NFL
Long Sheet
Week 4
Monday, October 5
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ATLANTA (0 - 3) at GREEN BAY (3 - 0) - 10/5/2020, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 117-85 ATS (+23.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 200-146 ATS (+39.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Long Sheet
Week 4
Monday, October 5
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ATLANTA (0 - 3) at GREEN BAY (3 - 0) - 10/5/2020, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 117-85 ATS (+23.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 200-146 ATS (+39.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NFL
Week 4
Trend Report
Monday, October 5
Atlanta @ Green Bay
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Week 4
Trend Report
Monday, October 5
Atlanta @ Green Bay
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
NFL
Week 4
Falcons (0-3) @ Green Bay (3-0)
— Falcons are 0-3; they led 26-10 with 7:00 left last week, led 29-10 at halftime week before.
— Atlanta has been outscored 74-33 in second half of games.
— Falcons have allowed 18 plays of 20+ yards, most in the NFL.
— Atlanta is 5-3 ATS in its last eight games as a road underdog.
— NFC South teams are 3-5 ATS outside their division, 3-1 on road.
— Green Bay won its first three games, scoring 43-42-37 points.
— All three Packer games went over the total.
— Green Bay won field position all three games, by 14-8-5 yards.
— Packers covered seven of last ten games as a home favorite.
— NFC North teams are 4-2 ATS outside their division.
— Home side won last six series games.
— Average total in last five series games: 64.2.
— Falcons lost last three visits to Lambeau, by 1-6-14 points.
Week 4
Falcons (0-3) @ Green Bay (3-0)
— Falcons are 0-3; they led 26-10 with 7:00 left last week, led 29-10 at halftime week before.
— Atlanta has been outscored 74-33 in second half of games.
— Falcons have allowed 18 plays of 20+ yards, most in the NFL.
— Atlanta is 5-3 ATS in its last eight games as a road underdog.
— NFC South teams are 3-5 ATS outside their division, 3-1 on road.
— Green Bay won its first three games, scoring 43-42-37 points.
— All three Packer games went over the total.
— Green Bay won field position all three games, by 14-8-5 yards.
— Packers covered seven of last ten games as a home favorite.
— NFC North teams are 4-2 ATS outside their division.
— Home side won last six series games.
— Average total in last five series games: 64.2.
— Falcons lost last three visits to Lambeau, by 1-6-14 points.
Tech Trends - Week 4
Bruce Marshall
Week 4 of the NFL season kicks off on Thursday, Oct. 1 and we've identified betting trends and angles for all 16 matchups. We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.
Monday, Oct. 5
ATLANTA at GREEN BAY
Falcons 8-4 vs. line since mid 2019 (1-1 in 2020), also “over” 3 in a row.
Pack “over” last five since late 2019 and 5-1 last six vs. points at Lambeau.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.
Bruce Marshall
Week 4 of the NFL season kicks off on Thursday, Oct. 1 and we've identified betting trends and angles for all 16 matchups. We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.
Monday, Oct. 5
ATLANTA at GREEN BAY
Falcons 8-4 vs. line since mid 2019 (1-1 in 2020), also “over” 3 in a row.
Pack “over” last five since late 2019 and 5-1 last six vs. points at Lambeau.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.
NFL odds Week 4: Opening lines, sharp money & line movement
Patrick Everson
NFL Week 3 is in the books, NFL Week 4 odds are on the betting board, and a few games are already getting action. Among the noteworthy matchups are a couple of AFC clashes: the New England Patriots visit the Kansas City Chiefs, and the Las Vegas Raiders host the unbeaten Buffalo Bills.
The SuperBook at Westgate's John Murray provided insights on NFL Week 4 opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting.
NFL Week 4 odds
These are the current NFL Week 4 odds, as of September 27.
Falcons at Packers odds
Opening line
Packers -6.5, Over/Under 58
Why the line moved
This line went up before Sunday night's Packers-Saints game, and per The SuperBook's standard operating procedure, the line was taken off the board once Packers-Saints kicked off.
"I don’t even have a joke about coach Dan Quinn and the Falcons here. It’s like they’re trying to choke away these games," Murray said, alluding to Atlanta blowing double-digit fourth-quarter leads in two consecutive games. "The Packers will finish off the majority of the moneyline parlays that survive next Sunday."
Patrick Everson
NFL Week 3 is in the books, NFL Week 4 odds are on the betting board, and a few games are already getting action. Among the noteworthy matchups are a couple of AFC clashes: the New England Patriots visit the Kansas City Chiefs, and the Las Vegas Raiders host the unbeaten Buffalo Bills.
The SuperBook at Westgate's John Murray provided insights on NFL Week 4 opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting.
NFL Week 4 odds
These are the current NFL Week 4 odds, as of September 27.
Falcons at Packers odds
Opening line
Packers -6.5, Over/Under 58
Why the line moved
This line went up before Sunday night's Packers-Saints game, and per The SuperBook's standard operating procedure, the line was taken off the board once Packers-Saints kicked off.
"I don’t even have a joke about coach Dan Quinn and the Falcons here. It’s like they’re trying to choke away these games," Murray said, alluding to Atlanta blowing double-digit fourth-quarter leads in two consecutive games. "The Packers will finish off the majority of the moneyline parlays that survive next Sunday."
Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)
The collapsing Falcons take a trip to Lambeau Field on Monday night, getting an extra day to watch the excruciating film from their loss to the Bears. There are a lot of people who feel head coach Dan Quinn could be out of a job soon after his team made NFL history with the two big blown fourth-quarter leads. The Packers are probably the absolute worst opponent for Atlanta to face in Week 4, as they lead the NFL with 40.7 points per game, hitting the over in all three of their outings. In fact, Green Bay games have seen the over hit by at least 12 points in each of the three outings.
The collapsing Falcons take a trip to Lambeau Field on Monday night, getting an extra day to watch the excruciating film from their loss to the Bears. There are a lot of people who feel head coach Dan Quinn could be out of a job soon after his team made NFL history with the two big blown fourth-quarter leads. The Packers are probably the absolute worst opponent for Atlanta to face in Week 4, as they lead the NFL with 40.7 points per game, hitting the over in all three of their outings. In fact, Green Bay games have seen the over hit by at least 12 points in each of the three outings.
Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis
October 5, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
The headliners at Woodbine Mohawk Park are 2-year-old fillies in Sires Stakes Gold action. The 0.20 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 4 and will be my focus.
Comments and selections below are based on a track.
Race 4
1-Bit Of Luck (8-1)-Camera shy 5-year-old has been trying hard, will look for a price and a bit of Henry magic. Last start was good in the slop amd has never won on an off track. Maybe this is picture time with a smooth trip.
2-Carsons Shadow (5/2)-This should be a good spot to post a win but this guy is difficult to figure out. But coming off a win at GrVr might be a sign of turning the corner. Using, but probably will offer no value.
5-General Joy A (3-1)-Simply put, form is bad but has been facing much better. Has won 5 times in last 37 starts but Wbsb record shows 3 wins in 10 starts. If this gelding is anywhere near top form he will beat this crew. But that type of form hasn't been seen since the beginning of August.
Race 5
2-Night Watchman (3-1)-Barn is cold but has been facing much better and now finally draws inside so there should be no excuses. Faces older foes but has been racing some really good colts and this is a spot to shine.
6-Outlaw Aceofspades (7/2)-Makes 2nd Wbsb start, 2nd start for the Cullen barn, 3rd on Lasix and now Travis is back in the bike. Raced from the back in last but did pace the second 1/2 in .54, can beat this crew with a good steer.
Race 6
4-Trix And Stones (4-1)-Slow starter beat this type on 7/28 going the last half in 55.3. Could follow the same script tonight as there are few who could push the pace early.
5-Teddys Littleangel (10-1)-This barn has been winning lately and McNair is back and he should be out and rolling. Could get on the engine or the pocket behind #6 and with the right trip might surprise at a price.
6-On The Ropes (2-1)-Drops to a very soft spot after facing Pfrd company about 5 weeks ago. Was bet and had a very good effort versus better last week in the slop. Should be a major player and will probably be bet hard.
Race 7
1-Lucky Benjii (6-1)-$75,000 Sunshine Beach colt makes debut off a gate to wire qualifier. Will respect chances and could offer a square price.
2-Wheresjim (4-1)-Jim has speed and issues but best to not overlook. Can be forwardly placed and if McNair can calm him down in the early going chances go way up.
8-PL Oliver (3-1)-Sportswriter colt stayed engaged and past a few down the lane taking advantage of a super hot pace. This is another who could take a picture if gets a good trip and this race could shape up in his favor.
9-Seize Control (7/2)-Shows some nice last quarters and could be a big factor in late going if is closer to the lead turning for home. If pace is hot this colt is another who will rolling down the lane.
0.20 Early Pick 4
1,2,5/2,6/4,5,6/1,2,8,9
Total Bet=$14.40
October 5, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
The headliners at Woodbine Mohawk Park are 2-year-old fillies in Sires Stakes Gold action. The 0.20 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 4 and will be my focus.
Comments and selections below are based on a track.
Race 4
1-Bit Of Luck (8-1)-Camera shy 5-year-old has been trying hard, will look for a price and a bit of Henry magic. Last start was good in the slop amd has never won on an off track. Maybe this is picture time with a smooth trip.
2-Carsons Shadow (5/2)-This should be a good spot to post a win but this guy is difficult to figure out. But coming off a win at GrVr might be a sign of turning the corner. Using, but probably will offer no value.
5-General Joy A (3-1)-Simply put, form is bad but has been facing much better. Has won 5 times in last 37 starts but Wbsb record shows 3 wins in 10 starts. If this gelding is anywhere near top form he will beat this crew. But that type of form hasn't been seen since the beginning of August.
Race 5
2-Night Watchman (3-1)-Barn is cold but has been facing much better and now finally draws inside so there should be no excuses. Faces older foes but has been racing some really good colts and this is a spot to shine.
6-Outlaw Aceofspades (7/2)-Makes 2nd Wbsb start, 2nd start for the Cullen barn, 3rd on Lasix and now Travis is back in the bike. Raced from the back in last but did pace the second 1/2 in .54, can beat this crew with a good steer.
Race 6
4-Trix And Stones (4-1)-Slow starter beat this type on 7/28 going the last half in 55.3. Could follow the same script tonight as there are few who could push the pace early.
5-Teddys Littleangel (10-1)-This barn has been winning lately and McNair is back and he should be out and rolling. Could get on the engine or the pocket behind #6 and with the right trip might surprise at a price.
6-On The Ropes (2-1)-Drops to a very soft spot after facing Pfrd company about 5 weeks ago. Was bet and had a very good effort versus better last week in the slop. Should be a major player and will probably be bet hard.
Race 7
1-Lucky Benjii (6-1)-$75,000 Sunshine Beach colt makes debut off a gate to wire qualifier. Will respect chances and could offer a square price.
2-Wheresjim (4-1)-Jim has speed and issues but best to not overlook. Can be forwardly placed and if McNair can calm him down in the early going chances go way up.
8-PL Oliver (3-1)-Sportswriter colt stayed engaged and past a few down the lane taking advantage of a super hot pace. This is another who could take a picture if gets a good trip and this race could shape up in his favor.
9-Seize Control (7/2)-Shows some nice last quarters and could be a big factor in late going if is closer to the lead turning for home. If pace is hot this colt is another who will rolling down the lane.
0.20 Early Pick 4
1,2,5/2,6/4,5,6/1,2,8,9
Total Bet=$14.40
| Rk | Sports Services | Free Sports Picks |
| 1. | NSA(The Legend) | MLB – Astros +125 |
| 2. | Gameday Network | MLB – Yankees -145 |
| 3. | VegasSI.com | MLB – Astros over 8 |
| 4. | Vegas Line Crushers | MLB – Yankees over 7 |
| 5. | Sports Action 365 | MLB – Astros +125 |
| 6. | Point Spread Report | MLB – Yankees -145 |
| 7. | Lou Panelli | MLB – Astros +125 |
| 8. | Gerry “Big Cat” Andino | MLB – Yankees over 7 |
| 9. | VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club | MLB – Astros over 8 |
| 10. | William E. Stockton | MLB – Yankees -145 |
| 11. | Vincent Pioli | MLB – Astros +125 |
| 12. | Steve “Scoop” Kendall | MLB – Yankees over 7 |
| 13. | SCORE | MLB – Astros over 8 |
| 14. | East Coast Line Movers | MLB – Yankees -145 |
| 15. | Tony Campone | MLB – Astros +125 |
| 16. | Chicago Sports Group | MLB – Yankees over 7 |
| 17. | Hollywood Sportsline | MLB – Yankees -145 |
| 18. | VIP Action | MLB – Astros over 8 |
| 19. | South Beach Sports | MLB – Yankees over 7 |
| 20. | Las Vegas Sports Commission | MLB – Astros +125 |
| 21. | NY Players Club | MLB – Yankees -145 |
| 22. | Fred Callahan | MLB – Astros over 8 |
| 23. | Las Vegas Private CEO Club | MLB – Astros +125 |
| 24. | Michigan Sports | MLB – Yankees over 7 |
| 25. | National Consensus Report | MLB – Yankees -145 |
901NY YANKEES -902 TAMPA BAY
NY YANKEES are 6-14 SU (-11.5 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.
903HOUSTON -904 OAKLAND
HOUSTON is 21-33 SU (-15.7 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.
NY YANKEES are 6-14 SU (-11.5 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.
903HOUSTON -904 OAKLAND
HOUSTON is 21-33 SU (-15.7 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.
MLB
Long Sheet
Monday, October 5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NY YANKEES (35 - 27) vs. TAMPA BAY (42 - 20) - 8:07 PM
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. BLAKE SNELL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 8-12 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
TAMPA BAY is 42-20 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 30-9 (+21.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 30-14 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 32-12 (+16.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 144-84 (+39.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 15-4 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SNELL is 23-10 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 8-2 (+7.5 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)
GERRIT COLE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
COLE is 2-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.092.
His team's record is 5-4 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.5 units)
BLAKE SNELL vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SNELL is 4-6 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.435.
His team's record is 9-9 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-2.8 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HOUSTON (31 - 31) vs. OAKLAND (38 - 25) - 4:07 PM
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. JESUS LUZARDO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 31-31 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 19-21 (-11.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
GREINKE is 20-26 (-17.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 134-90 (+26.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 84-57 (+24.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 153-115 (+27.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 7-3 (+3.9 Units) against HOUSTON this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.5 Units)
ZACK GREINKE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
GREINKE is 9-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.223.
His team's record is 9-8 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-10. (-4.8 units)
JESUS LUZARDO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LUZARDO is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 0.947.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)
Long Sheet
Monday, October 5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NY YANKEES (35 - 27) vs. TAMPA BAY (42 - 20) - 8:07 PM
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. BLAKE SNELL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 8-12 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
TAMPA BAY is 42-20 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 30-9 (+21.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 30-14 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 32-12 (+16.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 144-84 (+39.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 15-4 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SNELL is 23-10 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 8-2 (+7.5 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)
GERRIT COLE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
COLE is 2-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.092.
His team's record is 5-4 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.5 units)
BLAKE SNELL vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SNELL is 4-6 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.435.
His team's record is 9-9 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-2.8 units)
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HOUSTON (31 - 31) vs. OAKLAND (38 - 25) - 4:07 PM
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. JESUS LUZARDO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 31-31 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 19-21 (-11.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
GREINKE is 20-26 (-17.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 134-90 (+26.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 84-57 (+24.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 153-115 (+27.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 7-3 (+3.9 Units) against HOUSTON this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.5 Units)
ZACK GREINKE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
GREINKE is 9-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.223.
His team's record is 9-8 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-10. (-4.8 units)
JESUS LUZARDO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LUZARDO is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 0.947.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)
MLB
Monday, October 5
Best-of-5 series American League
Houston vs Oakland (@ Los Angeles)
McCullers is 0-0, 3.57 in his last four starts; he beat the A’s 6-2 in Houston August 29, allowing two runs in six IP.
— Astros are 5-6 in his starts, 1-5 on the road.
— Under is 6-1 in his last seven starts
— McCullers is 1-0, 2.53 in 11 career playoff games (4 starts), totaling 32 IP
— He is 5-2, 4.04 in nine career starts vs Oakland.
— Houston allowed only two runs in sweeping the Twins in Minnesota last week.
— Astros are in the playoffs for 4th year in a row; they won the ’17 World Series.
— Houston is 11-23 on the road this season- this is a neutral site.
— Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games.
Bassitt is 4-0, 0.53 in his last five starts; he is 1-1, 2.65 in three starts vs Houston this year.
— Oakland is 9-3 in his starts, 3-2 on the road.
— Under is 9-3 in his starts this season.
— He allowed one run in seven IP vs Chicago LW, his first postseason start.
— Bassitt is 3-2, 3.53 in nine career games (8 starts) vs Houston.
— A’s won three of their last four games.
— Oakland is in playoffs for 3rd year in row, 6th time in nine years.
— A’s are 14-14 on the road- this is a neutral site.
— Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.
— A’s won seven of ten games with Houston this season.
New York vs Tampa Bay (@ San Diego)
Cole is 4-0, 1.29 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 4.96 in three starts vs Tampa Bay this year.
— New York is 9-4 in his starts, 5-2 on the road.
— Over is 7-4-2 in his starts this season.
— Cole is 7-4, 2.60 in 11 career postseason starts.
— He is 0-3, 4.07 in seven career starts against the Rays.
— New York scored 22 runs in their sweep of the Indians in Cleveland last week.
— New York is in the playoffs for 4th year in a row.
— New York is 13-18 on the road this season.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.
Snell is 6-0, 2.57 in his last seven starts; he is 1-1, 3.77 in three starts vs NY this season.
— Rays are 10-2 in his starts, 5-1 on the road.
— Over is 7-4-1 in his starts this season.
— Snell is 1-1, 0.82 in four career playoff games (2 starts).
— He is 4-6, 4.31 in 18 career starts vs New York.
— Tampa Bay won its last six games overall; they held Toronto to three runs in their sweep of the Blue Jays last week.
— Rays are in playoffs for second year in a row.
— Tampa Bay is 20-11 away from home this season.
— Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games.
— Tampa Bay has couple OF’s (Renfroe, Margot) who called San Diego home last year.
— Tampa Bay won eight of ten games with New York this season.
Monday, October 5
Best-of-5 series American League
Houston vs Oakland (@ Los Angeles)
McCullers is 0-0, 3.57 in his last four starts; he beat the A’s 6-2 in Houston August 29, allowing two runs in six IP.
— Astros are 5-6 in his starts, 1-5 on the road.
— Under is 6-1 in his last seven starts
— McCullers is 1-0, 2.53 in 11 career playoff games (4 starts), totaling 32 IP
— He is 5-2, 4.04 in nine career starts vs Oakland.
— Houston allowed only two runs in sweeping the Twins in Minnesota last week.
— Astros are in the playoffs for 4th year in a row; they won the ’17 World Series.
— Houston is 11-23 on the road this season- this is a neutral site.
— Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games.
Bassitt is 4-0, 0.53 in his last five starts; he is 1-1, 2.65 in three starts vs Houston this year.
— Oakland is 9-3 in his starts, 3-2 on the road.
— Under is 9-3 in his starts this season.
— He allowed one run in seven IP vs Chicago LW, his first postseason start.
— Bassitt is 3-2, 3.53 in nine career games (8 starts) vs Houston.
— A’s won three of their last four games.
— Oakland is in playoffs for 3rd year in row, 6th time in nine years.
— A’s are 14-14 on the road- this is a neutral site.
— Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.
— A’s won seven of ten games with Houston this season.
New York vs Tampa Bay (@ San Diego)
Cole is 4-0, 1.29 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 4.96 in three starts vs Tampa Bay this year.
— New York is 9-4 in his starts, 5-2 on the road.
— Over is 7-4-2 in his starts this season.
— Cole is 7-4, 2.60 in 11 career postseason starts.
— He is 0-3, 4.07 in seven career starts against the Rays.
— New York scored 22 runs in their sweep of the Indians in Cleveland last week.
— New York is in the playoffs for 4th year in a row.
— New York is 13-18 on the road this season.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.
Snell is 6-0, 2.57 in his last seven starts; he is 1-1, 3.77 in three starts vs NY this season.
— Rays are 10-2 in his starts, 5-1 on the road.
— Over is 7-4-1 in his starts this season.
— Snell is 1-1, 0.82 in four career playoff games (2 starts).
— He is 4-6, 4.31 in 18 career starts vs New York.
— Tampa Bay won its last six games overall; they held Toronto to three runs in their sweep of the Blue Jays last week.
— Rays are in playoffs for second year in a row.
— Tampa Bay is 20-11 away from home this season.
— Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games.
— Tampa Bay has couple OF’s (Renfroe, Margot) who called San Diego home last year.
— Tampa Bay won eight of ten games with New York this season.
MLB public betting, line movement, sharp money for October 5
Patrick Everson
DJ LeMahieu and the Yankees face the AL East rival Rays on Monday in Game 1 of the best-of-5 American League Division Series. FanDuel sportsbook opened New York -130 and moved to -148.
MLB betting odds are back on the board after a couple of days off, with Monday’s schedule ushering in the divisional round. The ALDS takes the stage first, with the New York Yankees facing the AL East rival Tampa Bay Rays, and the Houston Astros meeting the Oakland Athletics
FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Monday’s games.
MLB line movement
Fifth-seeded New York made quick work of No. 4 host Cleveland last week, winning Games 1 and 2 to advance to the ALDS. Likewise, top-seeded Tampa Bay didn’t mess around, sweeping eighth-seeded Toronto 2-0 in the best-of-three series.
For Game 1 of the best-of-five series, which will be played at San Diego’s Petco Park, FanDuel opened the Yankees -130 and moved to -148 by Sunday afternoon. The Rays are +128 for an 8:07 p.m. ET first pitch.
Defending AL champion Houston was seeded sixth, but took care of No. 3 seed Minnesota, also winning the best-of-three series 2-0 last week. No. 2 seed Oakland needed all three games to get by the No. 7 Chicago White Sox, winning Thursday’s Game 3 by a 6-4 score. FanDuel opened at A's -152/Astros +132 and moved to -142/+124 Sunday evening.
Monday's game starts at 4:07 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles.
MLB sharp money
The Yankees-Rays total moved from 7.5 to 7 at FanDuel on Sunday, with 54 percent of tickets/69 percent of money on the Under.
MLB public betting
The Yankees were a popular moneyline play at FanDuel, with 61 percent of bets and 90 percent of money on the Pinstripes, through Sunday afternoon. New York was even more popular at -1.5 on the runline, attracting 89 percent of tickets and 93 percent of money.
Patrick Everson
DJ LeMahieu and the Yankees face the AL East rival Rays on Monday in Game 1 of the best-of-5 American League Division Series. FanDuel sportsbook opened New York -130 and moved to -148.
MLB betting odds are back on the board after a couple of days off, with Monday’s schedule ushering in the divisional round. The ALDS takes the stage first, with the New York Yankees facing the AL East rival Tampa Bay Rays, and the Houston Astros meeting the Oakland Athletics
FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Monday’s games.
MLB line movement
Fifth-seeded New York made quick work of No. 4 host Cleveland last week, winning Games 1 and 2 to advance to the ALDS. Likewise, top-seeded Tampa Bay didn’t mess around, sweeping eighth-seeded Toronto 2-0 in the best-of-three series.
For Game 1 of the best-of-five series, which will be played at San Diego’s Petco Park, FanDuel opened the Yankees -130 and moved to -148 by Sunday afternoon. The Rays are +128 for an 8:07 p.m. ET first pitch.
Defending AL champion Houston was seeded sixth, but took care of No. 3 seed Minnesota, also winning the best-of-three series 2-0 last week. No. 2 seed Oakland needed all three games to get by the No. 7 Chicago White Sox, winning Thursday’s Game 3 by a 6-4 score. FanDuel opened at A's -152/Astros +132 and moved to -142/+124 Sunday evening.
Monday's game starts at 4:07 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles.
MLB sharp money
The Yankees-Rays total moved from 7.5 to 7 at FanDuel on Sunday, with 54 percent of tickets/69 percent of money on the Under.
MLB public betting
The Yankees were a popular moneyline play at FanDuel, with 61 percent of bets and 90 percent of money on the Pinstripes, through Sunday afternoon. New York was even more popular at -1.5 on the runline, attracting 89 percent of tickets and 93 percent of money.
AL Divisional Series Cheat Sheet
Kevin Rogers
The Wild Card round is over as the 16-team field has been sliced in half to eight squads seeking a World Series title. No team will have home-field advantage the rest of the way as the four remaining series will be played at neutral sites in California and Texas.
The divisional playoff round in the American League will take place in San Diego and Los Angeles. AL East rivals Tampa Bay and New York will square off at Petco Park, while AL West foes Oakland and Houston hook up at Dodger Stadium.
#1 Tampa Bay Rays vs. #5 New York Yankees
at Petco Park, San Diego
TB: 42-20 SU, 28-31-3 O/U
NYY: 35-27 SU, 31-27-4 O/U
Series Price
Tampa Bay -110
New York -110
Series Schedule
Game 1 - Monday, Oct. 5 - 8:07 p.m. ET (TBS)
Game 2 - Tuesday, Oct. 6 - TBD (TBS)
Game 3 - Wednesday, Oct. 7 - TBD (TBS)
Game 4 - Thursday, Oct. 8 - (If Necessary)
Game 5 - Friday, Oct. 9 - (If Necessary)
The Rays and Yankees aren't exactly the best of friends as these two division rivals are meeting in the postseason for the first time ever. Tampa Bay cruised to the AL East title for the third time in franchise history and first time since 2010. The Yankees are making their fourth straight playoff appearance as they are seeking their first World Series trip since 2009.
Tampa Bay took care of Toronto in the Wild Card round by outscoring the Blue Jays, 11-3 in a pair of wins. Former Cy Young winner Blake Snell won his first ever playoff start in a 3-1 triumph in Game 1, followed by six-run second inning breakout by the Rays in an 8-2 blowout in Game 2.
The Yankees' potent offense showed up by posting a pair of double-digit run performances in a two-game sweep of the Indians. New York rolled past Cleveland in the series opener, 12-3 behind Gerrit Cole's 13 strikeouts in seven innings. The Yankees erased an early 4-0 hole and a ninth-inning deficit to capture Game 2 by a 10-9 count behind three home runs, including a grand slam by third baseman Gio Urshela.
The Rays have advanced to the ALCS only once in franchise history, coming during their World Series run in 2008. The Yankees are seeking their third ALCS appearance in the last four seasons as they lost to the Astros the first two times (and are still alive in the other ALDS matchup).
Tampa Bay dominated the season series by taking eight of 10 meetings from New York. The Rays knocked off the Yankees five of six times in the Bronx, while Tampa Bay went 2-1 in three games against Cole, who is scheduled to start Game 1. Rays' hurler Tyler Glasnow defeated Cole and the Yankees twice, as the right-hander struck out 17 batters in the two victories.
#2 Oakland Athletics vs. #6 Houston Astros
at Dodger Stadium - Los Angeles
OAK: 38-25 SU, 28-33-2 O/U
HOU: 31-31 SU, 29-30-3 O/U
Series Price
Oakland -120
Houston +100
Series Schedule
Game 1 - Monday, Oct. 5 - 4:07 p.m. ET (TBS)
Game 2 - Tuesday, Oct. 6 - TBD (TBS)
Game 3 - Wednesday, Oct. 7 - TBD (TBS)
Game 4 - Thursday, Oct. 8 - (If Necessary)
Game 5 - Friday, Oct. 9 - (If Necessary)
No matter the sign-stealing controversy, the injuries, the managerial change prior to the season - the Astros just won't go away. Houston finished the season as one of two playoff teams to own a losing record, but the Astros managed a two-game sweep of the Twins, who have amazingly lost 18 consecutive playoff contests since 2004.
The Astros are still the defending American League champions and are seeking a third World Series trip since 2017. Houston's pitching carried them past Minnesota in the Wild Card round by allowing one run in each of the two wins. Houston cashed as a road underdog in each victory, as the Astros entered the playoffs with the worst away mark of any postseason squad.
The Athletics put up a dud offensively in Game 1 against the White Sox, but Oakland rebounded with five runs in a Game 2 victory and six runs in the series-clinching triumph of Game 3. The A's rallied from a 3-0 deficit in the deciding game with a four-run fourth inning to capture a playoff series for the first time since 2006.
Oakland has had some tough luck in the Wild Card round the last few seasons, but is playing in the ALDS for the first time since 2013, when the A's fell to the Tigers in five games. The Astros have advanced past the ALDS each of the last three seasons, but needed five games to knock out the Rays in 2019.
The A's won six of 10 meetings this season from the Astros, as Houston was limited to two runs or fewer in seven of those games. As a result, seven of those matchups finished 'under' the total, while the favorite won eight of 10 times.
Kevin Rogers
The Wild Card round is over as the 16-team field has been sliced in half to eight squads seeking a World Series title. No team will have home-field advantage the rest of the way as the four remaining series will be played at neutral sites in California and Texas.
The divisional playoff round in the American League will take place in San Diego and Los Angeles. AL East rivals Tampa Bay and New York will square off at Petco Park, while AL West foes Oakland and Houston hook up at Dodger Stadium.
#1 Tampa Bay Rays vs. #5 New York Yankees
at Petco Park, San Diego
TB: 42-20 SU, 28-31-3 O/U
NYY: 35-27 SU, 31-27-4 O/U
Series Price
Tampa Bay -110
New York -110
Series Schedule
Game 1 - Monday, Oct. 5 - 8:07 p.m. ET (TBS)
Game 2 - Tuesday, Oct. 6 - TBD (TBS)
Game 3 - Wednesday, Oct. 7 - TBD (TBS)
Game 4 - Thursday, Oct. 8 - (If Necessary)
Game 5 - Friday, Oct. 9 - (If Necessary)
The Rays and Yankees aren't exactly the best of friends as these two division rivals are meeting in the postseason for the first time ever. Tampa Bay cruised to the AL East title for the third time in franchise history and first time since 2010. The Yankees are making their fourth straight playoff appearance as they are seeking their first World Series trip since 2009.
Tampa Bay took care of Toronto in the Wild Card round by outscoring the Blue Jays, 11-3 in a pair of wins. Former Cy Young winner Blake Snell won his first ever playoff start in a 3-1 triumph in Game 1, followed by six-run second inning breakout by the Rays in an 8-2 blowout in Game 2.
The Yankees' potent offense showed up by posting a pair of double-digit run performances in a two-game sweep of the Indians. New York rolled past Cleveland in the series opener, 12-3 behind Gerrit Cole's 13 strikeouts in seven innings. The Yankees erased an early 4-0 hole and a ninth-inning deficit to capture Game 2 by a 10-9 count behind three home runs, including a grand slam by third baseman Gio Urshela.
The Rays have advanced to the ALCS only once in franchise history, coming during their World Series run in 2008. The Yankees are seeking their third ALCS appearance in the last four seasons as they lost to the Astros the first two times (and are still alive in the other ALDS matchup).
Tampa Bay dominated the season series by taking eight of 10 meetings from New York. The Rays knocked off the Yankees five of six times in the Bronx, while Tampa Bay went 2-1 in three games against Cole, who is scheduled to start Game 1. Rays' hurler Tyler Glasnow defeated Cole and the Yankees twice, as the right-hander struck out 17 batters in the two victories.
#2 Oakland Athletics vs. #6 Houston Astros
at Dodger Stadium - Los Angeles
OAK: 38-25 SU, 28-33-2 O/U
HOU: 31-31 SU, 29-30-3 O/U
Series Price
Oakland -120
Houston +100
Series Schedule
Game 1 - Monday, Oct. 5 - 4:07 p.m. ET (TBS)
Game 2 - Tuesday, Oct. 6 - TBD (TBS)
Game 3 - Wednesday, Oct. 7 - TBD (TBS)
Game 4 - Thursday, Oct. 8 - (If Necessary)
Game 5 - Friday, Oct. 9 - (If Necessary)
No matter the sign-stealing controversy, the injuries, the managerial change prior to the season - the Astros just won't go away. Houston finished the season as one of two playoff teams to own a losing record, but the Astros managed a two-game sweep of the Twins, who have amazingly lost 18 consecutive playoff contests since 2004.
The Astros are still the defending American League champions and are seeking a third World Series trip since 2017. Houston's pitching carried them past Minnesota in the Wild Card round by allowing one run in each of the two wins. Houston cashed as a road underdog in each victory, as the Astros entered the playoffs with the worst away mark of any postseason squad.
The Athletics put up a dud offensively in Game 1 against the White Sox, but Oakland rebounded with five runs in a Game 2 victory and six runs in the series-clinching triumph of Game 3. The A's rallied from a 3-0 deficit in the deciding game with a four-run fourth inning to capture a playoff series for the first time since 2006.
Oakland has had some tough luck in the Wild Card round the last few seasons, but is playing in the ALDS for the first time since 2013, when the A's fell to the Tigers in five games. The Astros have advanced past the ALDS each of the last three seasons, but needed five games to knock out the Rays in 2019.
The A's won six of 10 meetings this season from the Astros, as Houston was limited to two runs or fewer in seven of those games. As a result, seven of those matchups finished 'under' the total, while the favorite won eight of 10 times.
