Woodbine 09-18-2020

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WO 09-18-2020

Last two posts have sucked. Went 0/6 at Saratoga and 3/9 at Gulfstream.
Today Woodbine. Might as well spread the stink across the entire continent.
Maybe tomorrow I can find some sled-dog races to tank.
I thought we had p6 carryovers at GP/WO, but I'm not seeing them.

Be aware when playing WO, L.Contreras has toasted many favorites this past month (0/8) and has finished off the board with half of them. He is listed on 3 morning line favs today. Doesn't mean he can't win but this is a percentages game so take note.


race #1 - 8.5f
... race is fairly wide open with little pace.
#8 12-1 AHEADBYACENTURY - speed threat
#5 5-2 CALL IT A WRAP - logical
#6 15-1 JAMMIN STILL - could press

race #2 - 7f
.... top 2 favorites are on big drops, not always a positive.
.... adding $0.20 trifecta box 2,3,4,9,10 ($12) if both #4 and #9 over 10-1
#2 3-1 LYRICAL NOTE
#3 5-2 BEL BIMBO
#9 20-1 SEEMEE - will assuredly out run his odds
#4 20-1 HESATHRILLER - longshot adds Stein and the theory of relativity.

race #3 - 5f
#4 3-1 DEALMAKER
#7 7-2 BULLET SPEED
#3 6-1 SOCIETY'S MENACE

race #4 - 7.5f inner turf
#10 5-1 BODE'S MAKER
#4 10-1 THE BOSS FACTOR - speed threat
#1 3-1 GLENVILLE GARDENS

race #5 - 8.5f
#2 15-1 GLORIOUS GIZMO
#7 8-1 LONDONDERRY
#3 7-2 ASHA IRONBORN

race #6 - 6.5f
#11 5-2 SHOWBIZ LADY
#9 9-2 I'M A GINGER
#10 10-1 DOWN WITH BROWN
#5 20-1 TRIPLE SEVENS - exotic booster

race #7 - 8.5f inner turf
... race is wide open
#4 5-1 SPIDER DANCE
#8 6-1 AMI'S LINK
#6 8-1 PIQUET

race #8 - 6.5f turf
#4 5-2 RECONFIGURE
#5 8-1 DUN DRUM - Emma sticks
#7 2-1 BLIND AMBITION - confidence builder or gut check?

race #9 - 7f
#8 4-1 RED ASTAIRE
#3 8-1 FINAL STRIKE
#5 3-1 KING OF THE RING


FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
"fiddler" - don't expect top effort if low price
My wagers are exacta keybox top pick, plus straight win bet on top pick.
Good luck to all!
 
Joined
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Thanks for postings it’s a grind like anything else but your a good player

time to get hot
 
Joined
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The last two times were the last two times. You'll be back. I expect starting today.

PS I like Woodbine. Nice races and full fields leaving room for legit longshots and middle priced horses.

GL Prof.
 

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Thx Prof on the heads up on Contreras burning cash on Favs lately. Good call race #4 6/1 score.
 

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