Wednesday Service Play Thread 09/09/2020

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2020

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ConleyPicks · Sep 9, 2020

Stephen Oh

OVER 220.5
L.A. CLIPPERS @ DENVER | 9/09 | 9:00 PM EDT
4:26 PM
The Nuggets are the equals if not superior to the Clippers offensively led by Nikola Jokic, but Denver simply can't get the key defensive stops when needed because it doesn't have a stopper like Kawhi Leonard, Paul George or Patrick Beverley. The Over is 8-2 in the Nuggets' past 10 after a loss, and more than 70 percent of model simulations have Game 4 going Over the total on Wednesday.

44-17 IN LAST 61 NBA PICKS | +2528
8-4 IN LAST 12 DEN O/U PICKS | +357

TAMPA BAY -170
N.Y. ISLANDERS @ TAMPA BAY | 9/09 | 8:00 PM EDT
4:20 PM
Tampa Bay dominated the New York Islanders in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference Final series on Monday, 8-2, for a fifth straight victory. Brayden Point had two goals and three assists as the Bolts scored at least twice in every period. They are simply the much more talented team, and nearly 65 percent of model simulations have Tampa taking a 2-0 lead Wednesday. The Isles are 4-13 in their past 17 as underdogs.

14-5 IN LAST 19 NHL ML PICKS | +735
7-2 IN LAST 9 TB ML PICKS | +450

2-1 IN LAST 3 NYI ML PICKS | +65

RAVENS2014 · Sep 9, 2020

newworldinsiders

NYC INSIDER: Yankees OV 10

RapidRacing · Sep 9, 2020

Big AL

’Under’ between Boston and Toronto

sailfish · Sep 9, 2020

Wednesday Sports Plays from The Winners Circle

The Winners Circle --
Wednesday Plays -- Sports Bankroll ($4915) -- Yesterday (+5)

MLB Baseball -- Playing all games straight $100/each

Play Atlanta -135 over Miami
Play New York Yankees -140 over Toronto

==============================

NBA Basketball -- Playing all games straight $100/each

Play Boston -3.5 over Toronto
Play Denver +8 over Los Angeles Clippers

==============================

NHL Hockey -- Playing all games straight $100/each

Play Tampa Bay -165 over New York Islanders

sailfish · Sep 9, 2020

Elite Sports Picks

Chicago Cubs (Darvish) -150 over Cincinnati (Bauer)

sailfish · Sep 9, 2020

Insider Sports Report

4* Colorado (Senzatela)/San Diego (Davies) UNDER 8.5
Range: 9 to 10

3* N.Y. Yankees (Garcia) -130 over Toronto (Roark)
Range: -115 to -155

3* L.A. Clippers/Denver UNDER 220 (NBA)
Range: 222 to 218

sailfish · Sep 9, 2020

National Sports Service

4* Chicago Cubs (Darvish) -150 over Cincinnati (Bauer)

3* Milwaukee (Burnes)/Detroit (Boyd) UNDER 8.5

3* Boston -3 over Toronto (NBA)

sailfish · Sep 9, 2020

Primetime Sports Picks For 09/09/20

4 Unit --> Milwaukee (Burnes) -140 over Detroit (Boyd)

3 Unit --> Cleveland (Carrasco) -1.5 runs -105 over Kansas City (Duffy)

3 Unit --> Denver +7.5 over Denver (NBA)

sailfish · Sep 9, 2020

Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 09/09/20

4★ N.Y. Yankees (Garcia) -130 over Toronto (Roark)

3★ Milwaukee (Burnes)/Detroit (Boyd) UNDER 8.5

3★ Toronto/Boston UNDER 210.5 (NBA)

ConleyPicks · Sep 9, 2020

SDQL

OAKLAND -172
HOUSTON @ OAKLAND | 9/09 | 9:10 PM EDT
10:02 AM
The Athletics are 15-0 as 140-plus home favorites following a game in which they did not score after the third inning. Oakland has won these 15 games by an average of exactly five runs. Houston is 0-11 as a road underdog before game 110 after it had more strikeouts than hits. We make the Athletics the play.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
3-1 IN LAST 4 HOU ML PICKS | +189

3-1 IN LAST 4 OAK ML PICKS | +160

CHI. WHITE SOX -177
CHI. WHITE SOX @ PITTSBURGH | 9/09 | 7:05 PM EDT
9:54 AM
Chicago is a reliable 12-0 as a favorite in the last game of a series when it is coming off a loss in which it had more than three hits, but more strikeouts than hits. Pittsburgh is 0-17 as an underdog of more than 160 following a game in which it struck out its opponent 10-plus times and its starter has averaged at least three strikeouts per game. The White Sox get the victory.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
10-1 IN LAST 11 CHW ML PICKS | +855

CHI. CUBS -153
CINCINNATI @ CHI. CUBS | 9/09 | 8:15 PM EDT
9:50 AM
Since the start of the 2018 season, the Reds are 0-9 before game 130 as a road underdog after being shut out on the road, getting outscored by an average of 3.56 runs. In their two games in this spot this season, they scored a total of two runs. The Cubs have shown no mercy in this spot, as they are 9-0 as a 120-plus home favorite against a team that has lost at least it last two games. We are on Chicago.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
9-3 IN LAST 12 CHC ML PICKS | +474

L.A. DODGERS -290
L.A. DODGERS @ ARIZONA | 9/09 | 9:40 PM EDT
9:48 AM
The Dodgers have crushed souls in this spot. Los Angeles is 12-0 as a 150-plus road favorite over a team that has a worse record when it is not a series opener. The Dodgers are 7-0 in this spot this season, winning every game by multiple runs, and have trailed for a total of one inning in that span. Conversely, the Diamondbacks are 0-11 when it is not the first game of a series and they are facing a team that has a better record. The Dodgers roll.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
10-4 IN LAST 14 LAD ML PICKS | +260

2-1 IN LAST 3 ARI ML PICKS | +79

SAN FRANCISCO -145
SEATTLE @ SAN FRANCISCO | 9/09 | 9:45 PM EDT
9:44 AM
The Mariners are 0-8 on the road following an away contest in which they did not score after the third inning, getting beaten by an average of 6.25 runs. The Giants are 10-0 as a favorite in the finale of a series after a game in which they hit multiple home runs, including two multi-run wins this season. San Francisco turns the screw.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
3-0 IN LAST 3 SF ML PICKS | +300

3-1 IN LAST 4 SEA ML PICKS | +60

SAN DIEGO -180
COLORADO @ SAN DIEGO | 9/09 | 8:10 PM EDT
9:37 AM
The Padres are 8-0 at home after a game in which Manny Machado had multiple hits and 7-0 as a favorite after they struck out their opponent at least 10 times, winning by an average of 5.14 runs. San Diego is rolling and Colorado's Antonio Senzatela has pressed in this spot. The Rockies are 0-10 with Senzatela when visiting a team that has won at least three straight, getting beaten by an average of 4.60 runs. We are laying the price.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
3-1 IN LAST 4 COL ML PICKS | +143

ConleyPicks · Sep 9, 2020

Matt Severance
SEVERANCE PAYS
9:37 AM

DETROIT +1.5
MILWAUKEE @ DETROIT | 9/09 | 1:10 PM EDT
This is the only matinee of Wednesday, and getaway day games hugely favor the home team, regardless of whether fans are in the stands. On the surface, the season numbers for Tigers pitcher Matt Boyd (1-5, 6.64) are ugly, but he has allowed just five earned runs over his past three outings. The Brewers, meanwhile, have lost three in a row overall and seven of their past eight away. Detroit could well win this outright, but we will take it as a short -120 favorite on the runline to be safe.

ConleyPicks · Sep 9, 2020

VSI

4* Indians-1.5 even

SportsBookData · Sep 9, 2020

ConleyPicks said:
SDQL

OAKLAND -172
HOUSTON @ OAKLAND | 9/09 | 9:10 PM EDT
10:02 AM
The Athletics are 15-0 as 140-plus home favorites following a game in which they did not score after the third inning. Oakland has won these 15 games by an average of exactly five runs. Houston is 0-11 as a road underdog before game 110 after it had more strikeouts than hits. We make the Athletics the play.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
3-1 IN LAST 4 HOU ML PICKS | +189

3-1 IN LAST 4 OAK ML PICKS | +160

CHI. WHITE SOX -177
CHI. WHITE SOX @ PITTSBURGH | 9/09 | 7:05 PM EDT
9:54 AM
Chicago is a reliable 12-0 as a favorite in the last game of a series when it is coming off a loss in which it had more than three hits, but more strikeouts than hits. Pittsburgh is 0-17 as an underdog of more than 160 following a game in which it struck out its opponent 10-plus times and its starter has averaged at least three strikeouts per game. The White Sox get the victory.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
10-1 IN LAST 11 CHW ML PICKS | +855

CHI. CUBS -153
CINCINNATI @ CHI. CUBS | 9/09 | 8:15 PM EDT
9:50 AM
Since the start of the 2018 season, the Reds are 0-9 before game 130 as a road underdog after being shut out on the road, getting outscored by an average of 3.56 runs. In their two games in this spot this season, they scored a total of two runs. The Cubs have shown no mercy in this spot, as they are 9-0 as a 120-plus home favorite against a team that has lost at least it last two games. We are on Chicago.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
9-3 IN LAST 12 CHC ML PICKS | +474

L.A. DODGERS -290
L.A. DODGERS @ ARIZONA | 9/09 | 9:40 PM EDT
9:48 AM
The Dodgers have crushed souls in this spot. Los Angeles is 12-0 as a 150-plus road favorite over a team that has a worse record when it is not a series opener. The Dodgers are 7-0 in this spot this season, winning every game by multiple runs, and have trailed for a total of one inning in that span. Conversely, the Diamondbacks are 0-11 when it is not the first game of a series and they are facing a team that has a better record. The Dodgers roll.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
10-4 IN LAST 14 LAD ML PICKS | +260

2-1 IN LAST 3 ARI ML PICKS | +79

SAN FRANCISCO -145
SEATTLE @ SAN FRANCISCO | 9/09 | 9:45 PM EDT
9:44 AM
The Mariners are 0-8 on the road following an away contest in which they did not score after the third inning, getting beaten by an average of 6.25 runs. The Giants are 10-0 as a favorite in the finale of a series after a game in which they hit multiple home runs, including two multi-run wins this season. San Francisco turns the screw.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
3-0 IN LAST 3 SF ML PICKS | +300

3-1 IN LAST 4 SEA ML PICKS | +60

SAN DIEGO -180
COLORADO @ SAN DIEGO | 9/09 | 8:10 PM EDT
9:37 AM
The Padres are 8-0 at home after a game in which Manny Machado had multiple hits and 7-0 as a favorite after they struck out their opponent at least 10 times, winning by an average of 5.14 runs. San Diego is rolling and Colorado's Antonio Senzatela has pressed in this spot. The Rockies are 0-10 with Senzatela when visiting a team that has won at least three straight, getting beaten by an average of 4.60 runs. We are laying the price.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
3-1 IN LAST 4 COL ML PICKS | +143

It seems that MTi has taken a high risk low reward approach to this season.

A very different approach to the past when I would see more underdogs and totals from them.

ConleyPicks · Sep 9, 2020

EARLY RELEASE 1:10pm est.

Tom Law's Longball Sports (The Swami - MLB) - 6 Unit Detroit Tigers +150

ConleyPicks · Sep 9, 2020

Brian Bitler

10* MLB Executive Info Winner

Cubs w/ Darvish

ConleyPicks · Sep 9, 2020

Accu Picks

NBA
3* Boston -3.5

ConleyPicks · Sep 9, 2020

Bill Marzano

DENVER +8
L.A. CLIPPERS @ DENVER | 9/09 | 9:00 PM EDT
10:59 AM
The Nuggets had plenty of chances to get the edge in Game 3 but couldn't convert down the stretch. Jamal Murray is struggling, and if he can get going, the Nuggets have a chance to stun the Clippers. Nikolai Jokic is playing great and he is a matchup problem for Los Angeles. The Nuggets are making the Clippers work hard on both ends of the floor. Denver must do a better job of guarding Paul George to win this game. The Clippers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference semifinals games. Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS in its last six conference semifinals games.

9-3 IN LAST 12 NBA PICKS | +560
2-1 IN LAST 3 LAC ATS PICKS | +90

BOSTON -165
TORONTO @ BOSTON | 9/09 | 6:30 PM EDT
10:23 AM
The Celtics surely don't want to go to a seventh game. Look for Boston to wrap this series up. The Raptors fought back from 0-2 but just don't have enough consistency from their big three. To make matters worse, Serge Ibaka is listed as questionable, as he was in a walking boot. Boston will come out very aggressively and the play of Marcus Smart has been a huge factor in this series. The Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference semifinals games.

9-3 IN LAST 12 NBA PICKS | +560
3-1 IN LAST 4 TOR ML PICKS | +153

2-1 IN LAST 3 BOS ML PICKS | +51

TAMPA BAY -170
N.Y. ISLANDERS @ TAMPA BAY | 9/09 | 8:00 PM EDT
9:40 AM
The Lightning didn't waste any time taking advantage of a tired Islanders team in an 8-2 Game 1 beatdown, setting the tone for this series. Tampa Bay has won 13 of the last 17 meetings. The Lightning are well-rested and several days off seemed to energize them. Tampa Bay has won five straight games, outscoring the opposition 25-9 in the process. Lightning goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has been elevating his levels of performance. The Islanders are 4-13 in their last 17 games as an underdog and 3-12 in their last 15 Wednesday games.

22-13 IN LAST 35 NHL ML PICKS | +536
9-2 IN LAST 11 TB ML PICKS | +629

6-4 IN LAST 10 NYI ML PICKS | +113

KANSAS CITY -9
HOUSTON @ KANSAS CITY | 9/10 | 8:20 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:24 AM
Kansas City has a great chance to repeat as Super Bowl champs with Patrick Mahomes at QB. The Chiefs return nearly their entire roster and added a great RB in the draft. With no preseason games, you have to be looking at players and coaching staffs that have experience working together, and injuries. The Chiefs came back last year to destroy the Texans and now Houston is without DeAndre Hopkins. It could be another long night for the Texans and their defense. Houston is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 Thursday night games. Kansas City is 7-0-1 in its last eight games as home favorite. The Chiefs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 September games.

ConleyPicks · Sep 9, 2020

Michael Crosson (VegasInsider)
Western Conference Game #4 - Los Angeles Clippers vs Denver Nuggets
The Play - Los Angeles Clippers -8 (Best Bet)

ConleyPicks · Sep 9, 2020

Vince Akins (VegasInsider)
MLB
San Francisco Giants -138
Los Angeles Angels -112
San Diego Padres -169
San Francisco Giants/Seattle Mariners Under 9

Wednesday Service Play Thread 09/09/2020

Let's go Brandon!

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