy but didn't have really a complete O to work w last year. Their passing was limited w WR John Brown who is really just a burner vs a route runner and check down slot WR Cole Beasely. WR Stefon Diggs gives them a true #1 and w Brown stretching the field it will open up things up for everyone. They also have good TEs and RBs who can catch so Allen is in a position to do really well this year.

brendanjack · Aug 30, 2020

Chargers seems like a solid play week 1 purely on burrows lack of experience and San Diego’s defense

Nfl week 1 early chatter

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