Sunday Service Play Thread 10/18/2020

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Let's go Brandon!
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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

Please do not post Twitter plays or forum member plays in this thread.

Do Not Post this service:
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Starting ASAP when Posting a service play that has Units, Do NOT use *1, *2, 3*, units

Post as the following, A,B,C,D, etc

and absolutely No Write-ups

So for an example this is how it should be posted

Bob Blow : B) Saints -7

Frank Jones : C) New England -11

or Dave The Wave : Denver +11 (D)

You can also say for Multiple plays

Jack Watts C plays
Saints -7
Pats -11

D plays
Buffalo -2
 

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Warren sharp



open
Add: 256 Minnesota Vikings Under 56.5 (0.75 units)___
271 Green Bay Packers Over 52 ( A )
261 Cleveland Browns Over 50 ( A )

open
 

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HITMAN | NFL Side - Monday, Oct 19 2020 8:15PM
276 DAL 3.0(-115) Bookmaker vs 275 ARI triple-dime bet

Analysis: Overreaction to the Dak injury. The look ahead line on this game was Cowboys -3, and despite Dak obviously being a better quarterback then Andy Dalton, the difference is just not worth the line move.


Dallas has arguably the best wide receivers in the NFL, and an excellent running back to help offset the loss of Dak. Andy Dalton in Cincinnati was more then serviceable when he had top end weapons around him.


The weakness of this Cowboys offense is the offensive line, however, the Cardinals are 28th in the NFL in pressure rate this season. And that was with superstar edge rusher Chandler Jones, who is now out for the season. Jones is one of the few defenders in the NFL actually worth 0.5-1 point to the point spread.


The spot favors Dallas, as a team who's back is now against the wall and must rally around Andy Dalton, while the Cardinals are playing their third straight road game.


I make this game PK


 

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HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Oct 18 2020 1:00PM
256 MIN -3.0(-120) Bookmaker vs 255 ATL triple-dime bet

Analysis: The Vikings have owned the Falcons under Mike Zimmer, going 4-0 SUATS. More telling story is what Zimmer has done to Matt Ryan in those four matchups, specifically in the last three matchups.


Ryan's offense has scored 12, 10, and 9 points against Zimmer's defense in those matchups. Obviously, the Vikings defense is not what they used to be, but Ryan is not what he used to be as well. Over Ryan's last 30 drives, he is completing only 58.9% of his passes for 685 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Film watchers have said Ryan looks noticeably older. The Falcons have scored 16 points in each of their last two games against two suspect defenses in Green Bay and Atlanta.


The Vikings offensive line is the weak spot of their offense, but Atlanta can not take advantage of that. The Vikings offense has been excellent in three games this season against teams with a weak defensive line (TEN/HOU/SEA). Against two teams that could dominate them up front, they struggled (GB/IND). Atlanta is the 31st ranked defense in YPP allowed and Minnesota should be able to run and pass on them, with or without Dalvin Cook.


Mike Zimmer is an NFL best 61.9% ATS since 2014, but he's especially elite after a loss (30-10 ATS). In non division home games, Zimmer is 24-7-2 ATS. Non division home games off a loss, Minnesota is 10-0 ATS.




Reminder, don't buy a "GOY" pick thinking that it's some lock, because it's not. We have hit at a very high win percentage over the last two years selling, and years prior in the forums (57%). For me to step up with a big release on this game, I believe this is a 60% ish bet, which means in my mind it's going to lose 4 times out of 10. But in the long run, I think this is a great bet and I feel my handicap on the game is strong. Don't go crazy and bet half your bankroll on one game. Play this a little bigger then our other releases this season, and that's it. Good luck!
 

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Warren Sharp

Add for tonight: 481 Buffalo Bills Over 51 -118 (buy 0.5) (0.75 units)
___
256 Minnesota Vikings Under 56.5 (0.75 units)
271 Green Bay Packers Over 52 (1 unit)
261 Cleveland Browns Over 50 (1 unit)

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Let's go Brandon!
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Texas Tornado - NFL Week 6

Rating A: Minnesota Vikings - 3
 

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FEZZIK | NFL SIDE SUN, 10/18/20 - 4:25 PM
272 TAM 2.0 (-110) Pinnacle vs 271 GBP

triple-dime bet

Analysis:

AND BONUS TEASER:


2* 6 point teaser

272 Ta“mpa +8 to 276 Dallas +8.5
 

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Marc Lawrence Monday Night Play is Dallas Cowboys . Anyone have his A NFL Game Of The Month?
 

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Greg Shaker | NFL Total - Monday, Oct 19 2020 5:00PM
277 KAN / 278 BUF UNDER 58.0 Bookmaker BB
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Marc Lawrence

A - Browns + 4
 

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Goodfella 10/18

Goodfella | NFL Side - Sunday, Oct 18 2020 1:00PM
263 BAL -1.0(-130) Southpointvs 264 PHI - C bet

Analysis:
C - NFL Teaser

BALTIMORE RAVENS -1 to NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -2
 

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