| Rk | Sports Services | Free Sports Picks |
| 1. | NSA(The Legend) | MLB – Dodgers -165 |
| 2. | Gameday Network | MLB – Rays -110 |
| 3. | VegasSI.com | MLB – Dodgers under 7.5 |
| 4. | Vegas Line Crushers | MLB – Rays over 8.5 |
| 5. | Sports Action 365 | MLB – Dodgers -165 |
| 6. | Point Spread Report | MLB – Rays -110 |
| 7. | Lou Panelli | MLB – Dodgers -165 |
| 8. | Gerry “Big Cat” Andino | MLB – Rays over 8.5 |
| 9. | VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club | MLB – Rays -110 |
| 10. | William E. Stockton | MLB – Dodgers -165 |
| 11. | Vincent Pioli | MLB – Rays over 8.5 |
| 12. | Steve “Scoop” Kendall | MLB – Dodgers under 7.5 |
| 13. | SCORE | MLB – Rays -110 |
| 14. | East Coast Line Movers | MLB – Dodgers -165 |
| 15. | Tony Campone | MLB – Rays -110 |
| 16. | Chicago Sports Group | MLB – Dodgers under 7.5 |
| 17. | Hollywood Sportsline | MLB – Rays -110 |
| 18. | VIP Action | MLB – Dodgers -165 |
| 19. | South Beach Sports | MLB – Rays over 8.5 |
| 20. | Las Vegas Sports Commission | MLB – Dodgers -165 |
| 21. | NY Players Club | MLB – Rays over 8.5 |
| 22. | Fred Callahan | MLB – Dodgers under 7.5 |
| 23. | Las Vegas Private CEO Club | MLB – Rays -110 |
| 24. | Michigan Sports | MLB – Rays over 8.5 |
| 25. | National Consensus Report | MLB – Dodgers -165 |
Mitchell Newman
Last night' series opener between Atlanta and Los Angeles was a 1-1 game deep into the Arlington night before the Braves got a little offensive in the top half of the 9th and scored 4 runs. The final score of 5-1 was not good enough though for Over players as the Braves once again did the job on the mound and played another postseason Under.
Atlanta has played 6 games this October and 5 of the 6, with each of their last 3 have landed Under the total. They have allowed a grand total of just 6 runs and 5 of those runs game in one game against Miami!!!
Ian Anderson's pair of postseason starts have yet to see an earned run score in almost 12 innings with 17 strikeouts along the way.
As for the Dodgers, they have played 4 of their 6 this postseason Under the total and starter Clayton Kershaw has been on top of his game this October with 14 innings pitched, 3 runs allowed and 19 strikeouts recorded.
I have a feeling the runs are going to be at a premium again in Texas this Tuesday night.
Braves-Dodgers to land Under the total.
3* ATLANTA-L.A.DODGERS UNDER
Last night' series opener between Atlanta and Los Angeles was a 1-1 game deep into the Arlington night before the Braves got a little offensive in the top half of the 9th and scored 4 runs. The final score of 5-1 was not good enough though for Over players as the Braves once again did the job on the mound and played another postseason Under.
Atlanta has played 6 games this October and 5 of the 6, with each of their last 3 have landed Under the total. They have allowed a grand total of just 6 runs and 5 of those runs game in one game against Miami!!!
Ian Anderson's pair of postseason starts have yet to see an earned run score in almost 12 innings with 17 strikeouts along the way.
As for the Dodgers, they have played 4 of their 6 this postseason Under the total and starter Clayton Kershaw has been on top of his game this October with 14 innings pitched, 3 runs allowed and 19 strikeouts recorded.
I have a feeling the runs are going to be at a premium again in Texas this Tuesday night.
Braves-Dodgers to land Under the total.
3* ATLANTA-L.A.DODGERS UNDER
MLB public betting, line movement October 13
Patrick Everson
Brandon Lowe and the Rays look to take a commanding 3-0 ALCS lead when they meet the Astros on Wednesday night. Caesars sportsbooks opened Game 3 a -105 pick 'em.
MLB betting odds are on the board for a Tuesday schedule that again has both the ALCS and NLCS in play. The Tampa Bay Rays can take firm control of their series against the Houston Astros, and Clayton Kershaw and the Los Angeles Dodgers look to bounce back against the Atlanta Braves.
Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early movement and public betting for Tuesday’s games.
MLB line movement
Tampa Bay notched a 4-2 victory Monday over Houston to take a 2-0 lead in the ALCS. A Rays win in Tuesday’s 8:40 p.m. ET Game 3 would make it very difficult for the defending AL champion Astros to return to the World Series. Caesars books opened Game 3 a -105 pick ‘em, and there was no movement through Monday night.
Atlanta and Los Angeles played a Game 1 gem in the NLCS, going to the ninth inning tied at 1. Then the Braves produced four runs in the top of the ninth to get a 5-1 victory. But with Kershaw toeing the slab in Tuesday’s 6:05 p.m. ET start, Caesars opened at Dodgers -155/Braves +145 late Monday night.
MLB public betting
The consensus is often a good indicator of what the public thinks, and on Monday night, there was belief that Houston would rebound in Game 3. The Astros were taking 70 percent of early picks against the Rays.
Likewise, the expectation Monday night was that the Dodgers would knot up the series with the Braves. Los Angeles was attracting 67 percent of early consensus picks.
Patrick Everson
Brandon Lowe and the Rays look to take a commanding 3-0 ALCS lead when they meet the Astros on Wednesday night. Caesars sportsbooks opened Game 3 a -105 pick 'em.
MLB betting odds are on the board for a Tuesday schedule that again has both the ALCS and NLCS in play. The Tampa Bay Rays can take firm control of their series against the Houston Astros, and Clayton Kershaw and the Los Angeles Dodgers look to bounce back against the Atlanta Braves.
Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early movement and public betting for Tuesday’s games.
MLB line movement
Tampa Bay notched a 4-2 victory Monday over Houston to take a 2-0 lead in the ALCS. A Rays win in Tuesday’s 8:40 p.m. ET Game 3 would make it very difficult for the defending AL champion Astros to return to the World Series. Caesars books opened Game 3 a -105 pick ‘em, and there was no movement through Monday night.
Atlanta and Los Angeles played a Game 1 gem in the NLCS, going to the ninth inning tied at 1. Then the Braves produced four runs in the top of the ninth to get a 5-1 victory. But with Kershaw toeing the slab in Tuesday’s 6:05 p.m. ET start, Caesars opened at Dodgers -155/Braves +145 late Monday night.
MLB public betting
The consensus is often a good indicator of what the public thinks, and on Monday night, there was belief that Houston would rebound in Game 3. The Astros were taking 70 percent of early picks against the Rays.
Likewise, the expectation Monday night was that the Dodgers would knot up the series with the Braves. Los Angeles was attracting 67 percent of early consensus picks.
[h=2]Rob V: Tuesday Comp Play[/h]
Tuesday card has the 19-0 System AFC Game of the Month, along with the Soccer game of the Week and our 29-2 league Championship Power System Play. Soccer comp below
The UEFA Nations League Play is on Germany over Switzerland at 2:45 eastern. The Germans beat Ukraine last out a team Switzerland lost to recently as well as Spain, the Swiss will likely be out of playoff contention after today. Germany needs this one as they are 2 points behind Spain. Look for Germany to get the win. On Tuesday we have uncovered a 19-0 system that applies to the NFL Game its the AFC Game of the Month. There is also a 29-2 league championship playoff System and an afternoon Soccer Game of the Week in World cup Qualifiers. See us on facebook to jump on. For the Comp play. Play on Germany. Rob V- GC Sports
The UEFA Nations League Play is on Germany over Switzerland at 2:45 eastern. The Germans beat Ukraine last out a team Switzerland lost to recently as well as Spain, the Swiss will likely be out of playoff contention after today. Germany needs this one as they are 2 points behind Spain. Look for Germany to get the win. On Tuesday we have uncovered a 19-0 system that applies to the NFL Game its the AFC Game of the Month. There is also a 29-2 league championship playoff System and an afternoon Soccer Game of the Week in World cup Qualifiers. See us on facebook to jump on. For the Comp play. Play on Germany. Rob V- GC Sports
MLB
Long Sheet
Tuesday, October 13
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TAMPA BAY (47 - 22) at HOUSTON (34 - 34) - 8:40 PM
RYAN YARBROUGH (L) vs. JOSE URQUIDY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 47-22 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-8 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 26-14 (+12.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 31-15 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 36-13 (+20.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 30-15 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 34-34 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 89-71 (-21.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 46-42 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)
RYAN YARBROUGH vs. HOUSTON since 1997
YARBROUGH is 0-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
JOSE URQUIDY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ATLANTA (41 - 25) vs. LA DODGERS (48 - 18) - 6:05 PM
IAN ANDERSON (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 140-93 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 16-5 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
IAN ANDERSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.
CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. ATLANTA since 1997
KERSHAW is 7-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.49 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 12-2 (+8.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-6. (+0.8 units)
Long Sheet
Tuesday, October 13
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TAMPA BAY (47 - 22) at HOUSTON (34 - 34) - 8:40 PM
RYAN YARBROUGH (L) vs. JOSE URQUIDY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 47-22 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-8 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 26-14 (+12.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 31-15 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 36-13 (+20.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 30-15 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 34-34 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 89-71 (-21.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 46-42 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)
RYAN YARBROUGH vs. HOUSTON since 1997
YARBROUGH is 0-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
JOSE URQUIDY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ATLANTA (41 - 25) vs. LA DODGERS (48 - 18) - 6:05 PM
IAN ANDERSON (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 140-93 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 16-5 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
IAN ANDERSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.
CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. ATLANTA since 1997
KERSHAW is 7-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.49 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 12-2 (+8.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-6. (+0.8 units)
MLB
Tuesday, October 13
Best-of-7 series
Houston vs Tampa Bay (2-0) (@ San Diego)
Urquidy is 0-0, 3.74 in his last four starts.
— Houston is 3-4 in his starts, 1-3 away from home.
— Under is 4-3 in his seven starts.
— Urquidy is 1-0, 2.89 in six playoff games (3 starts).
— He has never pitched against Tampa Bay.
— Astros won five of their eight playoff games, but scored total of 3 runs in losing first two games in this series.
— Houston is in playoffs for 4th year in a row; they won World Series in 2017, lost World Series last season.
— Under is 5-3 in their playoff games.
— Astros are 14-26 on road this season.
Yarbrough has a 2.14 RA in his last four appearances (21 IP)
— Tampa Bay is 4-5 in his starts, 3-3 away from home, but some of his appearances aren’t starts.
— Under is 7-2 in his starts this year.
— Yarbrough allowed two runs in 8 IP in four playoff stints, all in relief.
— He is 0-1, 2.92 in 2 career games (1 start) vs Houston.
— Tampa Bay won seven of its nine playoff games.
— Rays are in playoffs for second year in a row.
— Tampa Bay is 27-13 away from home this season.
— Under is 6-3 in their playoff games.
— Rays lost ALDS 3-2 to Houston last season.
Atlanta (1-0) vs Los Angeles (@ Arlington)
Anderson is 5-2, 2.05 in his first eight MLB starts.
— Atlanta is 12-1 in his starts, 5-0 away from home.
— Under is 5-1-2 in his starts.
— Anderson has thrown 11.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs.
— He has never pitched against the Dodgers.
— Braves allowed total of six runs in winning first six playoff games.
— Atlanta is in playoffs for the third year in a row.
— Braves are 22-14 away from home this season.
— Under is 5-1 in their playoff games.
Kershaw is 3-0, 2.67 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 9-2 in his starts this season.
— Over is 4-2 in his last six starts.
— Kershaw is 11-11, 4.23 in 34 career playoff games (27 starts).
— He is 5-0, 1.78 in 11 starts vs Atlanta.
— Dodgers are 48-18 this year, winning nine of last ten games.
— Dodgers are in playoffs for the 8th year in a row.
— LA is 27-9 away from home this season.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Tuesday, October 13
Best-of-7 series
Houston vs Tampa Bay (2-0) (@ San Diego)
Urquidy is 0-0, 3.74 in his last four starts.
— Houston is 3-4 in his starts, 1-3 away from home.
— Under is 4-3 in his seven starts.
— Urquidy is 1-0, 2.89 in six playoff games (3 starts).
— He has never pitched against Tampa Bay.
— Astros won five of their eight playoff games, but scored total of 3 runs in losing first two games in this series.
— Houston is in playoffs for 4th year in a row; they won World Series in 2017, lost World Series last season.
— Under is 5-3 in their playoff games.
— Astros are 14-26 on road this season.
Yarbrough has a 2.14 RA in his last four appearances (21 IP)
— Tampa Bay is 4-5 in his starts, 3-3 away from home, but some of his appearances aren’t starts.
— Under is 7-2 in his starts this year.
— Yarbrough allowed two runs in 8 IP in four playoff stints, all in relief.
— He is 0-1, 2.92 in 2 career games (1 start) vs Houston.
— Tampa Bay won seven of its nine playoff games.
— Rays are in playoffs for second year in a row.
— Tampa Bay is 27-13 away from home this season.
— Under is 6-3 in their playoff games.
— Rays lost ALDS 3-2 to Houston last season.
Atlanta (1-0) vs Los Angeles (@ Arlington)
Anderson is 5-2, 2.05 in his first eight MLB starts.
— Atlanta is 12-1 in his starts, 5-0 away from home.
— Under is 5-1-2 in his starts.
— Anderson has thrown 11.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs.
— He has never pitched against the Dodgers.
— Braves allowed total of six runs in winning first six playoff games.
— Atlanta is in playoffs for the third year in a row.
— Braves are 22-14 away from home this season.
— Under is 5-1 in their playoff games.
Kershaw is 3-0, 2.67 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 9-2 in his starts this season.
— Over is 4-2 in his last six starts.
— Kershaw is 11-11, 4.23 in 34 career playoff games (27 starts).
— He is 5-0, 1.78 in 11 starts vs Atlanta.
— Dodgers are 48-18 this year, winning nine of last ten games.
— Dodgers are in playoffs for the 8th year in a row.
— LA is 27-9 away from home this season.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
MLB
Tuesday, October 13
Trend Report
Atlanta @ LA Dodgers
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay @ Houston
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Houston
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Tuesday, October 13
Trend Report
Atlanta @ LA Dodgers
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay @ Houston
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Houston
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Bills vs. Titans Week 5 Odds, Preview
Michael Crosson
It is safe to say no NFL organization has been ravaged more by the coronavirus pandemic than the Tennessee Titans (3-0), after the news broke Sunday morning confirming the team’s 24th COVID-19 case among players and personnel since September 24th, again forcing the shutdown of Tennessee’s practice facilities.
The Titans already had last week’s matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers postponed to Week 7, so it is critical for strategic and rest related purposes that this game with the Buffalo Bills (4-0) kicks off for Mike Vrabel’s team on Tuesday night.
The future of this matchup between the Bills and Titans appeared foggy throughout the course of the week, but after no positive tests to report from either camp Monday morning, it looks like this game is going to make the cut in Week 5. So, a special Tuesday-Edition of NFL Best Bets is on the way.
Betting Resources
Week 5 Matchup: AFC vs. AFC
Venue: Nisan Stadium
Location: Nashville, TN
Date: Tuesday, Oct. 13, 2020
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
The Buffalo Bills have been installed as favorites in all four of their games this season, which includes a pair of road tilts. (AP)
Line Movements
The Bills and Titans both come into Week 5 boasting perfect records, but the oddsmakers have elected to lean with the team that has been able to adequately practice and prepare all week – setting the line at Buffalo -3.5.
The potential of a shootout is beginning to fill the air in Nashville prior to the Titans’ Tuesday night showdown, as 6 out of the 7 games played by Buffalo and Tennessee so far this year have gone ‘over’ the total. The ‘over-under’ for this Bills-Titans matchup has been set at an accordingly lofty total of 53 points.
Spread: Buffalo -3.5
Money-Line: Buffalo -175, Tennessee +155
Total: 53
2020 Betting Stats
Buffalo
(Rank)
Overall: 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS, 3-0-1 O/U
Road: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-0-1 O/U
Offense PPG: 30.8 (6)
Defense PPG: 25.0 (16)
Offense YPG: Overall 409 (3), Rush 93.5 (28), Pass 316 (2)
Defense YPG: Overall 381 (20), Rush 101 (8), Pass 280 (29)
Tennessee
Overall: 3-0 SU, 0-3 ATS, 2-1 O/U
Home: 1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS, 1-0 O/U
Offense PPG: 26.7 (14)
Defense PPG: 24.7 (15)
Offense YPG: Overall 391 (12), Rush 129 (9), Pass 262 (14)
Defense YPG: Overall 422 (28), Rush 166 (31), Pass 256 (23)
Head-to-Head History
All-Time Series Record: Titans lead 28-19
Oct. 6, 2019 - Buffalo 14 at Tennessee 7, Bills +3, Under 39
Oct. 7, 2018 - Buffalo 13 vs. Tennessee 12, Bills +6, Under 38.5
Oct. 11, 2015 - Buffalo 14 at Tennessee 13, Pick 'em, Under 42.5
The layouts and methodology of these two teams has changed dramatically since the last time the Bills and Titans met up, but for what it is worth, the most recent meeting between them was a matchup back in Week 5 of last season, when a Marcus Mariota led Tennessee team managed to muster up just seven total points against Buffalo – possibly the Titan’s most painful loss of the season, 14-7.
The biggest upgrade for Buffalo this season has come from the speedy progression of quarterback Josh Allen, who has completely broken out of his shell in 2020, completing over 70% of his passes with a 12-1 TD/INT ratio.
Give credit, where credit is due though. Some of Allen’s success can be attributed to the Bills’ re-vamped receiving core headed by the newly acquired Stefon Diggs in the offseason – who is leading Buffalo’s pass-catching tandem with 26 receptions (8 catches for 20 + yards), 403 receiving yards, and 2 touchdowns.
Tennessee has the same ground-and-pound identity it possessed last time out against Sean McDermott’s Bills, they are just simply more capable of slinging the ball around the yard when needed with Ryan Tannehill under center this go-around.
Just because the Titans can throw the ball now, does not mean that is the direction Coach Vrabel is looking to head with his offense. He wants to pound the ball with Derrick Henry (82 carries, 319 rush yards, 3 games). He wants his team focused on dominating time of possession and winning the turnover battle. Let’s see if Tennessee can be the first team to stop the Josh Allen-Train.
Handicapping the Total
The ‘over’ is 4-0 in Buffalo’s first four matchups to open the 2020 season, as Bills’ contests have contained an average of 55.75 total points during their young quarterback’s explosive start to the year.
Buffalo scored a mere 19.6 points per game last season, ranking 19th in the NFL. In 2020, the Bills are scoring an average of 30.8 points per game – jumping all the way up to 5th in the league in scoring.
The ‘over-under’ for this contest sits at 53, and I think that bar has been set just a little too low. I envision the Bills leading for the majority of this game, and Tennessee having to play catch-up. Buffalo’s secondary has already been questionable so far this year, and now with White being banged up, I think Tannehill will find success playing catch-up.
It is not personally my “best bet” of the night, but I think ‘over 53’ is a good bet for this game. We should see fireworks between the Bills and Texans on Tuesday night.
Handicapping the Side
The Titans have had 13 players test positive for COVID-19 since September 24th, causing the team’s practice facilities to shut down for the whole month of October. Tennessee got back to practice on Saturday morning, but just three days of on-field practice to prepare for any team is a tough task, let alone take down an undefeated Bills squad.
Tennessee is undeniably well rested, but I believe if any team had to choose between a week of practice versus a week of rest, they would take the week of practice every time.
If the Titans and Bills were both at full strength, and had a full week of practice, I may be hesitant to side with Buffalo at anything more than a field goal spread. But there are just too many unknowns surrounding Tennessee heading into this game. I trust that with the extra rest and preparation time, the Bills will outlast the Titans in this one.
The Bills beat the Titans by a touchdown last time they met up, and Coach McDermott’s team is here to prove that they are even better than they were last year.
I think Buffalo gets Tennessee by at least a touchdown in this one. Depending on your book, you might be able to bet on an alternate spread of Bills -6.5 at +125 odds or higher.
Key Injuries
Buffalo
G Brian Winters: Knee - Questionable
LB Del'Shawn Phillips: Quad - Questionable
CB Tre'Davious White: Back - Questionable
WR Andre Roberts: Ankle - Questionable
OT Cody Ford: Groin - Questionable
LB Matt Milano: Pec - Out
RB Zack Moss: Toe - Questionable
WR John Brown: Knee - Questionable
Tennessee
OT Taylor Lewan: Shoulder - Questionable
WR A.J. Brown: Knee - Questionable
Do not be fooled by the emptiness of the Titan’s injury report as players who test positive for COVID do not get placed on the list.
A.J. Brown is listed as questionable for Tuesday’s contest, but I expect him to play considering it was reported there was a chance he might suit up against the Steelers last week had the game not been postponed – and Tennessee will likely be without receivers Corey Davis and Adam Humphries due to coronavirus, so they need him bad on Tuesday night.
The other injury I have highlighted on this report is Bill’s corner, Tre’Davious White, listed as questionable with a back injury. The Titans receiving core has been annihilated by illness and injury so far this season, but like I mentioned earlier, Tennessee will probably get its top-wideout in Brown back for Tuesday’s tilt, which could be trouble for the Buffalo defense if its top-defensive back does not play.
Michael Crosson
It is safe to say no NFL organization has been ravaged more by the coronavirus pandemic than the Tennessee Titans (3-0), after the news broke Sunday morning confirming the team’s 24th COVID-19 case among players and personnel since September 24th, again forcing the shutdown of Tennessee’s practice facilities.
The Titans already had last week’s matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers postponed to Week 7, so it is critical for strategic and rest related purposes that this game with the Buffalo Bills (4-0) kicks off for Mike Vrabel’s team on Tuesday night.
The future of this matchup between the Bills and Titans appeared foggy throughout the course of the week, but after no positive tests to report from either camp Monday morning, it looks like this game is going to make the cut in Week 5. So, a special Tuesday-Edition of NFL Best Bets is on the way.
Betting Resources
Week 5 Matchup: AFC vs. AFC
Venue: Nisan Stadium
Location: Nashville, TN
Date: Tuesday, Oct. 13, 2020
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
The Buffalo Bills have been installed as favorites in all four of their games this season, which includes a pair of road tilts. (AP)
Line Movements
The Bills and Titans both come into Week 5 boasting perfect records, but the oddsmakers have elected to lean with the team that has been able to adequately practice and prepare all week – setting the line at Buffalo -3.5.
The potential of a shootout is beginning to fill the air in Nashville prior to the Titans’ Tuesday night showdown, as 6 out of the 7 games played by Buffalo and Tennessee so far this year have gone ‘over’ the total. The ‘over-under’ for this Bills-Titans matchup has been set at an accordingly lofty total of 53 points.
Spread: Buffalo -3.5
Money-Line: Buffalo -175, Tennessee +155
Total: 53
2020 Betting Stats
Buffalo
(Rank)
Overall: 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS, 3-0-1 O/U
Road: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-0-1 O/U
Offense PPG: 30.8 (6)
Defense PPG: 25.0 (16)
Offense YPG: Overall 409 (3), Rush 93.5 (28), Pass 316 (2)
Defense YPG: Overall 381 (20), Rush 101 (8), Pass 280 (29)
Tennessee
Overall: 3-0 SU, 0-3 ATS, 2-1 O/U
Home: 1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS, 1-0 O/U
Offense PPG: 26.7 (14)
Defense PPG: 24.7 (15)
Offense YPG: Overall 391 (12), Rush 129 (9), Pass 262 (14)
Defense YPG: Overall 422 (28), Rush 166 (31), Pass 256 (23)
Head-to-Head History
All-Time Series Record: Titans lead 28-19
Oct. 6, 2019 - Buffalo 14 at Tennessee 7, Bills +3, Under 39
Oct. 7, 2018 - Buffalo 13 vs. Tennessee 12, Bills +6, Under 38.5
Oct. 11, 2015 - Buffalo 14 at Tennessee 13, Pick 'em, Under 42.5
The layouts and methodology of these two teams has changed dramatically since the last time the Bills and Titans met up, but for what it is worth, the most recent meeting between them was a matchup back in Week 5 of last season, when a Marcus Mariota led Tennessee team managed to muster up just seven total points against Buffalo – possibly the Titan’s most painful loss of the season, 14-7.
The biggest upgrade for Buffalo this season has come from the speedy progression of quarterback Josh Allen, who has completely broken out of his shell in 2020, completing over 70% of his passes with a 12-1 TD/INT ratio.
Give credit, where credit is due though. Some of Allen’s success can be attributed to the Bills’ re-vamped receiving core headed by the newly acquired Stefon Diggs in the offseason – who is leading Buffalo’s pass-catching tandem with 26 receptions (8 catches for 20 + yards), 403 receiving yards, and 2 touchdowns.
Tennessee has the same ground-and-pound identity it possessed last time out against Sean McDermott’s Bills, they are just simply more capable of slinging the ball around the yard when needed with Ryan Tannehill under center this go-around.
Just because the Titans can throw the ball now, does not mean that is the direction Coach Vrabel is looking to head with his offense. He wants to pound the ball with Derrick Henry (82 carries, 319 rush yards, 3 games). He wants his team focused on dominating time of possession and winning the turnover battle. Let’s see if Tennessee can be the first team to stop the Josh Allen-Train.
Handicapping the Total
The ‘over’ is 4-0 in Buffalo’s first four matchups to open the 2020 season, as Bills’ contests have contained an average of 55.75 total points during their young quarterback’s explosive start to the year.
Buffalo scored a mere 19.6 points per game last season, ranking 19th in the NFL. In 2020, the Bills are scoring an average of 30.8 points per game – jumping all the way up to 5th in the league in scoring.
The ‘over-under’ for this contest sits at 53, and I think that bar has been set just a little too low. I envision the Bills leading for the majority of this game, and Tennessee having to play catch-up. Buffalo’s secondary has already been questionable so far this year, and now with White being banged up, I think Tannehill will find success playing catch-up.
It is not personally my “best bet” of the night, but I think ‘over 53’ is a good bet for this game. We should see fireworks between the Bills and Texans on Tuesday night.
Handicapping the Side
The Titans have had 13 players test positive for COVID-19 since September 24th, causing the team’s practice facilities to shut down for the whole month of October. Tennessee got back to practice on Saturday morning, but just three days of on-field practice to prepare for any team is a tough task, let alone take down an undefeated Bills squad.
Tennessee is undeniably well rested, but I believe if any team had to choose between a week of practice versus a week of rest, they would take the week of practice every time.
If the Titans and Bills were both at full strength, and had a full week of practice, I may be hesitant to side with Buffalo at anything more than a field goal spread. But there are just too many unknowns surrounding Tennessee heading into this game. I trust that with the extra rest and preparation time, the Bills will outlast the Titans in this one.
The Bills beat the Titans by a touchdown last time they met up, and Coach McDermott’s team is here to prove that they are even better than they were last year.
I think Buffalo gets Tennessee by at least a touchdown in this one. Depending on your book, you might be able to bet on an alternate spread of Bills -6.5 at +125 odds or higher.
Key Injuries
Buffalo
G Brian Winters: Knee - Questionable
LB Del'Shawn Phillips: Quad - Questionable
CB Tre'Davious White: Back - Questionable
WR Andre Roberts: Ankle - Questionable
OT Cody Ford: Groin - Questionable
LB Matt Milano: Pec - Out
RB Zack Moss: Toe - Questionable
WR John Brown: Knee - Questionable
Tennessee
OT Taylor Lewan: Shoulder - Questionable
WR A.J. Brown: Knee - Questionable
Do not be fooled by the emptiness of the Titan’s injury report as players who test positive for COVID do not get placed on the list.
A.J. Brown is listed as questionable for Tuesday’s contest, but I expect him to play considering it was reported there was a chance he might suit up against the Steelers last week had the game not been postponed – and Tennessee will likely be without receivers Corey Davis and Adam Humphries due to coronavirus, so they need him bad on Tuesday night.
The other injury I have highlighted on this report is Bill’s corner, Tre’Davious White, listed as questionable with a back injury. The Titans receiving core has been annihilated by illness and injury so far this season, but like I mentioned earlier, Tennessee will probably get its top-wideout in Brown back for Tuesday’s tilt, which could be trouble for the Buffalo defense if its top-defensive back does not play.
NFL
Week 6
Bills (4-0) @ Tennessee (3-0)
— Buffalo won its first four games, scoring 30.8 ppg.
— All four Buffalo games went over the total.
— Bills have converted 24-47 third down plays this year.
— Buffalo is 16-12-1 ATS in its last 29 road games.
— Tennessee won its first three games by combined total of six points.
— Titans are scoring 26.7 ppg; they’ve only had one turnover (+4) so far.
— Tennessee had COVID-related issues last week, didn’t play.
— Titans are 7-9-1 ATS in last 17 games at home.
— AFC South teams are 3-8 ATS outside their division, 2-3 at home.
— Buffalo won last three series games, by total of nine points.
— Average total in last three series games, 24.3.
— Bills won 14-13/14-7 in their last two trips to Nashville.
Week 6
Bills (4-0) @ Tennessee (3-0)
— Buffalo won its first four games, scoring 30.8 ppg.
— All four Buffalo games went over the total.
— Bills have converted 24-47 third down plays this year.
— Buffalo is 16-12-1 ATS in its last 29 road games.
— Tennessee won its first three games by combined total of six points.
— Titans are scoring 26.7 ppg; they’ve only had one turnover (+4) so far.
— Tennessee had COVID-related issues last week, didn’t play.
— Titans are 7-9-1 ATS in last 17 games at home.
— AFC South teams are 3-8 ATS outside their division, 2-3 at home.
— Buffalo won last three series games, by total of nine points.
— Average total in last three series games, 24.3.
— Bills won 14-13/14-7 in their last two trips to Nashville.
NFL
Week 6
Trend Report
Tuesday, October 13
Kansas City @ Buffalo
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Week 6
Trend Report
Tuesday, October 13
Kansas City @ Buffalo
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
[h=2]Bonus Play from Easy Money Sports[/h][FONT="]
Lee's Free Tuesday Selection Is
Los Angeles Dodgers w/Kershaw -165 Thank You for Stopping and Hopefully Shopping but Either Way Make Sure to Check Back for the Next Winning Update Including ANOTHER FREE SELECTION HERE for Wednesday by Noon Eastern!
[/FONT]Los Angeles Dodgers w/Kershaw -165 Thank You for Stopping and Hopefully Shopping but Either Way Make Sure to Check Back for the Next Winning Update Including ANOTHER FREE SELECTION HERE for Wednesday by Noon Eastern!
[h=2]Bonus Play from Jim Feist[/h][FONT="]Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Tuesday October 13, 2020
10/13 03:05 PM PT / 6:05 PM ET
MLB (969) ATLANTA BRAVES VS (970) LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Take: UNDER
Reason: This NLCS looks to be dominated by pitching and that's just what we got in game one as the teams were tied 1-1 late into the game until the Braves finally broke out with a 3-1 win to take a 1-0 series lead. Tonight Jim loves the dog in this game because of their starting pitcher. Ian Anderson gets the start for the Braves with a 5-2 record in his eight starts. Anderson has a great 1.43 ERA and 0.977 WHIP. Anderson has not allowed an earned run over his last three starts (17 1/3 innings. Still, he's a big dog tonight because he's facing veteran Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw is 8-2 on the season with a 2.12 ERA and 0.816 WHIP. Kershaw did allow three earned runs over six innings to the Padres in the NLDS. Two excellent starting pitchers and great bullpens on both sides. Your Bonus Play is on the UNDER.
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10/13 03:05 PM PT / 6:05 PM ET
MLB (969) ATLANTA BRAVES VS (970) LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Take: UNDER
Reason: This NLCS looks to be dominated by pitching and that's just what we got in game one as the teams were tied 1-1 late into the game until the Braves finally broke out with a 3-1 win to take a 1-0 series lead. Tonight Jim loves the dog in this game because of their starting pitcher. Ian Anderson gets the start for the Braves with a 5-2 record in his eight starts. Anderson has a great 1.43 ERA and 0.977 WHIP. Anderson has not allowed an earned run over his last three starts (17 1/3 innings. Still, he's a big dog tonight because he's facing veteran Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw is 8-2 on the season with a 2.12 ERA and 0.816 WHIP. Kershaw did allow three earned runs over six innings to the Padres in the NLDS. Two excellent starting pitchers and great bullpens on both sides. Your Bonus Play is on the UNDER.
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