Friday Service Play Thread 10/09/2020

BuzzKill · Oct 3, 2020

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Bigdog4Life · Oct 6, 2020

Ben burns--- will add more as they come in

3* louisville - pts

BuzzKill · Oct 8, 2020

Newsletters - http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=316&p=13277093&viewfull=1#post13277093

ConleyPicks · Oct 8, 2020

[FONT=&quot]LOOONGSHOT LARRY'S SIMULCAST REPORT[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]FRIDAY, OCTOBER 9, 2020[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Ratings are from * to ***** stars[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]*****[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]****[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]RACE OF THE DAY! KEENELAND 8![/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]4:57: KEE8, #7 RUBUS, 12/1[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LARRY'S TAKE: Improving every time out.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]4:57: KEE8, #1 MUCHO, 15/1[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LARRY'S TAKE: Always gives an honest effort, always backed well, is 3/16 and 0 for his last 6. Under[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]4:57: #9 STRIKE THAT, 6/1[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LARRY'S TAKE: Never off the board in 8 starts, all at this level[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LARRY'S WAGERING ADVICE: Box the 1,7,9 in an exacta and a tri. Play with the 4 and the 6 if you want to invest more.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]***[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]2:45: KEE4, #2 MARK MY WAY, 20/1[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LARRY'S TAKE: The old boy should appreciate the cutback. Throw out his last and his #'s are competitive here.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LARRY'S WAGERING ADVICE: Light to moderate win bet.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]6:44: SA7, #4 ANNIE'S BOY, 12/1[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LARRY'S TAKE: ARP/TUP invader has been freshened and should fire. 3/4, he's won for $30k before so the jump up isn't too much of a reach. Impressive record.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LARRY'S WAGERING ADVICE: Win bet if 10/1>.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]7:44: SA9, #5 NEXT FLIGHT, 12/1[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LARRY'S TAKE: Throw out last. Blinkers are gone, hopefully he'll have a much better trip too. Dropping back to his proper level.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]**[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]4:05: WO6, #8 SWEET EDITION, 20/1[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LARRY'S TAKE: Cutting back to 5.5. 2nd time blinkers.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]4:05: WO6, #7 THATSMYKINDANIGHT, 8/1[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LARRY'S TAKE: Debut ok, Hall adds the hood. Should progress.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LARRY'S WAGERING ADVICE: Box the 7 & 8 with the 1 & 3. Win bet on your choice. I give a slight edge to the 7, but not under the ML.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]5:52: BEL10, #2 SPITBALL, 10/1[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LARRY'S TAKE: Broke his maiden easily on an OTT. Bred for the lawn.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]*[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]6:03: KEE10, #5 MADAME OVERSERVED, 20/1[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LARRY'S TAKE: Works are scary good.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]6:28: GG5, #1 STRADARI, 8/1[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LARRY'S TAKE: Trying the turf for the first time, working great.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]6:59: GG6, #3 CHARGING HOME, 8/1[/FONT]

bribux · Oct 9, 2020

GambinoTips
ENGLAND – League One
Fleetwood – Hull
Total Goals : 2 or 3
Kurs : 2.00

ConleyPicks · Oct 9, 2020

Sean Calvert

2020 FRENCH OPEN SEMIFINALS

Friday 8:45 AM ET

French Open 2020 semifinal No. 1

The men's singles semifinals at the 2020 French Open are set for Friday at Roland Garros, Paris and the first that's set is Rafael Nadal versus Diego Schwartzman.

And this one could be quite something, with Schwartzman in excellent form at the moment, while Nadal is yet to be really tested this week in conditions that are far from ideal for the King of Clay.

Twitter followers will know that Schwartzman was my +7500 each-way outright bet for this Roland Garros men's singles and so he needs one more win to cash the place part of that bet.

On the face of it, the Argentine has his work cut out if you believe the bookies' prices on this, with Nadal given roughly an 85% chance of winning per the odds.

But that price is much too short in my opinion and seemingly based on previous French Opens that were played in massively different conditions.

In the past, Nadal has had things by and large just how he likes them in Paris in the early summer, with sunshine, dry courts and (crucially) Babolat balls that take a lot more of his heavy topspin than this year's new Wilson ones do.

It was telling pre-tournament that both Nadal and Dominic Thiem, who both use tons of topspin, were bemoaning the loss of the Babolat ball. Thiem, as I said in my outright preview, was always a bit of a long shot to win this week in these conditions, as well as facing a tough draw and also fatigue after an epic US Open win.

Stats have shown that Nadal's ball is some way down from his norm in terms of the height it reaches off the court this fortnight, which was always going to be the case playing on damp courts and with a Wilson ball in cold conditions.

We saw in Rome how Schwartzman was able to get the better of Nadal in such conditions and I see no reason why he can't at least make this a real test for Nadal again.

Obviously it'll be tough to take three sets rather than two off Nadal, but conditions could scarcely be less favorable for Rafa and this looks a fine opportunity for Schwartzman.

Nadal has enjoyed an absolute cakewalk of a draw (yet to face a top-70 ranked opponent), against two mediocre fast court players (Gerasimov and McDonald) who are all at sea on clay, followed by a journeyman clay courter in Travaglia and then young Seb Korda, who seemingly was just there to collect a signed shirt from his idol.

Then 19-year-old Jannik Sinner gave what looks a rather slow Nadal (remember, he hasn't had his usual 15 or so clay matches ahead of the French Open this year and had only played three matches since February before this fortnight) all he could handle and more in their quarterfinal Tuesday.

Sinner served for set one of that clash and with more experience the young Italian may have made a match of that one, but surely Schwartzman won't make that same mistake given the opportunity.

Schwartzman has the confidence of knowing that he can beat Rafa in these conditions now, and having just beaten the current US Open champion and two-time Roland Garros finalist Thiem as well, his mood should be at an all-time high.

One obvious concern is fitness after that epic Thiem encounter, but he's got two days off to recover, while Rafa was playing until after 1am local time on Wednesday morning, which, of course, he wasn't too happy about.

Another possible negative is that this match will be played in the afternoon, rather than in the cold at night, but the forecast is for yet more rain and so conditions will be slow (probably under the roof) and cool.

If we look back at what Schwartzman was doing well in that Rome clash it was hitting his flat, aggressive backhand and taking Nadal's time away, not allowing the Spaniard to set up that huge lefty forehand and get that weapon into play much.

And that weapon of Rafa's is nullified anyway by this Wilson ball and the cool, damp conditions, allowing Schwartzman to defend more effectively, as we saw him able to do against the power of Thiem on Tuesday.

Assuming Schwartzman isn't physically impaired after that epic Thiem clash, this looks a real opportunity for him –perhaps a unique one – and I hope he isn't too nervous to take it.

The bets for me here are Schwartzman to win at +450, Schwartzman to win a set at -120 and the match to go Over 33.5 games at -110.

It doesn't often pay to take on Nadal at Roland Garros, but this isn't a 'normal' French Open and we have to take a chance in these circumstances.

ConleyPicks · Oct 9, 2020

Doc Sports

KBO- 7 Unit Play. Take Kia Tigers -145 over SK Wyverns (1a.m., Friday, October 9)

ConleyPicks · Oct 9, 2020

Big Al

Heat

sailfish · Oct 9, 2020

Chase Diamond

10* Yankees -153

ConleyPicks · Oct 9, 2020

GambinoTips
ENGLAND – League One
Fleetwood – Hull
Total Goals : 2 or 3
Kurs : 2.00

bmd1803 · Oct 9, 2020

Dave Cokin

3% Louisville -4

sailfish · Oct 9, 2020

Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 10/09/20

4★ L.A. Lakers -7 over Miami (NBA)

3★ Louisville/Georgia Tech OVER 64 (NCAAF)

sailfish · Oct 9, 2020

Primetime Sports Picks For 10/09/20

5 Unit --> Miami/L.A. Lakers OVER 216.5 (NBA)

3 Unit --> Louisville/Georgia Tech UNDER 64 (NCAAF

sailfish · Oct 9, 2020

National Sports Service

4* Miami +7 over L.A. Lakers (NBA)

3* Georgia Tech +4.5 over Louisville (NCAAF)

sailfish · Oct 9, 2020

Insider Sports Report

4* Miami/L.A. Lakers OVER 216.5 (NBA)
Range: 214.5 to 218.5

3* Louisville -4.5 over Georgia Tech (NCAAF)
Range: -2.5 to -6.5

sailfish · Oct 9, 2020

Elite Sports Picks

Louisville/Georgia Tech UNDER 64 (NCAAF)

Bigdog4Life · Oct 9, 2020

Ben burns----

3* lakers -7
3* louisville -4
3* yankees/rays under 7.5

rutt723 · Oct 9, 2020

GREG SHAKER \| CFB TOTAL

	FRI, 10/09/20 - 7:00 PM
306 Georgia Tech / 305 Louisville Under 64.5 Pinnacle	double-dime bet

Analysis:
These teams are both 2-1 Over this season but not because of any offensive showing on the part of Georgia Tech and one of Louisville's crept Over by a 1/2 point. GT is going to run ball control and it's most interesting to note that although this team only has a 3 point win over FSU, scoring 20, 21, and 16 in their 3 games, they are #16 in the country is average offensive plays per game. That means that they are draining the clock on a regular ba©sis. All 3 Models love the UNDER here, we do to. Let's Play a strong 2* UNDER at your best number..

Pick Made: Oct 8 2020 10:59AM PST

ConleyPicks · Oct 9, 2020

Michael Crosson (VegasInsider)
NBA Finals Game #5
Los Angeles Lakers (3-1 advantage) vs Miami Heat
Time: 9:00pm TV: ABC

BEST BET - Lakers/Heat Under 216

PLAYER PROPS
Miami Heat - Bam Adebayo Under 24.5 points & rebounds -122
Los Angeles Lakers - LeBron James highest scorer on the floor Friday Night +125

ConleyPicks · Oct 9, 2020

Mark Franco (VegasInsider CFB) - Louisville -4.5

Friday Service Play Thread 10/09/2020

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