ESPN+ 36 at The Apex

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Totally stacked card, maybe the best Fight Night card ever!


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Random leans...


  • Colby Covington -320 & By decision -150 ...The decision is most likely as the Colby pace and output("pillow hands" or not) will likely carry him to easy W. T-Wood's right hand is a great leveller, but at 38 years old, perhaps father time has caught up to him plus he really doesn't seem at all focused the last 2 times out. If he can keep fight standing he has punchers chance but only for first 2 or 3 rounds as I expect his gas tank drying up before Colby's.
  • Donald Cerrone ITD +195 ... (don't sleep on Cowboy, the man has fought an absolute killers row and probably should have got the W vs Pettis. Niko is a heavy handed striker though, and could easily take this in the first round, but Cowboy way more skilled, experienced and can also go to the ground if needed. No way this goes the distance.
  • Khamzat Chimaev by TKO +135 ... Meerschaert is a worn fighter at this stage and will struggle to sweep or secure any submission off his back vs the dominant top game of Chimaev. Smeshing time baby. ;)
  • Mackenzie Dern -165 ... (making weight was her first battle. Out-muscling Markos will be her second) Dern has a better ground game and that's all Markos has. Plus Dern is pretty decent strike. It kinda scares me this line is so low, I would guess 250-300 at least.
  • Darren Stewart +250 ... Rolling with the English dog here mainly on value, but also because his ability to grind out a gritty and unattractive performance may well overcome the more significant shots of Holland.
  • David Dvořák +100 ... more well-rounded game, killer clinch work, should be able to overwhelm Espinoza and keep fight where he wants it.
  • Mirsad Bektić -360 ... could be an early stoppage for Bektić who has genuine power and may exploit weak striking defence of Jackson. If somehow Jackson gets the fight to the mat and ends up with Bektić's back, it could be a huge win for the underdog...but don't really see it that way.
  • Mayra Bueno Silva -250 Constant pressure, front-foot Muay Thai striking which will swelter the usually patient Borella.


Also leaning Spann +120 and Costa +105

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There was a huge rumor circulating early Friday that one of the two(Colby/Wooley) had COVID, and the fight would be off.


Colby wearing a mask to the weigh-ins, despite being all for Trump and anti-mask, is kind of peculiar. Another part of the rumor was that Dana cancelled the press conference between the two on Thursday because of the positive test. Which would make sense, because he could never really provide a solid answer for them not being there.


Also now seeing Colby as low as -300 and number has been slowly dropping. Colby did sound a bit sick as well. But in reality I don't believe even Dana would let the fight if either was infected...or would he?
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  1. First two coming soon...

  • 2301 Jerome Rivera* +167 vs Tyson Nam
    1/1.67
  • 2202 Andre Ewell* -235 vs Irwin Rivera
    4.23/1.8
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[FONT=&quot]....I'll be back soon for the rest of the card[/FONT]
 

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[1-1 +0.8u]​
2101 Randy Costa* +110 vs Journey Newson
2.1/2.31

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[FONT=&quot][2-1 +3.11u][/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]2001 Darrick Minner/T.J. Laramie* Over 1½ -122[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]1.22/1[/FONT]
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[2-2 +1.89u]​
1911 Clark wins by 3 round decision* -110 vs Not Clark by 3 round decision
2/1.82

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[2-3 -0.11u]​
1802 Mayra Bueno Silva* -250 vs Mara Romero Borella
3/1.2

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[3-3 +1.09u]​

  • 1731 Jackson wins by submission* +850 vs Any other result
    1/8.5
  • 1701 Mirsad Bektic* -370 vs Damon Jackson
    5.55/1.5
  • 1701 Mirsad Bektic/Damon Jackson* Under 2½ -122
    1.22/1

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[FONT=&quot]Nice finish by the LEECH!
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[5-4 +5.04u]​
1602 David Dvorak* +100 vs Jordan Espinosa
1.75/1.75

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[6-4 +6.79u]​
1501 Darren Stewart* +275 vs Kevin Holland
1.2/3.3

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[FONT=&quot]This more of a value play as Kevin has the better chance for winning, but not laying that kind of chalk vs "The Dentist"[/FONT]
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[6-5 +5.59u]​
1402 Mackenzie Dern* -167 vs Randa Markos
5.45/3.26

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[FONT=&quot]She's my top play tonight and pretty damn hot to boot
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[7-5 +8.85u]​

  1. 1304 Fight won’t go 3 round distance* -335 vs Spann / Walker goes 3 round distance
    4.02/1.2
  2. 1301 Ryan Spann* +135 vs Johnny Walker
    1.8/2.43

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[FONT=&quot]All great fights from here on out, let's feast[/FONT]
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[8-6 +8.25u]​

  • 1204 Fight won’t go 3 round distance* -350 vs Meerschaert / Chimaev goes 3 rd distance
    4.2/1.2
  • 1233 Chimaev wins by TKO/KO* +145 vs Any other result
    2/2.9
  • 1201 Gerald Meerschaert/Khamzat Chimaev* Under 1½ -117
    1.17 /1

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[11-6 +13.35u]​

  • 1127 Cerrone wins by submission* +410 vs Any other result
    .5/2.05
  • 1101 Donald Cerrone* +122 vs Niko Price
    1.75/2.13

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[FONT=&quot]Damn, getting hot in here...
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[11-7-1 +12.85u]​

  • 1011 Covington wins by 5 round decision* -150 vs Not Covington by 5 round decision
    3.3/2.2
  • 1037 Woodley wins by TKO/KO* +440 vs Any other result
    1.2/5.28

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[FONT=&quot]I like Colby but still have to respect Woodley's power, plus no telling if Colby's broken jaw in last fight has any residual effects. I'm pussing out playing both sides... as I think if it goes to the cards, Colby will win and the only way Tyron wins is with a KO...watch him get a freak sub,,,haha[/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]Any way it goes, another winning night so that rocks,
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Tough way to finish going 0-3-1 on last 2 fights, but still a decent night so I cant complain.
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Last Night: [11-9-1 +8.35u]



Other recent record(s)



  • 9/12 - ESPN+ 35 [11-9 +25.8u]
  • 9/05 - ESPN+ 34 [9-4 +9.72u]
  • 8/28 - ESPN+33 [10-4 +7.83u]
  • 8/22 - ESPN 15 [11-4 +9.15u]
  • 8/15 - UFC 252 [12-9 +6.07u]
  • 8/08 - ESPN+ 32 [10-12 -7.6u]
  • 8/01 - ESPN+ 31 [8-9-1 -1.41u]
  • 7/18 - ESPN+ 30 [10-6 +12.85u]
  • 7/15 - ESPN 14 [8-12 +1.06u]
  • 7/11 - UFC 251 [5-10 -10.93u]

Total for last 11 cards: [105-88 +60.89u]
 

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