Monday Service Play Thread 09/14/2020

BuzzKill · Sep 13, 2020

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ryangenero · Sep 13, 2020

Football jesus Podcast : NFL Broncos Mon Nite

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

Joe Williams (VegasInsider - NFL) - Steelers/Giants Under 45

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

Vince Akins (VegasInsider)
NFL
New York Giants +6
Giants/Steelers Under 45

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

Michael Crosson (VegasInsider - NFL) - New York Giants +6 (Best Bet)

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

Matt Blunt
NFL
New York Giants +6
Tennessee Titans -155 (Moneyline)

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

Toby Maxtone-Smith (VegasInsider Soccer Handicaper)
Play #1
Premier League - Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
TV & Time: NBCSN & 1:00pm est.
The Play - Sheffield United/Wolverhampton DRAW +200

Play #2
Premier League - Chelsea FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
TV & Time: Peacock & 3:15pm est.
The Play - CHELSEA -165

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 8:31 PM

UNDER 48
PITTSBURGH @ N.Y. GIANTS | 9/14 | 7:10 PM EDT
Can we really expect much from the Giants offense in this game? It's their first game under the new coaching staff with no preseason under their belt to get comfortable, and now they have to face maybe the top defense in the league to open the season. A healthy Big Ben makes the Steelers offense a tough matchup for a Giants defense that should struggle this year, but is there really any reason for them to run up the score in the second half if they're up big? I think in order for this to go Over, you need a Giants offense that can be competitive in this game, and the odds are stacked against them.

13-6-3 IN LAST 22 PIT O/U PICKS | +633

DENVER PK
TENNESSEE @ DENVER | 9/14 | 10:20 PM EDT
We're not sure how much home-field advantage is going to have an effect with little to no fans, but one home-field advantage that still matters is in Denver, where visiting players who have zero game experience after no preseason will have to play at altitude. The Titans are also stuck playing a super late game for their body clocks with the 10:10 p.m. ET start time. Those factors should make the Broncos a favorite to win outright if they aren't a terrible team, and considering their win total was set at 7.5 all offseason, the market is expecting them to at least be capable. I think the Broncos pass rush gives Ryan Tannehill trouble and the Denver offense does enough to get the win.

6-3 IN LAST 9 DEN ATS PICKS | +264

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

Micah Roberts

N.Y. GIANTS +6
PITTSBURGH @ N.Y. GIANTS | 9/14 | 7:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:44 PM
Giants QB Daniel Jones was solid in his last four games, going 3-1 ATS. His next step of being that guy is winning a big Week 1 game at home against a better opponent with no fans, but knowing all of New York and its press is watching on TV. I was forced into making this bet after the number jumped from 3.5 all the way to 6. Grab the points with the Giants.

10-5 IN LAST 15 PIT ATS PICKS | +435

4-1 IN LAST 5 NYG ATS PICKS | +290

UNDER 48
PITTSBURGH @ N.Y. GIANTS | 9/14 | 7:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:42 PM
There’s a theory held by some smart Las Vegas oddsmakers that NFL totals should be dropped almost 7 points because of having no preseason games, kind of like what we saw with the AAF totals early on. The defenses will be way ahead of the offenses for the first four weeks. I think that means bad news for Ben Roethlisberger in his first live action on the comeback trail. Both defenses will play well in a low-scoring game, with one big play deciding the game late.

7-2 IN LAST 9 NYG O/U PICKS | +478

OVER 41
TENNESSEE @ DENVER | 9/14 | 10:20 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:05 PM
What's the deal with this low total? Snow is expected in Denver on Tuesday, but it's expected to be beautiful next Monday night, so it’s not the weather. Last season, the Joe Flacco-led Broncos beat Tennessee 16-0 in an ugly game. Marcus Mariota started for the Titans, threw two interceptions and was yanked, beginning the Ryan Tannehill era. The team then started scoring in bunches and got Over the total in nine of its last 10 regular-season contests. The Broncos' offense looked much more fluid in the final few games of 2019 with Drew Lock at QB, and the team drafted more speed at WR for him. Over is the play.

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

Mike McClure
MONEY
FRI 5/8

TENNESSEE +2.5
TENNESSEE @ DENVER | 9/14 | 10:20 PM EDT
There isn't a great time to play a primetime road game at altitude. However, I would much rather start the season at altitude with fresh legs than play it later in the season when health isn't a given. Did the Titans overperform last season? Perhaps. Are the Broncos a significantly better team this year? Maybe. With a limited off-season I'm of the believe that it will take the Broncos a few weeks to play well together. The Titans are obviously the better team, but I make this game a pick'em due to the difficult game environment. Take the points.

6-3-1 IN LAST 10 DEN ATS PICKS | +280

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
TUE 9/8

DENVER +2.5
TENNESSEE @ DENVER | 9/14 | 10:20 PM EDT
Even with the Von Miller injury, I'm on Denver. Ryan Tannehill won't be the guy he was last year; he's facing a Broncos defense with a lot of playmakers, including former Titans DT Jurrell Casey. Drew Lock went 4-1 down the stretch last season and has better weapons now with the drafting of Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler.

3-1 IN LAST 4 TEN ATS PICKS | +190

3-1 IN LAST 4 DEN ATS PICKS | +189

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
TUE 9/8

TENNESSEE PK
TENNESSEE @ DENVER | 9/14 | 10:20 PM EDT
With season openers, rely on how teams finished the previous year at your own risk. However, one can’t ignore how Tennessee revved up after a shaky start and charged within one win of a Super Bowl berth. The surge coincided with the QB switch to Ryan Tannehill and the emergence of Derrick Henry into an all-world RB. The unit returns nearly intact, and it has distanced itself from the shutout loss in Denver last October, which prompted the demotion of QB Marcus Mariota. For good measure, the Titans acquired DE Jadeveon Clowney last week. They should extend a 5-1 ATS streak on the road.

13-7 IN LAST 20 TEN ATS PICKS | +529

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

Emory Hunt

PITTSBURGH -6
PITTSBURGH @ N.Y. GIANTS | 9/14 | 7:10 PM EDT
THU 9/10
Pittsburgh was a top-five defense last year, leading the league in sacks with 54. Last year one of the major issues with the Giants, especially when Daniel Jones took over for Eli Manning, was giving up too many sacks. Jones also had an issue with ball security. Generating turnovers is another area where the Steelers excelled last season. Ten starters return on that defense, and the Giants will be starting a rookie at left tackle. This is just an overall bad matchup for New York.

5-3 IN LAST 8 NYG ATS PICKS | +169

2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ATS PICKS | +90

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

Mike Tierney

PITTSBURGH -6
PITTSBURGH @ N.Y. GIANTS | 9/14 | 7:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 12:39 PM
An assortment of Steelers, notably quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, are refreshed after missing large chunks of last season while injured. Coach Mike Tomlin reportedly conducted among the most hard-hitting practices in camp, which should have the Pittsburgh tuned for the real thing. The league’s top sacks squad from a year ago might chew up and spit out a Giants line with at least two new starters. Welcome to the NFL head coaching fraternity, Joe Judge. Your team has covered in just one of the last 11 home gigs as an underdog.

9-5 IN LAST 14 NYG ATS PICKS | +343

2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ATS PICKS | +90

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

NORTHCOAST ECONOMY CLUB NFL

steelers

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

Midwest NFL Handicapping

DEN +3 vs TENN

Teaser
NYG +12/DEN +9

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

VSI

nfl

7 under-46.5-pitt-nyg

ConleyPicks · Sep 14, 2020

Stephen Oh

MLB

Atlanta Braves -157

GalenThomas · Sep 14, 2020

King Creole Sports - NFL 3 * Under Steelers at Giants

Tuyenhuyen99 · Sep 14, 2020

Can you have Steve Budin please? Thanks

Monday Service Play Thread 09/14/2020

Let's go Brandon!

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