Thursday Service Play Thread 10/08/2020

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BuzzKill

BuzzKill

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ryangenero

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Football Jesus Podcast BEARS +points for toby's pool& he bet total did not give it out free i will will find out !!
 
bmd1803

bmd1803

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Bruce Marshall (VegasInsider Technical Trend Plays CFB)

CFB - Tulane +7
 
bribux

bribux

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daily-treble uk

Bosnia & Herzegovina - Northern Ireland : Bosnia to qualify @ 1.45
Bulgaria - Hungary : Hungary to qualify @ 1.55

Odds : 2.24
 
bribux

bribux

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10GoldTips

DENMARK: Landspokal Cup
Esbjerg – Silkeborg
Silkeborg over 1.5 @ 2.30
EGYPT: Premier League
Zamalek – Wadi Degla
Zamalek over 1.5 @ 1.85
 
ConleyPicks

ConleyPicks

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Sean Calvert

2020 FRENCH OPEN SEMIFINALS

Friday 8:45 AM ET

French Open 2020 semifinal No. 1

The men's singles semifinals at the 2020 French Open are set for Friday at Roland Garros, Paris and the first that's set is Rafael Nadal versus Diego Schwartzman.

And this one could be quite something, with Schwartzman in excellent form at the moment, while Nadal is yet to be really tested this week in conditions that are far from ideal for the King of Clay.

Twitter followers will know that Schwartzman was my +7500 each-way outright bet for this Roland Garros men's singles and so he needs one more win to cash the place part of that bet.

On the face of it, the Argentine has his work cut out if you believe the bookies' prices on this, with Nadal given roughly an 85% chance of winning per the odds.

But that price is much too short in my opinion and seemingly based on previous French Opens that were played in massively different conditions.

In the past, Nadal has had things by and large just how he likes them in Paris in the early summer, with sunshine, dry courts and (crucially) Babolat balls that take a lot more of his heavy topspin than this year's new Wilson ones do.

It was telling pre-tournament that both Nadal and Dominic Thiem, who both use tons of topspin, were bemoaning the loss of the Babolat ball. Thiem, as I said in my outright preview, was always a bit of a long shot to win this week in these conditions, as well as facing a tough draw and also fatigue after an epic US Open win.

Stats have shown that Nadal's ball is some way down from his norm in terms of the height it reaches off the court this fortnight, which was always going to be the case playing on damp courts and with a Wilson ball in cold conditions.

We saw in Rome how Schwartzman was able to get the better of Nadal in such conditions and I see no reason why he can't at least make this a real test for Nadal again.

Obviously it'll be tough to take three sets rather than two off Nadal, but conditions could scarcely be less favorable for Rafa and this looks a fine opportunity for Schwartzman.

Nadal has enjoyed an absolute cakewalk of a draw (yet to face a top-70 ranked opponent), against two mediocre fast court players (Gerasimov and McDonald) who are all at sea on clay, followed by a journeyman clay courter in Travaglia and then young Seb Korda, who seemingly was just there to collect a signed shirt from his idol.

Then 19-year-old Jannik Sinner gave what looks a rather slow Nadal (remember, he hasn't had his usual 15 or so clay matches ahead of the French Open this year and had only played three matches since February before this fortnight) all he could handle and more in their quarterfinal Tuesday.

Sinner served for set one of that clash and with more experience the young Italian may have made a match of that one, but surely Schwartzman won't make that same mistake given the opportunity.

Schwartzman has the confidence of knowing that he can beat Rafa in these conditions now, and having just beaten the current US Open champion and two-time Roland Garros finalist Thiem as well, his mood should be at an all-time high.

One obvious concern is fitness after that epic Thiem encounter, but he's got two days off to recover, while Rafa was playing until after 1am local time on Wednesday morning, which, of course, he wasn't too happy about.

Another possible negative is that this match will be played in the afternoon, rather than in the cold at night, but the forecast is for yet more rain and so conditions will be slow (probably under the roof) and cool.

If we look back at what Schwartzman was doing well in that Rome clash it was hitting his flat, aggressive backhand and taking Nadal's time away, not allowing the Spaniard to set up that huge lefty forehand and get that weapon into play much.

And that weapon of Rafa's is nullified anyway by this Wilson ball and the cool, damp conditions, allowing Schwartzman to defend more effectively, as we saw him able to do against the power of Thiem on Tuesday.

Assuming Schwartzman isn't physically impaired after that epic Thiem clash, this looks a real opportunity for him –perhaps a unique one – and I hope he isn't too nervous to take it.

The bets for me here are Schwartzman to win at +450, Schwartzman to win a set at -120 and the match to go Over 33.5 games at -110.

It doesn't often pay to take on Nadal at Roland Garros, but this isn't a 'normal' French Open and we have to take a chance in these circumstances.
 
ConleyPicks

ConleyPicks

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Indian Cowboy

Golf - Thursday morning

4* - B. Harman -145 over M. Nesmith
 

sailfish

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gambinotips

Euro - Qualification - Promotion
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Northern Ireland
Total Goals : 2 or 3
Kurs : 2.00
 
ConleyPicks

ConleyPicks

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[h=2]Rob V: Thursday Comp Play[/h]
Thursday card has Top Plays in the NFL And College Football both from perfect database systems. There is also MLB Divisional Series Plays. Soccer comp Below.

The Thursday comp play is on the Under in the Deportivo at Medellin match. Solid simulation totals Play here as Deportivo takes on Medellin at 9:10 eastern. The game projects to play under. Both teams have struggled to score and Medelin has been blanked in 4 matches already this season. Deprtivo has shutouts in back to back games and will be in this throughout. Medellin has 14 wins 3 losses and 6 draws in the series. Both teams have struggled in the table with Medellin in 13th place and Deportivo in 17th. Look for a lower scoring game that goes under. On Thursday Both football Plays are up ands backed with perfect systems. MLB Divisional series plays and soccer up as well. See us on facebook to jump on. For the Soccer comp play. Make it the under Medellin vs Deportivo. RV- GC Sports​
 
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