Saturday 10/17/2020 Comps/Bonus Plays,Trends, Betting Info, Etc

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

Good luck! rxb@ll

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

Free Winners for Saturday, October 17th 2020 from THE LEGEND!
FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
LSU @ Florida
TIME: 3:30 PM EST
PICK: OVER 69.5

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

Saturday, October 17th, 2020 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!
FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
North Texas @ Middle Tenn State
TIME: 5:00 PM EST
PICKS: OVER 66.5

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

GAMEDAY NETWORK
FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL WINNER
SATURDAY 10/17/20
Marshall @ La Tech
Time: 6:00 PM EST
Free Pick: UNDER 52

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

VEGAS SPORTS INSIDERS
SATURDAY 10/17/2020
FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
Vanderbilt @ Missouri
TIME: 7:30 PM EST
PICK: UNDER 49

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

Sports Action 365
FREE CFB WINNER for SATURDAY 10/17/20:
PLAY Virginia @ Wake Forest OVER 64, GAME TIME 4:00 PM EST

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

Platinum Plays

[FONT=&quot]Your Free Pick: the East Carolina Pirates +2½ over Navy Saturday[/FONT]

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

Platinum Plays

[FONT=&quot]Your Free Pick: the Liberty Flames -3½ over Syracuse Saturday[/FONT]

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

109BYU -110 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

111BOSTON COLLEGE -112 VIRGINIA TECH
VIRGINIA TECH is 31-15 ATS (14.5 Units) after a game where they forced no turnovers since 1992.

113PITTSBURGH -114 MIAMI
PITTSBURGH is 28-12 ATS (14.8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

115S FLORIDA -116 TEMPLE
S FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game since 1992.

117NAVY -118 E CAROLINA
E CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

119DUKE -120 NC STATE
NC STATE is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) off road conference win since 1992.

121VIRGINIA -122 WAKE FOREST
VIRGINIA is 7-20 ATS (-15 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game since 1992.

123AUBURN -124 S CAROLINA
S CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival since 1992.

125N CAROLINA -126 FLORIDA ST
FLORIDA ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better in the last 3 seasons.

127KANSAS -128 W VIRGINIA
KANSAS are 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) versus excellent defensive teams - allowing <=285 yards/game since 1992.

129LIBERTY -130 SYRACUSE
LIBERTY is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1992.

131CLEMSON -132 GEORGIA TECH
GEORGIA TECH is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog since 1992.

133KENTUCKY -134 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games vs good rushing def. (<120 RYG) since 1992.

135TEXAS ST -136 S ALABAMA
S ALABAMA is 7-20 ATS (-15 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse since 1992.

137W KENTUCKY -138 UAB
UAB is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after going under the total in the last 3 seasons.

139OLE MISS -140 ARKANSAS
OLE MISS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

143TEXAS A&M -144 MISSISSIPPI ST
TEXAS A&M is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

145OKLAHOMA ST -146 BAYLOR
OKLAHOMA ST is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1992.

147CINCINNATI -148 TULSA
CINCINNATI is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) in road games after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992.

149UCF -150 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival since 1992.

151ARMY -152 UTSA
ARMY is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) in road games after a playing a game where 29 total points or less were scored since 1992.

153LOUISVILLE -154 NOTRE DAME
LOUISVILLE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off 2 straight losses against conference rivals in the last 3 seasons.

155LSU -156 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games after a close loss (<=6 pts) since 1992.

155LSU -156 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in home games vs poor rushing teams (<120 RYG) since 1992.

157NORTH TEXAS -158 MIDDLE TENN ST
NORTH TEXAS are 2-17 ATS (-16.7 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

159FLA INTERNATIONAL -160 CHARLOTTE
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 26-12 ATS (12.8 Units) after 2 straight overs since 1992.

161MARSHALL -162 LOUISIANA TECH
MARSHALL is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return since 1992.

163VANDERBILT -164 MISSOURI
VANDERBILT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

165GEORGIA -166 ALABAMA
GEORGIA is 74-45 ATS (24.5 Units) in road games vs. winning teams since 1992.

167SOUTHERN MISS -168 UTEP
UTEP is 18-41 ATS (-27.1 Units) vs terrible teams (<25%) since 1992.

169COASTAL CAROLINA -170 LA LAFAYETTE
LA LAFAYETTE is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse since 1992.

173MASSACHUSETTS -174 GA SOUTHERN
MASSACHUSETTS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 17

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BOSTON COLLEGE (3 - 1) at VIRGINIA TECH (2 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (3 - 2) at MIAMI (3 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S FLORIDA (1 - 3) at TEMPLE (0 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 112-81 ATS (+22.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEMPLE is 65-42 ATS (+18.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEMPLE is 73-46 ATS (+22.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 2-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NAVY (2 - 2) at E CAROLINA (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 185-136 ATS (+35.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 185-136 ATS (+35.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 87-48 ATS (+34.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 87-48 ATS (+34.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 57-31 ATS (+22.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 167-121 ATS (+33.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 117-77 ATS (+32.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 77-42 ATS (+30.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 43-19 ATS (+22.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NAVY is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DUKE (1 - 4) at NC STATE (3 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VIRGINIA (1 - 2) at WAKE FOREST (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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AUBURN (2 - 1) at S CAROLINA (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N CAROLINA (3 - 0) at FLORIDA ST (1 - 3) - 10/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS (0 - 3) at W VIRGINIA (2 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 137-176 ATS (-56.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 137-176 ATS (-56.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 88-124 ATS (-48.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 53-85 ATS (-40.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 53-85 ATS (-40.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 98-130 ATS (-45.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 127-167 ATS (-56.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 90-124 ATS (-46.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 63-92 ATS (-38.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
KANSAS is 61-90 ATS (-38.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LIBERTY (3 - 0) at SYRACUSE (1 - 3) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LIBERTY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEMSON (4 - 0) at GEORGIA TECH (2 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENTUCKY (1 - 2) at TENNESSEE (2 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS ST (1 - 4) at S ALABAMA (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
S ALABAMA is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W KENTUCKY (1 - 3) at UAB (3 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UAB is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after a bye week since 1992.
UAB is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OLE MISS (1 - 2) at ARKANSAS (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS A&M (2 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 53-76 ATS (-30.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA ST (3 - 0) at BAYLOR (1 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 2-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (3 - 0) at TULSA (1 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCF (2 - 1) at MEMPHIS (1 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 1-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 2-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARMY (4 - 1) at UTSA (3 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 1:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-0 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 1-0 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOUISVILLE (1 - 3) at NOTRE DAME (3 - 0) - 10/17/2020, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LSU (1 - 2) at FLORIDA (2 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NORTH TEXAS (1 - 3) at MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 4) - 10/17/2020, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 2) at CHARLOTTE (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARSHALL (3 - 0) at LOUISIANA TECH (3 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 1-0 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VANDERBILT (0 - 3) at MISSOURI (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 41-63 ATS (-28.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 2-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 1-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA (3 - 0) at ALABAMA (3 - 0) - 10/17/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 74-45 ATS (+24.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 3) at UTEP (3 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
UTEP is 139-175 ATS (-53.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
UTEP is 139-175 ATS (-53.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 42-68 ATS (-32.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MASSACHUSETTS (0 - 0) at GA SOUTHERN (2 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 1-0 against the spread versus MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
GA SOUTHERN is 1-0 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

NCAAF

Week 7

Trend Report

Saturday, October 17

Kentucky @ Tennessee
Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games on the road
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Clemson @ Georgia Tech
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia Tech
Clemson is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
Georgia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games at home

Kansas @ West Virginia
Kansas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas's last 7 games on the road
West Virginia
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of West Virginia's last 8 games

Pittsburgh @ Miami-FL
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Miami-FL
Miami-FL is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Pittsburgh
Miami-FL is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Liberty @ Syracuse
Liberty
Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Liberty is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Syracuse
Syracuse is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Syracuse's last 7 games

Navy @ East Carolina
Navy
Navy is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Navy's last 7 games when playing East Carolina
East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of East Carolina's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of East Carolina's last 7 games when playing Navy

South Florida @ Temple
South Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Florida's last 7 games
South Florida is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Temple
Temple is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Temple is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Cincinnati @ Tulsa
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 9 games
Cincinnati is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Tulsa
Tulsa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulsa's last 5 games

Texas State @ South Alabama
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas State's last 5 games on the road
Texas State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
South Alabama
South Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
South Alabama is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Auburn @ South Carolina
Auburn
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Auburn's last 6 games when playing South Carolina
South Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Carolina's last 6 games when playing Auburn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Carolina's last 6 games at home

Western Kentucky @ Alabama-Birmingham
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 21-1 SU in its last 22 games at home
Alabama-Birmingham is 17-5-1 ATS in its last 23 games at home

Army @ Texas-San Antonio
Army
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Army's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Army's last 5 games
Texas-San Antonio
Texas-San Antonio is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas-San Antonio's last 10 games

Louisville @ Notre Dame
Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Louisville's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 6 games on the road
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Louisiana State @ Florida
Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisiana State is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Mississippi @ Arkansas
Mississippi
Mississippi is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arkansas
Arkansas
Arkansas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Mississippi
Arkansas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Mississippi

Duke @ North Carolina State
Duke
Duke is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
Duke is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina State
North Carolina State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of North Carolina State's last 7 games
North Carolina State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Duke

Central Florida @ Memphis
Central Florida
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games

Eastern Kentucky @ Troy
Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Eastern Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Troy
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games
Troy is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

Texas A&M @ Mississippi State
Texas A&M
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 6 games on the road
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games at home
Mississippi State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Texas A&M

Virginia @ Wake Forest
Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games
Virginia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Virginia
Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Massachusetts @ Georgia Southern
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 7 games on the road
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games

North Texas @ Middle Tennessee
North Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of North Texas's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 6 games
Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
Middle Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Marshall @ Louisiana Tech
Marshall
Marshall is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marshall's last 5 games on the road
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisiana Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

North Carolina @ Florida State
North Carolina
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
North Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Florida State
Florida State
Florida State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing North Carolina
Florida State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

Vanderbilt @ Missouri
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games when playing Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vanderbilt's last 11 games
Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Missouri's last 8 games

Oklahoma State @ Baylor
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma State's last 7 games
Baylor
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baylor's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State
Baylor is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma State

Southern Miss @ Texas El Paso
Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 5 games on the road
Southern Miss is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas El Paso
Texas El Paso
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games when playing Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games at home

Georgia @ Alabama
Georgia
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Georgia's last 11 games
Georgia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia
Alabama is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home

Boston College @ Virginia Tech
Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games on the road
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games

Florida International @ Charlotte
Florida International
Florida International is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida International's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Florida International

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

NCAAF

Week 7

13 of Saturday’s best games

Boston College (3-1) @ Virginia Tech (2-1)
— BC won three of its first four games; their last three games were decided by a total of 8 points.
— Eagles won their only road game 26-6 at Duke.
— Bulldogs have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— MSU has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
— BC’s QB is a Notre Dame transfer with four starts.
— Eagles covered eight of last ten games as a road underdog.

— Virginia Tech ran ball for 299.3 yards/game in its 2-1 start.
— Hokies gave up 399 YR in their 56-45 loss at North Carolina LW.
— Hokies have 8 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— Tech has 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hokies’ junior QB has started 8 games; he’s completed only 23-50 passes this year.
— Tech is 2-4 ATS in its last six games as a home favorite.

— Boston College won last two meetings, 35-28/31-21.
— Teams split last two meetings in Blacksburg.

Pittsburgh (3-2) @ Miami (1-2)
— Pitt lost last two games by one point each, after a 3-0 start.
— Panthers allowed 794 passing yards the last two games.
— Pitt has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Panthers have 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Pitt has a senior QB who has started 32 games
— Panthers are 14-7 ATS in last 21 games as a road dog.

— Miami is 3-1 already, but got waxed 42-17 at Clemson last week.
— Hurricanes’ three wins are all by 13+ points.
— Hurricanes have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Miami has 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Miami’s senior QB has started 23 games, 19 now them at Houston.
— Miami is 8-6 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.

— Miami won 12 of last 14 series games, winning 24-3/16-12 last two years.
— Panthers lost five of last six visits here, losing 24-3/51-28 in last two.

Duke (1-4) @ NC State (3-1)
— Duke won at Syracuse LW, their first win in five games this year.
— Three of Duke’s four losses are by 14+ points.
— Blue Devils have 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Duke has 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Duke has a junior QB with five career starts.
— Blue Devils are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.

— NC State won three of first four games; their last three games were on road.
— Wolfpack scored 30+ points in all three of their wins.
— State has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Wolfpack has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— State’s soph QB has started nine games.
— Wolfpack is 8-10 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.

— Duke won last two series games, 38-20/49-28.
— Blue Devils lost three of last four visits to Raleigh- their last win here was in ‘09.

Virginia (1-2) @ Wake Forest (1-2)
— Virginia allowed 41-38 points in losing its last two games.
— Average total in Virginia’s games: 60.3.
— Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Virginia has 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Virginia changed QB’s during game LW; this will be Stone’s career start- he was 30-54/240 yards with three TD’s last week vs NC State.
— Under Mendenhall, Virginia is 2-2 ATS as a road favorite.

— Wake Forest allowed 37-45 points in losing its two ACC games; they beat a I-AA chump in their last game.
— Deacons have 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Virginia has 59 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wake’s sophomore QB has started 12 games.
— Deacons are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games as a home underdog.

— Wake Forest (-3) won last series games 27-20, four years ago.

Auburn (2-1) @ South Carolina (1-2)
— Auburn won two of its first three games; they allowed 879 yards in last two games.
— Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Auburn has 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers have a soph QB who has started 11 games.
— Auburn is 7-4-1 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite.

— South Carolina hammered Vandy LW, after losing first two games.
— Gamecocks allowed total of only 156 YR in last two games.
— Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Gamecocks have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Carolina’s senior QB came with the new OC from Colorado State.
— Gamecocks are 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.

— These teams have not met in the last five years.

North Carolina (3-0) @ Florida State (1-3)
— North Carolina won its first three games, scoring 37.7 ppg.
— Tar Heels allowed 260 YR in its 56-45 win over Va Tech last week.
— Tar Heels have 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Tech has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UNC has a soph QB with 16 career starts.
— Tar Heels are 8-5 ATS as a road favorite.

— Seminoles are 0-3 vs I-A opponents, giving up 36.7 ppg.
— FSU gave up 353 rushing yards in its 42-26 loss at Notre Dame LW.
— Seminoles have 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— Florida State has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— FSU’s junior QB has started 26 games.
— Seminoles are 9-13 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.

— UNC (+10.5) upset Florida State 37-35 in last meeting, in 2016.

Liberty (4-0) @ Syracuse (1-3)
— Liberty is 3-0 vs I-A teams this year, scoring 30-36-40 points.
— All three of their I-A games went over the total.
— Flames have 5 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Liberty has 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Flames have junior QB who was at Auburn for two years; he has four career starts.
— Liberty is 2-2 ATS as a road favorite.

— Syracuse lost three of first four games; they gave up 638 YR in last two games.
— Orangemen have 7 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Syracuse has 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
— SU’s junior QB has 12 career starts.
— Syracuse is 6-8 ATS in its last 14 games as a home underdog

— Syracuse was 19-point favorite at Liberty LY; they blanked the Flames, 24-0.

Kentucky (1-2) @ Tennessee (2-1)
— Kentucky beat Miss State 24-2 LW, after giving up 71 points in first two games.
— Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Kentucky has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Kentucky’s senior QB has 18 career starts.
— Wildcats are 9-7 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.

— Tennessee lost 44-21 at Georgia LW, snapping its 8-game win streak.
— Volunteers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Tennessee has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Vols’ senior QB has started 28 games.
— Tennessee is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.

— Tennessee won 21 of last 23 series games.
— Kentucky lost its last 11 visits to Knoxville (1-5 ATS in last six)
— Underdogs covered last four series games.

Ole Miss (1-2) @ Arkansas (2-1)
— Ole Miss lost two of first three games, giving up 51.7 ppg.
— All three Rebel games went over the total.
— Ole Miss has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Rebels have 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ole Miss has a sophomore QB with 7 career starts.
— Last 4+ years, Rebels are 0-4 ATS as a road favorite.

— Arkansas is 1-2 this year; they lost 21 of last 22 SEC games, but appear to be improved with Florida transfer Franks at QB.
— Razorbacks have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— ISU has 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Razorbacks’ senior QB has started 27 games, 24 of them at Florida.
— Arkansas is 4-4 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.

— Underdogs covered seven of last eight series games.
— Ole Miss won last two meetings, 31-17/37-33.
— Underdogs covered last four series games played here.

Texas A&M (2-1) @ Mississippi State (1-2)
— Texas A&M won 2 of first 3 games; their wins are by total of eight points.
— Aggies has 8 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— A&M has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Aggies have a senior QB with 37 career starts.
— Texas A&M is 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.

— Mississippi State lost last two games, scoring total of 16 points- they changed QB’s twice in their 24-2 loss at Kentucky LW.
— Bulldogs have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— MSU has 41 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bulldogs have a senior QB with 28 career starts, 25 at Stanford.
— MSU is 4-3 ATS in its last seven games as a home underdog.

— Miss State won three of last four series games.
— Home side won six of last seven series games; favorites covered five of last six.
— Aggies lost last three visits to Starkville, by 15-7-17 points.

Cincinnati (3-0) @ Tulsa (1-1)
— First road game for Cincy squad that allowed total of 17 points in beating, Army, USF in its two I-A games.
— Bearcats have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Cincy has 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bearcats have a junior QB who has started 28 games.
— Cincinnati is 4-7 ATS in its last 11 games as a road favorite.

— Tulsa split its first two (road) games (7-16 at Okla State, 34-26 at South Florida)
— Hurricane has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Tulsahas 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tulsa’s senior QB has 24 career starts.
— Tulsa is 4-1 ATS in its last five games as a home underdog.

— Home side won all four series games, with Cincy going 3-1- they lost 40-37 (+22) in last visit here, four years ago.

Central Florida (2-1) @ Memphis (1-1)
— Central Florida won two of first three games, scoring 42 ppg.
— Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— UCF has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Gators have a sophomore QB with 15 career starts.
— UCF is 10-7 ATS in last 17 games as a road favorite.

— Memphis split its first two games; they’ve played once in last five weeks.
— Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Memphis has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers’ senior QB has started 30 games.
— Since 2012, Memphis is 9-4 ATS as a road favorite.

— UCF is 13-0 SU vs Memphis, 3-4-1 ATS in last eight.
— Knights are 4-0 SU, 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Memphis.
— Average total in last four series games: 81.3.

Georgia (3-0) @ Alabama (1-1)
Line dropped 3 points when it was announced that Nick Saban has COVID
— Georgia won its first three games, by a combined score of 108-37.
— Dawgs are allowing average of 236.7 yards/game.
— Dawgs have 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Georgia has 39 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Dawgs have a junior QB who started twice.
— Last 10 years, Georgia is 2-6 ATS as a road underdog.

— Nick Saban’s absence makes this an odd game.
— Alabama won first three games, scoring 51 ppg; they’ve allowed 1,097 yards in last two games.
—Crimson Tide has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Alabama has 63 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bama’s junior QB has made four starts.
— Alabama is 15-12-1 ATS in its last 28 games as a home favorite.

— Alabama won last five series games; last two were postseason games.
— This is Georgia’s first visit to Alabama since 2007.

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

College Football Odds This Week: Opening Lines & Odds Movement
Patrick Everson

Najee Harris and No. 2 Alabama got all they could handle in Week 6 at Mississippi, and they now host No. 3 Georgia in Week 7. FanDuel Sportsbook has the Crimson Tide as 6.5-point favorites.

College football odds for Week 7 are on the betting board and already getting action, highlighed by arguably the biggest game of the season so far. No. 2 Alabama plays host to No. 3 Georgia in a big Southeastern Conference battle

FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 7 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

College football Week 7 odds

These are the current College football Week 7 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of October 12.

Pittsburgh vs (12) Miami Odds

Opening line
Miami -9.5, Over/Under 52.5

Why the line moved
By Monday morning, Miami was already up a point and through a key number at FanDuel, moving from -9.5 to -10.5.

(14) Auburn at South Carolina odds

Opening line
South Carolina +2.5, Over/Under 50.5

Why the line moved
Auburn has already made a few trips to -3.5 at FanDuel and seemed to stick there by Monday night. The Tigers are taking 88 percent of early tickets and 71 percent of early money on the spread.

(6) North Carolina at Florida State odds

Opening line
Florida State +11.5, Over/Under 61.5

Why the line moved
This line fluctuated wildly in the early going at FanDuel, from North Carolina -11.5 to -8.5 within minutes, then rising all the way to -13.5 by Monday evening. Through Monday, the Tar Heels were seeing 79 percent of tickets and 73 percent of money.

(1) Clemson at Georgia Tech odds

Opening line
Georgia Tech +26.5, Over/Under 59.5

Why the line moved
Save for a few minutes Sunday evening at -27.5, Clemson stuck on the opener of -26.5 at FanDuel. Not surprisingly, the Tigers were attracting 84 percent of bets/71 percent of money through Monday night.

Kentucky at (17) Tennessee odds

Opening line
Tennessee -6.5, Over/Under 49.5

Why the line moved
The Vols dropped a point early at FanDuel, going from -6.5 to -5.5 Monday. Tennessee was drawing 67 percent of tickets and 59 percent of cash on the spread through Monday night. The total was also down a point to 48.5, with 65 percent of bets/90 percent of money on the Under.

(11) Texas A&M at Mississippi State odds

Opening line
Mississippi State +5.5, Over/Under 54.5

Why the line moved
Coming off its upset win over Florida, Texas A&M moved from -5.5 to -6.5 early at FanDuel, but there's definitely interest in coach Mike Leach and Mississippi State. While the Aggies were attracting 87 percent of tickets through Monday night, the Bulldogs were getting 58 percent of money. And moneyline bettors also took early shots on the Bulldogs, who were landing 56 percent of bets/87 percent of money to win outright.

(10) Cincinnati at Tulsa odds

Opening line
Tulsa +4.5, Over/Under 48.5

Why the line moved
Cincinnati dropped to -2.5 Monday at FanDuel, then rebounded to -3.5, getting almost all the early attention, at 94 percent of spread bets and 84 percent of spread cash. The total plunged from 48.5 to 45.5, with 71 percent of bets/88 percent of money on the Under, through Monday night.

Louisville at (4) Notre Dame Odds

Opening line
Notre Dame -16, Over/Under 63.5

Why the line moved
Notre Dame was already up 1.5 points to 17.5 by Monday evening at FanDuel, getting 69 percent of tickets, but money is closer to two-way play. The Fighting Irish were landing 56 percent of early spread money The total is already up a point to 64.5, with ticket count running 2/1 and 71 percent of money on the Over.

LSU at (9) Florida odds

Opening line
Florida -9.5, Over/Under 69.5

Why the line moved
Both these teams are coming off upset road losses, Florida to Texas A&M and LSU to Missouri. This line was another big early mover at FanDuel, with the Gators bolting all the way out to -15 before dialing down to -12.5 Monday night. Point-spread ticket count was dead even through Monday, but the underdog Tigers were drawing 68 percent of early dollars. The total leapt from 69.5 Sunday night to 73.5 Monday afternoon, with the Over grabbing 84 percent of tickets/92 percent of money.

(3) Georgia at (2) Alabama odds

Opening line
Alabama -7.5, Over/Under 56.5

Why the line moved
It's the Game of the Day, no question, so it's rightly a prime-time matchup. The Crimson Tide went from -7.5 to -6.5 right away Sunday afternoon and actually dropped to -4.5 Sunday night at FanDuel, then crept back to -6.5 Monday.

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

Tech Trends - Week 7
Bruce Marshall

Week 7 of the College Football season kicks off on Wednesday, October 14 and we've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Saturday, Oct. 17

BOSTON COLLEGE at VIRGINIA TECH (ACC, 8:00 p.m.)

BC is 3-0 as dog for Hafley, and Eagles now 17-5-1 as short since 2017.
BC has won last two and covered last three in series.
VPI has covered four straight in Blacksburg but had dropped 8 of previous 10 vs. spread at Lane Stadium.

Tech Edge: BC, based on team and series trends.

PITT at MIAMI-FLORIDA (ACC, 12:00 p.m.)

Panthers were 4-1 vs. line as visitor in 2019, though failed on road last week at BC.
Miami has won and covered last two and four of last five in series.
Canes had won and covered first three in 2020 before running into Clemson.

Tech Edge: Miami, based on series trends.

SOUTH FLORIDA at TEMPLE (ESPN+, 12:00 p.m.)

Owls were 6-1 vs. line at Linc last season in Carey debut, now 9-2 last 11 vs. points as host.

Tech Edge: Temple, based on team trends.

NAVY at EAST CAROLINA (ESPN+, 12:00 p.m.)

Navy was 5-0 as chalk away from Annapolis in superb 2019, but already lost big in that role at AFA.
Teams haven’t met every year lately, but Mids have won and covered big last three since 2015, including 42-10 romp LY.
Pirates 2-0 as dog this season, 7-2 last nine in role for Mike Houston since early 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Navy, based on team trends.

DUKE at N.C. STATE (RSN, 2:30 p.m.)

Cutcliffe only 5-5-1 as dog since 2019 but is 3-1 in role thus far in 2020, and recall 25-12-1 mark as short from 2013-18.
These long-standing Tobacco Road rivals haven’t played since 2013!
NCS is 3-1 vs. spread early in 2020 but still just 5-12 last 17 on board since late 2018.

Tech Edge: Duke, based on extended trends.

VIRGINIA at WAKE FOREST (ACC, 3:00 p.m.)

Bronco Mendenhall on 18-12 spread uptick since 2018 (2-1 TY).
Cavs also 5-3 last 8 vs. number as ACC visitor.
Teams haven’t met since 2016.

Tech Edge: Slight to Virginia, based on team trends..

AUBURN at SOUTH CAROLINA (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)

Muschamp 7-4-1 vs. line last 12 as SEC host.
Gamecocks also 13-7 as dog since 2017.
First meeting since 2014.

Tech Edge: SC, based on team trends.

NORTH CAROLINA at FLORIDA STATE (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)

UNC is 6-0 SU and 5-1 vs. line its last five dating to late 2019.
Noles broke six-game spread skid at ND, but still on 14-26-2 skid vs. spread since 2017.
First meeting since 2016.

Tech Edge: UNC, based on team trends.

KANSAS at WEST VIRGINIA (FS1, 12:00 p.m.)

KU was destroyed in first three TY, now SU and spread skid at 5 since late 2019.
Road team has actually covered last six in series, but Les Miles teams at LSU & KU now on 7-17 spread skid last 24 since late 2015.
WVU had dropped last four vs. line as Big 12 host prior to Baylor win.

Tech Edge: WVU, based on recent Miles marks.

LIBERTY at SYRACUSE (RSN, 12:00 p.m.)

Hugh Freeze 4-1 last five as dog with Liberty.
Also 5-2 last seven vs. points away from Lynchburg.
Babers only 4-8 last 12 on board since mid 2019.
Orange did beat Flames in opener LY.

Tech Edge: Liberty, based on recent trends.

CLEMSON at GEORGIA TECH (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)

Dabo is 10-2-1 vs. spread last 13 against ACC foes away from Death Valley.
Clemson has won last five meetings, 4-0-1 vs. line in those vs. GT.
Even after ‘Ville win, Collins just 2-7 vs. line at Bobby Dodd Stadium since LY.

Tech Edge: Clemson, based on team and series trends.

KENTUCKY at TENNESSEE (SEC, 12:00 p.m.)

Earlier than usual on calendar for this border war.
Remarkably, UK has only beaten UT twice since 17-12 win for Jerry Claiborne in 1984.
Vols have covered 7 of last 8 meetings.
UT saw 8-game SU win streak snapped at Georgia but still 8-3 last 11 on board.
Mark Stoops was 8-4 as dog past two years before falling short vs. Auburn in opener.

Tech Edge: Tennessee, based on series trends.

TEXAS STATE at SOUTH ALABAMA (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m.)

USA on 8-3 spread uptick since mid 2019.
Jags have covered last two meetings though Bobcats did win outright LY.

Tech Edge: Slight to USA, based on recent trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY at UAB (FSN, 12:30 p.m.)

WKU on 0-5-1 spread skid since late 2019.
Tops however did win and cover last year vs. UAB, and WKU 6-4 as dog for Helton since LY (0-2 TY).
Blazers only 1-3 vs. line early in 2020 but were 9-2-1 vs. spread at home vs. C-USA foes entering this season.

Tech Edge: UAB, based on extended trends.

OLE MISS at ARKANSAS (ESPN2, 2:30 p.m.)

Lane Kiffin FAU & Ole Miss teams 12-5 vs. line since LY.
Rebs also on 10-4-1 spread uptick since LY.
Hogs had covered six straight in series prior to 2019 and have started 3-0 vs. line for Sam Pittman.

Tech Edge: Slight to Arkansas, based on extended trends.

TEXAS A&M at MISSISSIPPI STATE (SEC, 3:00 p.m.)

If Leach a dog note 15-9 mark last 24 in role dating to Wazzu days.
MSU had won and covered three straight in series prior to 49-30 loss at A&M LY.

Tech Edge: Mississippi State, especially if dog, based on recent trends.

CINCINNATI at TULSA (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)

Tulsa now on 6-2 spread uptick since mid 2019, including 5-1 last six as dog.
Covered last year at Cincy. Bearcats only 3-6 last nine as chalk.

Tech Edge: Tulsa, based on recent trends.

UCF at MEMPHIS (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)

UCF only 4-9 last 13 on board, though Ryan Silverfield now 0-3 vs. line as Memphis coach.
Tigers also no covers last four at Liberty Bowl and lost last four outright to Knights (Memphis 1-2-1 vs line in those games, though teams didn’t play in 2019).

Tech Edge: Slight to UCF, based on series trends.

ARMY at UTSA (CBSSN, 1:30 p.m.)

Improved Roadrunners 3-0 as dog TY and have actually covered 8 of last 9 in role.
Army just 1-5 vs. spread last six away from West Point, though did win and cover 31-13 at Alamodome early LY.

Tech Edge: UTSA, based on team trends.

LOUISVILLE at NOTRE DAME (NBC, 2:30 p.m.)

No covers last 3 in 2020 (0-2-1) now for ‘Ville after GT loss.
Satterfield 4-5-1 as dog with Cards though did cover in opener last year vs. ND.
Irish 10-5 last 15 vs. spread since early 2019, and 7-4 last 11 as South Bend chalk.

Tech Edge: Notre Dame, based on recent trends.

LSU at FLORIDA (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)

Note Orgeron is 8-1 as dog since 2017, he’s also 2-2 SU vs. Gators.
Dan Mullen had covered 7 straight in Gainesville prior to non-cover vs. South Carolina.

Tech Edge: Slight to LSU, based on team trends.

NORTH TEXAS at MIDDLE TENNESSEE (FSN, 4:00 p.m.)

After Charlotte loss, UNT now on 5-20 spread skid since early 2018.
Also no covers last nine as C-USA visitor.
Stockstill 6-2 vs. spread last eight as C-USA host.

Tech Edge: MTSU, based on team trends.

FIU at CHARLOTTE (ESPNU, 7:00 p.m.)

Charlotte favored here, but 49ers have been better lately in dog role (5-1 last six).
FIU just 3-4 as dog since LY but was 6-1 previous 7 in role for Butch Davis.
Panthers have won five straight in series but have only covered last two meetings.

Tech Edge: Slight to FIU, based on team trends.

MARSHALL at LA TECH (CBSSN, 6:00 p.m.)

Note Skip Holtz 20-9 mark in dog role since arriving at Ruston in 2014 (1-1 TY).
Herd has covered first three this season after 4-9 mark vs. points in 2019.

Tech Edge: La Tech, based on team trends.

GEORGIA at ALABAMA (CBS, 8:00 p.m.)

Kirby Smart had covered five straight as a dog prior to losing SEC title game vs. LSU last December.
Dawgs 7-2 vs. line last 9 vs. SEC foes away from Athens.
Saban only 2-3 vs. spread last five vs. SEC at Bryant-Denny.
These two haven’t met in reg season since 2015, though have faced in FCS title and SEC title games in recent years.

Tech Edge: Georgia, based on team trends.

SOUTHERN MISS at UTEP (ESPN2, 7:30 p.m.)

USM had dropped six in a row SU and vs. line before UNT win.
Golden Eagles have won last five in series, covered 3 in a row from 2016-18.
UTEP off to 3-2 SU break from gate (that’s good for Miners!) though just 1-6 vs. spread last 7 at Sun Bowl as C-USA host.

Tech Edge: Slight to USM, based on series trends.

UMASS at GEORGIA SOUTHERN (ESPNU, 4:00 p.m.)

UMass opener! Minutemen 0-5-1 as road dog LY in midst of overall 2-9-1 spread effort.
GSU is 7-2 last 9 as Statesboro chalk.

Tech Edge: GSU, based on team trends.

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

Saturday, October 17: Cross Country Stakes Picks

October 15, 2020 | By Dustin Fabian
Even with a relatively ‘quiet’ Saturday, we’ve got great races at Keeneland, Belmont and Santa Anita domestically, as well as internationally in Great Britain and Australia.

I’ve identified five stakes races I’m looking forward to on Saturday, along with a best bet and best value horse in each. We probably won’t strike gold with every pick here, but hopefully we deliver more than we miss.

And be sure to check out Xpressbet’s $500 Pegasus World Cup Feeder Tournament, featuring races at Santa Anita, as well as our other Promotions.

ASCOT (RACE 5) // G1 QIPCO CHAMPIONS STAKES

One of Britain’s premier cards is contested Saturday morning as Ascot hosts four Group 1 events, headlined by the QIPCO Champion Stakes and the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes. The Champion, which has been won by the likes of Frankel, Twice Over, Cirrus des Aigles and Cracksman in recent years. Last year’s heroine, MAGICAL, is back for another shot but I’m taking a chance with LORD NORTH. He was an astounding winner of the Group 1 Prince of Wales’s Stakes over this course in June and was hindered by a lack of pace in the Group 1 Juddmonte International at York in August when beaten by Ghaiyyath. MAGICAL will be right there at the finish as well, along with stablemate SERPENTINE.

BEST BET // Lord North (6/1)
BEST VALUE // Serpentine (12/1)

BELMONT (RACE 9) // $80K FLORAL PARK STAKES

I like races like this, where you’ve got a big field (11 entries) and a projected favorite/second choice with major questions. That’s MITCHELL ROAD. She’s a nice mare (7-for-17 with $600K earnings) but this race is at six furlongs and she doesn’t sprint and her best efforts have come when she made the lead and that isn’t going to happen this go around. XANTHIQUE, on the other hand, loves Belmont (3-for-5) and this distance is in her scope. For a longshot play, let’s give SUNNY DALE a look. She’s 0-for-3 on turf and outside drawn, but she picks up Irad Ortiz Jr. and could surprise.

BEST BET // Xanthique (5/1)
BEST VALUE // Sunny Dale (15/1)

WOODBINE (RACE 8) // $100K GLORIOUS SONG STAKES

I see plenty of speed in this race and, almost more concerning, most of the speed is stretchout speed that has never been beyond 5 or 5 1/2 furlongs. Not saying those horses can’t win this, but ROCKET RELOAD, CHARLIE’S PENNY and REINFORCED probably won’t do what they did in recent races. SOUPER SENSATIONAL got a perfect trip in her debut and looks like the one to beat, while Hastings invader HEIDI won’t be impossible. It’s not generally my preference to advocate a horse like HEIDI, shipping from a small track like Hastings to the big leagues at Woodbine, but she broke her maiden by 5-lengths, is bred to handle the turf and this field isn’t exactly insurmountable.

BEST BET // Souper Sensational (2/1)
BEST VALUE // Heidi (20/1)

KEENELAND (RACE 9) // G2 LEXUS RAVEN RUN STAKES

The race of the day (on paper, at least) is the G2 Raven Run at Keeneland and this field features a bit of everything. VENETIAN HARBOR and FOUR GRACES boast breakneck speed and each is a graded stakes winner. TONALIST’S SHAPE and FINITE are both four-time stakes winners and SECRET KEEPER ran phenomenally in the G3 Torrey Pines at Del Mar in August. For a likeliest winner, I’ll give a slight nod to VENETIAN HARBOR. I love that she’s drawn outside of FOUR GRACES and her last three losses came when second to Swiss Skydiver, Speech and Gamine. So while she’s been a little allergic to the winner’s circle, she should benefit from a softer spot here. For a longshot, I think you have to give a look to REAGAN’S EDGE. Like VENETIAN HARBOR, she has had the misfortune of chasing a superstar (Frank’s Rockette) in her last two starts and while this field is incredibly deep, she should get a nice midpack/closing trip.

BEST BET // Venetian Harbor (7/5)
BEST VALUE // Reagan’s Edge (8/1)

SANTA ANITA (RACE 9) // G3 AUTUMN MISS STAKES

Santa Anita’s Saturday marquee event is the G3 Autumn Miss for three-year-old fillies and WARREN’S SHOWTIME will be a popular single in the Late Pick 4 and Golden Hour Pick 4. She’s a three-time winner over the Santa Anita turf and was most recently third in the G1 Del Mar Oaks. Bottom line, she brings credentials. If there’s an upsetter, it might be NASTY. Previously trained by Brad Cox, she broke her maiden by 8-lengths on the lawn at Indiana Grand and followed that up with an allowance victory. She ran into a yielding course in the Indiana Grand Stakes but should get firmer footing on Saturday. She has tactical speed in a race without a ton of pace and could hang around for a piece.

BEST BET // Warren’s Showtime (9/5)
BEST VALUE // Nasty (4/1)

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

Race of the Week: Autumn Miss Saturday at Santa Anita

October 15, 2020 | By Jeremy Plonk
$100,000 GRADE 3 AUTUMN MISS STAKES AT SANTA ANITA
Saturday, October 17, 2020

The Lead:
Let's roll over last week's $470 return in this space with continued October momentum in Saturday's feature race at Santa Anita. The Grade 3 Autumn Miss for 3-year-old turf fillies will be Race 9 of 10 with a post time of 8 pm ET.

Field Depth:
None of these 7 fillies have won a graded stakes to date, but WARREN'S SHOWTIME is a 4-time listed stakes winner and G1-placed in the Del Mar Oaks. GUITTY is G2-placed, as is CROUGHAVOUKE. MIND OUT is listed stakes-placed. The others have to prove their mettle at the higher levels.

Pace:
QUIET SECRETARY is the only confirmed front-runner and she's quite fast, but seriously challenged on class, having only won a maiden claimer 2 starts back and never bidding her talents in stakes company. NASTY and GOING TO VEGAS figure to be closest in pursuit. A deep closer would appear compromised in this spot, but I can't envision the 'lone speed' being good enough to upset them all.

Our Eyes:
WARREN'S SHOWTIME, despite racing against Cal-breds in half of her starts, has run up a strong 2020 ledger. But after starting her career 4-for-7, she's just 1 for her last 5 and has been 5-1 or less in each of those. She makes the move to ace local turf mile pilot Flavien Prat, and that's likely to send the betting public all in. But her Del Mar Oaks 1-2 finishers didn't come back to offer a great deal in the Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup last week at Keeneland. She's the horse to beat, but doesn't overwhelm at what likely will be an overwhelming price.

The chalk has traded blows with CROUGHAVOUKE and GUITTY on various occasions this year and they've not completely separated from one another. CROUGHAVOUKE and GUITTY are deep closers, however, and pace-wise do not look like they'll get a big set-up to turn the tables. GUITTY has lost 7 in a row, while CROUGHAVOUKE had lost 8 straight until dropping into allowance company and delivering with the addition of blinkers. Of this pair, CROUGHAVOUKE has more appeal under Umberto Respoli.

MIND OUT is the direction to turn if WARREN'S SHOWTIME is to be beaten. She finished three-quarters of a length behind the favorite last year in the Surfer Girl at Santa Anita over this course and distance. Now she moves sprint-to-route and gets back to her preferred mile trip. Trainer Simon Callaghan's barn is going great guns of late. Since July 27, he's 34% wins, 17: 6-5-2 in stakes and 7: 4-2-0 in turf stakes. What I envision is that cheap speed QUIET SECRETARY will bust out and open a long lead and come back. It could be a similar set-up to what MIND OUT saw when the freakish front-running effort by Parkour ran wild early in March. She ended up second-best when that flashy filly didn't come back to the field. QUIET SECRETARY almost assuredly will.

Most Certain Exotics Contender: WARREN'S SHOWTIME is 11-for-12 in the superfecta lifetime and almost flawless on the Santa Anita turf.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender: NASTY ran a couple of solid tries with a first-over trip at Indiana Grand when with Brad Cox and could get a nice trip in her first start for Richard Baltas.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll): $75 win MIND OUT. $25 exacta MIND OUT over WARREN'S SHOWTIME.

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 5 Analysis

October 17, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
It is Super Gold Finals night at Woodbine Mohawk Park. The very popular 0.20 Pick 5 kicks-off the card. The sequence has a $100,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

4-Up And Ready (5-1)-The last 2 starts were of different tactics and both were good efforts. McNair should be aggressive here and this could be the time for a picture when the big money is on the line.
5-Imextraspecial (5/2)-This is a very nice filly who has been on her game throughout the year and benefits from a nice post draw. Walker barn doesn't race often but has won 44% of starts last 30 days. Should be bet and is a major player.
6-Dashing Muscle (4-1)-Has finished 2nd to #5 in last 2 starts and has only raced 6 times. This is another filly who could be sitting on a big try at a fair price.

Race 2

3-Lauras Love (5/2)-Has been off since 9/29 but tuned up on 10/13 to prepare for this start. Three-year-old loves to compete finishing in the money in 13 of 16 starts this year. Best to not overlook tonight.
4-Alicorn (7/2)-Drew off in an impressive 150.4 in last start which was the 1st win on Lasix. There isn't much gate speed inside and Roy may look to take command early on and not look back.
8-Rose Run Victoria (5-1)-Just missed after pacing the back half in 54.3. Now Jamieson returns, he knows well and that should help. Could be on the engine or in the 2-hole behind #4. Might be overlooked at the windows and is a real threat with a good trip.

Race 3

1-Royalty Deal (3-1)-This filly is 3rd on the leader board in 2020 earnings in this field. But seems to find ways to lose whether it's a pure break or an interference break, miscues have been costly in 4 of last 8 starts. Comes off 2 sharp victories and could make every call a winning one.
5-Trina (4-1)-Was used a couple of times in a sharp Gold win. Will look to string along and hope Shepherd can work a smooth journey.

Race 4

1-Candy Trader (8-1)-Tossing last break at FlmD because has fared well at Wbsb while facing tough freshmen. Doesn't have big gate speed but Filion has a post advantage over other main foes and he should put in play.
3-Lawless Shadow (2-1)-Program chalk hasn't finished well in last 2 starts. Regardless, from this post, winner in 4 of 8 this year deserves respect.
7-Bulldog Hanover (5/2)-Another who broke on a good track at FlmD last time. Before that posted 2 dominant wins versus Gold company. Looks like a major player, probably will offer little value but could be headed to the winner's circle with a decent trip.

Race 5

2-East End (5/2)-Auciello trainee has been the beaten chalk in last 2. Last week when dropped to this level, was stung hard into a 26.3 first quarter and faded down the lane. Looking for a less taxing trip and to stay in the mix.
3-Dreamfair Moxy (4-1)-Came up with a lifetime best 149.3 win versus much easier. Raced the 2nd half all on his own in .54 to draw off by 9 lengths. Anything close to that mile wins, so will string along.

0.20 Early Pick 5

4,5,6/3,4,8/1,5/1,3,7/2,3
Total Bet=$21.60

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 10/17/20

October 17, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Blue Star; 7-Warrens Candy Man

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Blue Star and Warrens Candy Man finished two-three when they squared off in a similar maiden special weight state-bred turf miler last month and they comprise the main contention again today. ‘Star was the better of the two in that race, rallying from last on the extreme outside through the lane to be beaten just a half-length in what was just his second career start. With another forward mover today coupled with a ground-saving trip, the Bluegrass Cat gelding should be along in time. Warrens Candy Man makes a significant jockey switch to F. Prat and is another that should be doing his best work from off the pace.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-Starship Chewbacca; 5-Crankin; 6-Cal’s Gem

View Video Analysis

Forecast: This Cal-bred maiden $50,000 claiming extended sprint drew a field of six, with at least half of the field worthy of some consideration. Crankin has trained fairly well for his debut and looks like a live item first crack out of the box for the capable L. Mendez outfit. The son of Lookin At Lucky has a work pattern that should have him plenty fit, so let’s try him on top at 4-1 on the morning line. Starship Chewbacca, an okay third in a similar event at Del Mar in late August, should continue his improving pattern for his low-profile connections and projects to be on or near the lead most of the way. Cal’s Gem, a stable mate of Crankin and surfacing in a seller for the first time, is another worth including in your rolling exotic play. His runner-up effort two races back at Pleasanton charts well here and the son of Calimonco gets a big break in the weights with the switch to bug girl J. Pyfer.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:02 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Solitaire; 6-Lavender

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Lavender has put together two really good recent races, a closing third (beaten less than a length) in $32,000 claimer at Del Mar in late August and then a sharp starter’s allowance tally in her first start since joining the P. Miller stable two weeks ago that produced a career top speed figure. If the Irish-bred filly can produce a similar effort off relatively short rest today she can score again. F. Prat got to know her last time out and stays aboard. Solitaire was a beaten choice over the all-weather surface at Golden Gate Fields last month but turned in a solid performance when finishing second and today returns to grass while being reunited with “win rider” V. Espinoza. She has good tactical speed and projects to inherit a comfortable stalking position and then have her chance from the quarter pole home. We’ll use both in our rolling exotics and then press with a few extra tickets keying Lavender on top.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:40 PT Grade: X
Single: 1-September Secret

View Video Analysis

Forecast: September Secret is listed as the 4/5 morning line favorite and gets any chance to make amends after being worn down late at even money in a similar starter’s allowance sprint at Del Mar in late August. The P. Miller-trained filly looks quick enough to make the pace from her inside draw without having to be sent hard, and over the Santa Anita main track that usually is kinder to speed types than the track at Del Mar she projects to dominate throughout. In a race that probably is best alone, she can be used as a no-value rolling exotic single.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:11 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Danceformunny; 6-A Thousand Dreams

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Six of the nine entrants in this restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claimer on turf for fillies and mares competed in a similar event at Del Mar in late August. We’ll try to survive and advance using just two. Although she finished eighth of 11 in that race, Danceforthemunny encountered significant trouble while appearing to have plenty of run entering the far turn while in a good second flight, stalking position and lost all chance. She’s drawn nicely inside today and should draft into a comfortable ground-saving position just behind the leaders. With clear sailing today, the R. Baltas-trained daughter of Munnings can produce a serious bid when the pressure is turned on, so at 5-1 on the morning line she’s a play in the win pool and a “must use” in the rolling exotics. A Thousand Dreams is the likely choice and one to beat while dropping to her lowest level ever. Third last time out when facing $40,000 sellers here earlier this month, the daughter of Carpe Diem has numbers that can beat this field and a second-flight style that should produce a clean journey.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:42 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-Summer Fun; 6-Hapi Hapi

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Hapi Hapi is a one-paced grinder and certainly not one to back with confidence at a short price, but somebody has to win this woefully weak maiden $25,000 claiming main track miler and is might as well be him. In his second off a claim for P. Eurton, the son of Clubhouse Ride finished a distant but willing runner-up over this track and distance last month while earning a career top speed figure, so if can improve just a little bit he should be graduate. However, we’ve seen better 8/5 shots. Summer Fun lands the rail and seems likely to employ gate-to-wire tactics in a field without much speed. The C. Gaines-trained gelding has yet to hit the board in five career starts but this is this softest group he’s faced and he’s a fit on numbers. These are the two we’ll be including in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:13 PT Grade: B
Use: 5-Colt Fiction; 8-Antithetical

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Colt Fiction probably didn’t have a whole lot behind him when graduating in a maiden $50,000 main track sprint at Del Mar in late August but he did it with plenty left in the tank and appeared to be to be looking around a bit while on the lead for most the journey. He’s tackling tougher today and switching to grass in this starter’s allowance sprint but he’s also adding blinkers, which could improve his concentration considerably. He offers some value at 6-1 on the morning line. Antithetical has the route-to-spring angle that we always like and speed figures that have risen in each of his five career starts. The Slew’s Tiznow gelding appears most comfortable when held up early and allowed to run late. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Colt Fiction.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:44 PT Grade: X
Single: 7-Suzi Qzz Brother

View Video Analysis

Forecast: We’ll take a stand and single Suzi Qzz Brother in this state-bred maiden extended sprint for 2-year-olds that came up fairly light. The son of Commissioner produced a forward move in his second career outing last month at Del Mar when finishing with interest to be a solid runner-up while improving his Beyer speed figure by seven points. If he can step forward again, the M. Glatt-trained gelding shouldn’t have much trouble graduating against this group. He’s 9/5 on the morning line and probably will go lower, so we can make him a logical, short-priced rolling exotic single and leave it at that.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:15 PT Grade: B+ (Leg 1 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Use: 1-Mind Out; 5-Warren’s Showtime

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Warren’s Showtime is back at her favorite distance – a flat mile – and also is tackling easier foes after hitting the front in mid-stretch before weakening late to wind up third in the nine-furlong Del Mar Oaks-G1 in her most recent outing. Freshened since mid-August, the daughter of Clubhouse Ride drops into the Autumn Miss S.-G3 while picking up F. Prat, so with much in her favor the C. Lewis-trained filly is the logical 9/5 morning line favorite. Mind Out is a versatile and capable of daughter of Tapit from the S. Callaghan barn that has hit the board in five of six career starts. She lands the good rail and should inherit an ideal second flight, ground saving trip and then be able to launch her bid from the top of the lane to the wire. She’ll have to improve a bit to worry our top choice but at 8-1 on the morning line she’s worth including on a ticket or two as a back-up or a saver.
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GOLDEN GATE FIELDS (Leg 2 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Race 8: Post 5:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 5-Arch Prince; 6-Heck Yeah; 9-Premium Forest

Forecast: Here’s a fairly contentious Golden Gate Fields allowance/optional claimer that occupies the second leg of the Golden Hour Pick-4. Premium Forest has won nine of his last 12 starts and always has to considered to be the one to beat at this level. The son of Forest Command likes to settle in mid-pack and then produce a late kick, and with all of the speed signed on in this middle distance affair the I. Tamayo-trained 5-year-old should have every chance to continue his winning ways. Heck Yeah has been sprinting in all of his recent starts but won the Cal Cup Derby a couple of years ago over a route of ground so this stretch out in trip shouldn’t bother him at all. He’s not what he once was, but at this level the son of Acclamation could easily regain his best form at 12-1 on the morning line. Arch Prince, first or second in eight of 10 career starts over the local all-weather surface, has solid recent speed figures and is reunited with “win rider” C. Martinez. He’s listed as the 2-1 morning line favorite, though we suspect he might drift a bit. These are the three we’ll be using in our rolling exotics with preference on top Premium Forest.
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RACE 10: Post: 5:45 PT Grade: B- (Leg 3 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Use: 2-Saving Sophie; 5-Save the Story

View Video Analysis

Forecast: Save the Story didn’t break sharply, was uncomfortable behind horses and never really picked it up in a disappointing comeback try as the favorite at Del Mar last month but we’re willing to give the daughter of Will Take Charge another chance in this maiden $25,000 claiming sprint for older fillies and mares. She turned in an improved recent workout while wearing the blinkers that she’ll be adding today and also will receive a break in the weights with the switch to bug boy A. Centeno. If she can clear the field in the early stages, the R. Baltas-trained 3-year-old may never look back. Saving Sophie is the logical morning line favorite at 8/5 after rallying from far back to be second vs. a tougher maiden $40,000 group in early August. She gets an extra half furlong to work with today, so with a decent pace up front and room to rally in the lane she may be hard to contain in the final furlong. We’ll use both in our rolling exotics while preferring Save the Story on top.
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GOLDEN GATE FIELDS (Leg 4 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Race 9: Post 6:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Eskimo Roses; 5-Look At My Hooves; 7-Tom’s Surprise

Forecast: In a wide open scramble, let’s go for a price. Look At My Hooves, listed at 12-1 on the morning line, turns back from a couple of route tries and should be much more effective at this distance after graduating sprinting at Pleasanton three races back. A close fifth with a career top number last time out, the J. Thomas-trained gelding can act with these if he can produce another slight forward move. Eskimo Roses is a Southern California shipper dropping into a modest restricted (nw-2) $12,500 claimer and may have found his friends based on competitive numbers earned when chasing tougher foes in all of his recent outings. He’s been primarily a turf runner throughout his career so he could easily enjoy this switch to the all-weather surface. Tom’s Surprise takes a sharp drop in class after exiting a hot starter’s allowance sprint last month and should go much better at this level. He has speed figures that fit and is a “must use” at 5-1 on the morning line.

ConleyPicks · Oct 17, 2020

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
1.	NSA(The Legend)	CFB – LSU over 69.5
2.	Gameday Network	CFB – Notre Dame over 62
3.	VegasSI.com	CFB – Central Florida -3
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	CFB – Texas St under 58
5.	Sports Action 365	CFB – North Carolina -13.5
6.	Point Spread Report	CFB – Duke +4.5
7.	Lou Panelli	CFB – SMU -6.5
8.	Gerry “Big Cat” Andino	CFB – Louisiana Tech +13.5
9.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	CFB – Alabama -4.5
10.	William E. Stockton	CFB – Midd Tenn St -6.5
11.	Vincent Pioli	CFB – Memphis +3
12.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	CFB – UAB -14
13.	SCORE	CFB – Syracuse +3
14.	East Coast Line Movers	CFB – Auburn -3.5
15.	Tony Campone	CFB – Temple under 54
16.	Chicago Sports Group	CFB – BYU -5
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	CFB – Memphis under 73.5
18.	VIP Action	CFB – Texas St under 58
19.	South Beach Sports	CFB – Kansas +22.5
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	CFB – Wake Forest +2.5
21.	NY Players Club	CFB – BYU over 62.5
22.	Fred Callahan	CFB – SMU -6.5
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	CFB – Virginia Tech -12
24.	Michigan Sports	CFB – Navy -3
25.	National Consensus Report	CFB – Kentucky +6