Powerz NFL WEEK 2

TErrible start to the season 1-4 contest
1-5 -$869

Good news - On Monday night I went 4-1 unposted hit the middle in Denver had early bets down on PITT and the Under the lines were long gone so I did not post them.

I guess in hindsight week one was not all that tricky new coaches 1-4, Div Dogs 5-4.
Some dumb coaches - Obrien, Gase, Fangio,
Emo Wins - Chicago, Washington
Bad Defenses - Carolina, LV, ATL, Minny
We are not amused - Dallas game plan & Offensive PI call, Detroit dropped pass, Fitz - TO's and stall in Redzone, San Fran Let down, Jets Late TD kills my under play of the week.

WEEK 2:

Okay here's what you should be looking at to Fade - Public teams especially if the PS is going up 21-33 & no move 9-20 the public typically over reacts to week one but you have heard that all week.
Div Dogs 23-16 in Week 2 , Also heard this gem BACK a week 2 dog that lost as FAV SU in week one - PHILLY, ATL, MINNY,

PLAYS I HAVE MADE SO FAR

BUFF U42 $230
KC -8 $220

6.5 TEASER - PHILLY +7.5 and SF PK $140/$110

See you SATURDAY

I see a lot posters stating they are fading the Bengals b/c of the Rookie QB burrows ....I am pretty sure this kid is the next one , he called his shot went to LSU and won a national championship in front of 100K fans and probably 50 Million on TV. I don't think one of most inept franchises in NFL history is worrying him one bit.

On the flip side you have a new HC who clearly did not have team ready to go last week operating on a short week, may be they were just using Baltimore as preseason game knowing they had no chance. Stefanaski finally got Cousins over the hump last year in MINNY, maybe he can save Baker, but I think they are dysfunctional bunch of superstars that could easily lose tonight, especially if they have to play from behind.

Again I don't have a dog in the fight tonight but I sure would not put $$ on Cleveland.

May do something in game - Cleveland injury and questionabale list is long - MY PR has CLEV -2, no adjustment for homefeild

PLAYS I HAVE MADE SO FAR

BUFF U42 $230
KC -8 $220....BUY Back no play

6.5 TEASER - PHILLY +7.5 and SF PK $140/$110

Here are my Contest Plays

DOLPHINS +5.5 [FONT=Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif] EAGLES PK[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] GIANTS +5.5
[FONT=&quot] LAC +8.5 [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] Raiders +5.5

Dolphins +6 -117 TW $200
FALCONS +4 -119 TW $150
NYG +6 -119 TW $100
HOU +7 -110 TW $100
DENVER +7.5 -127 TW $50
[/FONT]

gl Sunday Guys
[/FONT]

Not liking much this wk at all. 5 picks for circa were a struggle to choose last 2.
4-1 wk 1 and still alive in survivor w pats and browns.

circa 5
phil pk
ind -3
pit -7
sf -6.5
jax 8.5

i personally bet phi +1 and Vegas +6 so far along with a handful of teasers involving ten, pit, clv. Adding 3 team 6pt round robin W tb -2 kc-2.5 ne +10.

Hope you go 5-0 this wi btw.

PWZ......BOL with all your action this weekend buddy.....

sweep your contest card.......indy

big wang said:

Hope you go 5-0 this wi btw.

Click to expand...

Thanks BW would be happy with 3-2 or 4-1 5-0 would be outstanding BOL to tyou as well

indiana said:

PWZ......BOL with all your action this weekend buddy.....

sweep your contest card.......indy

Click to expand...

Thanks INDY you too sir

powerz said:

Also heard this gem BACK a week 2 dog that lost as FAV SU in week one - PHILLY, ATL, MINNY,

Click to expand...

You can also play them in Week 3.

Week 2-3, Dogs that lost their previous game as a favorite:

45-19-1 since 2009

Minnesota, Atlanta, Detroit

Good luck this week powers .i was perfect fade last week0-5. Hoping for better results Cincy Denver giants Detroit raiders

4-3 +$120
5-7 -$749

4-1 in RX contest
3-1 today in Circa just need LVRaiders to get to 4-1 Glad to have you along for the ride on that one Brendan, nice day for you and BIG wang looks you had a good day too.

So far the Favs have won every game SU ...The dogs have cashed in 7 out of 15 but could not pull in a victory.
The NFC west is now 6-0 ATS out of confrenece.


I like the Raiders tmr to finally get a W for the Dogs; Raiders defense is young and will give up some plays, but opening night for the new stadium, Offense has its weapons, Brees cant throw downfield more than 15 yards & no Thomas. Chuckie is an emotions coach he should have the team fired up for this one.

Then there is this New Orleans fits a profile that is now 0-31: KC was in it today and almost lost SU ...I said to my self if KC wins but doe snot cover I would play the raiders on the ML too. Because the Fav 6-25 in these situations

NFL teams that won more than ten games the previous regular season and have got more than 56% of their first downs through the air are 0-30 ATS during the regular season when they have at least normal rest and they are off a win by more than ten points as a favorite and they are facing a team that has gotten less than 55% of their first downs through the air and had at least five passing first downs in their previous game. The SDQL text of this system is: A and PRSW>10 and p:F and opFD>=5 and p:margin>10 and oS(PFD)/oS(FD) < 0.55 and rest>=6 and tS(PFD)/tS(FD)>0.56 and REG and date>=20071100 Explanation: Teams that have a high pedigree and can move the chains through the air have been overestimated by the linesmakers when they are off a big win as a favorite and they are facing a team that has a relatively low percentage of their first downs through the air. These road teams have been LAYING an average of 2.8 points but they are 5-25 straight up have been LOSING by an average final score of 27.0 points to 18.4 points. This means that the lines in these games have been off by an average of 11.5 ppg. These road teams have been vulnerable to teams that can move the chains on the ground because the moving the chains on the ground is an excellent way to control the clock. This system was 3-0 ATS in 2018 and 3-0 ATS again in 2019. "the Sports Data Query Group."

OAK +6 -119 To win $250
OAK ML +200 $50
And a little Seer Sprinkle Oakland to win 1-6 +450 $50 (Bet365)

GL enjoy the game

2-1 +$300
6-8 -$449

Sweet week - Thank you raiders!

Great call on ml I sprinkled a little on it