~NFL Predictions & Analysis Ratings & Statistics And Power Ratings~ Week 2!!!!!

Search
Joined
Jul 19, 2014
Messages
3,335
Tokens
Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys


Both teams lost in week one but the Cowboys looked like the significantly better team as they were in a position to win their game while the Falcons got embarrassed so I think that there is a serious talent mismatch in this game. Dallas has been a much better home team in recent years and Atlanta gave up 38 points at home in week one so I think that the Falcons should give up at least 30 points in this game which bodes well for the opposition. The Cowboys suffered a spate of long-term injuries in their opening loss. Tight end Blake Jarwin is out for the season after tearing his ACL while inside linebacker Leighton Vander Esch fractured his collarbone and backup offensive tackle Cam Erving sprained an MCL.Vander Esch and Erving figure to return later this season. Erving is out four to six weeks while Vander Esch is expected to miss six to eight weeks. By Steve Janus NFL Analyst,

Atlanta Falcons are off to a strong start offensively, However Big Injury List For Boys!!!!. The Dallas Cowboys lost to the Rams in their season debut, but the defensive effort was there for the most part and they were able to have some ground success against a respectable defensive front. While Cowboys lines are always inflated, Offshore books have at -4 and 4 1/2 friday & Vegas -4
NFL SPREAD
mail

Cowboys opened as 7.5 point favorites and now the game is available at most shops for -4.5 points.This is going to be a close game and I have a difficult time laying that many points for an offense that isn’t very stout and a defense that can get beaten via the air.Falcons put real pressure on quarterbacks and did a decent job of keeping the Seahawks running backs from doing too much.That does seem right but this game is going to feature the Falcons aerial show up against the Ezekiel ground attack. Dallas allowed too many passing yards to Jared Goff and Ryan and his crew of three wideouts are going to give them fits. I will take the points and go with Atlanta in this contest.







~Team Stats From week 1~


SeattleAtlanta
First downs2228
Rushing64
Passing1523
Penalty11
Total Net Yards383506
Net Yards Rushing8472
Rushing Plays2021
Average Gain4.23.4
Net Yards Passing299434
Att - Comp - Int35-31-054-37-1
Sacked - Yds Lost3-232-16
Gross Yards Passing322450
Avg. Yds/Att9.28.3


SeattleAtlanta
Punts - Average4-47.82-50.0
Had Blocked00
Punt Returns1-151-8
Kickoff Returns2-430-0
Interception Returns1-00-0
Penalties - Yards6-466-72
Fumbles - Lost1-01-1
Field Goals1-12-2
Third Downs3-9-33%7-14-50%
Fourth Downs1-1-100%0-4-0%
Total Plays5877
Average Gain 6.66.6
Time of Possession30:3629:24





Passing

Seattle SeahawksAttCmpYdsYPATDIntLgSackLossRate
Wilson35313229.24038t323143.1



Atlanta FalconsAttCmpYdsYPATDIntLgSackLossRate
Ryan54374508.3214421698.5





~Team Stats From week 1~

Team Stats


DallasLA Rams
First downs2423
Rushing911
Passing1412
Penalty10
Total Net Yards380422
Net Yards Rushing136153
Rushing Plays2740
Average Gain5.03.8
Net Yards Passing244269
Att - Comp - Int39-25-031-20-1
Sacked - Yds Lost3-221-6
Gross Yards Passing266275
Avg. Yds/Att6.88.9


DallasLA Rams
Punts - Average4-39.03-47.3
Had Blocked00
Punt Returns1-200-0
Kickoff Returns2-481-20
Interception Returns1-00-0
Penalties - Yards7-505-34
Fumbles - Lost0-00-0
Field Goals1-22-3
Third Downs3-12-25%9-17-52%
Fourth Downs1-3-33%1-1-100%
Total Plays6972
Average Gain5.55.9
Time of Possession24:2235:38







Passing


Dallas CowboysAttCmpYdsYPATDIntLgSackLossRate
Dak39252666.8103332292.5



Los Angeles RamsAttCmpYdsYPATDIntLgSackLossRate
Goff31202758.901311679.4

Ryan looked in sync with his three receivers throughout Sunday's game, targeting each of them 12 times and never letting one go too long without touching the ball.
*************SPECIAL NOTE FROM ~ Will McFadden~ Yahoo Sports Writer *********** As it stands, the injury situation in Dallas is already ugly. Consider:



San Francisco 49er at New York Jets


It’s tough to take the 49ers to cover at this number. I truly believe its inflated [excessively or unreasonably high]. The value on San Francisco came early in the week when it opened at 4, but the value is now on New York. San Francisco has gone 7-20-1 ATS in its last 28 games as a favorite. Kittle’s injury could make the offense even worse than it was in the second half against Arizona. The Jets showed some fight in the second half against Buffalo and that will be key to covering this number as a touchdown underdog. San Francisco is also 0-4-1 ATS in its last five games against a team with a losing record.



Stats From by DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Rating ~[Cleveland OH] There Calculated total Point Spread Trends & Statistics and Indicators

The 49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 2 and 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite. The Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September. The under is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games overall. The road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.




The New York Jets also look for their first win of the season after losing their season opener to the Buffalo Bills. The New York Jets have won four straight home games. Sam Darnold is completing 60 percent of his passes for 215 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Darnold has one or less touchdown passes in four of his last six games. Jamison Crowder and Chris Herndon have combined for 152 receiving yards and one touchdown while Le’Veon Bell has two receptions. The New York Jets ground game is averaging 52 yards per contest, and Frank Gore leads the way with 24 yards on six carries. Defensively, New York is allowing 27 points and 404 yards per game. Marcus Maye leads the New York Jets with 10 tackles, Brian Poole has one sack and Neville Hewitt has one pass deflection. ~ByHarv Rubenstein NFL Capper~

Prediction: New York +7 with a bet




Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers played well defensively in their last game, but they were facing a team led by a rookie quarterback. Their defense will struggle in this game because the Chiefs have the most talented offense in the league. The Chiefs also have a lot of talent on the defensive end and held the Texans to 20 points in their season opener. With the Chargers managing only 16 points against Cincinnati in their last game, don’t expect them to keep up with the Chiefs in this game.The Bolts are coming off of a win they probably shouldn't have got and that was against a Bengals team that had the worst record in the league last year. LA has a good ground game, but the passing game? KC has the luxury of an extra few days rest after playing last Thursday and that will pay dividends here. Tyrod Taylor did what he had to in the game, as his final passing line was 16-30 for 208 yards. The Chargers will have to be a lot sharper on offense against the high-flying Chiefs if they stand a chance in this one. Tyrod Taylor only ran the ball six times for seven yards in week one, so I will look for him to get more involved in the run game in week two, as he can be a very dangerous two-way threat as quarterback.~ By Steve Janus NFL Analyst~

In this game, I am going to take the Chargers in 7 point teaser 8.5 points to >>+15 1/2 as the home team too many to pass up on for me. I think the Chargers' defense can do enough in this game to keep it close, and I expect the Chiefs to find a slim victory at the end. Chiefs win and the Chargers cover for me.

I'am betting 7 point two team teaser> Chargers +15 1/2 & under 54 1/2 points




**** Handicapping information taken from Internet Sports Media. Bleacher Report, Inc.,USA Today Sports Media Group, Pro Football Weekly's & NFL Weather.com, Football Stats and History, and other sources connected with NFL Sports. Jerry Nyles NFL Capper, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper Sports Analyst Rob Vinciletti, Harry Darian [HarryTheHat ]NFL Capper, Harold Windham NFL Analyst, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper, Trev Rogers NFL Capper, Steve Janus NFL Analyst, Sal Limonti NFL Capper, Harv Rubenstein NFL Capper * *****Stats taken from Power Ratings Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power,B&Rs Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL Compliments From ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~











 
Joined
Jul 19, 2014
Messages
3,335
Tokens
My betting system is heavily dependent on statistics, requiring some data gathering and assumption building regarding future performance

My betting system is heavily dependent on statistics, requiring some data gathering and assumption building regarding future performance. .This is why I choose to wait until at least after the 3rd week of the NFL season before making large bets & Presses my bet with predictions.My analysis with information using three Power ratings with a comparison factoring in home team edges. Trying to analyze a clear idea what teams are inflated with the point spread. Looking at stats from many different media sources with the point spreads compared to all three power ratings. Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power rating,& The DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders rating.I use [is based on his model that factors in defense and offense statistics including points scored, points given up, win-loss record, and strength of games played and remaining. It indicates who is actually the better teams irrespective of record].
This should go without saying, but - I'll say it anyway. The system does not take into account injuries, weather conditions, yardage gained, the importance of the game, whether it was a Monday Night game or not, whether the quarterback's grandmother was sick, or anything else besides points scored and points allowedMy picks are free on Rx Form and always be just that... and way I see it when I win you win. Have a great following and some great acquaintances on this form over a couple years that follow my posts with picks and also bets. What you bet is your personal business and what bet is mine. Its not how much you bet, its all about winning. Ladies& Gentlemen of jury[ Rx members] My record speaks for itself !!!!!! Lets have a great season and just win !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Hårr¥THëHÄT
 
Joined
Jul 19, 2014
Messages
3,335
Tokens
The important part of placing sports wagers is your return on investment, also known as ROI.

The important part of placing sports wagers is your return on investment, also
known as ROI. A sports bettor’s return on a investment is a calculation based on
his winning percentage and the amount of money invested overall. In my opinion
you should work out ROI[return on investment]based on how many games you wager
on and how much bet per game. Like with any business understanding the return on
your sports betting investment is key to maintaining a profit. Bankroll
management[ I use Bob Martins money management system that works for me year
after year]. Its called a press concept to learn, but a difficult one to keep in
practice. All gamblers have a tendency to want to take a big risk in search of a
big payoff, but sticking to a fairly rigid set of rules about your bankroll can
keep you from blowing your budget based on a hunch or an emotional wager.
Figuring out why you’re betting on NFL, whether it’s just for fun or as a way to
make a living, is a big part of managing your bankroll. Quitting while you’re
ahead is not the same as quitting.
Hårr¥THëHÄT
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
50,438
Tokens
Mr. H/hat.........

solid write up and thought's......BOL with all your action........indy
 

Member Emeritus
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
7,607
Tokens
BOL Harry. I'm on falcons and jets as well. I think it might be one of those Sundays where the dogs howl.
 
Joined
Oct 1, 2005
Messages
3,148
Tokens
Harry the Hat: good job on you're write ups. I have been on the fence with San Francisco. They have had numerous injuries to their starters, especially at wide receiver, and no Kittle. The NY Jets plus 4.5 as dogs looks tempting . This should be a low scoring game , SF will look to run the ball, and control the clock. The Jets have not shown anything on offense. and maybe tease up the 42.5 point total to 49.5> Good Luck, Harry.
 
Joined
Jul 19, 2014
Messages
3,335
Tokens
I think the Falcons can keep it close at least.

Harry the Hat: good job on you're write ups. I have been on the fence with San Francisco. They have had numerous injuries to their starters, especially at wide receiver, and no Kittle. The NY Jets plus 4.5 as dogs looks tempting . This should be a low scoring game , SF will look to run the ball, and control the clock. The Jets have not shown anything on offense. and maybe tease up the 42.5 point total to 49.5> Good Luck, Harry.
Thank You For Reply BROOKLYNWORM!!!!! always !!!!!!! Even though it has inflated, I still like the number on Atlanta here. Dallas opened up as favorites by more than a touchdown, and conventional wisdom would say this will be a pretty close and higher-scoring game. Atlanta can certainly put up points, but they’ll also offer the Cowboys an opportunity to flex their offensive muscle as well. Should be an entertaining game, and I think the Falcons can keep it close at least.
 
Joined
Jul 19, 2014
Messages
3,335
Tokens
Dunkel Index power rating & DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders rating & B&Rs Expert power rating

Dunkel Index power rating &DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders rating & B&Rs Expert power rating

San Francisco 49ers =24.00 23.80 20.74 (NFC WEST) New York Jets = 22.00 21.26 8.42 (afc east) Dallas Cowboys= 23.72 23.14 21.23 (NFC EAST)
Atlanta Falcons = 21.72 21.63 9.97 (NFC SOUTH)
Jets + 2 1/2 approximate averaged out & Falcons +1 1/2 approximate averaged out ==== Present Lines Jets + 7 & Falcons +3
Compliments From ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~
 
Joined
Jul 19, 2014
Messages
3,335
Tokens
~New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks~ 8:20 pm EST [ late add on]

The Patriots' offense does concern me a bit, as the Dolphins' defense was one of the weakest in the league last year, yet the Patriots only scored 21 points on them.The Seahawks offense was also firing on all cylinders in their season opener with Wilson appearing to be in regular season form out the gate. I was not impressed with NE Defense ,looking at stats from last game. This game will give us a much better idea about the Pats and their new looks. However there new looks don't impress me at all, especially playing the Dolphins in there last game. Until then, I'm leaning toward the Seahawks money line I like the Seahawks to show up in a big way at Centurylink Field for Sunday Night Football, and I think they win this game on offense, therefore I will bet the money line $-190. X 3 [ Yard Units ]
 
Joined
Jul 19, 2014
Messages
3,335
Tokens
Synopsis win/loss bets [ week 2 nfl

Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys Falcons +4 1/2 WIN
San Francisco 49er at New York Jets New York +7 LOST
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers 7 point two team teaser> Chargers +15 1/2 & under 54 1/2 points WIN
PATRIOTS AT SEAHAWKS MONEY LINE $-190 X3 $100 UNITS ] WIN
 

Banned
Joined
Jul 17, 2017
Messages
5,341
Tokens
Harry:

Where on earth did you get the Chargers to be +15.5? The line was around +8

:think2:
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 25, 2008
Messages
2,445
Tokens
Harry:

Where on earth did you get the Chargers to be +15.5? The line was around +8

:think2:

Honestly I can’t comprehend how someone with almost 2k posts in a sports betting forum cant figure out this was a teaser line. Besides the fact it says it right in the same sentence. Like how? Seriously asking. Lol
 

Banned
Joined
Jul 17, 2017
Messages
5,341
Tokens
Honestly I can’t comprehend how someone with almost 2k posts in a sports betting forum cant figure out this was a teaser line. Besides the fact it says it right in the same sentence. Like how? Seriously asking. Lol
I have not really heard much of a teaser before even though yes I did see that he said teaser
That is something that I have to learn more about face)(*^%
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 25, 2008
Messages
2,445
Tokens
Fair enough, now the question becomes how you never heard of teasing points 2k posts in. Lol Appreciate the response i was honestly perplexed.

I have not really heard much of a teaser before even though yes I did see that he said teaser
That is something that I have to learn more about face)(*^%
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,108,640
Messages
13,453,194
Members
99,428
Latest member
callgirls
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com