Dems in absolute PANIC as early data SHATTERS narrative in key states!

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Dems in Absolute Panic As Early Data Shatters Narrative in Key States

Up until this weekend, the Democratic victory narrative has been this: Dems will outperform in early and mail in voting. Republicans, leerier to mail-in voting, will opt for in person voting and will outperform on election day. However, in the end, the in-person voting will not be enough to overcome the massive early voting numbers by the Democrats.This weekend that narrative shattered in some key states. It’s absolute panic.Politico’s lead story today contains this revealing quote about many anxiety-ridden memos in Democratic offices:

“Democrats are poring over early vote totals, circulating anxiety-ridden campaign memos and bracing for a long two weeks.”


Michigan is chief among the Democrats’ worries. With 25% of the total vote in, compared to 2016, Republicans have a slim advantage heading into Election Day. It’s expected a rush of ballots from Republicans, leerier of mail voting, will be cast in-person on Nov. 3.

Michigan – Republicans have the early lead among early & mail-in voting:

michigan-2.png


With about 25% of the total Michigan votes in, Republicans outpace Democrats 40.2% to 38.3%.

Texas – Republicans shatter early voting expectations and it appears a blue Texas is gone:

Democratic Operative on Twitter: “I don’t understand how Dems are doing worse than 2016 in Texas in terms of early voting. Something is up.”Twitter User Response: “The polls are way off–duh!”(Read how pollsters skew the polls).
tx.jpg


In Texas, the Republicans shatter all previous years, accounting for 50.6% of the total early vote, vs. 41% for Democrats.

As Democratic strategists pore over early numbers, a clear and unexpected trend is emerging: The lock-downs is suppressing the college vote. On college campuses across America, during a normal election year, many of the social events are tied to campaign events for mostly Democratic candidates. Not this year with COVID-19 lock-downs.Also, a general complacency of an inevitable Biden win has gripped campuses. As it turns out, many college outreach initiatives have been cancelled in Michigan, including virtual rallies and door-to-door canvassing, due to Biden’s lead and concerns over social distancing. The result? College students have not turned out to vote, yet.In, Philadelphia, home to Temple U, Drexel, UPenn and LaSalle Univ, the 18-29 vote has gone from 23.1% in 2016 to 12.5% in 2018, to 11.7% in 2020.
EkpmhpEWkAAHhku.jpg


In Dane county, WI, home to UW Madison and one of America’s most liberal college towns, the 18-29 vote has declined from 8.0% in 2016 to 7.3% in 2020. This came as a big surprise. 27% of the total 2016 vote is already in, and the WI youth vote was expected to be energized.

EkpqyoBXgAIuz_r.jpg


In Durham county, NC, home to Duke & North Carolina State University, the 18-29 vote has actually declined from 15.8% in 2016 to 14.5% in 2020. In the entire NC state, the youth vote declined from 12.4% in 2016 to 9.4% now.
EkphgkBX0AIku5F.jpg

Deeper Problems for the Democrats than an Absent College Demographic

Cross-tab analysis suggests the problems are deeper than an absent college demographic. Key counties in Michigan have shifted red. Most notably, Kent and Oakland counties. With a half a million votes cast in Oakland county in 2016, overwhelming for Hillary Clinton, it’s nothing less than complete shock to see early voting highly favorable to Republicans. With 25% of the Michigan vote in, these results are absolutely terrifying to Democrats.To be very clear: These numbers will not overcome the expected rush of ballots that Republicans, leerier of mail voting, will cast in person on Nov. 3. Even if we model the data using the most optimistic expectations for Democrats on Nov. 3rd, Republicans still outnumber in the end. This data runs counter to their narrative for victory. The data also suggests the polls are off–way off.

Furthermore, 25% of the total data is a significant data set that cannot be dismissed easily. It’s a data set much larger than any Michigan poll.It’s expected that Democrats will make a pivot to encourage in-person voting as soon as possible, communicate with operatives to not become complacent, and execute with a greater sense of urgency.

2016 Results, Oakland County


Annotation-2020-10-19-101142.png
Current Results Based Off Early Voting 2020 Shows Oakland County Slight Republican

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It’s absolute panic for Democrats.

 

Rx Normal
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I'm shocked - SHOCKED! - the FAKE NEWS mainstream media is spewing nothing but lies. ("Biden is winning the election!")

I am shocked - SHOCKED! - the "shy Trump voter" is REAL and will dominate this election.

I'm shocked - SHOCKED! - the actual view from the ground is the polar opposite of the idiotic vitturd/savage view from the air.

I am shocked - SHOCKED! - the silent majority is ROARING and sticking it to all anti-American corrupt socialist globalist SCUM!

I am shocked - SHOCKED! - that whatever duhhhhhhhhfinch the pauper believes is turning out wrong - again! Remember "Bloodhound Bob"? LMFAO!
 

Nirvana Shill
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Its pretty simple for me. Alot of people in this country saw the fake Russian collusion narrative , impeachment , riots in Dem cities , and defunding the police.. How else is the sane population going to vote ? My thought even common sense Dems are going to run away from their party. Its happening !
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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Rx Normal
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I believe these fictitious polls are being used to create a narrative that will justify far left widespread rioting and civil unrest after Trump's inevitable landslide victory.

They are going to say he cheated...or Russia did it again! face)(*^%

After all, how could the polls be so wrong?? All designed to delegitimize his second term mandate and authority. ("Not my president!" 2.0)

Forget FAKE NEWS and use common sense: anyone who looks at Joe Biden and thinks voters are going to make this senile pedophile POTUS needs their head examined!
 

Nirvana Shill
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Best thread I've been in all day. Sleeping will be easier tonight..
 

Never bet against America.
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The question isn’t whether Trump will win, it’s whether he can take either California or New York or both despite the cheating and give that knockout blow to the commie socialist democracks. I’m hearing New York is going to be closer than anticipated.
 

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The question isn’t whether Trump will win, it’s whether he can take either California or New York or both despite the cheating and give that knockout blow to the commie socialist democracks. I’m hearing New York is going to be closer than anticipated.

If you REALLY believe that Trump even has a remote shot of winning either California of New York, you are beyond any kind of professional help.
 

Nirvana Shill
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The question isn’t whether Trump will win, it’s whether he can take either California or New York or both despite the cheating and give that knockout blow to the commie socialist democracks. I’m hearing New York is going to be closer than anticipated.

Have a 15/1 prop with Trump in NY. Its in play.
 

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this could be it!!
 

Rx Normal
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The question isn’t whether Trump will win, it’s whether he can take either California or New York or both despite the cheating and give that knockout blow to the commie socialist democracks. I’m hearing New York is going to be closer than anticipated.

It's beyond comical listening to libtards brag about "national polls" and "popular vote" as if these things mean anything to the current electoral process. With MILLIONS OF ILLEGAL UNVERIFIED NON-PHOTO ID VOTES being counted in states like Commiefornia, nobody should give any of these "metrics" any credence.

"Hillary won the popular vote!"

Hysterical!
 

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Have a 15/1 prop with Trump in NY. Its in play.

ZERO chance-kiss your money goodbye(den)!!

How does your Trump's winning the popular vote in the country at the "incredible odds" given at 2-1 look? lol
 

Nirvana Shill
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It's beyond comical listening to libtards brag about "national polls" and "popular vote" as if these things mean anything to the current electoral process. With MILLIONS OF ILLEGAL UNVERIFIED NON-PHOTO ID VOTES being counted in states like Commiefornia, nobody should give any of these "metrics" any credence.

"Hillary won the popular vote!"

Hysterical!

How do you think this affects the Senate and Congressional races ? Good trend for those too ?
 

Member
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It's beyond comical listening to libtards brag about "national polls" and "popular vote" as if these things mean anything to the current electoral process. With MILLIONS OF ILLEGAL UNVERIFIED NON-PHOTO ID VOTES being counted in states like Commiefornia, nobody should give any of these "metrics" any credence.

"Hillary won the popular vote!"

Hysterical!

Before retiring for the evening, I thought I would tell you that if you do a search between now and the Election, you might find an internet special on crow

if you buy it in sufficient quantity.

I say sufficient because you and a lot of other folks in here who are members of Trump's Basket of Deplorables are going to need a lot of it to

ensure that all of you losers have enough to go around when the Election results are finalized!
 

Rx Normal
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ZERO chance-kiss your money goodbye(den)!!

How does your Trump's winning the popular vote in the country at the "incredible odds" given at 2-1 look? lol

FACT: Trump won a 8m++ popular vote LANDSLIDE in the HEARTLAND.

Only a delusional loon like you would believe unverified cheating states like CA should count for anything. You keep 'crowing' about "popular vote" and "national polls" like they mean something.

They don't.
 

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