Monday Service Play Thread 10/05/2020

BuzzKill · Oct 3, 2020

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BuzzKill · Oct 3, 2020

Newsletters - http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=315&p=13270922&viewfull=1#post13270922

ConleyPicks · Oct 5, 2020

H&H Sports
MLB - Triple Dime New York Yankees -138 (Game #1)

ConleyPicks · Oct 5, 2020

Midwest NFL Handicapping

GB -1/OVER 50

Over/Under
ATL/GB OVER 56

ConleyPicks · Oct 5, 2020

Brian Edwards Vegas Insider:

MNF: Packers -7 vs Falcons and over 56.5

ConleyPicks · Oct 5, 2020

Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
2:59 PM

GREEN BAY -7
ATLANTA @ GREEN BAY | 10/05 | 8:15 PM EDT
The Falcons are severely banged up in the secondary and facing a Packers team that leads the NFL in scoring. Green Bay has covered its three wins by an average of 11.5 points. This line is a bit short. Lay it.

4-1 IN LAST 5 NFL ATS PICKS | +275
16-7 IN LAST 23 GB ATS PICKS | +814

20-12 IN LAST 32 ATL ATS PICKS | +655

ConleyPicks · Oct 5, 2020

R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 8:00 PM

GREEN BAY -7
ATLANTA @ GREEN BAY | 10/05 | 8:15 PM EDT
I was higher than most on the Falcons coming into the season after their second-half improvements last year, thinking they could be solid defensively and good-to-great on the offensive side of the ball with their two first-round picks on the line entering their second year. But I don't know how the Falcons come back mentally after back-to-back meltdowns the scale of what we've seen of the last two weeks. The Packers defense hasn't played well enough to trust them on this big number against a solid team, but again, the Falcons will have to prove they can rebound mentally from the last two weeks.

20-13 IN LAST 33 NFL PICKS | +555
38-7 IN LAST 45 GB ATS PICKS | +3002

29-17 IN LAST 46 ATL ATS PICKS | +1015

Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
YESTERDAY 7:42 PM

OVER 56.5
ATLANTA @ GREEN BAY | 10/05 | 8:15 PM EDT
Betting this total looks crazy, but the Falcons allow 463.3 yards and 36.0 points per game, and the Packers allow 28.3 points while scoring 40.7 per game. On Monday I fully expect both teams to play how they’ve played in the first three weeks and score fast and often. The NFL is calling less offensive holding calls, and every total is affected. The last five meetings have gone Over. Over is the play.

4-0 IN LAST 4 NFL PICKS | +400
9-3 IN LAST 12 ATL O/U PICKS | +571

ConleyPicks · Oct 5, 2020

Hank Goldberg

GREEN BAY -7.5
ATLANTA @ GREEN BAY | 10/05 | 8:15 PM EDT
1:23 PM
The Packers are going to crush them. Atlanta has no defense, and the Falcons' coach is toast, maybe after this week. The Packers are a scoring machine, averaging an NFL-best 40.7 points. Lay it.

10-5 IN LAST 15 GB ATS PICKS | +456

7-3 IN LAST 10 ATL ATS PICKS | +359

ConleyPicks · Oct 5, 2020

Matt Blunt (VegasInsider)
NFL Best Bet - Atlanta Falcons +7.5

coolout · Oct 5, 2020

SDQL GURUS

OVER 7
NYY @ TB | 10/05 | 8:07 PM EDT
Both teams are hitting too well for this low total. The Rays are 8-0 OU in the first game of a home series with rest after a game in which they had 12-plus hits, scoring an average of 7.12 runs per game. The Yankees are 8-0 OU off a game as favorites when the opposing starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.6 on the season; scoring an average of 8.00 runs per game and allowing an average of 6,62 runs per game in this spot. Finally, the Yankees are 12-0 OU after a game in which Giancarlo Stanton had multiple RBIs and the total is fewer than 12. Since August 2018, the Yankees have played three nine-inning games in which the total was seven or lower. The final scores were: 5-8, 7-3 and 12-3. The last of those was against Shane Bieber in these playoffs. The Over is seeping line value.

106-61-1 IN LAST 168 MLB PICKS | +823

sailfish · Oct 5, 2020

King Creole

KC Over

bribux · Oct 5, 2020

TotalMatchvip
Holland – Eerste Divisie
Excelsior – Graafschap
Over 3.5

ConleyPicks · Oct 5, 2020

Emory Hunt

KANSAS CITY -7
NEW ENGLAND @ KANSAS CITY | 10/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
FRI 10/2
The gameplan to stop the Chiefs is always a simple one: Don't allow them to possess the ball. But what gets lost on game day is how good their defense has gotten over the latter part of last season, into this year. The Patriots will stylistically try to attack the Chiefs defense in a similar way the Ravens tried to. I just don't know if the Patriots defensively can matchup up with the speed of Kansas City.

9-2 IN LAST 11 NFL ATS PICKS | +685
10-1 IN LAST 11 NE ATS PICKS | +889

19-12 IN LAST 31 KC ATS PICKS | +598

GREEN BAY -7
ATLANTA @ GREEN BAY | 10/05 | 8:50 PM EDT
FRI 10/2
Green Bay looks to be one of the top teams in the NFL this year. The Packers' offense is averaging over 30 points per game, and they are doing it with balance. Defensively, they are very active at the line of scrimmage, and they are also very opportunistic. While the Falcons have blown huge leads in their last two contests, they won't have to worry about that in this game, as Green Bay will own the lead from start to finish.

9-2 IN LAST 11 NFL ATS PICKS | +685
12-2 IN LAST 14 ATL ATS PICKS | +987

3-1 IN LAST 4 GB ATS PICKS | +191

ConleyPicks · Oct 5, 2020

Micah Roberts

UNDER 49.5
NEW ENGLAND @ KANSAS CITY | 10/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
8:05 AM
Some of the deceptions of Cam Newton leading the No. 2 rushing team will be gone without him. But I still believe New England's schemes can work and it can muddy the game with slow play and help keep it Under the total. This isn’t going to be a breakthrough for either Pats backup, but they’ll do enough to not get blown out. Just the Under in this insane Over world.

6-1-1 IN LAST 8 NFL PICKS | +490
8-2 IN LAST 10 KC O/U PICKS | +580

ConleyPicks · Oct 5, 2020

Adam Silverstein
FLORIDA FAVORITE
SAT 10/3

KANSAS CITY -7
NEW ENGLAND @ KANSAS CITY | 10/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
No Cam Newton? No chance. With Newton out due to COVID-19 and my pick already leaning toward the Chiefs at home in this game, it suddenly became a no-brainer. Get the line while you still can. No matter who Bill Belichick uses in Newton's stead, the Patriots will struggle scoring against an underrated Kansas City defense. The Patriots will also find issue controlling the clock, and the game plan likely called for a heavy ground attack led by Newton to keep Patrick Mahomes off the field. This will be an easy double-digit win by KC at home.

16-14-1 LAST 31 NFL SIDES | +80
16-7-2 IN LAST 25 KC ATS PICKS | +812

6-0 IN LAST 6 NE ATS PICKS | +600

Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
SAT 10/3

NEW ENGLAND +7
NEW ENGLAND @ KANSAS CITY | 10/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
The Chiefs destroyed the Ravens on Monday Night Football and are on a short week against a very good Patriots team. Its never easy betting against Patrick Mahomes, who continues to get better every game, however this is a solid Patriots team with Cam Newton at QB. Newton has four rushing TDs and should be able to move this offense against a banged-up KC defense. This game will be decided by a FG. Take the points.

4-2-1 IN LAST 7 NFL PICKS | +185
5-2 IN LAST 7 NE ATS PICKS | +277

2-1 IN LAST 3 KC ATS PICKS | +90

SportsBookData · Oct 5, 2020

Services I follow for those looking for a hot hand.

Winning Sports Plays
J.R. Stevens: crushing it in all sports. Won NFL Game of Year.
Britney DeLuca: banger plays and hot totals killing it. Won NFL & CFB Game of Year.

MTi
Nice day yesterday. Won big 5* NFL play. Solid overall.

Marc Lawrence
Not a good weekend. Average overall.

sailfish · Oct 5, 2020

Dave Cokin
4% - Astros +125

sailfish · Oct 5, 2020

MTI

5-Star Yankees at Rays OVER 7 - Both of these teams are hitting too well for this total. We are on the Over. The Rays are 8-0 OU in the first game of a home series with rest after a game in which they had 12-plus hits, scoring an average of 7.12 runs per game. The SDQL is:

team=Rays and FGS and rest>0 and H and p:hits>=12 and date>=20150807

The Yankees are 8-0 OU off a game as a favorite when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.6 on the season. New York has scored an average of 8.00 runs per game and allowed an average of 6,62 runs per game in this spot. The SDQL is:

team=Yankees and p:F and o:STDSSPB<1.6 and date>=20200903

Finally, the Yankees are 12-0 OU after a game in which Giancarlo Stanton had multiple RBI and the OU line is less than 12. The SDQL is:

team=Yankees and Giancarlo Stanton

:rbi>1 and total<12 and date>=20180808

Since August 2018 the Yankees have played three nine-inning games in which the total was seven or lower. The final scores were: 5-8, 7-3 and 12-3. The last of these was against Shane Bieber in these playoffs. The Over is seeping line value.

ConleyPicks · Oct 5, 2020

SportsBookData said:
Services I follow for those looking for a hot hand.

Winning Sports Plays
J.R. Stevens: crushing it in all sports. Won NFL Game of Year.
Britney DeLuca: banger plays and hot totals killing it. Won NFL & CFB Game of Year.

MTi
Nice day yesterday. Won big 5* NFL play. Solid overall.

Marc Lawrence
Not a good weekend. Average overall.

SPD

I sent you a private message please open it and tell me what you think
Thank you =)

ConleyPicks · Oct 5, 2020

Hank Goldberg

NEW ENGLAND +7
NEW ENGLAND @ KANSAS CITY | 10/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
WED 9/30
The whole world is going to be on the Chiefs now, but I think they're in for a bit of a letdown after that near-perfect game they played on Monday night. The number is a little high. New England has a very good secondary. This will be a close game, so take the points.

11-2 IN LAST 13 NE ATS PICKS | +881

4-2 IN LAST 6 KC ATS PICKS | +180

Monday Service Play Thread 10/05/2020

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