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Thread: Sunday Service Play Thread 10/18/2020

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  1. #1 Sunday Service Play Thread 10/18/2020 
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    Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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  2. #2  
    Super Moderator Betallsports's Avatar
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    Starting ASAP when Posting a service play that has Units, Do NOT use *1, *2, 3*, units

    Post as the following, A,B,C,D, etc

    and absolutely No Write-ups

    So for an example this is how it should be posted

    Bob Blow : B) Saints -7

    Frank Jones : C) New England -11

    or Dave The Wave : Denver +11 (D)

    You can also say for Multiple plays

    Jack Watts C plays
    Saints -7
    Pats -11

    D plays
    Buffalo -2
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  3. #3  
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    Warren sharp



    Add: 256 Minnesota Vikings Under 56.5 (0.75 units)___
    271 Green Bay Packers Over 52 ( A )
    261 Cleveland Browns Over 50 ( A )

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  4. #4  
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    HITMAN | NFL Side - Monday, Oct 19 2020 8:15PM
    276 DAL 3.0(-115) Bookmaker vs 275 ARI triple-dime bet

    Analysis: Overreaction to the Dak injury. The look ahead line on this game was Cowboys -3, and despite Dak obviously being a better quarterback then Andy Dalton, the difference is just not worth the line move.


    Dallas has arguably the best wide receivers in the NFL, and an excellent running back to help offset the loss of Dak. Andy Dalton in Cincinnati was more then serviceable when he had top end weapons around him.


    The weakness of this Cowboys offense is the offensive line, however, the Cardinals are 28th in the NFL in pressure rate this season. And that was with superstar edge rusher Chandler Jones, who is now out for the season. Jones is one of the few defenders in the NFL actually worth 0.5-1 point to the point spread.


    The spot favors Dallas, as a team who's back is now against the wall and must rally around Andy Dalton, while the Cardinals are playing their third straight road game.


    I make this game PK


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  5. #5  
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    Thanks Yankee

    Hitman Goy
    Vikings -3
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  6. #6  
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    HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Oct 18 2020 1:00PM
    256 MIN -3.0(-120) Bookmaker vs 255 ATL triple-dime bet

    Analysis: The Vikings have owned the Falcons under Mike Zimmer, going 4-0 SUATS. More telling story is what Zimmer has done to Matt Ryan in those four matchups, specifically in the last three matchups.


    Ryan's offense has scored 12, 10, and 9 points against Zimmer's defense in those matchups. Obviously, the Vikings defense is not what they used to be, but Ryan is not what he used to be as well. Over Ryan's last 30 drives, he is completing only 58.9% of his passes for 685 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Film watchers have said Ryan looks noticeably older. The Falcons have scored 16 points in each of their last two games against two suspect defenses in Green Bay and Atlanta.


    The Vikings offensive line is the weak spot of their offense, but Atlanta can not take advantage of that. The Vikings offense has been excellent in three games this season against teams with a weak defensive line (TEN/HOU/SEA). Against two teams that could dominate them up front, they struggled (GB/IND). Atlanta is the 31st ranked defense in YPP allowed and Minnesota should be able to run and pass on them, with or without Dalvin Cook.


    Mike Zimmer is an NFL best 61.9% ATS since 2014, but he's especially elite after a loss (30-10 ATS). In non division home games, Zimmer is 24-7-2 ATS. Non division home games off a loss, Minnesota is 10-0 ATS.




    Reminder, don't buy a "GOY" pick thinking that it's some lock, because it's not. We have hit at a very high win percentage over the last two years selling, and years prior in the forums (57%). For me to step up with a big release on this game, I believe this is a 60% ish bet, which means in my mind it's going to lose 4 times out of 10. But in the long run, I think this is a great bet and I feel my handicap on the game is strong. Don't go crazy and bet half your bankroll on one game. Play this a little bigger then our other releases this season, and that's it. Good luck!
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  7. #7  
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    Add for tonight: 481 Buffalo Bills Over 51 -118 (buy 0.5) (0.75 units)
    ___
    256 Minnesota Vikings Under 56.5 (0.75 units)
    271 Green Bay Packers Over 52 (1 unit)
    261 Cleveland Browns Over 50 (1 unit)

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  8. #8  
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    Texas Tornado - NFL Week 6

    Rating A: Minnesota Vikings - 3
    Free Heber! Heber Carl Jentzsch, 84, President of the Church of Scientology International, is believed to be held in a Scientology prison (RPF). He has not been seen since 2005.
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  9. #9  
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    FEZZIK | NFL SIDE SUN, 10/18/20 - 4:25 PM
    272 TAM 2.0 (-110) Pinnacle vs 271 GBP

    triple-dime bet

    Analysis:

    AND BONUS TEASER:


    2* 6 point teaser

    272 Ta“mpa +8 to 276 Dallas +8.5
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  10. #10  
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    Football Jesus Podcast Steelers, Tampa Bay FREE picks
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  11. #11  
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    Colin's Blazin 5
    Steelers -4
    NE -9.5
    Baltimore -7.5
    Green Bay -1
    San Fran + 3.5
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  12. #12  
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    Free Heber! Heber Carl Jentzsch, 84, President of the Church of Scientology International, is believed to be held in a Scientology prison (RPF). He has not been seen since 2005.
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  13. #13  
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    Marc Lawrence Monday Night Play is Dallas Cowboys . Anyone have his A NFL Game Of The Month?
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  14. #14  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Galen Thomas View Post
    Marc Lawrence Monday Night Play is Dallas Cowboys . Anyone have his A NFL Game Of The Month?
    one

    And it's is 5* Phone Service Play; not listed on his Newsletter...
    I am looking too!
    GL
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  15. #15  
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    From Pregame King Creole Sports B) Over 54 HO at TN. Anyone Have Marc Lawrence NFL GOM?
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  16. #16  
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    Greg Shaker | NFL Total - Monday, Oct 19 2020 5:00PM
    277 KAN / 278 BUF UNDER 58.0 Bookmaker BB
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  17. #17  
    RX Wizard sdf's Avatar
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    will grab MTI this week
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  18. #18  
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    Marc Lawrence

    A - Browns + 4
    Free Heber! Heber Carl Jentzsch, 84, President of the Church of Scientology International, is believed to be held in a Scientology prison (RPF). He has not been seen since 2005.
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  19. #19  
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    Goodfella 10/18

    Goodfella | NFL Side - Sunday, Oct 18 2020 1:00PM
    263 BAL -1.0(-130) Southpointvs 264 PHI - C bet

    Analysis:
    C - NFL Teaser

    BALTIMORE RAVENS -1 to NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -2
    Free Heber! Heber Carl Jentzsch, 84, President of the Church of Scientology International, is believed to be held in a Scientology prison (RPF). He has not been seen since 2005.
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  20. #20  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buzz Kill View Post
    Marc Lawrence

    A - Browns + 4
    Oops, this may be wrong, get this play confirmed first if you are betting or fading it.
    Free Heber! Heber Carl Jentzsch, 84, President of the Church of Scientology International, is believed to be held in a Scientology prison (RPF). He has not been seen since 2005.
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  21. #21  
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    Quote Originally Posted by sdf View Post
    will grab MTI this week
    Ok tried venmoing, u let me know if received
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  22. #22  
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    HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Oct 18 2020 4:25PM
    271 GBP / 272 TAM OVER 55.0 Pinnacledouble-dime bet
    Last edited by Betallsports; 10-18-2020 at 04:57 PM. Reason: took out link
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  23. #23  
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    HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Oct 18 2020 8:20PM
    274 SFX 3.5(-110) Southpoint vs 273 LOS double-dime bet

    Analysis: SUNDAY NFL PROPS




    Aaron Jones (GB) U67.5 rush yds -115 (PB)

    C.J. Board (NYG) U21.5 rec yds -130 (MGM)

    David Montgomery (CHI) O59.5 rush yds -130 (DK)

    David Montgomery (CHI) O24.5 rec yds -110 (MGM)

    Cam Akers (LAR) O29.5 rush yds -110 (DK)

    Mark Ingram (BAL) U45.5 rush yds -115 (PB)

    Tyler Higbee (LAR) U34.5 rec yds -110 (FD)









    The 49ers looked awful on Sunday. We all saw it. And so did the market, as the look ahead line on this game (49ers -3) has now moved six points.


    Jimmy G is practicing in full as of Wednesday. Do I believe he will be fully healthy? I do not believe he's 100%, but that's a great sign for his future health and we are getting San Francisco at a premium price due to the negativity surrounding his first half performance against Miami.


    The Rams are a run first, low average depth of target offense this season, which actually plays to the 49ers strengths considering their run defense is 7th in the NFL in YPC allowed and their horrendous corners won't be threatened downfield as often as someone like Ryan Fitzpatrick did. Jared Goff leads the NFL in yards per pass attempt from a clean pocket (10.6 Y/A) while ranking 32nd under pressure (3.7 Y/A). 49ers are 3rd in the NFL in pressure rate, despite the injuries to their defensive line.


    I make this game Rams -2.5, but the 49ers are also in a tremendous spot. They are in a desperation, close to must win game against a division rival, plus the Rams are playing their fourth road game in five weeks.
    Last edited by Betallsports; 10-18-2020 at 04:57 PM. Reason: took out link
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  24. #24  
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    HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Oct 18 2020 1:00PM
    262 PIT -3.0(-110) Southpoint vs 261 CLE double-dime bet

    Analysis: Power Rating wise, this line is close to what it should be, but the market isn't properly accounting for the plus matchups the Steelers have on both sides of the ball.


    Reports say Baker Mayfield may not only be dealing with a rib issue, but he could be dealing with a sprained AC joint as well. Mayfield has struggled all season against pressure (he is 38th in the NFL in YPA under pressure), and no team in the NFL applies pressure at a higher rate then the Steelers. The run first Browns likely will not be able to run against the leagues best second best run defense (3.3 YPC allowed YTD), putting Mayfield in harms way against this pass rush.


    Pittsburgh’s line has given up the league’s seventh-lowest Sack Rate (4.0%) and third-lowest QB Hit Rate (9.4%), troublesome for the Browns, who rely on their pass rush to hide a weak secondary that has allowed the leagues third most passing touchdowns per game.



    The Browns have lost in incredible sixteen straight games in Pittsburgh. Yes, this is a new Browns team, but I still believe the Steelers are the class of their rivalry.


    Last edited by Betallsports; 10-18-2020 at 04:57 PM. Reason: took out link
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  25. #25  
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    HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Oct 18 2020 1:00PM
    251 CHI 8.5(-120) Bookmaker vs 252 CAR double-dime bet

    Analysis: 2* 6 PT TEASER: Bears +8.5/Bucs +8
    Last edited by Betallsports; 10-18-2020 at 04:58 PM. Reason: took out link
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