MistaFlava's MLB Monday Sept. 7 POWER SELECTIONS (Writeups & Analysis)

MistaFlava · Sep 7, 2020

2020 MistaFlava MLB Record: 0-0 (+0.00 Units)

Making my MLB debut today. Better late than never is a true saying here. I know some of these plays won't be popular because of their -200 or more ML but I have big underdogs too and the end goal is to make money which I am looking to do. If I can finish in the + with less than a month to go, I will consider it a successful MLB Season.

Wishing everyone luck!

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Monday, September 7

Atlanta Braves ML -215 (10 Units)

The Atlanta Braves are coming off a blowout win over the Philadelphia Phillies yesterday and they are rolling right now. The struggling Miami Marlins come to town and I don't think this one will be close. Jose Urena makes his season debut on the mound for the Marlins and I'm not sure that's a good thing against this offense. I mean he had an ERA of 5.21 in 2019 and has been on the COVID 19 list since the season began. Again this is just not the spot to really make your debut considering he is 2-8 lifetime versus Atlanta with an ERA of 6.60 in 62.1 inning pitched. OUCH!

Don't hesitate to hit the Run Line in this one although you won't catch me hitting too many Run Lines myself. The Braves are sending rookie Ian Anderson to the mound for this and he's been good enough for me to back him in this spot knowing the offense is going to provide some runs. He held the Yankees and Red Sox to a grand combined total of 3 runs in his two major league starts and got the win in both starts lasting 6 innings in both starts. He should have an even better time against this Marlins offense.

Coming off a huge series win over the Phillies on the weekend the Braves have given themselves a three game lead in the NL East and these are the games they have to continue winning. Risking 10 units on -200 ML is not ideal but it's also worth it in this case.

Trend of the Game: Atlanta is 22-5 in their last 27 home games versus Miami.

Atlanta 8, Miami 1

more to come...

jamerx · Sep 7, 2020

Phillies?

indiana · Sep 7, 2020

M/Flava......BOL with your play buddy, just missed it.....willl try live.....indy

carlitosway · Sep 7, 2020

Ohhh alot of wood but ONLY if you lose it, GL.

MistaFlava said:
2020 MistaFlava MLB Record: 0-0 (+0.00 Units)

Making my MLB debut today. Better late than never is a true saying here. I know some of these plays won't be popular because of their -200 or more ML but I have big underdogs too and the end goal is to make money which I am looking to do. If I can finish in the + with less than a month to go, I will consider it a successful MLB Season.

Wishing everyone luck!

----------------------------------------------------------

Monday, September 7

Atlanta Braves ML -215 (10 Units)

The Atlanta Braves are coming off a blowout win over the Philadelphia Phillies yesterday and they are rolling right now. The struggling Miami Marlins come to town and I don't think this one will be close. Jose Urena makes his season debut on the mound for the Marlins and I'm not sure that's a good thing against this offense. I mean he had an ERA of 5.21 in 2019 and has been on the COVID 19 list since the season began. Again this is just not the spot to really make your debut considering he is 2-8 lifetime versus Atlanta with an ERA of 6.60 in 62.1 inning pitched. OUCH!

Don't hesitate to hit the Run Line in this one although you won't catch me hitting too many Run Lines myself. The Braves are sending rookie Ian Anderson to the mound for this and he's been good enough for me to back him in this spot knowing the offense is going to provide some runs. He held the Yankees and Red Sox to a grand combined total of 3 runs in his two major league starts and got the win in both starts lasting 6 innings in both starts. He should have an even better time against this Marlins offense.

Coming off a huge series win over the Phillies on the weekend the Braves have given themselves a three game lead in the NL East and these are the games they have to continue winning. Risking 10 units on -200 ML is not ideal but it's also worth it in this case.

Trend of the Game: Atlanta is 22-5 in their last 27 home games versus Miami.

Atlanta 8, Miami 1

more to come...

NJBlood · Sep 7, 2020

The one game their bats go soft smh. Let's hope for a late surge

varkeyboy · Sep 7, 2020

Welcome back.

NJBlood · Sep 7, 2020

Ozuna single handedly lost this game for them. Bases loaded twice and be blew it smh.

varkeyboy · Sep 7, 2020

NJBlood said:
Ozuna single handedly lost this game for them. Bases loaded twice and be blew it smh.

Strikeout king.

press195 · Sep 7, 2020

That guy sucks. He only does something against the Mets lol

TimmyRules · Sep 7, 2020

NJBlood said:
Ozuna single handedly lost this game for them. Bases loaded twice and be blew it smh.

not upset at all that the Cards didn’t re-sign him

MistaFlava · Sep 7, 2020

adding...

Seattle Mariners ML -147 (10 Units)

more to come...

NJBlood · Sep 7, 2020

Duvall to the rescue

press195 · Sep 7, 2020

Travis the met darnaud as expected killing the rally.

MistaFlava · Sep 7, 2020

adding...

Tampa Ray Rays "1st 5 innings" +102 (10 Units)

Oh wow what a pitching matchup we have in this one. Charlie Morton back on the mound for the Rays and Max Scherzer for the Nats in this one. The Rays have a grinder lineup and if they can generate walks the way Scherzer has been walking batters they should find a way to score some early runs with their small ball approach and that's why I'm taking the 5 innings.

Charlie Morton went only 2 inning in his return from injury but I think he'll have the green light to go at least 5 in this game. If not, this is a Rays team that is used to using their bullpen to the fullest extent. The only reason we are getting such a nice line is because it's Scherzer on the mound but he hasn't been himself this season. The Rays lead the AL East by 5.5 games and have won 6 of their last 8 games. Something everyone seems to forget. The Rays have generated the 7th most runs in MLB this season and have the 6th best on base percentage in the bigs.

In three home starts Max Scherzer has given up 9 earned runs and like I've already mentioned he has not been the same. The Rays are one of the most underrated teams in baseball who always find ways to generate small ball runs and include some power with good pitching. Keeping this one to 5 innings based on the matchup of starting pitchers.

Trend of the Game: Tampa Bay is 14-2 in their last 16 road games.

Tampa Bay 3, Washington 0 (5 Innings)

more to come...

MistaFlava · Sep 7, 2020

adding...

Cleveland Indians ML -210 (10 Units)

Another big Money Line play for me after getting burned on the Braves play earlier. The Braves were the better team but were awful when the game was on the line. Going with one of the more underrated pitchers in MLB Baseball in Zach Plesac. He is making his second start since being brought back to the team after being demoted for a big night out on the town with Mike Clevinger that got the Cleveland ace sent out of town. He's lucky to be back and he was great in his first start back against this very same Royals team allowing only one run over six innings.

The Kansas City Royals have not won since last facing Plesac and come into this game having lost 6 straight games and there isn't much hope. They are batting only .228 versus right handed pitchers this season and now have to face a young pitcher who has not allowed a single run at home in 2020. Brad Keller has been good this season on the mound for the Royals and probably provides the only hope they have of putting an end to their losing streak but the Cleveland bats, who have struggled all season, are very close to popping off. The Tribe have 20 runs in their last four games and seem to have turned the corner offensively and have now won 3 series in a row.

I know some will tread lightly in this one because the Indians have struggled with Game 1 of series going 1-4 in their last 5 but the Royals are a team they should be beating night in and night out. They are 16-7 in their last 23 games versus a right handed starting pitcher and I think they change that trend of bad Game 1 performances. I'm going with Plesac and the Indians.

Trend of the Game: Cleveland is 16-7 in their last 23 games versus right handed starters.

Cleveland 7, Kansas City 2

more to come...

MistaFlava · Sep 7, 2020

adding...

New York Yankees +1.5 -165 (10 Units)

This is a massive showdown between the Yankees and the Blue Jays because they are virtually within a game of each other in the AL East standings chasing down the Tampa Bay Rays and the second place team in this division will likely also make the playoffs. The Yankees and the Jays are playing each other 10 times in the next three weeks so every game is a big one. So far the injuries to the Toronto Blue Jays have not really slowed them down (10 runs yesterday after losing the co-leader in Home Runs in MLB) but this might be a different story. The pressure is on for the first time this season on this young Blue Jays team.

Hyun Jin Ryu has been a great addition to this Blue Jays team and has been their ace all season but he is 0-2 lifetime versus the Yankees with an ERA of 8.71. Not good enough and this Yankees lineup will look to be all over him early. As for Jordan Montgomery, he has struggled big time this season and it's been a problem for this sinking Yankees team coming off a series loss to the Orioles. This is a prime spot to back them considering Montgomery has a an ERA of 1.04 in three career starts versus the Blue Jays and he's obviously going to have confidence coming into this one.

Alright not taking the Money Line because the Blue Jays have a) played the most extra innings games in MLB history through the amount of games they have played and they have been known for late inning heroics and wins. The price on the +1.5 is very good and I'm hitting it hard.

Trend of the Game: Yankees are 40-19 in their last 59 Monday Games.

NY Yankees 8, Toronto 4

more to come...

MistaFlava · Sep 7, 2020

adding...

San Francisco Giants ML -114 (10 Units)

more to come...

MistaFlava · Sep 7, 2020

adding...

Colorado Rockies ML +175 (10 Units)

Oooh this is a nice underdog man and I'm going to take a shot here. Most people don't know this but the Rockies as bad as they have looked at times have one of the two Wild Card spots in the National League right now at 20-20 and they are a winning team of sorts. Kevin Freeland is on the mound for the Rockies and he has struggled but he did start the season with 6 Quality Starts in a row and his struggles have only been in the last three starts. I think he bounces back here. He's not at Coors anymore and the team is contending. He has made 11 career starts versus the Padres and has an ERA of 3.98 and a record of 3-3.

The San Diego Padres is sending their so called ace Dinelson Lamet to the mound in this game and he's been their best starter in a rotation that has been very good. The Padres are 6-2 when he is on the mound this season and he has been tough to hit but the Rockies have an offense that can be explosive on any given night and I think they'll take their best shot in this one. He is 0-2 in his career versus the Rockies but they have not exactly hit him around the park. I think they can get a few runs off the Padres starter here and in what should be a low scoring I think they can get a few more off the Padres bullpen.

The Rockies have been horrendous in Game 1 of a series the entire season going 1-8 so far in their last 9 but something has to give here. I think the Rockies bats get a few cheap runs early maybe even one or two unearned (something that has cost Lamet in the past) and I think when all is said and done they take this all important Game 1 of the series.

Trend of the Game: San Diego is 1-10 in Dinelson Lamet's last 11 starts following a Quality Start (from Covers.com)

Colorado 4, San Diego 3

more to come...