Ever see a line that seems too good to be true?

Yesterdays Dbacks and Angels game didnt make sense to me. Really, the whole series. Dbacks and Angels have similiar records, yet if you want to take the Angels, your paying twice as much.
First day you had Bumgarner vs Teheran. Both are having terrible years. Bum has the better name and has had better starts where tehran has not had any. So looks like line should be pretty even, yet if you took Dbacks you would get +140
Yesterday you Caleb Smith vs Bundy. Bundy a better year, but Caleb was decent last year and looked ok coming back. Take Dbacks and you have +190
Today Young vs Canning. You can get Dbacks at +140. Atleast this line is a little bit more accurate and no great value taking Dbacks.
Now its obvious angels can (and probably) win today. But the first two days were head scratchers. Its like oddsmakers were wanting you to bet the Dbacks and would win? I took Dbacks both previous games but small bets because it seemed like a trap. In hindsite wish I went big. Just curious why so much juice on the Angels vs dbacks in the series?

Yea he was way overpriced and I still fell for it thinkin Al Bundy might toss a gem. Snakes can be a very scrappy team.
A little different situation for me, every now and then there will be that 1 game that the line tells you who the winner is.
Like last night the Sox n Giolito seemed awfully cheap to me, Twinks aren't hittin, Ododizzy sux and they still won 5-1.
Whenever I see an Ace vs a scrub esp @ home and the line is cheap take the pup ML and Alt R/L it has been keepin me above the mendoza line.

:toast:

Let's test this theory. Just lookin over the lines NOLA @home vs the Mutts is VERY CHEAP!!
Yea the Phils have issues but Nola can def keep em in check. Phils cnt be trusted for anything else than a FF bet
then the
Mets prob pull it out late again.

Damn, thats a good call on the small dog. Even if this loses, this might be something im going to look at from here on out. Never thought about this.

I think it was more of a call on an under-priced favorite
Sometimes it workspuff_>> just need to pick and choose our spots. There isn't a play everyday so don't force it.

Take all of the aces today, find the cheapest one and bet against him, especially if he is facing a scrub like Lugo last night:Carcajada:

After a quick glance I'm not liking much 2nite. I'll check back when more of the lines are posted.

:toast:

I know Bassitt isnt the ace but this one is sticking out to me tonight. I put a small play on alt r/l

SF-1 +195

Twisted said:

I think it was more of a call on an under-priced favorite
Sometimes it workspuff_>> just need to pick and choose our spots. There isn't a play everyday so don't force it.

Take all of the aces today, find the cheapest one and bet against him, especially if he is facing a scrub like Lugo last night:Carcajada:

After a quick glance I'm not liking much 2nite. I'll check back when more of the lines are posted.

:toast:

Click to expand...

Another interesting thing to look at that Ive learned from another capper many years ago that always holds up.

Small Road Favorite of -135 that public is on, the home pitcher will pitch a good game. So look to take Under OR the home team.
I.E.
Max Scherzer Washington -135 9 Over/Under 80% bets on Washington
Alex Cobb Baltimore +115 9 Over/Under

Bet Cobb Or the Under 9

Another one as well Bet on the home dog or the Over if the road favorite is -155 and a public favorite
I.E.

Max Scherzer Washington -155 9 Over/Under 80% bets on Washington
Alex Cobb Baltimore +135 9 Over/Under

Bet Cobb or the Over