NBA
Long Sheet
Wednesday, September 9
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TORONTO (59 - 22) vs. BOSTON (55 - 26) - 9/9/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 228-280 ATS (-80.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
BOSTON is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 44-35 ATS (+5.5 Units) in all games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 11-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 10-7 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LA CLIPPERS (55 - 26) vs. DENVER (51 - 32) - 9/9/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games when leading in a playoff series since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 247-301 ATS (-84.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
DENVER is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 45-35 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 79-65 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-6 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-6 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Long Sheet
Wednesday, September 9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TORONTO (59 - 22) vs. BOSTON (55 - 26) - 9/9/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 228-280 ATS (-80.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
BOSTON is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 44-35 ATS (+5.5 Units) in all games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 11-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 10-7 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LA CLIPPERS (55 - 26) vs. DENVER (51 - 32) - 9/9/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games when leading in a playoff series since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 247-301 ATS (-84.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
DENVER is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 45-35 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 79-65 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-6 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-6 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NBA
Wednesday, September 9
Trend Report
Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
LA Clippers @ Denver
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Wednesday, September 9
Trend Report
Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
LA Clippers @ Denver
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
WNBA
Long Sheet
Wednesday, September 9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PHOENIX (12 - 8) vs. CONNECTICUT (10 - 10) - 9/9/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-2 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ATLANTA (5 - 14) vs. CHICAGO (11 - 9) - 9/9/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DALLAS (7 - 12) vs. SEATTLE (16 - 3) - 9/9/2020, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 7-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 7-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Long Sheet
Wednesday, September 9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PHOENIX (12 - 8) vs. CONNECTICUT (10 - 10) - 9/9/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-2 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ATLANTA (5 - 14) vs. CHICAGO (11 - 9) - 9/9/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DALLAS (7 - 12) vs. SEATTLE (16 - 3) - 9/9/2020, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 7-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 7-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WNBA
Wednesday, September 9
Trend Report
Phoenix @ Connecticut
Phoenix
Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Connecticut is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta @ Chicago
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Dallas @ Seattle
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Wednesday, September 9
Trend Report
Phoenix @ Connecticut
Phoenix
Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Connecticut is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta @ Chicago
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Dallas @ Seattle
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
903KANSAS CITY -904 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 15-4 SU (10.6 Units) as a favorite of -150 or more in the current season.
905NY YANKEES -906 TORONTO
NY YANKEES are 63-52 SU (5.8 Units) when the money line is -100 to -150 in the last 3 seasons.
907CHI WHITE SOX -908 PITTSBURGH
CHI WHITE SOX is 14-1 SU (14.5 Units) in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.
909MIAMI -910 ATLANTA
MIAMI is 15-3 SU (11.3 Units) in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.
911MILWAUKEE -912 DETROIT
DETROIT is 7-28 SU (-22.6 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons.
913BALTIMORE -914 NY METS
BALTIMORE is 20-5 SU (15 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.
915COLORADO -916 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 29-51 SU (-27.1 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.
917CINCINNATI -918 CHICAGO CUBS
CINCINNATI is 13-23 SU (-14.3 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.
921LA ANGELS -922 TEXAS
LA ANGELS are 4-14 SU (-11.1 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the current season.
923HOUSTON -924 OAKLAND
HOUSTON is 1-8 SU (-9 Units) in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game in the current season.
925LA DODGERS -926 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 38-14 SU (22.6 Units) in home games as an underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.
927SEATTLE -928 SAN FRANCISCO
SEATTLE is 23-13 SU (10.5 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.
CLEVELAND is 15-4 SU (10.6 Units) as a favorite of -150 or more in the current season.
905NY YANKEES -906 TORONTO
NY YANKEES are 63-52 SU (5.8 Units) when the money line is -100 to -150 in the last 3 seasons.
907CHI WHITE SOX -908 PITTSBURGH
CHI WHITE SOX is 14-1 SU (14.5 Units) in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.
909MIAMI -910 ATLANTA
MIAMI is 15-3 SU (11.3 Units) in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.
911MILWAUKEE -912 DETROIT
DETROIT is 7-28 SU (-22.6 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons.
913BALTIMORE -914 NY METS
BALTIMORE is 20-5 SU (15 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.
915COLORADO -916 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 29-51 SU (-27.1 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.
917CINCINNATI -918 CHICAGO CUBS
CINCINNATI is 13-23 SU (-14.3 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.
921LA ANGELS -922 TEXAS
LA ANGELS are 4-14 SU (-11.1 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the current season.
923HOUSTON -924 OAKLAND
HOUSTON is 1-8 SU (-9 Units) in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game in the current season.
925LA DODGERS -926 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 38-14 SU (22.6 Units) in home games as an underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.
927SEATTLE -928 SAN FRANCISCO
SEATTLE is 23-13 SU (10.5 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.
MLB
Wednesday, September 9
National League
Miami @ Atlanta
Marlins (19-18):
Lopez is 1-2, 4.84 in his last four starts; he is 2-2, 5.21 on the road.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-7 Totals: over 4-1 last five
— Miami won three of its last four games overall.
— Marlins won six of their last nine road games.
— Over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 road games.
Braves (24-18):
Milone allowed 8 runs in 6.1 IP in two starts for Atlanta, but Braves won both games, scoring 19 runs.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1
— Braves are 1-4 in their last five games.
— Atlanta is 8-6 in its last 14 home games.
— Over is 8-2-2 in their last 12 games.
Cincinnati @ Chicago
Reds (18-24)
Bauer is 0-3, 5.50 in his last three starts; he is 3-2, 2.48 in five road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-7 Totals: under 5-2
— Cincinnati is 3-6 in its last nine games.
— Reds are 4-7 in their last 11 road games.
— Under is 12-2-1 in the Reds’ last 15 road games.
Cubs (25-18):
Darvish is 7-0, 0.98 in his last seven starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 7-1 Team in first 5 innings: 6-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-8 Totals: under 5-1 last six
— Cubs lost three of their last five games.
— Chicago is 7-10 in its last 17 home games.
— Under is 6-0-1 in their last seven games.
Colorado @ San Diego
Rockies (20-22):
Senzatela is 0-1, 3.69 in his last five starts; he is 2-1, 3.94 in five road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 5-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 3-8 Totals: over 6-2
— Rockies lost seven of their last 11 games.
— Colorado won five of its last eight road games.
— Under is 7-5-1 in their last 13 road games.
Padres (27-17)
Davies is 4-0, 3.16 in his last four starts; he is 2-0, 1.17 at home.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-2 Team in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-8 Totals: over 3-1 last four
— San Diego won 17 of its last 22 games.
— Padres are 10-3 in their last 13 road games.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 home games.
Los Angeles @ Arizona
Dodgers (31-12)
Kershaw is 3-0, 0.90 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-1 Team in first 5 innings: 4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-5 Totals: under 3-2
— Dodgers won seven of their last nine games.
— LA won 11 of its last 14 road games.
— Over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 road games.
Diamondbacks (15-29):
Clarke is 0-0, 4.50 in three starts (12 IP).
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 3-3 Totals: under 2-1
— Arizona lost 17 of its last 19 games overall.
— Diamondbacks lost six of their last seven home games.
— Under is 14-5 in their last 19 games.
American League
Kansas City @ Cleveland
Royals (15-28):
Duffy is 1-1, 5.94 in his last three starts; he is 1-2, 4.50 in five road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-5 Team in first 5 innings: 4-4
Allowed run in first inning: 1-8 Totals: under 5-2-1
— Royals lost 16 of their last 23 games.
— KC is 3-7 in its last ten road games.
— Under is 15-7-2 in their last 24 games.
Indians (26-16):
Carrasco allowed one run in 12 IP in his last two starts, but didn’t win either game; he is 2-2, 3.51 in six home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: over 4-2-2
— Cleveland is 9-4 in its last 13 games.
— Indians are 6-7 in their last 13 home games.
— Under is 8-4-2 in Cleveland’s last 14 games.
Houston @ Oakland
Astros (22-21):
Garcia is making his first start; he allowed one run in 4.1 IP (66 PT) in his only appearance.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Astros is 7-11 in their last 18 games overall.
— Houston lost nine of its last ten road games.
— Over is 14-6 in their last 20 games.
A’s (25-15):
Luzardo is 0-2, 5.73 in his last two starts; he is 2-1, 2.49 in four home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: under 4-2
— Oakland is 6-7 in its last 13 games.
— A’s won 13 of their last 16 home games.
— Under is 10-6 in their last 16 games
New York @ Toronto
Bronx (21-21):
Garcia is 0-1, 4.22 in his first two MLB starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: over 1-0-1
— Bronx is 5-14 in its last 19 games.
— New York lost nine of its last ten road games.
— Over is 4-3 in their last seven games.
Blue Jays (24-18):
Roark is 0-0, 6.91 in his last three starts; he is 0-0, 7.00 in two starts in Buffalo.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: over 3-0 last three
— Blue Jays are 10-4 in their last 14 games.
— Jays are 6-1 in their last seven home games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven home games.
Anaheim @ Texas
Angels (17-26):
Teheran is 0-1, 6.23 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3
Allowed run in first inning: 0-5 Totals: over 5-0
— Angels won five of their last six games.
— Halos are 2-10 in their last 12 road games.
— Over is 5-2-1 in Angels’ last eight road games.
Rangers (14-27):
Cody allowed one run in three IP (45 PT) in his first start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0
— Texas lost 18 of its last 22 games.
— Rangers lost six of their last nin3 home games.
— Over is 7-4-2 in their last 13 home games.
Interleague
Milwaukee @ Detroit
Brewers (18-22):
Burnes allowed one run in 12 IP in winning his last two starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: over 2-1-2
— Milwaukee is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Brewers lost seven of their last eight road games.
— Over is 6-3-1 in Milwaukee’s last ten games.
Tigers (19-21):
Boyd is 1-2, 3.12 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-4 Team in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 4-7 Totals: 3-3-1
— Detroit lost four of its last six games.
— Tigers won their last six home games.
— Over is 8-4 in their last 12 home games.
Chicago @ Pittsburgh
White Sox (26-16):
Dunning is 0-0, 3.86 in his three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 2-1
— Chicago won 17 of its last 25 games overall.
— White Sox won nine of their last 13 road games.
— Over is 7-5-1 in their last 13 road games.
Pirates (14-26):
Brubaker is 0-0, 6.00 in four starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: over 2-1-1
— Pirates lost seven of their last 12 games.
— Pittsburgh is 7-4 in its last 11 home games. .
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Baltimore @ NY Mets
Orioles (20-21):
Eshelman is 1-0, 6.35 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: over 2-1
— Orioles won their last four games.
— Baltimore is 2-5 in its last seven road games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven road games.
Mets (19-24)
Porcello is 0-3, 4.85 in his last five starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-7 Team in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 5-8 Totals: under 5-1 last six
— Mets lost eight of their last 12 games overall.
— New York is 9-13 at home this season.
— Over is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games.
Seattle @ San Francisco
Mariners (19-23):
Marcevicius is 1-3, 3.48 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: under 3-1
— Seattle won 11 of its last 15 games.
— Mariners are 4-4 in their last eight road games.
— Under is 5-4 in their last nine games.
Giants (22-21):
Anderson is 1-2, 6.75 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 3.46 in two home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-5 Team in first 5 innings: 1-5-1
Allowed run in first inning: 4-7 Totals: over 4-3
— Giants won seven of their last nine games.
— SF won nine of its last 13 home games.
— Under is 7-4 in Giants’ last 11 home games.
Wednesday, September 9
National League
Miami @ Atlanta
Marlins (19-18):
Lopez is 1-2, 4.84 in his last four starts; he is 2-2, 5.21 on the road.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-7 Totals: over 4-1 last five
— Miami won three of its last four games overall.
— Marlins won six of their last nine road games.
— Over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 road games.
Braves (24-18):
Milone allowed 8 runs in 6.1 IP in two starts for Atlanta, but Braves won both games, scoring 19 runs.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1
— Braves are 1-4 in their last five games.
— Atlanta is 8-6 in its last 14 home games.
— Over is 8-2-2 in their last 12 games.
Cincinnati @ Chicago
Reds (18-24)
Bauer is 0-3, 5.50 in his last three starts; he is 3-2, 2.48 in five road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-7 Totals: under 5-2
— Cincinnati is 3-6 in its last nine games.
— Reds are 4-7 in their last 11 road games.
— Under is 12-2-1 in the Reds’ last 15 road games.
Cubs (25-18):
Darvish is 7-0, 0.98 in his last seven starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 7-1 Team in first 5 innings: 6-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-8 Totals: under 5-1 last six
— Cubs lost three of their last five games.
— Chicago is 7-10 in its last 17 home games.
— Under is 6-0-1 in their last seven games.
Colorado @ San Diego
Rockies (20-22):
Senzatela is 0-1, 3.69 in his last five starts; he is 2-1, 3.94 in five road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 5-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 3-8 Totals: over 6-2
— Rockies lost seven of their last 11 games.
— Colorado won five of its last eight road games.
— Under is 7-5-1 in their last 13 road games.
Padres (27-17)
Davies is 4-0, 3.16 in his last four starts; he is 2-0, 1.17 at home.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-2 Team in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-8 Totals: over 3-1 last four
— San Diego won 17 of its last 22 games.
— Padres are 10-3 in their last 13 road games.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 home games.
Los Angeles @ Arizona
Dodgers (31-12)
Kershaw is 3-0, 0.90 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-1 Team in first 5 innings: 4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-5 Totals: under 3-2
— Dodgers won seven of their last nine games.
— LA won 11 of its last 14 road games.
— Over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 road games.
Diamondbacks (15-29):
Clarke is 0-0, 4.50 in three starts (12 IP).
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 3-3 Totals: under 2-1
— Arizona lost 17 of its last 19 games overall.
— Diamondbacks lost six of their last seven home games.
— Under is 14-5 in their last 19 games.
American League
Kansas City @ Cleveland
Royals (15-28):
Duffy is 1-1, 5.94 in his last three starts; he is 1-2, 4.50 in five road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-5 Team in first 5 innings: 4-4
Allowed run in first inning: 1-8 Totals: under 5-2-1
— Royals lost 16 of their last 23 games.
— KC is 3-7 in its last ten road games.
— Under is 15-7-2 in their last 24 games.
Indians (26-16):
Carrasco allowed one run in 12 IP in his last two starts, but didn’t win either game; he is 2-2, 3.51 in six home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: over 4-2-2
— Cleveland is 9-4 in its last 13 games.
— Indians are 6-7 in their last 13 home games.
— Under is 8-4-2 in Cleveland’s last 14 games.
Houston @ Oakland
Astros (22-21):
Garcia is making his first start; he allowed one run in 4.1 IP (66 PT) in his only appearance.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Astros is 7-11 in their last 18 games overall.
— Houston lost nine of its last ten road games.
— Over is 14-6 in their last 20 games.
A’s (25-15):
Luzardo is 0-2, 5.73 in his last two starts; he is 2-1, 2.49 in four home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: under 4-2
— Oakland is 6-7 in its last 13 games.
— A’s won 13 of their last 16 home games.
— Under is 10-6 in their last 16 games
New York @ Toronto
Bronx (21-21):
Garcia is 0-1, 4.22 in his first two MLB starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: over 1-0-1
— Bronx is 5-14 in its last 19 games.
— New York lost nine of its last ten road games.
— Over is 4-3 in their last seven games.
Blue Jays (24-18):
Roark is 0-0, 6.91 in his last three starts; he is 0-0, 7.00 in two starts in Buffalo.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: over 3-0 last three
— Blue Jays are 10-4 in their last 14 games.
— Jays are 6-1 in their last seven home games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven home games.
Anaheim @ Texas
Angels (17-26):
Teheran is 0-1, 6.23 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3
Allowed run in first inning: 0-5 Totals: over 5-0
— Angels won five of their last six games.
— Halos are 2-10 in their last 12 road games.
— Over is 5-2-1 in Angels’ last eight road games.
Rangers (14-27):
Cody allowed one run in three IP (45 PT) in his first start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0
— Texas lost 18 of its last 22 games.
— Rangers lost six of their last nin3 home games.
— Over is 7-4-2 in their last 13 home games.
Interleague
Milwaukee @ Detroit
Brewers (18-22):
Burnes allowed one run in 12 IP in winning his last two starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: over 2-1-2
— Milwaukee is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Brewers lost seven of their last eight road games.
— Over is 6-3-1 in Milwaukee’s last ten games.
Tigers (19-21):
Boyd is 1-2, 3.12 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-4 Team in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 4-7 Totals: 3-3-1
— Detroit lost four of its last six games.
— Tigers won their last six home games.
— Over is 8-4 in their last 12 home games.
Chicago @ Pittsburgh
White Sox (26-16):
Dunning is 0-0, 3.86 in his three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 2-1
— Chicago won 17 of its last 25 games overall.
— White Sox won nine of their last 13 road games.
— Over is 7-5-1 in their last 13 road games.
Pirates (14-26):
Brubaker is 0-0, 6.00 in four starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: over 2-1-1
— Pirates lost seven of their last 12 games.
— Pittsburgh is 7-4 in its last 11 home games. .
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Baltimore @ NY Mets
Orioles (20-21):
Eshelman is 1-0, 6.35 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: over 2-1
— Orioles won their last four games.
— Baltimore is 2-5 in its last seven road games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven road games.
Mets (19-24)
Porcello is 0-3, 4.85 in his last five starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-7 Team in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 5-8 Totals: under 5-1 last six
— Mets lost eight of their last 12 games overall.
— New York is 9-13 at home this season.
— Over is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games.
Seattle @ San Francisco
Mariners (19-23):
Marcevicius is 1-3, 3.48 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: under 3-1
— Seattle won 11 of its last 15 games.
— Mariners are 4-4 in their last eight road games.
— Under is 5-4 in their last nine games.
Giants (22-21):
Anderson is 1-2, 6.75 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 3.46 in two home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-5 Team in first 5 innings: 1-5-1
Allowed run in first inning: 4-7 Totals: over 4-3
— Giants won seven of their last nine games.
— SF won nine of its last 13 home games.
— Under is 7-4 in Giants’ last 11 home games.
MLB
Wednesday, September 9
Trend Report
Milwaukee @ Detroit
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Kansas City @ Cleveland
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing Kansas City
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
NY Yankees @ Toronto
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
NY Yankees is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Chi White Sox @ Pittsburgh
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Miami @ Atlanta
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing at home against Miami
Atlanta is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Miami
Baltimore @ NY Mets
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
LA Angels @ Texas
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games on the road
LA Angels is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Texas
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Colorado @ San Diego
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games
San Diego
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
San Diego is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
Cincinnati @ Chi Cubs
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Houston @ Oakland
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games
Oakland
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Oakland is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
LA Dodgers @ Arizona
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Arizona's last 19 games
Seattle @ San Francisco
Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Wednesday, September 9
Trend Report
Milwaukee @ Detroit
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Kansas City @ Cleveland
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing Kansas City
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
NY Yankees @ Toronto
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
NY Yankees is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Chi White Sox @ Pittsburgh
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Miami @ Atlanta
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing at home against Miami
Atlanta is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Miami
Baltimore @ NY Mets
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
LA Angels @ Texas
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games on the road
LA Angels is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Texas
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Colorado @ San Diego
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games
San Diego
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
San Diego is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
Cincinnati @ Chi Cubs
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Houston @ Oakland
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games
Oakland
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Oakland is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
LA Dodgers @ Arizona
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Arizona's last 19 games
Seattle @ San Francisco
Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
NHL
Long Sheet
Wednesday, September 9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NY ISLANDERS (46-26-0-13, 105 pts.) vs. TAMPA BAY (54-24-0-6, 114 pts.) - 9/9/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 116-54 ATS (+178.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 17-5 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
TAMPA BAY is 19-7 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 98-77 ATS (+15.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 24-19 ATS (+47.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 27-25 ATS (+60.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-4-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)
Long Sheet
Wednesday, September 9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NY ISLANDERS (46-26-0-13, 105 pts.) vs. TAMPA BAY (54-24-0-6, 114 pts.) - 9/9/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 116-54 ATS (+178.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 17-5 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
TAMPA BAY is 19-7 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 98-77 ATS (+15.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 24-19 ATS (+47.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 27-25 ATS (+60.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-4-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)
Wednesday Kentucky Downs Picks with 1/ST BET Assistance
September 9, 2020 | By Jeremy Plonk
Kentucky Downs' mini-boutique meet provides unique handicapping challenges. The 1/ST BET app can help you bridge that gap with a data-driven process.
Selections provided by the 1/ST INDEX measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections. You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer.
1/ST handicapper Jeremy Plonk provides his human insights to the AI picks for the Kentucky Downs Wednesday card.
Race 1 (1:15PM ET) // starter allowance // 1 mile (turf)
11 – Bonita Springs (27% W // 46% P // 56% S)
1 – Jordan’s Kitten (14% W // 19% P // 27% S)
8 – Four K’s (14% W // 25% P // 42% S)
7 – Double Oaked (10% W // 24% P // 38% S)
Jeremy’s Take: 13-point spread is second-largest on the card and you get it with a 6-1 morning line price. Jordan’s Kitten appears to have a class edge and a good second over the course, always a positive at KD.
Race 2 (1:47PM ET) // claiming // 7 Furlongs (turf)
2 – Sniper Kitten (22% W // 35% P // 47% S)
1 – Stormcoast (16% W // 42% P // 54% S)
8 – Royal Blue Boy (16% W // 29% P // 45% S)
9 – Vivid Verse (11% W // 15% P // 30% S)
Jeremy’s Take: The 1/ST INDEX isn’t keen on 3-1 morning line chalk Knights Key on the class rise going for 3 in a row. Sniper Kitten has a good performance over the course and a pedigree, trainer and jockey that’s been successful here. Exotics longshots Stormcoast and Royal Blue Boy could spruce up the gimmicks if the machine is right.
Race 3 (2:19PM ET) // maiden special weight // 6-1/2 furlongs (turf)
12 – Royal Approval (20% W // 36% P // 52% S)
1 – Class Riot (12% W // 23% P // 35% S)
11 – Flutiste (10% W // 21% P // 32% S)
7 – Bluegrass Belle (10% W // 25% P // 37% S)
Jeremy’s Take: 2-year-olds with experience have a strong historical edge over first-time starters at KD, so the 1/ST INDEX blind spot to horses without data might not be an issue here. Royal Approval looks right after the trip to Royal Ascot for Wesley Ward. One trainer who has done well with KD firsters is Brad Cox, who has Demeter worth a look. Risky Reward debuts and lures Tyler Gaffalione, who has strong marks riding juveniles here and gets on good mounts.
Race 4 (2:51PM ET) // allowance // 6-1/2 furlongs (turf)
1 – Well Concocted (21% W // 38% P // 48% S)
8 – American Mandate (14% W // 26% P // 37% S)
9 – Untraceable (10% W // 21% P // 35% S)
4 – Turn of Events (9% W // 19% P // 25% S)
Jeremy’s Take: Wide-open group with 4-1 morning line favorite Smile Bryan dismissed by the algorithm. Well Concocted has yet to try turf and had made all his impression on dirt; I’m not totally sold, but respect connections. Untraceable at 15-1 morning line is the value play on the cut-back in distance. Uncapped was stakes-placed here last year and adds more value at 10-1 morning line.
Race 5 (3:23PM ET) // maiden special weight // 1-5/16 miles (turf)
11 – Fortuna (19% W // 45% P // 50% S)
12 – Longpants Required (18% W // 33% P // 44% S)
2 – Three Flamingos (12% W // 22% P // 32% S)
9 – USS Lexington (12% W // 18% P // 30% S)
Jeremy’s Take: Most highly contested race on card by the percentages, yet the top choice settles on the 3-1 morning line favorite who didn’t run well here in last year’s appearance. Feel free to shop some. Three Flamingos interests me most, along with Longpants Required and Champagne Diet.
Race 6 (3:55PM ET) // allowance // 6 1/2 Furlongs (turf)
1 – Lady Worthington (21% W // 38% P // 48% S)
6 – Whimsical Muse (14% W // 26% P // 37% S)
8 – Regal Retort (10% W // 21% P // 35% S)
10 – VJ’s Bet (9% W // 19% P // 25% S)
Jeremy’s Take: Inside speed with Irad Ortiz and Wesley Ward teamed with Lady Worthington certainly interests at 8-1 morning line. VJ’s Bet at 12-1 morning line narrowly missed in a similar race here last year when runner-up and lures Flavien Prat, a better fit in the saddle. Yes It’s Ginger is 2-for-2 since changing barns and fits.
Race 7 (4:27PM ET) // maiden special weight // 6 1/2 Furlongs (turf)
10 – Born Great (21% W // 37% P // 54% S)
5 – Ghost Fighter (13% W // 24% P // 36% S)
8 – Red Storm Risen (11% W // 22% P // 33% S)
11 – Fugitive (10% W // 26% P // 39% S)
Jeremy’s Take: Born Great at 6-1 morning line jumps off the page to me after a solid debut in a productive race at Churchill, but mostly because of KD super-sire Scat Daddy. His offspring relish this place. I’m lockstep with the logarithm in this one.
Race 8 (4:59PM ET) // allowance // 1 mile (turf)
4 – Kroy (27% W // 47% P // 57% S)
1 – Sueno (15% W // 26% P // 43% S)
7 –Big Agenda (15% W // 20% P // 28% S)
2 – Marza (10% W // 24% P // 39% S)
Jeremy’s Take: 12-point spread between Kroy and the rest, and you get 5-1 morning line. This one should fit well for potent claiming trainer Robertino Diodoro, but the gelding will be making his first local start and the pace will be hot. Bizzee Channel has run well twice at KD for a Larry Rivelli barn that strikes at a high rate everywhere, including here. The pace cooks with Mick’s Star also up front, a local course winner. Sentry is my top choice from off the pace.
Race 9 (5:32PM ET) // $300,000 Tapit Stakes // 1 mile 70 yards (turf)
5 – English Bee (32% W // 42% P // 59% S)
2 – Get Western (11% W // 22% P // 36% S)
9 – Empire of War (11% W // 12% P // 25% S)
12 – Temple (11% W // 12% P // 14% S)
Jeremy’s Take: The 21-point spread, the day’s biggest by far, belongs to 5-1 morning line proposition English Bee. This is easily the highest % on the card at 32% for any top choice even though English Bee is 0-for-5 on the year. He’s faced much stronger competition in his last pair, however. Morocco at 15-1 morning line interests by sharp KD sire Pioneerof The Nile and with local stakes-riding phenom Jose Ortiz up for Mike Maker. Stablemate Hembree has run big races over this course in the past. Horses like Empire of War and Big Score also merit much respect. This race looks much deeper than 1/ST INDEX suggests. We’ll see, but you should find value in singling the top pick if you agree as many will spread deeper in multi-race bets.
Race 10 (6:04PM ET) // allowance // 1-5/16 miles (turf)
11 –Cambeliza (24% W // 44% P // 57% S)
1 – Lady Oxbow (12% W // 22% P // 31% S)
2 – Blame Debbie (8% W // 22% P // 34% S)
3 – Enjoyitwhilewecan (5% W // 12% P // 27% S)
Jeremy’s Take: Another solid, 12-point spread and 6-1 morning line in the finale with Cambeliza, who broke her maiden at 13-1 in her only prior KD appearance. She’s the only course winner in the field. Morning line 3-1 favorite Blame Debbie drops out of the stakes ranks after losing her last 5, and adds blinkers in what seems a bit of a desperate double-move for a cold barn. Sursum Corda is getting really good, and very strong late, in her last few. She’s the late threat under Julien Leparoux and the one I like with Cambeliza.
September 9, 2020 | By Jeremy Plonk
Kentucky Downs' mini-boutique meet provides unique handicapping challenges. The 1/ST BET app can help you bridge that gap with a data-driven process.
Selections provided by the 1/ST INDEX measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections. You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer.
1/ST handicapper Jeremy Plonk provides his human insights to the AI picks for the Kentucky Downs Wednesday card.
Race 1 (1:15PM ET) // starter allowance // 1 mile (turf)
11 – Bonita Springs (27% W // 46% P // 56% S)
1 – Jordan’s Kitten (14% W // 19% P // 27% S)
8 – Four K’s (14% W // 25% P // 42% S)
7 – Double Oaked (10% W // 24% P // 38% S)
Jeremy’s Take: 13-point spread is second-largest on the card and you get it with a 6-1 morning line price. Jordan’s Kitten appears to have a class edge and a good second over the course, always a positive at KD.
Race 2 (1:47PM ET) // claiming // 7 Furlongs (turf)
2 – Sniper Kitten (22% W // 35% P // 47% S)
1 – Stormcoast (16% W // 42% P // 54% S)
8 – Royal Blue Boy (16% W // 29% P // 45% S)
9 – Vivid Verse (11% W // 15% P // 30% S)
Jeremy’s Take: The 1/ST INDEX isn’t keen on 3-1 morning line chalk Knights Key on the class rise going for 3 in a row. Sniper Kitten has a good performance over the course and a pedigree, trainer and jockey that’s been successful here. Exotics longshots Stormcoast and Royal Blue Boy could spruce up the gimmicks if the machine is right.
Race 3 (2:19PM ET) // maiden special weight // 6-1/2 furlongs (turf)
12 – Royal Approval (20% W // 36% P // 52% S)
1 – Class Riot (12% W // 23% P // 35% S)
11 – Flutiste (10% W // 21% P // 32% S)
7 – Bluegrass Belle (10% W // 25% P // 37% S)
Jeremy’s Take: 2-year-olds with experience have a strong historical edge over first-time starters at KD, so the 1/ST INDEX blind spot to horses without data might not be an issue here. Royal Approval looks right after the trip to Royal Ascot for Wesley Ward. One trainer who has done well with KD firsters is Brad Cox, who has Demeter worth a look. Risky Reward debuts and lures Tyler Gaffalione, who has strong marks riding juveniles here and gets on good mounts.
Race 4 (2:51PM ET) // allowance // 6-1/2 furlongs (turf)
1 – Well Concocted (21% W // 38% P // 48% S)
8 – American Mandate (14% W // 26% P // 37% S)
9 – Untraceable (10% W // 21% P // 35% S)
4 – Turn of Events (9% W // 19% P // 25% S)
Jeremy’s Take: Wide-open group with 4-1 morning line favorite Smile Bryan dismissed by the algorithm. Well Concocted has yet to try turf and had made all his impression on dirt; I’m not totally sold, but respect connections. Untraceable at 15-1 morning line is the value play on the cut-back in distance. Uncapped was stakes-placed here last year and adds more value at 10-1 morning line.
Race 5 (3:23PM ET) // maiden special weight // 1-5/16 miles (turf)
11 – Fortuna (19% W // 45% P // 50% S)
12 – Longpants Required (18% W // 33% P // 44% S)
2 – Three Flamingos (12% W // 22% P // 32% S)
9 – USS Lexington (12% W // 18% P // 30% S)
Jeremy’s Take: Most highly contested race on card by the percentages, yet the top choice settles on the 3-1 morning line favorite who didn’t run well here in last year’s appearance. Feel free to shop some. Three Flamingos interests me most, along with Longpants Required and Champagne Diet.
Race 6 (3:55PM ET) // allowance // 6 1/2 Furlongs (turf)
1 – Lady Worthington (21% W // 38% P // 48% S)
6 – Whimsical Muse (14% W // 26% P // 37% S)
8 – Regal Retort (10% W // 21% P // 35% S)
10 – VJ’s Bet (9% W // 19% P // 25% S)
Jeremy’s Take: Inside speed with Irad Ortiz and Wesley Ward teamed with Lady Worthington certainly interests at 8-1 morning line. VJ’s Bet at 12-1 morning line narrowly missed in a similar race here last year when runner-up and lures Flavien Prat, a better fit in the saddle. Yes It’s Ginger is 2-for-2 since changing barns and fits.
Race 7 (4:27PM ET) // maiden special weight // 6 1/2 Furlongs (turf)
10 – Born Great (21% W // 37% P // 54% S)
5 – Ghost Fighter (13% W // 24% P // 36% S)
8 – Red Storm Risen (11% W // 22% P // 33% S)
11 – Fugitive (10% W // 26% P // 39% S)
Jeremy’s Take: Born Great at 6-1 morning line jumps off the page to me after a solid debut in a productive race at Churchill, but mostly because of KD super-sire Scat Daddy. His offspring relish this place. I’m lockstep with the logarithm in this one.
Race 8 (4:59PM ET) // allowance // 1 mile (turf)
4 – Kroy (27% W // 47% P // 57% S)
1 – Sueno (15% W // 26% P // 43% S)
7 –Big Agenda (15% W // 20% P // 28% S)
2 – Marza (10% W // 24% P // 39% S)
Jeremy’s Take: 12-point spread between Kroy and the rest, and you get 5-1 morning line. This one should fit well for potent claiming trainer Robertino Diodoro, but the gelding will be making his first local start and the pace will be hot. Bizzee Channel has run well twice at KD for a Larry Rivelli barn that strikes at a high rate everywhere, including here. The pace cooks with Mick’s Star also up front, a local course winner. Sentry is my top choice from off the pace.
Race 9 (5:32PM ET) // $300,000 Tapit Stakes // 1 mile 70 yards (turf)
5 – English Bee (32% W // 42% P // 59% S)
2 – Get Western (11% W // 22% P // 36% S)
9 – Empire of War (11% W // 12% P // 25% S)
12 – Temple (11% W // 12% P // 14% S)
Jeremy’s Take: The 21-point spread, the day’s biggest by far, belongs to 5-1 morning line proposition English Bee. This is easily the highest % on the card at 32% for any top choice even though English Bee is 0-for-5 on the year. He’s faced much stronger competition in his last pair, however. Morocco at 15-1 morning line interests by sharp KD sire Pioneerof The Nile and with local stakes-riding phenom Jose Ortiz up for Mike Maker. Stablemate Hembree has run big races over this course in the past. Horses like Empire of War and Big Score also merit much respect. This race looks much deeper than 1/ST INDEX suggests. We’ll see, but you should find value in singling the top pick if you agree as many will spread deeper in multi-race bets.
Race 10 (6:04PM ET) // allowance // 1-5/16 miles (turf)
11 –Cambeliza (24% W // 44% P // 57% S)
1 – Lady Oxbow (12% W // 22% P // 31% S)
2 – Blame Debbie (8% W // 22% P // 34% S)
3 – Enjoyitwhilewecan (5% W // 12% P // 27% S)
Jeremy’s Take: Another solid, 12-point spread and 6-1 morning line in the finale with Cambeliza, who broke her maiden at 13-1 in her only prior KD appearance. She’s the only course winner in the field. Morning line 3-1 favorite Blame Debbie drops out of the stakes ranks after losing her last 5, and adds blinkers in what seems a bit of a desperate double-move for a cold barn. Sursum Corda is getting really good, and very strong late, in her last few. She’s the late threat under Julien Leparoux and the one I like with Cambeliza.
