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  1. #126  
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    Saturday’s 6-pack
    NFL leaders in rushing yardage:

    588— Derrick Henry, Tenn
    505— Clyde Edwards-Helaire, KC
    489— Dalvin Cook, Minn
    478— Kenyan Drake, Ariz
    472— Ronald Jones, TB
    434— Miles Sanders, Phil


    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 222,324
    PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

    Quote of the Day
    “It used to be that good defense beats good offense. Good defense doesn’t beat good offense anymore. It’s just like last week. Georgia has as good a defense as we do an offense, and we scored 41 points on them. That’s not the way it used to be. It used to be if you had a good defense, other people weren’t going to score. You were always going to be in the game. I’m telling you. It ain’t that way anymore.”
    Nick Saban


    Saturday’s quiz
    How many teams have played in a Super Bowl, but have never won one?


    Friday’s quiz
    Four NFL teams have never played in a Super Bowl: Detroit, Cleveland, Houston, Jacksonville.


    Thursday’s quiz
    There are two guys in the Pro Football Hall of Fame who also won a gold medal in the Olympics; one is Bob Hayes, Jim Thorpe is the other.




    ****************************




    Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..


    13) Dodgers 6, Rays 2 (LA leads World Series 2-1)
    — Turner homered in the first inning.
    — Buehler struck out 10 Rays in six IP.
    — Tampa Bay had only four hits in the game.


    12) NBA came out with a surprising proposal to start the 2020-21 season a few days before Christmas, play a 72-game regular season with only a 10-week offseason. Players have to sign off on these changes, but if the league shows it is financially beneficial, why wouldn’t they?


    11) NBA Draft will be a virtual draft on November 18; hopefully, they’ll show coaches/GM’s in their homes, the way the NFL did.


    10) Tulsa 42, South Florida 13:
    — Tulsa ran ball for 227 yards, threw for 235; they also had a defensive score.
    — USF is 0-5 vs I-A teams, with four losses by 20+ points.
    — Tulsa covered its first three games (2-1 SU); they haven’t played at home yet.


    9) Louisiana 24, UAB 20
    — UAB kicked a FG with 0:34 left in the half to go up 13-3; Louisiana ran the kickoff back 100 yards for a TD.
    — UAB led 20-10 with 1:00 to go in third quarter, but was held scoreless rest of the way.
    — Louisiana drove 86 yards for the winning TD with 6:35 left.


    8) Wisconsin 45, Illinois 7:
    — Badgers scored two TD’s in last 1:06 of first half to break game open.
    — Illinois’ only TD was a defensive score in second quarter.
    — Wisconsin outgained the Illini 430-218.


    7) WR Antonio Brown signed with Tampa Bay; he is likely to play for the Bucs in two weeks, when Tampa Bay hosts the Saints.


    6) Big West Conference announced their conference basketball schedule; they’re doing something different, not playing home/home series, but having teams visit an opponent and play on consecutive nights, with half the series at home, half on the road, to reduce travel.


    For instance, Cal Poly is at Cal-Irvine Jan 22-23; Northridge visits Cal Poly Jan 29-30.


    5) When Daniel Jones had his 80-yard run Thursday night, I wondered who had the longest run by a quarterback; over the last 25 years, Terrelle Pryor appears to have the longest run by a QB— he had a 93-yard TD run for the Raiders in 2013.


    4) Who are the best teams in the red zone, so far this season?
    Seattle 6.17 points/possession, Arizona 6.15 ppp, Tampa Bay 5.95 ppp


    3) Who are the worst teams in the red zone, so far this season?
    Giants 3.19 ppp, Jets 3.23, Denver 4.07


    2) What NFL teams have had the most TD plays of 20+ yards?
    7— Atlanta (17 TD’s overall), Seattle (23 TD’s)
    6— Arizona, Dallas, Houston, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh


    1) What NFL teams have had the fewest TD plays of 20+ yards?
    0— Colts (12 TD’s, longest TD play, 17 yards)
    0— Patriots (11 TD’s, longest TD play, 11 yards)
    1— Denver/Jacksonville both have one TD play of 20+ yards, on 15 TD’s.
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  2. #127  
    RX Semi-God varkeyboy's Avatar
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    That was crazy by Jansen. Last at bat.
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  3. #128  
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    and jansen blows another save........
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  4. #129  
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    Sunday’s 6-pack
    NFL leaders in receiving yardage:

    601— DeAndre Hopkins, Az
    566— Robby Anderson, Car
    555— Stefon Diggs, Buff
    546— Calvin Ridley, Atl
    537— Justin Jefferson, Minn
    503— Amari Cooper, Dal


    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 224,771
    PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.



    Quote of the Day
    “One play to win it. We’ve been close, and I’m sick and tired of being close.”
    Indiana coach Tom Allen, on why he went for two points after a TD in OT Saturday


    Sunday’s quiz
    Which two starting QB’s in the NFL played college football at NC State?


    Saturday’s quiz
    Eight teams have played in a Super Bowl, but have never won one.


    Friday’s quiz
    Four NFL teams have never played in a Super Bowl: Detroit, Cleveland, Houston, Jacksonville.




    **************************




    Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday


    13) Indiana 36, Penn State 35 OT— I could write about this game for an hour.
    — Hoosiers snapped a 41-game losing skid to top 10 teams, which dated back to 1987.
    — Penn State led 21-20, had the ball with 1:40 left and could’ve run out the clock, but Indiana let them score a TD and Penn State stupidly did so- take a knee, win 21-20. Then they didn’t go for 2, when that would’ve put them up 29-20 and ended the game.
    — Indiana tied the game with 0:22 left in regulation.


    — Both teams scored a TD in OT; when Indiana scored to make it 35-34, they went for two- their QB scrambled and appeared to be stopped short of the goal line, but the linesman called it good, replay declined to overturn the call and the Hoosiers had their upset.
    — If I was James Franklin, I would’ve found the replay official after the game and given him a piece of my mind. To me, the ball hit out of bounds before it hit the pylon.


    — Anyway, Penn State outgained Indiana 488-211, outrushed them 250-41. Game shouldn’t have gotten to overtime.
    — Penn State had ten penalties for 100 yards, Indiana four for 36.


    12) Middle Tennessee 40, Rice 34 OT— You have to find a replay of this on the Interweb; Owls tried a 45-yard FG to win the game earlier in OT, the ball hits:
    — the right upright
    — the crossbar
    — the left upright
    — the crossbar again, and bounces out, no good.


    I’ve never seen that happen before; rough way to start your season- this was Rice’s first game.


    11) Auburn 35, Ole Miss 28
    — Rebels are only 1-4, but they’ve been fun to watch.
    — Auburn threw a 58-yard TD pass with 1:11 left for the win.
    — Teams combined to convert 21-32 third down plays.


    Watching these games with teams that didn’t play any non-conference games, you understand why teams schedule stiffs to play before conference play begins— they get the kinks out, gain some continuity, so they don’t look terrible when conference play begins.


    10) Rutgers 38, Michigan State 27
    — Spartans turned ball over seven (7!!!) times; hard to win that way.
    — Switching head coaches from Mark D’Antonio to Mel Tucker is not an upgrade. Tucker was 5-7 in his only season as a head coach, at Colorado LY.
    — Rutgers turned ball over three times themselves; they were outgained 369-276.


    9) Nevada 37, Wyoming 34 OT
    — Nevada’s punter was a star of the game; had a 75-yard punt, then a 72-yarder that pinned Wyoming back on their 2-yard line. Of course, if Wyoming’s punt returner would actually catch a punt, he would’ve helped his team’s cause a lot.
    — Cowboys kicked a 42-yard FG with 0:23 left to send the game to OT; freshman walk-on kicker made 4-4 field goals, while wearing a red shoe. Give the kid a scholarship; make sure he keeps using the red shoe.
    — Nevada led 28-6 with 3:00 left in third quarter, before Wyoming stormed back to tie it.


    — Fun to see Mountain West football on TV again; this was a wild game.
    — Nevada coach Norvell lost his father earlier this week. Our condolences to him.


    8) They’re building the Aztecs a new football stadium on the site of what used to be Jack Murphy Stadium, so San Diego State is playing home games in a soccer stadium in Carson, where the Chargers played home games the last few years.


    7) Upsets of the Day:
    — Rutgers (+11) 38, Michigan State 27
    — Wake Forest (+10.5) 23, Virginia Tech 16
    — Jacksonville State (+10) 19, FIU 10— Gamecocks are a I-AA team
    — San Jose State (+7.5) 17, Air Force 6
    — Indiana (+6) 36, Penn State 35 OT
    — Purdue (+4) 24, Iowa 20
    — Missouri (+3.5) 20, Kentucky 10


    6) Clemson 47, Syracuse 21— Clemson was favored by 46 or 47 points, but Syracuse had the ball, down 27-21 in third quarter, before reality set in. Clemson coasted here, and star RB Etienne left with an injury.


    5) Missouri 20, Kentucky 10: Random observation: Week-to week, teams are having wildly erratic performances. Mizzou outgained Kentucky 421-145 in this game, after Wildcats won their previous two games by a combined score of 58-9. Missouri ran 92 plays in this game, Kentucky ran only 36 plays.


    4) North Carolina 48, NC State 21:
    — Tar Heels ran the ball for 326 yards, gained 578 yards on the day.
    — NC State’s receivers were terrible in this game; they’re juggling backup QB’s with the starter breaking his leg. One of the WR’s dropped an easy TD, juggling it until a defender picked it off.
    — State threw the ball for 358 yards; 11 different kids caught a pass, but they were useless when the game was close.


    3) If you bet first half lines in college football, you probably know that Liberty is 26-7 ATS in their last 33 first halves. Independent Flames are 6-0 SU this season.


    2) This is a very 2020 thing: Army already accepted a bowl bid, to the Independence Bowl in Shreveport, where they’ll play a Pac-12 opponent.


    The thing is, Pac-12 won’t even start their football season for a couple more weeks, and one of their teams’ bowl opponents has already been decided. Very unusual. Very 2020.


    1) Rays 8, Dodgers 7 (series 2-2)
    — Brett Phillips, with a .202 lifetime average, had the game-winning hit.
    — Seager/Turner both had four hits for LA.
    — There was a run scored in eight consecutive half-innings, setting a World Series record.
    — This was third World Series game ever that, with today’s save rules, there were 3+ saves blown in the same game- the others were in 1960, 2011.
    — Hunter Renfroe finished this game at 1B, where he had played for an entire 9 innings in his entire big league career.


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  5. #130  
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    Quote Originally Posted by CNOTES View Post
    and jansen blows another save........
    Crazy stuff. What did u play yesterday?
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  6. #131  
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    MLB public betting, line movement October 25
    Patrick Everson


    Justin Turner and the Dodgers are back at it Sunday night for World Series Game 5 against the Rays. The SuperBook at Westgate opened Los Angeles -160/Tampa Bay +150.


    MLB betting odds are on the board and already getting action for Sunday night’s Game 5 of the World Series in Arlington, Texas. After a wild Game 4 that knotted this matchup, the Tampa Bay Rays and Los Angeles Dodgers aim to take one more step toward a title.


    The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on MLB opening lines and early movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s Game 5 and the updated World Series odds.


    MLB line movement


    Tampa Bay and Los Angeles battled back and forth throughout Game 4 Saturday night. In the bottom of the ninth inning, the Rays got a Brett Phillips RBI single with an error that allowed a second run to score, securing an 8-7 victory. The best-of-seven World Series is now tied at two games apiece.


    The SuperBook at Westgate opened Game 5 at Dodgers -160/Rays +150, with a total of 8, and there was no movement late Saturday night for this 8:08 p.m. ET Sunday start.


    MLB public betting


    The consensus, often indicative of where the public stands, showed two-way play late Saturday night. In a limited sample, the Rays were landing 53 percent of early picks.


    Odds to win the World Series


    Much like the game results, the World Series price keeps bouncing around. Prior to Game 4, the Dodgers were -500 and the Rays +400 at The SuperBook. Following Tampa Bay’s win, the price shifted to Los Angeles -200/Tampa +175, ostensibly right where it was before Game 1.


    The house continues to root hard for the Rays.


    “The Rays are awesome for us,” SuperBook executive director John Murray said prior to Game 1. “We’re a small loser to the Dodgers.”
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  7. #132  
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    SUNDAY, OCTOBER 25


    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    LAD at TB 08:08 PM


    TB +145


    O 8.0



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  8. #133  
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    ALCS & NLCS RECORD THRU THE WORLD SERIES


    10/25/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
    10/23/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail...Janzen you BUM !
    10/21/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1250 Detail
    10/20/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
    10/18/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
    10/17/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -25 Detail
    10/16/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +25 Detail
    10/15/2020 4-0-0 100.00% +2500 Detail
    10/14/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1250 Detail
    10/13/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -225 Detail
    10/12/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +800 Detail
    10/11/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail



    Totals.......20-14-0.......58.82%.....+24.75
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  9. #134  
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    Monday’s 6-pack
    Home favorites/home underdogs in college football leagues:

    AAC: 2-8-1 HF……4-3 HU
    ACC: 11-9-1 HF……9-3 HU
    Big 14: 3-1 HF……2-1 HU
    Big X: 8-4-1 HF……4-3 HU
    C-USA: 1-11 HF……2-3 HU
    MW: 2-1 HF……2-0 HU
    SEC: 7-7 HF……8-7 HU
    Sun Belt: 6-3 HF……3-1 HU


    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 225,197
    PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

    Quote of the Day
    “A pessimist is somebody who complains about the noise when opportunity knocks.”
    Oscar Wilde


    Monday’s quiz
    Only two head coaches (one active, one retired) have won a Rose Bowl and a Super Bowl; who are they?


    Sunday’s quiz
    Russell Wilson, Philip Rivers played college football at NC State; Wilson played three years for the Wolfpack, then transferred to Wisconsin for his last year.


    Saturday’s quiz
    Eight teams have played in a Super Bowl, but have never won one.




    ****************************




    Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday


    Browns 37, Cincinnati 34
    — Mayfield threw a 24-yard TD pass with 0:11 left to win this exciting game.
    — Browns’ last five drives: 40 plays, 379 yards, five TD’s (34 points)
    — Cleveland split its four road games, giving up 37 ppg.
    — Last 4+ years, Cleveland is 1-5 ATS as a road favorite.
    — Five of their last six games went over the total.


    — Bengals had ball in Cleveland red zone on 7 of their 8 drives.
    — Rookie QB Burrow threw for 406 yards; Bengals scored TD’s on their last two drives.
    — Bengals scored 30-34 points against Cleveland this year, but lost both games.
    — Cincinnati is 5-1-1 ATS this season.
    — Divisional home underdogs are 8-0 ATS so far this season.


    Washington 25, Cowboys 3
    — Dallas is first team EVER to allow 20+ first half points, six games in a row.
    — Last six games, Dallas is minus-14 in turnovers.
    — Cowboys are 0-7 ATS this year; their two wins by total of 4 points.
    — Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.
    — Dallas offense in 2nd half: 19 plays, 30 yards, 3 first downs, zero points.


    — Washington outrushed Dallas 208-83.
    — Washington had lost its previous five games, before this easy win.
    — This is only 2nd win for Washington in last nine series games.
    — Washington in 1st half, on 5 drives: 33 plays, 276 yards, three TD’s.
    — Washington sacked two Dallas QB’s 6 times; they KO’d Andy Dalton.


    Lions 23, Atlanta 22
    — Stafford threw an 11-yard TD pass on the last play of the game for the win.
    — Prater made FG’s of 50-51-49 yards; the game-winning PAT was 50 yards long.
    — Lions allowed 27+ points in their three losses; 22-23-16 in their wins.
    — Detroit won field position by 12-yard average.
    — NFC North teams are 13-5 ATS outside the division.


    — Atlanta scored a TD with 1:04 left, instead of taking a knee that would’ve ended the game, and that gave Detroit the chance they needed to win the game.
    — Atlanta lost all four of its home games, giving up 28.5 ppg.
    — Falcons are 5-10 ATS in last 15 games as a home favorite.
    — Home side lost six of last eight series games.
    — NFC South teams are 1-7 ATS in non-divisional home games.


    New Orleans 27, Panthers 24
    — Carolina just barely missed a 65-yard FG with 1:55 left that would’ve tied it.
    — Panthers ran ball only 14 times for 37 yards- they only ran 43 plays overall.
    — Carolina converted 6-9 third down plays; New Orleans 12-14.
    — Carolina is 15-10 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog.
    — Team leading at halftime won all seven Carolina games.


    — New Orleans outgained Panthers 415-283.
    — Saints allowed 23-29-27-24 points in their wins, 34-37 in losses.
    — New Orleans is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games as a home favorite.
    — Saints had ball six times; three TD’s, two FG’s and a fumble.
    — All six of their games went over the total.
    — Saints won seven of last eight series games; four of their last five series wins were by 5 or fewer points.


    Bills 18, NJ Jets 10
    — Buffalo won game without scoring a TD; they made 6-8 FG’s.
    — Bills had ball nine times, and tried FG’s on 8 of the 9 drives.
    — Buffalo won field position by 10 yards, ran 72 plays, to 51 for Jets.
    — Total yardage in game: 422-190, Bills.
    — Last time Buffalo won without scoring a TD? Week 13 of 2007, in a 17-16 win at Washington.


    — Jets haven’t won yet, but they covered here- they’ve lost all their home games by 18-9-20-8 points.
    — Weird thing is, they’re +4 in turnovers the last four games, but were still outscored by a combined 109-48.
    — Jets in second half: 16 plays, four yards, 2 first downs, no points.
    — Four of their last five games stayed under the total.
    — Divisional home underdogs are 8-0 ATS so far this season.


    Packers 35, Houston 20
    — Packers scored TD’s on four of their first six drives.
    — Green Bay won five of its six games, losing in Week 6 to Tampa.
    — Packers are 3-0 in domes this season, scoring 43-37-35 points.
    — Green Bay converted 7-12 3rd down plays; they did have a punt blocked.
    — NFC North teams are 13-5 ATS outside the division.


    — Texans lost six of their first seven games, giving up 28+ points in every game.
    — Total yardage was close: 379-365 Packers, but Green Bay led 21-0 at the half.
    — Houston is 3-6 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.
    — AFC South non-divisional underdogs are 3-6 ATS.


    Steelers 27, Tennessee 24
    — Steelers won first six games (5-1 ATS), scoring 30.5 ppg.
    — Pittsburgh’s first two drives: 29 plays, 136 yards, two TD’s, TOP: 16:23.
    — Steelers led 24-7 at halftime, then hung on for dear life.
    — Pittsburgh won six of last eight series games.
    — Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.


    — Tennessee has played five games decided by 3 or fewer points or in OT.
    — Titans scored 17+ points in 2nd half, in each of their last four games.
    — Tennessee ran only 56 plays in this game; Steelers ran 74.
    — Over is 3-1-1 in Titans’ last five games.
    — AFC South teams are 7-10 ATS outside the division.


    49ers 33, New England 6
    — 49ers ran ball for 197 yards, outgained New England 467-247
    — Niners are 4-0 if they score 24+ points, 0-3 if they score less than 24.
    — 49ers are 13-7 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog.
    — NFC West teams are 13-7 ATS outside the division.
    — First half overs are 66-37-2 so far this season.


    — Patriots lost last three games, scoring two TD’s on 30 drives, with 11 turnovers.
    — New England ran only 49 plays, were 1-6 on 3rd down, threw four INTs.
    — Last three games, Patriots are minus-9 in turnovers, were outscored 41-9 in first half.
    — Newton was benched in this game after going 9-15/98 with three INT’s.
    — AFC East teams are 5-11 ATS outside the division.


    Chiefs 43, Denver 16
    — Chiefs scored 43, and didn’t convert a third down (0-8).
    — Chiefs are 4-0 on foreign soil, winning by 3-14-9-27 points.
    — KC is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games as a road favorite.
    — Chiefs scored a defensive TD and ran a kick back for a TD.
    — Chiefs won last ten series games, last three by total of 96-25.


    — Denver turned ball over four times, allowed a kick return TD.
    — Broncos lost all three of their home games, 16-14/28-10/43-16.
    — Chiefs won their last four visits to Denver.
    — Divisional home underdogs are now 8-1 ATS so far this season.


    Buccaneers 45, Las Vegas 20
    — Buccaneers’ last 7 drives: five touchdowns, one FG.
    — Tampa Bay won five of its last six games, scoring 36.5 ppg.
    — Bucs are allowing only 66.3 rushing yards/game.
    — Last 4+ years, Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS as a road favorite.
    — NFC South non-divisional road teams are 6-3 ATS.


    — Raiders scored 34-34-40 points in their wins, 20-23-20 in losses.
    — Las Vegas has led only one of its games at halftime, beck in Week 1.
    — All six of their games went over the total.
    — Raiders didn’t have a sack or a takeaway, allowed 8.2 yards/pass attempt.


    LA Chargers 39, Jaguars 29
    — Jaguars trailed 16-0 early, then scored three straight TD’s, last one on a blocked punt.
    — Jaguars lost last six games, are 0-5 ATS in last five.
    — Jacksonville gave up 33.2 ppg in its last six games.
    — Jaguars are 5-11-1 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.
    — AFC South teams are 6-12 ATS outside the division.


    — Rookie QB Herbert threw for 347 yards, got his first NFL win.
    — Chargers outgained Jacksonville 484-294.
    — Last five times Bolts had ball: 31 plays, 264 yards, three TD’s, FG, missed FG
    — Herbert ran 9 times for 66 yards; he was LA’s leading rusher.
    — AFC West teams are 11-5-2 ATS outside the division.


    Arizona 37, Seahawks 34 OT
    — Lockett caught 15 passes for 200 yards, three TD’s.
    — Seahawks had 42-yard TD nullified by a holding penalty with 1:04 left in OT.
    — Seattle won five of its first six games, scoring 33.7 ppg.
    — Road team is 9-2-1 SU in last 12 series games.
    — First loss for Seahawks in their last seven visits to the desert.
    — Five of their six games went over the total.


    — Cardinals scored 10 points in last 2:28 to send game to OT.
    — Only time Arizona led the game was when they kicked FG in OT.
    — Murray threw for 360 yards, three TD’s; ran ball for 67 yards and a TD.
    — Arizona DB Budda Baker picked off a 1st half pass and appeared to headed for a TD, but was caught from behind by Seattle WR Metcalf. Cardinals didn’t score on the ensuing drive.
    — Divisional home underdogs are now 9-1 ATS so far this season.


    Dodgers 4, Rays 2 (LA leads 3-2)
    — Dodgers scored twice in first inning, hung on from there.
    — LA bullpen got the last 10 outs without allowing a run.
    — Pederson homered for the Dodgers.
    — Game 5 is Tuesday night.
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  10. #135  
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    GL bro
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    Tuesday’s 6-pack
    Six interesting NFL spreads for the coming week:

    — Atlanta @ Carolina (-2.5)
    — Indianapolis (-3) @ Detroit
    — Minnesota @ Green Bay (-6.5)
    — New England @ Buffalo (-3.5)
    — Tennessee (-5.5) @ Cincinnati
    — Las Vegas @ Cleveland (-2.5)


    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 225,580
    PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.



    Quote of the Day
    “We speak all the time about playing for one another, protecting one another. It definitely was not the response you would expect.”
    Dallas coach Mike McCarthy, talking about how none of the Cowboys confronted the Washington player who knocked QB Andy Dalton out of Sunday’s game


    Tuesday’s quiz
    Oakland/LA/Las Vegas Raiders haven’t won a road playoff game since 1980; where did they get their last road playoff win?


    Monday’s quiz
    Only two head coaches (one active, one retired) have won a Rose Bowl and a Super Bowl; Pete Carroll and Dick Vermeil.


    Sunday’s quiz
    Russell Wilson, Philip Rivers played college football at NC State; Wilson played three years for the Wolfpack, then transferred to Wisconsin for his last year.




    *********************



    Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….



    13) NFL switched the Seattle-Arizona game to Sunday night because the Raiders had COVID issues last week, so that game was somewhat in doubt— it turned out to be a lucky break. Seahawk-Cardinal game was first one in at least 70 years where both QB’s threw for 300+ yards, ran for 50+ yards; fun game to watch.


    Seattle coach Pete Carroll, the youngest-acting 69-year old in America, had his knee scoped October 13, during the Seahawks’ bye week.


    12) Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert had a 31-yard run Sunday, longest run by a Chargers QB since Mark Malone’s 36-yard run in 1988.


    Malone was a great athlete; he was a QB who played some WR for the Steelers, and in 1990, he caught a 90-yard TD pass from Terry Bradshaw, in a game against Seattle.


    11) Indiana Hoosiers are ranked #19 in one college football poll this week, the highest they’ve been ranked nationally since November 8, 1993.


    Hoosiers play Ohio State in a few weeks; they’re 2-42-1 all-time against the Buckeyes.


    10) When an NFL team changes punters, like the Steelers did last week, it creates another problem, in that the punter is almost always also the holder for kicks, so if you bring in a new punter, the kicker has to work with him.


    There was a time when I was a kid, where mostly backup QB’s held for kicks, or defensive backs did. When Tom Dempsey made the first 63-yard FG in NFL history, his holder was Joe Scarpati, a DB. Rams used to have DB Nolan Cromwell hold for kicks, Dolphins used to have a DB named Karl Noonan do the holding.


    Now it has been decided that it is just easier to have the punters hold, since they can work a lot in practice with the kicker. Makes it harder to have a good fake FG play, though.


    9) LSU lost 32 players, three assistant coaches from their national champion football team last year; that’s a huge turnover, and now their new QB is hurt. Everyone has to scramble this year, adjusting on the fly. In the long run, it’ll help coaches be better coaches, as long as they don’t get fired first.


    8) It is a little eerie when I’m surfing the Interweb, looking at stuff I might like to buy, and a half-hour or so later, ads for that stuff starts showing up in margins of sites I’m looking at. It is like we’re being monitored all the time, trying to scrape every last nickel out of us.


    7) Re-runs of the great TV show The West Wing popped up on TV last week, first time in a long time I’ve seen them. The West Wing ran on NBC from 1999-2006; great cast- Martin Sheen, Alan Alda, Jimmy Smits, Alison Janney, Rob Lowe.


    6) How much you think Chris Rock got paid for these commercials he is doing for IPhone 12? Has to be a pretty penny.


    5) A reader from California contributed this knowledge:


    In the late 1200’s, a set of legal statutes enacted by King Edward I were recorded on a series of scrolls, known as the Ragman Rolls.


    These records were so lengthy that their name came to be used as a byword for any long, serious process- and eventually, became the word “rigamarole”


    4) Wisconsin QB Graham Mertz had a big game in the Badgers’ season opener Friday, completing 20-21 passes for 248 yards in an easy win over Illinois, but then he tested positive for COVID, so now Wisconsin has that problem to deal with.


    3) Best wishes to Washington coach Ron Rivera, who had his last cancer treatment Monday. Hopefully he’ll be healthy now and his life can get back to normal.


    2) Big game this week; Ravens-Steelers. Baltimore is 7-2-2 ATS in last eleven games of this divisional rivalry.
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  12. #137  
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    MLB public betting, line movement October 27
    Patrick Everson


    Corey Seager and the Dodgers look to finish off the Rays on Tuesday in Game 6 of the World Series. The SuperBook at Westgate opened Los Angeles a -140 favorite and set the total at 8.5.


    MLB betting odds are on the board and already getting action for Tuesday night’s Game 6 of the World Series at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Los Angeles Dodgers can claim their first championship since 1988 with a victory over the Tampa Bay Rays.


    The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on MLB opening lines and early movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s Game 6 and the updated World Series odds.


    MLB line movement


    UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET MONDAY:
    DraftKings opened Game 6 at Dodgers -155/Rays +130 and moved a few cents in just the past few minutes, to -148/+125. The total is stable at 8.


    Clayton Kershaw pitched a solid 5 2/3 innings Sunday night, and Los Angeles earned a 4-2 victory to take a 3-2 lead over Tampa Bay in the best-of-seven World Series. The SuperBook quickly posted the Game 6 line at Dodgers -140/Rays +130, and there was no movement through late Sunday night.


    The SuperBook opened the total at 8.5, and the only move Sunday night was a modest price adjustment to Under -115. First pitch is at 8:08 p.m. ET Tuesday.


    MLB public betting


    UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET MONDAY:
    Early Game 6 action at DraftKings is tilted toward the underdog Rays, who are attracting 63 percent of moneyline bets and 74 percent of moneyline handle. There's more consensus on the total, with 69 percent of bets/80 percent of money on the Over.


    Odds to win the World Series


    Prior to Game 5, The SuperBook had the series price at Dodgers -200/Rays +175. Now, with Los Angeles one step away from the title, it’s up to Dodgers -650/Rays +475.


    Behind the counter, SuperBook oddsmakers would much prefer this matchup get to Game 7 and, from there, Tampa Bay to win.


    “The Rays are awesome for us,” SuperBook executive director John Murray said prior to Game 1. “We’re a small loser to the Dodgers.”
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  13. #138  
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    961TAMPA BAY -962 LA DODGERS
    LA DODGERS are 23-13 SU (11.6 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.








    MLB
    Dunkel


    Tuesday, October 27


    Tampa Bay @ LA Dodgers


    Game 961-962
    October 27, 2020 @ 8:08 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    (Snell) 17.501
    LA Dodgers
    (Gonsolin) 16.434
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 1
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Dodgers
    -145
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    (+125); Over









    MLB
    Long Sheet


    Tuesday, October 27



    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    TAMPA BAY (51 - 28) vs. LA DODGERS (55 - 22) - 8:08 PM
    BLAKE SNELL (L) vs. TONY GONSOLIN (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    TAMPA BAY is 51-28 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 26-11 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 35-19 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 39-16 (+19.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 23-10 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    SNELL is 25-12 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    LA DODGERS are 149-154 (-35.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA DODGERS is 3-2 (+0.1 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

    BLAKE SNELL vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
    SNELL is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.900.
    His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

    TONY GONSOLIN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
    GONSOLIN is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.77 and a WHIP of 1.504.
    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------








    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up


    Tuesday, October 27



    World Series


    Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles (LA leads 3-2) (@ Arlington)

    Snell is 2-2, 3.33 in his last five starts; he didn’t finish 5th inning in his last two.
    — Rays are 10-6 in his starts this year.
    — Over is 3-1 in his last four starts.
    — Snell allowed two runs in 4.2 IP (88 PT) in Game 2 vs LA.
    — He is 2-3, 3.03 in eight postseason games (6 starts).


    — Tampa Bay lost six of its last nine games.
    — Rays are 51-28 this season.
    — Under is 9-5 in their last 14 games.
    — Tampa Bay lost its only previous World Series, in 2008.


    Gonsolin appears to be starting for LA, so its a bullpen game.


    — Dodgers are 55-22 this year; they’ve won six of last eight games.
    — Dodgers are in playoffs for the 8th year in a row.
    — LA is 34-13 away from home this season.
    — Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
    — Dodgers haven’t won World Series since 1988; they lost World Series in 2017-18.








    MLB

    Tuesday, October 27


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Tampa Bay @ LA Dodgers
    Tampa Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
    LA Dodgers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games
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  14. #139  
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    Game 6 Odds: Rays vs. Dodgers
    Tom Wilkinson

    After four straight high-scoring games that went over the total to start the World Series, the Los Angeles Dodgers and Tampa Bay Rays played their first game to go under the total on Sunday night.

    It didn’t look like Game 5 would go under after their were five runs scored in the first three innings, but both bullpens were spectacular and combined to allow just five baserunners and no earned runs in 7.1 innings of work.

    A day off on Monday means that both bullpens should be fully loaded once more for a decisive Game 6 on Tuesday, October 27.

    Betting Resources

    Matchup: World Series Game 6
    Venue: Globe Life Field
    Location: Arlington, Texas
    Date: Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2020
    Time: 8:08 p.m. ET
    TV: FOX

    Line Movements

    Money-Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -140 / Tampa Bay Rays +130
    Run-Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+140) / Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (-160)
    Total: 8 (Over -120, Under +100)
    Updated Series Price: Los Angeles -650, Tampa Bay +475

    The L.A. Dodgers will start Tony Gonsolin in Game 6 but a committee approach is expected to be used on Tuesday. (AP)

    Game 5 Recap

    Tyler Glasnow struggled with his control again in Game 5. Glasnow threw 102 pitches in five innings, allowing all of the Dodgers’ runs in a 4-2 loss for the Rays.

    The Dodgers only had six hits, but they made them count as Joc Pederson and Max Muncy both hit solo home runs in the win.

    Meanwhile, Clayton Kershaw pitched well for the Dodgers. He allowed seven baserunners in 5.2 innings of work, but he only allowed two runs to pick up his second win of the World Series.

    After watching the 'over' cash in the first four games of the World Series, we finally saw an 'under' ticket cash in Game 5.

    The game was actually on a good pace to lean to the high side as Los Angeles led 4-2 after five innings, but the bullpens showed up late and neither team scored in the final four innings.

    The 'over' is 5-0 in first-five inning wagers in the World Series.

    Los Angeles did cash on the run-line again, going 3-0 when it wins in the series.

    Starting Pitchers

    Blake Snell
    Tony Gonsolin

    Manager Kevin Cash will ask Blake Snell to lead Tampa Bay to a victory in Game 6. Snell was in good form when he started for the Rays in Game 2, striking out nine batters in 4.2 innings of hitless baseball. However, he couldn’t get out of the fifth inning. After putting away the first two batters, Snell went walk, home run, walk, single before being pulled in favor of Nick Anderson.

    The fifth inning has been a constant source of disappointment for Snell in the postseason. He has not made it to the sixth inning in any of his last four starts, allowing nine baserunners, six earned runs, and three home runs in the fifth inning. Generally, Snell pitches well until the fifth inning, so Cash might jump the gun and use his starter for four innings before turning to the bullpen for the last five frames.

    The Dodgers will match Snell against Tony Gonsolin, just like they did in Game 2.

    L.A. manager Dave Roberts used Gonsolin as an opener in that game, but he could go deeper this time around. Gonsolin pitched just 1.1 innings last week before handing the ball off.

    That was Gonsolin’s shortest outing of the postseason. He hasn’t looked great though, allowing five earned runs in 4.1 innings against Atlanta in Game 2 of the NLCS and two earned runs in two innings of work in Game 7 of that series. Gonsolin was much better during the regular season, posting a 2.31 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in 46.2 innings of action.

    Game 6 Bullpen Analysis

    We didn’t see Nick Anderson or Pete Fairbanks for Tampa Bay in Game 5, so one of those two relievers is likely to be the first out of the pen. Cash told reporters that he planned on being aggressive with his bullpen on Tuesday, and that probably means he will yank Snell if he gets in too much trouble early.

    Anderson, Fairbanks, and Diego Castillo might all be used for more than an inning since they are the three best arms, and there is no tomorrow for the Rays if they lose Game 6.

    Dustin May might be the only Dodgers’ reliever that will be unavailable in Game 6. May threw 30 pitches in Game 5, so he is likely to get some additional rest along with the day off on Monday.

    If the Dodgers have a narrow lead, it will be interesting to see what Roberts decides to do in the final innings. He wants to trust Kenley Jansen, but the long-time reliever has been a mess in his two World Series appearances.

    Players to Watch - Rays

    If it wasn’t for Randy Arozarena, the Rays never would have reached the World Series. Almost every hitter has struggled on this roster outside of Arozarena.

    He has set numerous postseason records, and he just broke another on Sunday with his 27th hit of the 2020 playoffs. The Dodgers have not elected to pitch around him just yet, but he has reached base 10 times and has two home runs in this series.

    Will anybody else step up?

    Tampa Bay’s entire infield has struggled from the plate.

    Brandon Lowe, Willy Adames, and Joey Wendle are all hitting .200 or less than postseason, and all three players don’t have an OPS above .540. That has really limited the Rays’ run production, so at least one player out of this group needs to have a big performance in Game 6.

    Players to Watch - Dodgers

    Mookie Betts only has five hits in the World Series, but he has made his presence felt. Betts is a constant threat to steal whenever he gets on base, and he has played excellent defense in the outfield.

    We have seen him take more walks in the postseason than he did in the regular season too, allowing the Dodgers’ power hitters to have the potential to make an even bigger impact.

    Max Muncy doesn’t have the same recognition as other stars on the Dodgers, but he has been fantastic in the World Series. He has reached base a whopping 12 times, drawing a walk in every game. Muncy has made excellent contact, striking out to Tampa Bay pitchers just three times, and he has the same number of walks and K’s this postseason.

    The World Series MVP favorite continues to be Corey Seager. Seager mashed once again in Game 5, and he now has eight hits and five walks against the Rays. This has been a breakout postseason for the shortstop, as he never posted a batting average higher than .237 or an OPS above .743 in his previous four postseasons.
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  15. #140  
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    TUESDAY, OCTOBER 27


    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    TB at LAD 08:08 PM


    TB +100


    U 8.0
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  16. #141  
    RX Semi-God varkeyboy's Avatar
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    gl today!
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  17. #142  
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    Thanks Varkey.......under was good but the RAYS sucked......owell always next year........


    ALCS & NLCS RECORD THRU THE WORLD SERIES


    10/27/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +0 Detail
    10/25/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
    10/23/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail...Janzen you BUM !
    10/21/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1250 Detail
    10/20/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
    10/18/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
    10/17/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -25 Detail
    10/16/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +25 Detail
    10/15/2020 4-0-0 100.00% +2500 Detail
    10/14/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1250 Detail
    10/13/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -225 Detail
    10/12/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +800 Detail
    10/11/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail



    Totals.......21-15-0.......58.33%.....+24.75
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  18. #143  
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    See u next year! Good job and thx for the info.
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