NFL Week 6 model Selections

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Alrighty guys here is the first week that I am testing out my models for the 2020 season!
Hoping for success here today and seeing how it goes
BOL all playing the NFL today! :)!/

This is the first time I am introducing my 2nd model (the 1st model was the other baseball/ncaaf picks)
I will try my 1st model next week for o/u plays and I will also try out my new model 3 (which is still in the works) later on this year


Here they are model #2 picks:

BAL-9.5/-440 Sun
PIT-3.5/-185 Sun
IND-7.5/-370 Sun
NE-8/-420 Sun
GB-1/-116 Sun
SF+3/+115 Sun
DAL+1/+100 mon
 

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C/Pick........BOL with all your action today buddy.......solid looking plays......

on Balt., NE and Dal. with you........indy
 

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Does your model imply that you bet the spread, or Moneyline?
 

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C/Pick........BOL with all your action today buddy.......solid looking plays......

on Balt., NE and Dal. with you........indy
Thanks Indy
Just got home and checking out how I am doing
Fingers crossed
 

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Alrighty guys here is the first week that I am testing out my models for the 2020 season!
Hoping for success here today and seeing how it goes
BOL all playing the NFL today! :)!/

This is the first time I am introducing my 2nd model (the 1st model was the other baseball/ncaaf picks)
I will try my 1st model next week for o/u plays and I will also try out my new model 3 (which is still in the works) later on this year


Here they are model #2 picks:

BAL-9.5/-440 Sun
PIT-3.5/-185 Sun
IND-7.5/-370 Sun
NE-8/-420 Sun
GB-1/-116 Sun
SF+3/+115 Sun
DAL+1/+100 mon
BAL LOSS/WON
PIT WON/WON
IND LOSS/WON
NE LOSS/LOSS
GB LOSS/LOSS
SF WON/WON

ATS: 2-4
SU: 4-2
Outright winners: 4-2

Not bad week at all! If Dallas wins and covers that would be Awesome!
cheersgif
 

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Your 4-2 record SU resulted in a net loss? Even if Dallas wins you'll still be down 0.21 units SU. Am I missing something?
 

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You are spot on phdinsports.
2-4 ATS! 4-2 SU includes a -440 and -370 favorite with a loser on a -420 favorite.
Across the board this performance is -EV. Flipping a coin results in a better EV.
3 things:
1) this guy probably doesn’t know the first thing about building a true model.
2) what’s worse? the “model” or the fact this guy thinks “it” performed well??
3) fading the right posters on this forum site is gold!
 

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Clemson,

He had a -400 ML on Temple the other day. So risking $1,600 to win $400. Smart bettors don't take those risks. If you win, sure it's fine, but if you lose, that's 4 more wagers you have to make at $400/wager to make that back. Doesn't make a whole lot of sense to me. But whatever floats their boats.
 

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You are spot on phdinsports.
2-4 ATS! 4-2 SU includes a -440 and -370 favorite with a loser on a -420 favorite.
Across the board this performance is -EV. Flipping a coin results in a better EV.
3 things:
1) this guy probably doesn’t know the first thing about building a true model.
2) what’s worse? the “model” or the fact this guy thinks “it” performed well??
3) fading the right posters on this forum site is gold!

Love it how people think that there better then the next guy on doing something

First of all this is me testing my model that I have created and seeing how it goes
Second I do know the first of building a model and that is TESTING out games and critiquing it for future events and taking RISKS!
Third I am saying this had a "good week" because the teams that this model predicted WON
And finally Forth I would love you build a model and see you be better than this because I know you very much don't and bash someone for 1 week of results ATS
See for the next few weeks I would suggest watching a 18 year old who is trying to do his best and take risks to see how his model does in mlb/nfl and ncaaf alright?
 

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Wasn't the question spread or moneyline?
So what is the answer?
"Not really" doesn't apply and it leaves me confused as to what your picking against ..... spread or moneyline
It depends how much I feel
For the bigger spreads I might take the moneyline but for the lower spread picks I might look into playing the point spread
Fair enough?
 

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Your 4-2 record SU resulted in a net loss? Even if Dallas wins you'll still be down 0.21 units SU. Am I missing something?
No I am just trying my best
 

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Clemson,

He had a -400 ML on Temple the other day. So risking $1,600 to win $400. Smart bettors don't take those risks. If you win, sure it's fine, but if you lose, that's 4 more wagers you have to make at $400/wager to make that back. Doesn't make a whole lot of sense to me. But whatever floats their boats.
"Wow! Risking $1600 on a -400 ML? Hope u hit that brother. I don't have balls of steel like that, unfortunately. lol."
"Congrats on Temple, balls of Steel!"

Lol
 

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"Wow! Risking $1600 on a -400 ML? Hope u hit that brother. I don't have balls of steel like that, unfortunately. lol."
"Congrats on Temple, balls of Steel!"

Lol

Correct, Balls of Steel! Not smart if you think about it.
 

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Correct, Balls of Steel! Not smart if you think about it.
I know varkey I know

I want Clemson1 to acknowledge that I am young guy building models to test/take risks and bashing someone for 1 week is kind dumb to be honest
 

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