Monday Service Play Thread 09/21/2020

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TotalMatchVip

TURKEY: 1. Lig
Samsunspor – Umraniyespor
Over 2.5
 
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Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 4:58 PM

LAS VEGAS +5.5
NEW ORLEANS @ LAS VEGAS | 9/21 | 8:15 PM EDT
Though the seats will be empty at Allegiant Stadium, the Raiders surely will be amped for their coming-out party in Sin City. Not to be overlooked in Tom Brady’s shaky debut against New Orleans was Drew Brees’ spotty performance. The Saints’ average of 4.2 yards per snap is second-lowest in the league. Age may be catching up, and Brees will miss peerless WR Michael Thomas (ankle). RB Alvin Kamara (1.3 yards per carry) struggled on the ground against the Bucs.

7-0-1 IN LAST 8 NFL PICKS | +700

Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
YESTERDAY 10:23 AM

NEW ORLEANS -5.5
NEW ORLEANS @ LAS VEGAS | 9/21 | 8:15 PM EDT
This Monday Night Football matchup ultimately will come down to defense, so which one can you trust the most? The Saints were able to frustrate Tom Brady and a Tampa Bay offense that is loaded with weapons, forcing multiple turnovers as well as scoring on defense. Las Vegas' defense is young and trying to come together as a unit. Look for New Orleans' defense to stymie the Raiders' offense, making it tough for the home team to slow down Drew Brees, Alvin Kamara and company.

3-0 IN LAST 3 NFL ATS PICKS | +300
12-5 IN LAST 17 NO ATS PICKS | +640


Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
WED 9/16

NEW ORLEANS -5.5
NEW ORLEANS @ LAS VEGAS | 9/21 | 8:15 PM EDT
The Raiders have no defense. Alvin Kamara is going to have a huge game both as a runner and receiver. The Saints' defense just shut down Tom Brady and they're going to show up big here too. Lay the points.

3-2 IN LAST 5 NFL ATS PICKS | +80
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5-2 IN LAST 7 LV ATS PICKS | +272


Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
WED 9/16

NEW ORLEANS -5.5
NEW ORLEANS @ LAS VEGAS | 9/21 | 8:15 PM EDT
The Saints' offense struggled in Week 1, but that was against a top-tier Buccaneers defense. Tampa Bay returned 10 of 11 starters from a unit that finished sixth in overall efficiency last season, first against the run. The going will be easier against the Raiders, even without Michael Thomas. Lay it as the Saints improve to 5-0 ATS in their last five as road favorites.

5-0-1 IN LAST 6 NFL ATS PICKS | +500
23-15 IN LAST 38 NO ATS PICKS | +659

2-1 IN LAST 3 LV ATS PICKS | +96
 

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VegasInsider Edge NFL (Week #1 record 4-2)
Week #2

Las Vegas Raiders +6
 

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Robert Ferringo

Mnf:

2* No -5.5
1* under 49.5 no/lv
 

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Vernon Croy

6* LV +6
 

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Stephen Oh

MILWAUKEE +115
MILWAUKEE @ CINCINNATI | 9/21 | 6:40 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:19 PM
My model says the Brewers win almost 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting good value playing them here. The NL Central rivals are battling for a wild-card spot, and Milwaukee enters the opener of the three-game series with a four-game winning streak. The Brewers have outscored their opponents 25-8 during the run, which includes a pair of shutouts. Milwaukee's Brandon Woodruff is just 2-4 this season but has gone 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in two starts against Cincinnati this year. Take Milwaukee.

22-14 LAST 36 MLB SIDES | +954
26-18 IN LAST 44 CIN ML PICKS | +755

TAMPA BAY -150
DALLAS @ TAMPA BAY | 9/21 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:05 PM
My model says the Lightning win well over 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting great value playing them. Tampa Bay has yet to suffer back-to-back losses this postseason. The Lightning also dropped the opener in their second-round series against Boston but followed with six consecutive victories. Expect them to bounce back and even the Stanley Cup Final at one win apiece.

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8-3 IN LAST 11 TB ML PICKS | +375

6-3 IN LAST 9 DAL ML PICKS | +313
 

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Fezzik raiders +6
 

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R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
FRI 9/18

NEW ORLEANS -5.5
NEW ORLEANS @ LAS VEGAS | 9/21 | 8:15 PM EDT
The Saints typically struggle early in the year, with last week's win over the Bucs the first time they've covered in the opener since 2013 and with only one cover in Week 2 since 2011. But this is a terrible matchup for a Raiders offense that wants to run the ball above all else. The Saints D did a great job against the Tampa Bay offense in Week 1, and you only have to look to last year to see why a run-focused team can have issues with them; New Orleans had the second-fewest rush attempts and third-most pass attempts allowed. That is not how the Raiders, a team that had 31 rushes vs. 30 pass attempts last week, want to play.

15-5 IN LAST 20 NFL PICKS | +950
6-2 IN LAST 8 NO ATS PICKS | +369

8-5 IN LAST 13 LV ATS PICKS | +239
 

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R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
FRI 9/18

Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest Pick

NEW ORLEANS -5.5

 

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Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
WED 9/16

Best Bet

NEW ORLEANS -5.5
 

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SDQL

HOUSTON -145
HOUSTON @ SEATTLE | 9/21 | 9:10 PM EDT
9:42 AM
The Astros are 9-0 as 140-plus road favorites following a home game in which they drew five walks and 8-0 as favorites after a contest as favorites in which Carlos Correa was hitless in at least three at-bats. The Mariners are 0-8 as underdogs after a game as home dogs in which their opponent stranded 18 or more baserunners. We are on Houston.

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8-2 IN LAST 10 HOU ML PICKS | +544

4-1 IN LAST 5 SEA ML PICKS | +210

CINCINNATI -125
MILWAUKEE @ CINCINNATI | 9/21 | 6:40 PM EDT
9:39 AM
The Reds are 15-0 before game 100 in series openers with no rest as home favorites following a home win in which they never trailed. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 0-11 in the first game of a series with no rest as underdogs after a win as home favorites in which they never trailed. Cincinnati has the value here.

39-17 IN LAST 56 MLB ML PICKS | +998
3-0 IN LAST 3 MIL ML PICKS | +300

ST. LOUIS -172
ST. LOUIS @ KANSAS CITY | 9/21 | 8:05 PM EDT
9:35 AM
The Cardinals have never lost with Adam Wainwright as 140-plus favorites after August, going 8-0 and winning by an average of 4.75 runs. The Royals are 0-22 before their 95th game of the season as home underdogs following a game as a dog when their starter went less than four innings in his last outing and was not a 170-plus favorite in that start. Kansas City has lost these 22 games by an average of 4.36 runs. We are on the Cardinals.

39-17 IN LAST 56 MLB ML PICKS | +998
14-3 IN LAST 17 KC ML PICKS | +842

6-1 IN LAST 7 STL ML PICKS | +443

CHI. CUBS -157
CHI. CUBS @ PITTSBURGH | 9/21 | 7:05 PM EDT
9:32 AM
The Cubs are 11-0 in franchise history with Jon Lester starting when they are facing a team that has lost at least its previous three games. Chicago has allowed a total of one run over its last three games in this spot. Since the start of the 2019 season, Pittsburgh is 0-11 as a home underdog of more than 140 when it is coming off a home game in which it did not hit a home run, losing by an average of 4.69 runs - with every loss being by multiple runs. We make the Cubs the play.

39-17 IN LAST 56 MLB ML PICKS | +998
10-4 IN LAST 14 CHC ML PICKS | +421

3-1 IN LAST 4 PIT ML PICKS | +143

ATLANTA -160
MIAMI @ ATLANTA | 9/21 | 7:10 PM EDT
9:29 AM
Atlanta is 13-0 in the first game of a series with no rest as a favorite after a win in which it never trailed and its starter allowed fewer than three runs. The Braves won these 13 games by an average of exactly four runs. The Marlins are 0-13 as 125-plus underdogs in series openers with no rest against a team that has averaged at least 7.75 hits and they are coming off a home game in which they allowed 12-plus hits. Miami has lost these 13 games by an average of 4.69 runs, and every loss was by multiple runs. We are on the Braves.

39-17 IN LAST 56 MLB ML PICKS | +998
10-3 IN LAST 13 ATL ML PICKS | +574
 

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[h=2]Rob V: Monday Comp Play[/h]
Monday night football rare 6* headlines an dis backed with 21-1, 41-7 and 14-1 systems. In Hockey we have our 100% Playoff Game Of The Year with an undefeated Game 2 Historical system. MLB Comp play below.


The MLB Comp play is on Colorado at 9:45 eastern. The Rockies are in off a nice home dog win over LA. We note that road dogs that are off a home dog win and scored 5 or more runs win 75% of the time since 2004 vs an opponent like SF that scored 10 or more runs as a road dog. Colorado has Marquez on the mound and he has won 3 of his last 4 road starts and the last 2 here in SF. The Giants have Cueto going and he has allowed 8 runs in 10 innings in last 2 starts. SF is 2-9 at home off a road win. Look for the Rockies to take this one. On Monday night football we have a rare 6* Top rated release with a MNF System that is 21-1 since 1980 and also has 2 other systems. There is also the 2020 NHL Playoff Game of the Year backed with a Never lost all time playoff system that is specific to game twos. See us on facebook to jump on. For the MLB Comp play. Go with Colorado. Rob V- GC Sports​
 

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Matt Blunt (VegasInsider - NFL) - Raiders +6
 

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Vince Akins (VegasInsider)
MLB
Best Bet - Giants -113
Nationals +140
Cubs -150
Astros/Mariners Over 8
 

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