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Thoughts on UAB vs Miami?

UAB 9 win team last year
Return 18 starters (9 offense 9 defense)
lost QB last year after game 8 (back this year)
0 games went over 57 points last year

Miami returns 8 starters (4 offense 4 defense)
New QB King (Houston transfer)
New OC ( runs very fast tempo spread style)


UAB has a game under its belt. That should weigh for something. Return a very experienced team that won 9!games last year. All around the board offensive and defense they have skill and experience.

Miami will have the more talented roster. New QB king was good at Houston. Good passer and mobile (likes to run). New OC up tempo spread will be different than Miami typical pro style they have ran. Is the team efficient yet with it? No spring practice for Miami. King hasn’t played since 2018, how will the layover if any affect his last game time. Can Miami come out the gate with good chemistry on offense to score often with new system and not much chemistry. Timing is key in Up tempo schemes. New OC has always had a top 5 pace per play offense at previous schools. He falls from Gus at Auburn which does run more than pass funny enough.

Miami will not have possible top 10 pick DE Rousseau. Lost 2 big linebackers to draft Shaq and Pinckney. Talent will be on the field but lack of experience will not.

Like to look at meat eat and potatoes experience early in CFB. The O and D lines. UAB brings it all back on both sides while Miami brings back 4 of 5 O linemen. That should be a big help in chemistry and helping Miami move the ball and less sloppy play.

I will lean to more run than pass efficiency with Miami. Just because up temp pace of new offense is there doesn’t always mean teams are heavy passing (see auburn). Though UAB has very experienced and decent talent on defense all 3 phases, Miami should be okay moving the ball and likely will be more efficient 2nd half. UAB is more run heavy, experience every where on offense and has a game under the belt. I believe they will be abover average with the run game and commit to it entire game. Over looks like the play based on teams and talent and Miami new offense pace. But lack of timing and practice with below average experience seems more likely to slow down the points.

UAB should have some motivation in this spot as a big stage game for them. Doesn’t always mean success but it does seem they have more things than not going for them. Being 1st game for Miami I expect more a feel out style play and more conservative. Due to situations, UAB experience vs Miami variables and first game for Miami, I lean towards the points and a against the grain under game. And if Miami has major offense problems a SU UAB win is in the books. Miami may run a New very up tempo offense but I expect it to be more run oriented and this will chew some clock and move chains.

UAB 14.5 -120
UAB Under 55 -110

Miami 31
UAB 19
 

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Thoughts on Duke vs Notre Dame?

Notre Dame enters with a top notch QB and stellar O-line. 6 returning starters on the line. The big hit comes with the loss of the Big production combo of TE Kemet and WR Claypool. 2 big targets for Book. The RB’s are okay but need someone to step up. The defense lost massive production in secondary. And along D-line with 3 DE. Linebackers are solid and did lose a big piece but will be a solid group. DC Lea has been rock solid with the Irish past couple of years. QB, O-line and DC are ND 3 biggest advantages I like a lot vs Duke.

Duke and coach Cutcliff always a well prepared team and out produce what they are able to recruit. Cutty will call plays this year and should help for first game with Clemson QB transfer making the start. Not a lot of game experience so I would lean more conservative and protective play calls by coach. Duke has a big strength and weapon to help the QB with a solid experienced O-line that returns 4 starters and plenty of games started. Duke has above average weapons at all 3 positions. TE Noah is a great piece to have for a new QB. Safety option and can work good routes. RB will be interesting as DUKE has a potential piece Jackson. Really good receiver out of the backfield and another option for new QB.

Duke has 2 great defensive pieces and maybe 3 big stars if 2018 All American press CB is back after missing last year. Secondary is loaded with depth, starters and experience. Both LBS return but DUKE likes to run a 4-2-5 mostly. Maybe not the best set up for this years ND teams strength.

QB big edge ND.
RB slight edge ND
WR slight edge Duke
Oline slight edge ND

DL edge DUKE
LB edge ND
Sec edge DUKE

I would lean both teams well prepared. I believe Book should manage a solid game but uncharted area for weapons on the outside and unknown run game so far. Strength vs Strength as far as ND line vs Duke D line. Duke has legit pass rush ends and one guy who can wreck some havoc. I would lean both teams play more conservative and utilize strength of o lines. More click managers by both sides. Duke has a defense that can keep them in the game and if Duke can get to 13-14 points on offense I think it can be enough to cover. Not sure with no crowd hype and momentum and lack of skill weapons for ND vs a very good Duke defense that ND may be in the 26-31 range. Duke qb play if just okay may be enough to keep the big line in play.

Duke +21.5 (1/2pt)
Duke Under 55


DUKE in a tight one

DUKE 22
ND 26
 

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Georgia Tech vs Florida State thoughts?

Tech brings back a bunch on defense. Injuries from last year and transfers eligibility puts more depth/talent back on this side of the ball. DL and Secondary will be the strength. Offense is in year 2 of new spread from the option. Tech was last in yards and points in ACC last year. Skill positions return. Graham and Simms May both play at QB. I will lean Sims starts as a bit of a surprise. Tech does have some solid players at RB.

FSU will be under Norvell this year. And Blackmon back at QB who I just have a hard time trusting decision wise. And the OL is the weakness on offense. Not too sold on first year coach and new offense with pieces in place. Defense has nice pieces up front especially Wilson. And nice edge rush pieces also. Linebackers have been a weakness for FSU for some time. A bit of unknown in what to expect this year but will give benefit of the doubt a much improved group. Secondary will be the other strength.

If GT goes the 2 QB route I won’t be sold on too much positive results. Both teams imo have strengths at DL and secondary. Not favorable for QB’s. If a team is capable of putting points I lean FSU and Blackmon with experience trusting he limits mistakes and the OL outperforms it’s lack of experience. Leaning the DL and Secondary strength of both teams control game 1 game flow.

QB edge FSU
OL slight edge GT
RB edge GT
WR slight edge FSU

DL slight edge FSU
LB edge FSU
Secondary slight edge FSU

GT may have a decent number of 3 and outs. FSU shouldn’t be much better but will have faith that Blackmon somehow has a really solid game. Not sure I can see FSU scoring more than 35 and it may take some turnovers and luck for GT to get to 24. Just has the making of a sloppy game imo. I’m sure I will be proven wrong.


FSU Under 52.5

FSU 27
GT 16
 

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Wake +35 -125
Wake Under 60 -115

Clemson plenty of depth and talent even with several key defensive players out. Wake has plenty of returning players on defense and a special DE heading to the draft. But will be challenging on Offense with not much returning but do have a big playmaker at WR and a good QB

Wake weakness OL
Wake slight Weakness RB WR
Wake strength DL

Clemson Wekaness OL (Clemson standards)
Clemson Weakness Secondary (Top CB out)
Clemson strength DL (top 2 starters out though)

Play on Wake defense vs Clemson OL and decent shot to keep game pace slower and possessions limited.

Clemson 38
Wake 17

Wake +35 -125
Wake Under 60 -115
 

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Recap Week 1 Plays (9/10 - 9/12)

UAB +14.5 Loss
UAB Under Win
DUKE +21.5 Win
DUKE Under Win
FSU Under Win
Wake +35 Win
Wake Under Win
 

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Chris/H.......well done buddy.....continue your winning ways........indy
 

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good luck today i miss the write ups

I do write ups to get conversions rolling. Touch on stuff other posters know about teams and to hear feedback. If nobody chimes in I don’t have much interest in doing them. Small breakdown of Texas and BAMA if interested for ya though.

Texas -17

TT will struggle with the options at WR from UT. Moore (speed) and Eagles (6’5 230) who I expect will move into the slot this week. Schooner will also get involved in slot. TT got torched by Dunveary in slot last year. UT has former Okie State OC and will push pace more. UT is in good shape up front on OL. Sam is in a nice spot to go big as usual. TT troubles will be in front 7. Wouldn’t put too much into TT vs HBU scoreboard.

UT has a good experience secondary. DC likely runs 4-2-5 which is good vs TT. LB’s are weak and a concern in this scheme. TT has a good RB in Thompson but playing behind a not so good OL. At WR for TT vasher and the carter kid will be primary targets. Not sold on Bowman yet and he should be chucking it a good bit. With UT secondary I expect some mistakes from Bowman. Big concern will be if LB’s struggles in 425 vs TT Run. UT has a good chance to eat on the edge vs TT tackles and sacks, pressures will produce some fumbles and picks. UT needs to get TT off the run and if so they can runaway. I don’t expect UT to let up on offense at any point in game. Which is what’s needed to cover big spread vs another team with explosive capabilities on offense.

QB big edge UT
OL edge UT
WR edge UT
RB slight edge TT

DL edge UT
LB slight edge TT
Secondary edge UT

Texas 52
TT 26


BAMA -28

Mizzou is a train wreck. Not sure how CV19 affected them practice wise and how many guys are even out. 1st year coach and no time to work with a young team. This is simply a play on BAMA using this as a 4 quarter tune up. The OL is loaded (surprise) RB Harris is a beast but they have a guy who I think later in game with a lead helps keep points s going in RB Sanders. He will be fun to watch and get cranking 2nd half. Bama is also loaded at WR. Wouldn’t be shocked to see a couple of Big 50 yard strikes early. Don’t see BAMA letting up in this spot under circumstances. Sark is back calling plays and BAMA should fire off pretty well as game moves along.

Mizzou has no OL or skill positions with WR TE. No Edge rush and weak LB core.

BAMA edge everywhere from coaches to players to water boys.

BAMA 52
MIZZOU 10
.
 

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Hey, chrishansen, long time! Thanks for your input! Love Texas and Alabama today. Will bet Alabama. Good to hear from you, good luck!
 

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Hey, chrishansen, long time! Thanks for your input! Love Texas and Alabama today. Will bet Alabama. Good to hear from you, good luck!

Look who showed up! Good to see you around Slim, it’s been many years since we had some outstanding CFB chats.

ATL, what’s your thoughts on this Tennessee game? You’re a good ACC and SEC guy. I wanted to go TENN as they have some advantages but all sorts of practices and CV issues with this team lost, has some sloppy play inbound imo. Tennessee up to -4 now. Any input or play on this game ATL?
 

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Chrishansen, how's it been. Without the mask that is. Tennessee is a good looking pick at
4. The last 8 in this series was covered by the underdog. Gamecocks coach did not want this season to go on. He has afew problems on this team, but who doesn't. Yeah, I like Tenn. minus 4. Good luck!
 

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Week#1 6-1
Week#2 1-3
Week #3 4-2
YTD 11-6

Week#4

ECU +2
Coastal Carolina +3.5
Texas Tech +3 -120
Texas -11
Bama -18
SMU +2
 

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